MOE

MOE · Mantle · gru_s6

token id: #827
symbol: MOE
variant: –
chain: Mantle
address: 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-29
predictions: 399

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

131

of 133 predictions shown

direction hit

60.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1028

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0120

actual -0.0274

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003449	0.000342175	-0.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003632	0.000360078	-0.86%	0.0003449	-5.04%	0.0401	✓	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.00035745	0.000354091	-0.94%	0.0003632	+1.61%	0.0120	✗	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004181	0.00041367	-1.06%	0.00035745	-14.51%	0.1440	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043585	0.000430244	-1.29%	0.0004181	-4.07%	0.0363	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.0004583	0.000450778	-1.64%	0.00043585	-4.90%	0.0322	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.0004529	0.000443726	-2.03%	0.0004583	+1.19%	0.0399	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.0004537	0.000443631	-2.22%	0.0004529	-0.18%	0.0139	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.00055985	0.000547135	-2.27%	0.0004537	-18.96%	0.1686	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.0006665	0.000649844	-2.50%	0.00055985	-16.00%	0.1656	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.000703	0.000684718	-2.60%	0.0006665	-5.19%	0.0036	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.00031	0.000310411	+0.13%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2025-04-07	in	0.000317	0.000316979	-0.01%	0.00031	-2.21%	0.0564	✗	2.12
2025-04-06	in	0.0003192	0.00031902	-0.06%	0.000317	-0.69%	0.0269	✓	2.11
2025-04-05	in	0.0003977	0.000395957	-0.44%	0.0003192	-19.74%	0.0804	✓	2.13
2025-04-04	in	0.0004024	0.000400927	-0.37%	0.0003977	-1.17%	0.0012	✓	2.14
2025-04-03	in	0.0003984	0.000396658	-0.44%	0.0004024	+1.00%	0.0032	✓	2.14
2025-04-02	in	0.000448	0.000445891	-0.47%	0.0003984	-11.07%	0.1308	✓	2.20
2025-04-01	in	0.0004932	0.00049032	-0.58%	0.000448	-9.16%	0.0166	✓	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.0004862	0.000483494	-0.56%	0.0004932	+1.44%	0.0530	✓	2.32
2025-03-30	in	0.0004699	0.00046757	-0.50%	0.0004862	+3.47%	0.0347	✗	2.31
2025-03-29	in	0.0004657	0.00046337	-0.50%	0.0004699	+0.90%	0.0205	✗	2.28
2025-03-28	in	0.0005013	0.000498041	-0.65%	0.0004657	-7.10%	0.0176	✓	2.34
