PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s6

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +1d

assessed

167

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

50.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0381

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0039

actual +0.0006

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.624713	-0.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.615926	-0.58%	0.62925	+1.57%	0.0234	✗	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.630508	-0.57%	0.6195	-2.31%	0.0265	✓	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.628438	-0.60%	0.63415	+0.31%	0.0105	✗	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.612297	-0.41%	0.6322	+2.83%	0.0269	✗	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.648674	-0.72%	0.6148	-5.91%	0.0527	✓	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.590038	-0.34%	0.6534	+10.36%	0.1071	✗	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.583214	-0.23%	0.59205	+1.28%	0.0105	✗	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.620327	-0.49%	0.58455	-6.22%	0.0479	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.614337	-0.38%	0.62335	+1.08%	0.0044	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.672691	-0.74%	0.6167	-9.00%	0.0751	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.674565	-0.72%	0.6777	-0.26%	0.0004	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.656708	-0.66%	0.67945	+2.78%	0.0316	✗	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.637407	-0.58%	0.6611	+3.12%	0.0309	✗	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.653299	-0.77%	0.6411	-2.63%	0.0085	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.652698	-0.77%	0.6584	+0.10%	0.0232	✗	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.734548	-0.88%	0.65775	-11.24%	0.1091	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.801087	-1.57%	0.74105	-8.95%	0.0735	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.71222	-0.84%	0.81385	+13.31%	0.1241	✗	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.740159	-0.92%	0.71825	-3.85%	0.0313	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.696371	-0.80%	0.747	+6.41%	0.0720	✗	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.70969	-1.01%	0.702	-2.09%	0.0180	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.674575	-0.81%	0.71695	+5.42%	0.0614	✗	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.663853	-1.01%	0.6801	+1.41%	0.0232	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.64798	-1.24%	0.67065	+2.22%	0.0406	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.613067	-0.74%	0.6561	+6.23%	0.0676	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.653635	-1.20%	0.61765	-6.64%	0.0586	✓	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.613604	-0.84%	0.66155	+6.91%	0.0771	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.575177	-0.81%	0.6188	+6.71%	0.0731	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.574476	-0.68%	0.5799	+0.26%	0.0216	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.569165	-0.82%	0.5784	+0.79%	0.0190	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.510036	-0.49%	0.57385	+11.96%	0.0826	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.535161	-0.61%	0.51255	-4.81%	0.0427	✓	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.53496	-0.66%	0.53845	-0.01%	0.0041	✓	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.512113	-0.62%	0.5385	+4.50%	0.0211	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.512243	-0.61%	0.5153	-0.02%	0.0046	✓	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.484832	-0.48%	0.5154	+5.80%	0.0582	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.493982	-0.56%	0.48715	-1.93%	0.0006	✓	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.472739	-0.39%	0.49675	+4.67%	0.0426	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.47883	-0.39%	0.4746	-1.27%	0.0065	✓	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.487498	-0.52%	0.4807	-1.91%	0.0143	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.487427	-0.99%	0.49005	-0.46%	0.0022	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.473935	-0.90%	0.4923	+2.94%	0.0467	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.436938	-0.27%	0.47825	+9.16%	0.0910	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.446283	-0.49%	0.4381	-2.32%	0.0158	✓	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.422877	-0.03%	0.4485	+6.03%	0.0648	✗	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.415371	-0.01%	0.423	+1.83%	0.0157	✗	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.411604	-0.02%	0.4154	+0.90%	0.0085	✗	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.40888	+0.04%	0.4117	+0.73%	0.0143	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.405497	-0.15%	0.4087	+0.64%	0.0062	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.41333	-0.14%	0.4061	-1.88%	0.0173	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.412253	-0.07%	0.4139	+0.33%	0.0078	✗	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.416536	-0.12%	0.41255	-1.08%	0.0130	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.424433	-0.15%	