NIULAI

? · · gru_s6

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 168

Track record at +7d

assessed

49

of 56 predictions shown

direction hit

61.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1798

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0297

actual -0.0447

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.06274	0.06162	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-21	oos	0.062305	0.061426	-1.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.061975	-0.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.058288	+0.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.05934	+0.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.060554	+1.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.0658	+1.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.068053	+1.00%	0.06274	-6.89%	0.1193	✗	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.07052	+1.28%	0.062305	-10.52%	0.1688	✗	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.0742	-0.58%	0.0625	-16.25%	0.1687	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.073242	+1.64%	0.05795	-19.58%	0.2359	✗	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.077828	-1.82%	0.058765	-25.87%	0.2527	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.079171	-1.13%	0.059455	-25.75%	0.2602	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.075204	+1.37%	0.065015	-12.37%	0.1277	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.075117	+2.76%	0.06738	-7.82%	0.1161	✗	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.072848	+1.62%	0.06963	-2.87%	0.0152	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.077047	-2.56%	0.07463	-5.62%	0.0073	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.075275	-1.99%	0.07206	-6.17%	0.0216	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.080281	-2.51%	0.07927	-3.74%	0.0314	✗	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.079031	-1.35%	0.080075	-0.04%	0.0422	✗	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.085923	-1.86%	0.07419	-15.26%	0.1158	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.096695	-2.59%	0.0731	-26.36%	0.2315	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.101726	-2.96%	0.071685	-31.61%	0.3456	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.102006	-2.97%	0.079075	-24.78%	0.2841	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.111527	-3.73%	0.0768	-33.70%	0.4082	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.100976	-2.94%	0.08235	-20.84%	0.2368	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.102559	-3.10%	0.08011	-24.31%	0.2523	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.101105	-3.07%	0.08755	-16.06%	0.1506	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.097963	-2.66%	0.09927	-1.36%	0.0057	✓	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.104226	-2.96%	0.104825	-2.41%	0.0190	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.109224	-2.76%	0.10513	-6.41%	0.0013	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.105081	-2.50%	0.115845	+7.49%	0.1464	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.098102	-2.96%	0.10403	+2.91%	0.0002	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.104123	-3.51%	0.10584	-1.92%	0.0389	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.114089	-4.62%	0.104305	-12.80%	0.1455	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.102585	-3.47%	0.10064	-5.30%	0.1192	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.097821	-2.71%	0.10741	+6.82%	0.0092	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.113745	-4.98%	0.112325	-6.17%	0.1440	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.115762	-5.31%	0.10777	-11.84%	0.1738	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.111067	-5.14%	0.10109	-13.66%	0.1493	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.125558	-6.94%	0.107915	-20.02%	0.2015	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.117416	-6.64%	0.11962	-4.89%	0.0278	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.111346	-8.27%	0.10627	-12.45%	0.0442	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.07728	-1.66%	0.10055	+27.95%	0.2909	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.096805	-5.21%	0.11971	+17.22%	0.2496	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.079648	-2.45%	0.12225	+49.72%	0.4401	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.088006	-3.31%	0.11709	+28.64%	0.3306	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.112702	-6.52%	0.134925	+11.92%	0.2127	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.081743	-2.83%	0.125765	+49.51%	0.4623	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.092437	-4.02%	0.12138	+26.03%	0.3323	✗	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.075204	-3.36%	0.078585	+0.98%	0.0314	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.080164	-3.83%	0.102125	+22.51%	0.2287	✗	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.097195	-5.52%	0.08165	-20.63%	0.1810	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.092407	-8.94%	0.09102	-10.31%	0.0490	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.054235	-1.28%	0.12056	+119.44%	0.7786	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.054895	-2.08%	0.08412	+50.05%	0.4035	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.