2025-03-27	in	0.0005423	0.000537449	-0.89%	0.0005013	-7.56%	0.0098	✗	2.40
2025-03-26	in	0.0005207	0.00051399	-1.29%	0.0005423	+4.15%	0.0460	✗	2.28
2025-03-25	in	0.0005439	0.000538708	-0.95%	0.0005207	-4.27%	0.0208	✓	2.30
2025-03-24	in	0.0005511	0.000545793	-0.96%	0.0005439	-1.31%	0.0010	✓	2.29
2025-03-23	in	0.0005092	0.000504643	-0.89%	0.0005511	+8.23%	0.0513	✗	2.23
2025-03-22	in	0.0005002	0.000495896	-0.86%	0.0005092	+1.80%	0.0322	✓	2.23
2025-03-21	in	0.0004994	0.000495049	-0.87%	0.0005002	+0.16%	0.0158	✗	2.17
2025-03-20	in	0.00055	0.000543075	-1.26%	0.0004994	-9.20%	0.0807	✓	2.16
2025-03-19	in	0.000542	0.0005359	-1.13%	0.00055	+1.48%	0.0953	✗	2.20
2025-03-18	in	0.0004988	0.000495331	-0.70%	0.000542	+8.66%	0.0242	✓	2.32
2025-03-17	in	0.00051	0.000506358	-0.71%	0.0004988	-2.20%	0.0221	✗	2.36
2025-03-16	in	0.0005015	0.000498228	-0.65%	0.00051	+1.69%	0.0176	✓	2.35
2025-03-15	in	0.0005216	0.000516936	-0.89%	0.0005015	-3.85%	0.0219	✗	2.43
2025-03-14	in	0.0005378	0.00053086	-1.29%	0.0005216	-3.01%	0.0285	✓	2.48
2025-03-13	in	0.0004904	0.000489109	-0.26%	0.0005378	+9.67%	0.0080	✗	2.47
2025-03-12	in	0.0005142	0.000512269	-0.38%	0.0004904	-4.63%	0.0337	✗	2.46
2025-03-11	in	0.0005339	0.000532069	-0.34%	0.0005142	-3.69%	0.0563	✓	2.47
2025-03-10	in	0.0004858	0.000487184	+0.28%	0.0005339	+9.90%	0.0488	✗	2.59
2025-03-09	in	0.00057	0.000568441	-0.27%	0.0004858	-14.77%	0.0877	✓	2.56
2025-03-08	in	0.0005902	0.000586977	-0.55%	0.00057	-3.42%	0.1543	✗	2.78
2025-03-07	in	0.0006199	0.000616211	-0.60%	0.0005902	-4.79%	0.0251	✓	2.84
2025-03-06	in	0.0006305	0.00062608	-0.70%	0.0006199	-1.68%	0.0938	✗	2.89
2025-03-05	in	0.0006211	0.000617429	-0.59%	0.0006305	+1.51%	0.0425	✗	2.86
2025-03-04	in	0.0006649	0.000660761	-0.62%	0.0006211	-6.59%	0.1720	✓	2.92
2025-03-03	in	0.0006283	0.000627398	-0.14%	0.0006649	+5.83%	0.0243	✗	2.69
2025-03-02	in	0.0008278	0.000807762	-2.42%	0.0006283	-24.10%	0.0099	✓	2.68
2025-03-01	in	0.00068	0.000678294	-0.25%	0.0008278	+21.74%	0.0446	✓	2.66
2025-02-28	in	0.00071	0.000708684	-0.19%	0.00068	-4.23%	0.0980	✓	2.81
2025-02-27	in	0.0005911	0.000595244	+0.70%	0.00071	+20.12%	0.1873	✓	2.84
2025-02-26	in	0.000648	0.00065133	+0.51%	0.0005911	-8.78%	0.1144	✗	2.86
2025-02-25	in	0.0005906	0.000594921	+0.73%	0.000648	+9.72%	0.2503	✓	3.18
2025-02-24	in	0.0006898	0.000692068	+0.33%	0.0005906	-14.38%	0.0556	✗	3.17
2025-02-23	in	0.0007556	0.000754419	-0.16%	0.0006898	-8.71%	0.0775	✗	3.30
2025-02-22	in	0.00079	0.000788695	-0.17%	0.0007556	-4.35%	0.0321	✓	3.30
2025-02-21	in	0.000801	0.000800781	-0.03%	0.00079	-1.37%	0.0281	✓	3.30