0.41705	-1.88%	0.0156	✓	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.419718	-0.09%	0.42505	+1.18%	0.0113	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.41617	+0.04%	0.4201	+0.99%	0.0184	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.40847	+0.02%	0.416	+1.86%	0.0138	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.419906	-0.03%	0.4084	-2.77%	0.0296	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.446609	-0.20%	0.42005	-6.13%	0.0598	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.406502	-0.05%	0.4475	+10.03%	0.0926	✗	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.392498	-0.03%	0.4067	+3.59%	0.0337	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.420415	-0.04%	0.3926	-6.66%	0.0655	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.396851	-0.14%	0.4206	+5.84%	0.0515	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.39663	-0.27%	0.3974	-0.08%	0.0041	✓	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.386492	-0.36%	0.3977	+2.53%	0.0241	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.367254	-0.34%	0.3879	+5.26%	0.0544	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.366273	-0.35%	0.3685	+0.26%	0.0038	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.375119	-0.31%	0.36755	-2.33%	0.0201	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.368231	-0.26%	0.3763	+1.92%	0.0216	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.377098	-0.25%	0.3692	-2.34%	0.0206	✓	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.377862	-0.27%	0.37805	-0.22%	0.0005	✓	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.390403	-0.32%	0.3789	-3.26%	0.0296	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.399481	-0.32%	0.39165	-2.27%	0.0187	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.407351	-0.38%	0.40075	-1.99%	0.0135	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.391409	-0.37%	0.4089	+4.09%	0.0439	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.391771	-0.36%	0.39285	-0.09%	0.0027	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.393465	-0.38%	0.3932	-0.44%	0.0024	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.392968	-0.36%	0.39495	+0.14%	0.0063	✗	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.399938	-0.36%	0.3944	-1.74%	0.0160	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.413162	-0.39%	0.4014	-3.23%	0.0312	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.43828	-0.44%	0.4148	-5.77%	0.0549	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.443026	-0.44%	0.4402	-1.08%	0.0090	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.433994	-0.37%	0.445	+2.16%	0.0253	✗	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.449481	-0.39%	0.4356	-3.47%	0.0254	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.432753	-0.34%	0.45125	+3.91%	0.0404	✗	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.424908	-0.42%	0.43425	+1.77%	0.0217	✗	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.397722	-0.18%	0.4267	+7.09%	0.0701	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.377811	-0.08%	0.39845	+5.38%	0.0570	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.385716	-0.05%	0.3781	-2.02%	0.0225	✓	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.385388	-0.02%	0.3859	+0.12%	0.0008	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.379869	-0.05%	0.38545	+1.42%	0.0171	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.364208	+0.02%	0.38005	+4.37%	0.0457	✓	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.341459	+0.05%	0.36415	+6.69%	0.0657	✓	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.324645	+0.09%	0.3413	+5.23%	0.0468	✓	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.350131	+0.07%	0.32435	-7.30%	0.0780	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.366635	+0.02%	0.3499	-4.54%	0.0464	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.394614	-0.05%	0.36655	-7.16%	0.0769	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.393497	-0.03%	0.3948	+0.30%	0.0029	✗	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.387245	-0.00%	0.3936	+1.64%	0.0198	✗	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.384327	+0.06%	0.38725	+0.82%	0.0086	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.391125	+0.10%	0.3841	-1.70%	0.0296	✗	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.415984	+0.07%	0.39075	-6.00%	0.0572	✗	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.417433	+0.08%	0.4157	-0.34%	0.0040	✗	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.414506	+0.07%	0.4171	+0.70%	0.0075	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.393466	+0.12%	0.4142	+5.39%	0.0485	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.400149	+0.16%	0.393	-1.63%	0.0210	✗	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.415029	+0.13%	0.3995	-3.62%	0.0350	✗	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.406096	+0.12%	0.4145	+2.19%	0.0226	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.391392	+0.10%	0.4056	+3.73%	0.0345	✓	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.420121	+0.00%	0.391	-6.93%	0.0734	✗	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.424465	+0.02%	0.4201	-1.01%	0.0122	✗	