MOE
MOE · Mantle · gru_s6
- token id
- #827
- symbol
- MOE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Mantle
- address
- 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2024-11-29
- predictions
- 402
Track record at +7d
assessed
120
of 134 predictions shown
direction hit
65.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2940
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0844
actual -0.1811
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.000324 | 0.00028513 | -12.00% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0003162 | 0.000282022 | -10.81% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0003632 | 0.0003184 | -12.33% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00035745 | 0.000322591 | -9.75% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0004181 | 0.000338719 | -18.99% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00043585 | 0.000337534 | -22.56% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.0004583 | 0.000330454 | -27.90% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0004529 | 0.000313278 | -30.83% | 0.000324 | -28.46% | 0.0085 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.0004537 | 0.0003078 | -32.16% | 0.0003162 | -30.31% | 0.0028 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.00055985 | 0.000337869 | -39.65% | 0.0003632 | -35.13% | 0.0743 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.0006665 | 0.000395539 | -40.65% | 0.00035745 | -46.37% | 0.1024 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.000703 | 0.000403539 | -42.60% | 0.0004181 | -40.53% | 0.0556 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-08 | in | 0.00031 | 0.000316928 | +2.23% | – | pending | – | – | 2.03 |
| 2025-04-07 | in | 0.000317 | 0.000321532 | +1.43% | – | pending | – | – | 2.12 |
| 2025-04-06 | in | 0.0003192 | 0.000324427 | +1.64% | – | pending | – | – | 2.11 |
| 2025-04-05 | in | 0.0003977 | 0.000392443 | -1.32% | – | pending | – | – | 2.13 |
| 2025-04-04 | in | 0.0004024 | 0.000397175 | -1.30% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-03 | in | 0.0003984 | 0.000393274 | -1.29% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-02 | in | 0.000448 | 0.000439655 | -1.86% | – | pending | – | – | 2.20 |
| 2025-04-01 | in | 0.0004932 | 0.000479453 | -2.79% | 0.00031 | -37.15% | 0.1813 | ✓ | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-31 | in | 0.0004862 | 0.000473544 | -2.60% | 0.000317 | -34.80% | 0.3040 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-30 | in | 0.0004699 | 0.000458648 | -2.39% | 0.0003192 | -32.07% | 0.2471 | ✓ | 2.31 |
| 2025-03-29 | in | 0.0004657 | 0.000454832 | -2.33% | 0.0003977 | -14.60% | 0.1585 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-28 | in | 0.0005013 | 0.000486528 | -2.95% | 0.0004024 | -19.73% | 0.1753 | ✓ | 2.34 |
| 2025-03-27 | in | 0.0005423 | 0.00052307 | -3.55% | 0.0003984 | -26.54% | 0.1581 | ✓ | 2.40 |
| 2025-03-26 | in | 0.0005207 | 0.000502604 | -3.48% | 0.000448 | -13.96% | 0.0047 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-25 | in | 0.0005439 | 0.00052478 | -3.52% | 0.0004932 | -9.32% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-24 | in | 0.0005511 | 0.000531383 | -3.58% | 0.0004862 | -11.78% | 0.0453 | ✗ | 2.29 |
| 2025-03-23 | in | 0.0005092 | 0.000492938 | -3.19% | 0.0004699 | -7.72% | 0.0504 | ✗ | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-22 | in | 0.0005002 | 0.000481214 | -3.80% | 0.0004657 | -6.90% | 0.0003 | ✓ | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-21 | in | 0.0004994 | 0.000481071 | -3.67% | 0.0005013 | +0.38% | 0.0330 | ✓ | 2.17 |
| 2025-03-20 | in | 0.00055 | 0.000525887 | -4.38% | 0.0005423 | -1.40% | 0.0458 | ✓ | 2.16 |
| 2025-03-19 | in | 0.000542 | 0.000519005 | -4.24% | 0.0005207 | -3.93% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 2.20 |