2025-02-20	in	0.00082	0.000818518	-0.18%	0.000801	-2.32%	0.0538	✗	3.35
2025-02-19	in	0.00068	0.00068479	+0.70%	0.00082	+20.59%	0.1226	✓	3.27
2025-02-18	in	0.0006437	0.000650643	+1.08%	0.00068	+5.64%	0.0094	✓	3.26
2025-02-17	in	0.00069	0.000696995	+1.01%	0.0006437	-6.71%	0.0736	✗	3.25
2025-02-16	in	0.00074	0.000746952	+0.94%	0.00069	-6.76%	0.0679	✗	3.25
2025-02-15	in	0.00071	0.000716821	+0.96%	0.00074	+4.23%	0.0822	✓	3.30
2025-02-14	in	0.00081	0.000818847	+1.09%	0.00071	-12.35%	0.1456	✗	3.31
2025-02-13	in	0.00089	0.000899596	+1.08%	0.00081	-8.99%	0.1352	✗	3.33
2025-02-12	in	0.00109	0.001096	+0.59%	0.00089	-18.35%	0.1668	✗	3.28
2025-02-11	in	0.00141	0.001409	-0.08%	0.00109	-22.70%	0.3313	✓	3.46
2025-02-10	in	0.00137	0.001369	-0.11%	0.00141	+2.92%	0.0907	✗	3.52
2025-02-09	in	0.00155	0.001546	-0.28%	0.00137	-11.61%	0.1561	✓	3.55
2025-02-08	in	0.00157	0.001566	-0.26%	0.00155	-1.27%	0.0102	✓	3.55
2025-02-07	in	0.00147	0.00147	-0.00%	0.00157	+6.80%	0.0681	✗	3.56
2025-02-06	in	0.0016	0.001598	-0.14%	0.00147	-8.13%	0.0823	✓	3.56
2025-02-05	in	0.00144	0.001441	+0.05%	0.0016	+11.11%	0.1076	✓	3.56
2025-02-04	in	0.00134	0.00134	+0.02%	0.00144	+7.46%	0.1147	✓	3.61
2025-02-03	in	0.00176	0.001743	-0.95%	0.00134	-23.86%	0.1347	✓	3.49
2025-02-02	in	0.00141	0.001403	-0.49%	0.00176	+24.82%	0.0993	✗	3.35
2025-02-01	in	0.00172	0.001707	-0.78%	0.00141	-18.02%	0.0931	✓	3.29
2025-01-31	in	0.00205	0.002029	-1.04%	0.00172	-16.10%	0.1080	✓	3.24
2025-01-30	in	0.0024	0.002365	-1.47%	0.00205	-14.58%	0.0708	✓	3.20
2025-01-29	in	0.0025	0.002465	-1.39%	0.0024	-4.00%	0.0574	✓	3.21
2025-01-28	in	0.00234	0.002317	-0.98%	0.0025	+6.84%	0.0007	✓	3.20
2025-01-27	in	0.00272	0.002696	-0.87%	0.00234	-13.97%	0.1176	✓	3.17
2025-01-26	in	0.0031	0.003076	-0.76%	0.00272	-12.26%	0.1077	✓	3.15
2025-01-25	in	0.00411	0.004061	-1.19%	0.0031	-24.57%	0.2069	✓	3.02
2025-01-24	in	0.00459	0.004529	-1.34%	0.00411	-10.46%	0.0936	✓	3.01
2025-01-23	in	0.00502	0.004958	-1.23%	0.00459	-8.57%	0.1040	✓	3.03
2025-01-22	in	0.00639	0.006256	-2.09%	0.00502	-21.44%	0.2278	✓	3.04
2025-01-21	in	0.00663	0.006431	-3.00%	0.00639	-3.62%	0.0670	✗	3.09
2025-01-20	in	0.00488	0.004807	-1.50%	0.00663	+35.86%	0.2132	✗	2.81
2025-01-19	in	0.00512	0.005038	-1.60%	0.00488	-4.69%	0.0578	✓	2.83
2025-01-18	in	0.0073	0.007134	-2.28%	0.00512	-29.86%	0.2524	✓	2.53
2025-01-17	in	0.00945	0.009207	-2.57%	0.0073	-22.75%	0.2401	✓	2.55
2025-01-16	in	0.01091	0.01062	-2.66%	0.00945	-13.38%	0.2348	✓	2.92
2025-01-15	in	0.01372	0.013273	-3.26%	0.01091	-20.48%	0.1809	✓	2.87
