NIULAI
? · · gru_s6
- token id
- #227
- symbol
- NIULAI
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 165
Track record at +30d
assessed
25
of 55 predictions shown
direction hit
84.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3129
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1160
actual -0.2998
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.06254 | 0.058586 | -6.32% | – | pending | – | – | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0625 | 0.058612 | -6.22% | – | pending | – | – | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.05795 | 0.054634 | -5.72% | – | pending | – | – | 1.53 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.058765 | 0.055086 | -6.26% | – | pending | – | – | 1.53 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.059455 | 0.055745 | -6.24% | – | pending | – | – | 1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.065015 | 0.060363 | -7.16% | – | pending | – | – | 1.52 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.06738 | 0.062136 | -7.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.06963 | 0.063995 | -8.09% | – | pending | – | – | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.067987 | -8.90% | – | pending | – | – | 1.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.07206 | 0.065811 | -8.67% | – | pending | – | – | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.07927 | 0.071693 | -9.56% | – | pending | – | – | 1.40 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.080075 | 0.072333 | -9.67% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.07419 | 0.06731 | -9.27% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0731 | 0.066536 | -8.98% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.071685 | 0.065044 | -9.26% | – | pending | – | – | 1.44 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.079075 | 0.071082 | -10.11% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.0768 | 0.068895 | -10.29% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.08235 | 0.073623 | -10.60% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.08011 | 0.071634 | -10.58% | – | pending | – | – | 1.33 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.08755 | 0.078168 | -10.72% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.09927 | 0.088754 | -10.59% | – | pending | – | – | 1.27 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.104825 | 0.09366 | -10.65% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.10513 | 0.093625 | -10.94% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.115845 | 0.103136 | -10.97% | – | pending | – | – | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.10403 | 0.091889 | -11.67% | – | pending | – | – | 1.38 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.10584 | 0.093186 | -11.96% | – | pending | – | – | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.104305 | 0.091422 | -12.35% | – | pending | – | – | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10064 | 0.087811 | -12.75% | – | pending | – | – | 1.38 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10741 | 0.093848 | -12.63% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.112325 | 0.098167 | -12.60% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10777 | 0.09376 | -13.00% | 0.06254 | -41.97% | 0.3440 | ✓ | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.10109 | 0.087543 | -13.40% | 0.0625 | -38.17% | 0.3688 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.107915 | 0.09361 | -13.26% | 0.05795 | -46.30% | 0.4902 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.11962 | 0.103743 | -13.27% | 0.058765 | -50.87% | 0.5883 | ✓ | 1.43 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.10627 | 0.091574 | -13.83% | 0.059455 | -44.05% | 0.4958 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.10055 | 0.086603 | -13.87% | 0.065015 | -35.34% | 0.3547 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.11971 | 0.102764 | -14.16% | 0.06738 | -43.71% | 0.5051 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.12225 | 0.105197 | -13.95% | 0.06963 | -43.04% | 0.4551 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.11709 | 0.100661 | -14.03% | 0.07463 | -36.26% | 0.3781 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.134925 | 0.115233 | -14.60% | 0.07206 | -46.59% | 0.5258 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.125765 | 0.107585 | -14.46% | 0.07927 | -36.97% | 0.3859 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.12138 | 0.103029 | -15.12% | 0.080075 | -34.03% | 0.3320 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.078585 | 0.07083 | -9.87% | 0.07419 | -5.59% | 0.0066 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.102125 | 0.089442 | -12.42% | 0.0731 | -28.42% | 0.2423 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.08165 | 0.07401 | -9.36% | 0.071685 | -12.20% | 0.0835 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.09102 | 0.082319 | -9.56% | 0.079075 | -13.12% | 0.1029 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.12056 | 0.10506 | -12.86% | 0.0768 | -36.30% | 0.3848 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.08412 | 0.077813 | -7.50% | 0.08235 | -2.10% | 0.0256 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.09631 | 0.088375 | -8.24% | 0.08011 | -16.82% | 0.1401 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07782 | 0.072297 | -7.10% | 0.08755 | +12.50% | 0.1024 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.08336 | 0.077249 | -7.33% | 0.09927 | +19.09% | 0.1589 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.10287 | 0.093155 | -9.44% | 0.104825 | +1.90% | 0.0564 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.10148 | 0.090813 | -10.51% | 0.10513 | +3.60% | 0.0723 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.05494 | 0.054787 | -0.28% | 0.115845 | +110.86% | 0.6842 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.05606 | 0.055928 | -0.24% | 0.10403 | +85.57% | 0.5390 | ✗ | 1.00 |