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.416568	+0.05%	0.4244	+1.93%	0.0156	✓	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.416529	+0.13%	0.41635	+0.08%	0.0047	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.418252	+0.18%	0.416	-0.36%	0.0094	✗	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.45523	+0.09%	0.4175	-8.20%	0.0841	✗	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.460127	+0.05%	0.4548	-1.11%	0.0127	✗	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.460249	+0.09%	0.4599	+0.01%	0.0001	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.428561	+0.18%	0.45985	+7.49%	0.0706	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.435296	+0.16%	0.4278	-1.56%	0.0178	✗	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.459159	+0.06%	0.4346	-5.30%	0.0539	✗	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.501626	-0.08%	0.4589	-8.59%	0.0901	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.540438	-0.21%	0.50205	-7.29%	0.0757	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.549828	-0.21%	0.54155	-1.72%	0.0141	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.55712	-0.25%	0.551	-1.34%	0.0125	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.563014	-0.20%	0.5585	-1.00%	0.0069	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.600735	-0.38%	0.56415	-6.44%	0.0623	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.55075	-0.21%	0.603	+9.26%	0.0919	✗	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.556344	-0.25%	0.5519	-1.05%	0.0071	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.582847	-0.33%	0.55775	-4.62%	0.0436	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.580715	-0.31%	0.58475	+0.39%	0.0067	✗	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.591217	-0.28%	0.5825	-1.75%	0.0156	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.614426	-0.38%	0.5929	-3.87%	0.0367	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.552807	-0.14%	0.6168	+11.42%	0.1096	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.585461	-0.16%	0.5536	-5.59%	0.0614	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.581305	-0.14%	0.5864	+0.74%	0.0094	✗	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.601259	-0.24%	0.5821	-3.42%	0.0294	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.633904	-0.35%	0.6027	-5.25%	0.0499	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.642635	-0.23%	0.6361	-1.24%	0.0170	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.644531	-0.35%	0.6441	-0.42%	0.0002	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.612348	-0.17%	0.6468	+5.45%	0.0722	✗	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.60891	-0.11%	0.6134	+0.62%	0.0088	✗	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.6041	-0.23%	0.6096	+0.68%	0.0291	✗	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.627155	-0.72%	0.6055	-4.15%	0.0005	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.620793	-0.76%	0.6317	+0.98%	0.0392	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.614296	-0.62%	0.62555	+1.21%	0.0200	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.606483	-0.42%	0.6181	+1.49%	0.0152	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.622998	-0.54%	0.60905	-2.77%	0.0213	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.634429	-0.72%	0.6264	-1.97%	0.0019	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.60566	-0.50%	0.639	+4.98%	0.0737	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.613759	-0.59%	0.6087	-1.41%	0.0103	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.614305	-0.49%	0.6174	+0.02%	0.0015	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.648243	-0.64%	0.6173	-5.38%	0.0532	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.635814	-0.45%	0.6524	+2.14%	0.0099	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.655083	-0.78%	0.6387	-3.26%	0.0022	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.627867	-0.59%	0.6602	+4.53%	0.0493	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.573496	-0.24%	0.6316	+9.86%	0.0873	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.631832	-0.45%	0.5749	-9.42%	0.0921	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.717302	-0.68%	0.6347	-12.12%	0.1163	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.75641	-0.86%	0.7222	-5.35%	0.0373	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.707717	-0.57%	0.763	+7.19%	0.0873	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.735487	-0.65%	0.7118	-3.85%	0.0075	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.698395	-0.57%	0.7403	+5.40%	0.0359	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.761716	-0.68%	0.7024	-8.41%	0.0661	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.794839	-0.69%	0.7669	-4.19%	0.0205	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.89817	-1.39%	0.8004	-12.12%	0.1095	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.967798	-3.53%	0.9108	-9.21%	0.0797	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.83726	-3.35%	1.0032	+15.80%	0.1750	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.628734	-0.55%	0.8663	+37.03%	0.3182	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.