2025-01-14	in	0.01037	0.010111	-2.50%	0.01372	+32.30%	0.2008	✗	2.59
2025-01-13	in	0.01316	0.012842	-2.41%	0.01037	-21.20%	0.2746	✓	2.86
2025-01-12	in	0.01678	0.016342	-2.61%	0.01316	-21.57%	0.2165	✓	2.87
2025-01-11	in	0.01601	0.015625	-2.41%	0.01678	+4.81%	0.0730	✗	2.87
2025-01-10	in	0.01991	0.019344	-2.84%	0.01601	-19.59%	0.1851	✓	2.86
2025-01-09	in	0.02065	0.019997	-3.16%	0.01991	-3.58%	0.0731	✓	2.99
2025-01-08	in	0.01796	0.017518	-2.46%	0.02065	+14.98%	0.2501	✗	3.23
2025-01-07	in	0.02282	0.022182	-2.80%	0.01796	-21.30%	0.1504	✓	3.06
2025-01-06	in	0.02644	0.025401	-3.93%	0.02282	-13.69%	0.0567	✗	3.06
2025-01-05	in	0.02288	0.022007	-3.82%	0.02644	+15.56%	0.0644	✗	3.04
2025-01-04	in	0.02024	0.019526	-3.53%	0.02288	+13.04%	0.1543	✗	3.03
2025-01-03	in	0.02086	0.019763	-5.26%	0.02024	-2.97%	0.0216	✓	3.03
2025-01-02	in	0.0165	0.015724	-4.70%	0.02086	+26.42%	0.2460	✗	2.90
2025-01-01	in	0.01285	0.012466	-2.99%	0.0165	+28.40%	0.2114	✗	2.62
2024-12-31	in	0.01281	0.0124	-3.20%	0.01285	+0.31%	0.0067	✓	2.64
2024-12-30	in	0.01329	0.012805	-3.65%	0.01281	-3.61%	0.0207	✓	2.68
2024-12-29	in	0.0112	0.010897	-2.71%	0.01329	+18.66%	0.2267	✗	2.78
2024-12-28	in	0.01553	0.014711	-5.27%	0.0112	-27.88%	0.2561	✓	1.00
2024-12-27	in	0.01222	0.011623	-4.89%	0.01553	+27.09%	0.2797	✗	1.00
2024-12-26	in	0.0079	0.007843	-0.72%	0.01222	+54.68%	0.4592	✗	1.00
2024-12-25	in	0.00906	0.008906	-1.70%	0.0079	-12.80%	0.0821	✓	1.00
2024-12-24	in	0.00997	0.009751	-2.20%	0.00906	-9.13%	0.0811	✓	1.00
2024-12-23	in	0.01	0.009805	-1.95%	0.00997	-0.30%	0.0229	✓	1.00
2024-12-22	in	0.0084	0.008335	-0.77%	0.01	+19.05%	0.1855	✗	1.00
2024-12-21	in	0.00752	0.007488	-0.42%	0.0084	+11.70%	0.1372	✗	1.00
2024-12-20	in	0.00682	0.006798	-0.32%	0.00752	+10.26%	0.1064	✗	1.00
2024-12-19	in	0.00766	0.007624	-0.47%	0.00682	-10.97%	0.1155	✓	1.00
2024-12-18	in	0.01118	0.011019	-1.44%	0.00766	-31.48%	0.3355	✓	1.00
2024-12-17	in	0.01372	0.013475	-1.78%	0.01118	-18.51%	0.1287	✓	1.00
2024-12-16	in	0.01609	0.015502	-3.65%	0.01372	-14.73%	0.1225	✓	1.00
2024-12-15	in	0.01238	0.012163	-1.75%	0.01609	+29.97%	0.2641	✗	1.00
2024-12-14	in	0.01074	0.0106	-1.30%	0.01238	+15.27%	0.1256	✗	1.00
2024-12-13	in	0.00983	0.009738	-0.93%	0.01074	+9.26%	0.0982	✗	1.00
2024-12-12	in	0.01099	0.010879	-1.01%	0.00983	-10.56%	0.1153	✓	1.00
2024-12-11	in	0.01188	0.011702	-1.49%	0.01099	-7.49%	0.0512	✓	1.00
2024-12-10	in	0.00939	0.009328	-0.66%	0.01188	+26.52%	0.1959	✗	1.00
2024-12-09	in	0.00936	0.009302	-0.62%	0.00939	+0.32%	0.0162	✗	1.00
2024-12-08	in	0.01153	0.011421	-0.94%	0.00936	-18.82%	0.1602	✓	1.00