| 2025-03-18 | in | 0.0004988 | 0.000481202 | -3.53% | 0.0005439 | +9.04% | 0.0064 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-17 | in | 0.00051 | 0.000490509 | -3.82% | 0.0005511 | +8.06% | 0.0198 | ✓ | 2.36 |
| 2025-03-16 | in | 0.0005015 | 0.000483698 | -3.55% | 0.0005092 | +1.54% | 0.0471 | ✓ | 2.35 |
| 2025-03-15 | in | 0.0005216 | 0.000500423 | -4.06% | 0.0005002 | -4.10% | 0.0140 | ✓ | 2.43 |
| 2025-03-14 | in | 0.0005378 | 0.000514202 | -4.39% | 0.0004994 | -7.14% | 0.0316 | ✓ | 2.48 |
| 2025-03-13 | in | 0.0004904 | 0.000478395 | -2.45% | 0.00055 | +12.15% | 0.0466 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-12 | in | 0.0005142 | 0.000498453 | -3.06% | 0.000542 | +5.41% | 0.0092 | ✓ | 2.46 |
| 2025-03-11 | in | 0.0005339 | 0.000515932 | -3.37% | 0.0004988 | -6.57% | 0.0273 | ✓ | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-10 | in | 0.0004858 | 0.000477724 | -1.66% | 0.00051 | +4.98% | 0.1090 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2025-03-09 | in | 0.00057 | 0.000549132 | -3.66% | 0.0005015 | -12.02% | 0.1493 | ✓ | 2.56 |
| 2025-03-08 | in | 0.0005902 | 0.00056728 | -3.88% | 0.0005216 | -11.62% | 0.0234 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2025-03-07 | in | 0.0006199 | 0.000593616 | -4.24% | 0.0005378 | -13.24% | 0.0064 | ✓ | 2.84 |
| 2025-03-06 | in | 0.0006305 | 0.000605299 | -4.00% | 0.0004904 | -22.22% | 0.0894 | ✗ | 2.89 |
| 2025-03-05 | in | 0.0006211 | 0.000598117 | -3.70% | 0.0005142 | -17.21% | 0.0765 | ✗ | 2.86 |
| 2025-03-04 | in | 0.0006649 | 0.000640418 | -3.68% | 0.0005339 | -19.70% | 0.0331 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-03-03 | in | 0.0006283 | 0.000612661 | -2.49% | 0.0004858 | -22.68% | 0.0166 | ✓ | 2.69 |
| 2025-03-02 | in | 0.0008278 | 0.000788722 | -4.72% | 0.00057 | -31.14% | 0.0924 | ✗ | 2.68 |
| 2025-03-01 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000667035 | -1.91% | 0.0005902 | -13.21% | 0.1282 | ✓ | 2.66 |
| 2025-02-28 | in | 0.00071 | 0.000696532 | -1.90% | 0.0006199 | -12.69% | 0.1972 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-02-27 | in | 0.0005911 | 0.000596245 | +0.87% | 0.0006305 | +6.67% | 0.1167 | ✗ | 2.84 |
| 2025-02-26 | in | 0.000648 | 0.000648683 | +0.11% | 0.0006211 | -4.15% | 0.2558 | ✗ | 2.86 |
| 2025-02-25 | in | 0.0005906 | 0.000597172 | +1.11% | 0.0006649 | +12.58% | 0.1557 | ✓ | 3.18 |
| 2025-02-24 | in | 0.0006898 | 0.000689025 | -0.11% | 0.0006283 | -8.92% | 0.0985 | ✗ | 3.17 |
| 2025-02-23 | in | 0.0007556 | 0.000750637 | -0.66% | 0.0008278 | +9.56% | 0.1671 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-22 | in | 0.00079 | 0.000785121 | -0.62% | 0.00068 | -13.92% | 0.2383 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-21 | in | 0.000801 | 0.000798963 | -0.25% | 0.00071 | -11.36% | 0.3161 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-20 | in | 0.00082 | 0.000818764 | -0.15% | 0.0005911 | -27.91% | 0.1772 | ✗ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-19 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000697859 | +2.63% | 0.000648 | -4.71% | 0.3798 | ✓ | 3.27 |
| 2025-02-18 | in | 0.0006437 | 0.000669152 | +3.95% | 0.0005906 | -8.25% | 0.1235 | ✓ | 3.26 |
| 2025-02-17 | in | 0.00069 | 0.000717011 | +3.91% | 0.0006898 | -0.03% | 0.1097 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-16 | in | 0.00074 | 0.000768692 | +3.88% | 0.0007556 | +2.11% | 0.0221 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-15 | in | 0.00071 | 0.000743398 | +4.70% | 0.00079 | +11.27% | 0.0953 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-14 | in | 0.00081 | 0.00084839 | +4.74% | 0.000801 | -1.11% | 0.0113 | ✓ | 3.31 |
| 2025-02-13 | in | 0.00089 | 0.000932136 | +4.73% | 0.00082 | -7.87% | 0.1870 | ✗ | 3.33 |
| 2025-02-12 | in | 0.00109 | 0.001126 | +3.29% | 0.00068 | -37.61% | 0.4627 | ✗ | 3.28 |
| 2025-02-11 | in | 0.00141 | 0.001422 | +0.86% | 0.0006437 | -54.35% | 0.7866 | ✗ | 3.46 |
| 2025-02-10 | in | 0.00137 | 0.001387 | +1.26% | 0.00069 | -49.64% | 0.6379 | ✗ | 3.52 |
| 2025-02-09 | in | 0.00155 | 0.001553 | +0.20% | 0.00074 | -52.26% | 0.7282 | ✗ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-08 | in | 0.00157 | 0.001574 | +0.25% | 0.00071 | -54.78% | 0.8371 | ✗ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-07 | in | 0.00147 | 0.001488 | +1.26% | 0.00081 | -44.90% | 0.6441 | ✗ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-06 | in | 0.0016 | 0.001609 | +0.57% | 0.00089 | -44.38% | 0.5945 | ✗ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-05 | in | 0.00144 | 0.001468 | +1.93% | 0.00109 | -24.31% | 0.3424 | ✗ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-04 | in | 0.00134 | 0.001376 | +2.67% | 0.00141 | +5.22% | 0.0999 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2025-02-03 | in | 0.00176 | 0.001747 | -0.72% | 0.00137 | -22.16% | 0.1024 | ✓ | 3.49 |
| 2025-02-02 | in | 0.00141 | 0.001447 | +2.65% | 0.00155 | +9.93% | 0.1100 | ✓ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-01 | in | 0.00172 | 0.001732 | +0.69% | 0.00157 | -8.72% | 0.0404 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-01-31 | in | 0.00205 | 0.002002 | -2.32% | 0.00147 | -28.29% | 0.1176 | ✓ | 3.24 |
| 2025-01-30 | in | 0.0024 | 0.002249 | -6.31% | 0.0016 | -33.33% | 0.0801 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-29 | in | 0.0025 | 0.002341 | -6.37% | 0.00144 | -42.40% | 0.2579 | ✓ | 3.21 |
| 2025-01-28 | in | 0.00234 | 0.002251 | -3.81% | 0.00134 | -42.74% | 0.4064 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-27 | in | 0.00272 | 0.002549 | -6.27% | 0.00176 | -35.29% | 0.3518 | ✓ | 3.17 |
| 2025-01-26 | in | 0.0031 | 0.002817 | -9.13% | 0.00141 | -54.52% | 0.5381 | ✓ | 3.15 |
| 2025-01-25 | in | 0.00411 | 0.003491 | -15.06% | 0.00172 | -58.15% | 0.5872 | ✓ | 3.02 |
| 2025-01-24 | in | 0.00459 | 0.003782 | -17.60% | 0.00205 | -55.34% | 0.5417 | ✓ | 3.01 |
| 2025-01-23 | in | 0.00502 | 0.004036 | -19.61% | 0.0024 | -52.19% | 0.5435 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-22 | in | 0.00639 | 0.004909 | -23.18% | 0.0025 | -60.88% | 0.6771 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-21 | in | 0.00663 | 0.004841 | -26.99% | 0.00234 | -64.71% | 0.5820 | ✓ | 3.09 |
| 2025-01-20 | in | 0.00488 | 0.003905 | -19.98% | 0.00272 | -44.26% | 0.3594 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-01-19 | in | 0.00512 | 0.004187 | -18.21% | 0.0031 | -39.45% | 0.3382 | ✓ | 2.83 |
| 2025-01-18 | in | 0.0073 | 0.005919 | -18.91% | 0.00411 | -43.70% | 0.3720 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2025-01-17 | in | 0.00945 | 0.007762 | -17.87% | 0.00459 | -51.43% | 0.5434 | ✓ | 2.55 |
| 2025-01-16 | in | 0.01091 | 0.009044 | -17.10% | 0.00502 | -53.99% | 0.7017 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-01-15 | in | 0.01372 | 0.011167 | -18.61% | 0.00639 | -53.43% | 0.6470 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-14 | in | 0.01037 | 0.008961 | -13.58% | 0.00663 | -36.07% | 0.5474 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2025-01-13 | in | 0.01316 | 0.011728 | -10.88% | 0.00488 | -62.92% | 1.0994 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-12 | in | 0.01678 | 0.014823 | -11.66% | 0.00512 | -69.49% | 1.2597 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-11 | in | 0.01601 | 0.014168 | -11.51% | 0.0073 | -54.40% | 0.9481 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-10 | in | 0.01991 | 0.017442 | -12.39% | 0.00945 | -52.54% | 0.8840 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-09 | in | 0.02065 | 0.018083 | -12.43% | 0.01091 | -47.17% | 0.7362 | ✓ | 2.99 |
| 2025-01-08 | in | 0.01796 | 0.015547 | -13.43% | 0.01372 | -23.61% | 0.3057 | ✓ | 3.23 |
| 2025-01-07 | in | 0.02282 | 0.019544 | -14.36% | 0.01037 | -54.56% | 0.6209 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-06 | in | 0.02644 | 0.022778 | -13.85% | 0.01316 | -50.23% | 0.3069 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-05 | in | 0.02288 | 0.019328 | -15.52% | 0.01678 | -26.66% | 0.0205 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-04 | in | 0.02024 | 0.017055 | -15.74% | 0.01601 | -20.90% | 0.0514 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-03 | in | 0.02086 | 0.017197 | -17.56% | 0.01991 | -4.55% | 0.2545 | ✗ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-02 | in | 0.0165 | 0.01355 | -17.88% | 0.02065 | +25.15% | 0.5545 | ✗ | 2.90 |
| 2025-01-01 | in | 0.01285 | 0.011134 | -13.35% | 0.01796 | +39.77% | 0.4601 | ✗ | 2.62 |
| 2024-12-31 | in | 0.01281 | 0.01116 | -12.88% | 0.02282 | +78.14% | 0.6157 | ✗ | 2.64 |
| 2024-12-30 | in | 0.01329 | 0.011522 | -13.30% | 0.02644 | +98.95% | 0.5650 | ✗ | 2.68 |
| 2024-12-29 | in | 0.0112 | 0.009905 | -11.56% | 0.02288 | +104.29% | 0.6985 | ✗ | 2.78 |
| 2024-12-28 | in | 0.01553 | 0.01294 | -16.68% | 0.02024 | +30.33% | 0.4155 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-27 | in | 0.01222 | 0.010463 | -14.38% | 0.02086 | +70.70% | 0.6487 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-26 | in | 0.0079 | 0.007658 | -3.07% | 0.0165 | +108.86% | 0.7548 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-25 | in | 0.00906 | 0.008383 | -7.47% | 0.01285 | +41.83% | 0.4783 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-24 | in | 0.00997 | 0.00908 | -8.93% | 0.01281 | +28.49% | 0.3988 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-23 | in | 0.01 | 0.009324 | -6.76% | 0.01329 | +32.90% | 0.3773 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-22 | in | 0.0084 | 0.008179 | -2.63% | 0.0112 | +33.33% | 0.3305 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-21 | in | 0.00752 | 0.007394 | -1.67% | 0.01553 | +106.52% | 0.7639 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-20 | in | 0.00682 | 0.006792 | -0.41% | 0.01222 | +79.18% | 0.6247 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-19 | in | 0.00766 | 0.007519 | -1.84% | 0.0079 | +3.13% | 0.0671 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-18 | in | 0.01118 | 0.009996 | -10.59% | 0.00906 | -18.96% | 0.0903 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-17 | in | 0.01372 | 0.011915 | -13.16% | 0.00997 | -27.33% | 0.1045 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-16 | in | 0.01609 | 0.013754 | -14.52% | 0.01 | -37.85% | 0.2058 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-15 | in | 0.01238 | 0.010685 | -13.69% | 0.0084 | -32.15% | 0.1467 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-14 | in | 0.01074 | 0.009534 | -11.23% | 0.00752 | -29.98% | 0.1953 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-13 | in | 0.00983 | 0.008877 | -9.69% | 0.00682 | -30.62% | 0.2269 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-12 | in | 0.01099 | 0.009849 | -10.38% | 0.00766 | -30.30% | 0.2244 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-11 | in | 0.01188 | 0.010353 | -12.86% | 0.01118 | -5.89% | 0.0873 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-10 | in | 0.00939 | 0.009112 | -2.96% | 0.01372 | +46.11% | 0.3158 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-09 | in | 0.00936 | 0.009018 | -3.65% | 0.01609 | +71.90% | 0.4926 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-08 | in | 0.01153 | 0.010453 | -9.34% | 0.01238 | +7.37% | 0.1373 | ✗ | 1.00 |