MOE
MOE · Mantle · gru_s6
- token id
- #827
- symbol
- MOE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Mantle
- address
- 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2024-11-29
- predictions
- 402
Track record at +30d
assessed
92
of 134 predictions shown
direction hit
84.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.8097
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.2377
actual -0.8731
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.000324 | 0.000216354 | -33.22% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0003162 | 0.000211676 | -33.06% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0003632 | 0.000224737 | -38.12% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00035745 | 0.000226856 | -36.53% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0004181 | 0.0001896 | -54.65% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00043585 | 0.000167644 | -61.54% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.0004583 | 0.000142708 | -68.86% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0004529 | 0.000126071 | -72.16% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.0004537 | 0.000116809 | -74.25% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.00055985 | 0.000106356 | -81.00% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.0006665 | 0.000120276 | -81.95% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.000703 | 0.000117117 | -83.34% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-08 | in | 0.00031 | 0.000301949 | -2.60% | – | pending | – | – | 2.03 |
| 2025-04-07 | in | 0.000317 | 0.000305818 | -3.53% | – | pending | – | – | 2.12 |
| 2025-04-06 | in | 0.0003192 | 0.000309091 | -3.17% | – | pending | – | – | 2.11 |
| 2025-04-05 | in | 0.0003977 | 0.000370436 | -6.86% | – | pending | – | – | 2.13 |
| 2025-04-04 | in | 0.0004024 | 0.000374039 | -7.05% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-03 | in | 0.0003984 | 0.000369633 | -7.22% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-02 | in | 0.000448 | 0.000412129 | -8.01% | – | pending | – | – | 2.20 |
| 2025-04-01 | in | 0.0004932 | 0.000446765 | -9.41% | – | pending | – | – | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-31 | in | 0.0004862 | 0.000440451 | -9.41% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-30 | in | 0.0004699 | 0.000425472 | -9.45% | – | pending | – | – | 2.31 |
| 2025-03-29 | in | 0.0004657 | 0.000421189 | -9.56% | – | pending | – | – | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-28 | in | 0.0005013 | 0.000449024 | -10.43% | – | pending | – | – | 2.34 |
| 2025-03-27 | in | 0.0005423 | 0.000482367 | -11.05% | – | pending | – | – | 2.40 |
| 2025-03-26 | in | 0.0005207 | 0.000465517 | -10.60% | – | pending | – | – | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-25 | in | 0.0005439 | 0.00048378 | -11.05% | – | pending | – | – | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-24 | in | 0.0005511 | 0.000486341 | -11.75% | – | pending | – | – | 2.29 |
| 2025-03-23 | in | 0.0005092 | 0.000450875 | -11.45% | – | pending | – | – | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-22 | in | 0.0005002 | 0.000432502 | -13.53% | – | pending | – | – | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-21 | in | 0.0004994 | 0.000431857 | -13.52% | – | pending | – | – | 2.17 |
| 2025-03-20 | in | 0.00055 | 0.000471107 | -14.34% | – | pending | – | – | 2.16 |
| 2025-03-19 | in | 0.000542 | 0.000468011 | -13.65% | – | pending | – | – | 2.20 |
| 2025-03-18 | in | 0.0004988 | 0.000432725 | -13.25% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-17 | in | 0.00051 | 0.000437899 | -14.14% | – | pending | – | – | 2.36 |
| 2025-03-16 | in | 0.0005015 | 0.00043104 | -14.05% | – | pending | – | – | 2.35 |
| 2025-03-15 | in | 0.0005216 | 0.000446979 | -14.31% | – | pending | – | – | 2.43 |
| 2025-03-14 | in | 0.0005378 | 0.000459373 | -14.58% | – | pending | – | – | 2.48 |
| 2025-03-13 | in | 0.0004904 | 0.000427381 | -12.85% | – | pending | – | – | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-12 | in | 0.0005142 | 0.000441964 | -14.05% | – | pending | – | – | 2.46 |
| 2025-03-11 | in | 0.0005339 | 0.000453256 | -15.10% | – | pending | – | – | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-10 | in | 0.0004858 | 0.000418092 | -13.94% | – | pending | – | – | 2.59 |
| 2025-03-09 | in | 0.00057 | 0.000472856 | -17.04% | 0.00031 | -45.61% | 0.2768 | ✓ | 2.56 |
| 2025-03-08 | in | 0.0005902 | 0.000490437 | -16.90% | 0.000317 | -46.29% | 0.1985 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2025-03-07 | in | 0.0006199 | 0.000504139 | -18.67% | 0.0003192 | -48.51% | 0.1685 | ✓ | 2.84 |
| 2025-03-06 | in | 0.0006305 | 0.000515408 | -18.25% | 0.0003977 | -36.92% | 0.0447 | ✓ | 2.89 |
| 2025-03-05 | in | 0.0006211 | 0.0005053 | -18.64% | 0.0004024 | -35.21% | 0.0069 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-03-04 | in | 0.0006649 | 0.000539788 | -18.82% | 0.0003984 | -40.08% | 0.1640 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-03-03 | in | 0.0006283 | 0.000517472 | -17.64% | 0.000448 | -28.70% | 0.0272 | ✓ | 2.69 |
| 2025-03-02 | in | 0.0008278 | 0.000673111 | -18.69% | 0.0004932 | -40.42% | 0.0386 | ✓ | 2.68 |
| 2025-03-01 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000575464 | -15.37% | 0.0004862 | -28.50% | 0.0585 | ✓ | 2.66 |
| 2025-02-28 | in | 0.00071 | 0.000599904 | -15.51% | 0.0004699 | -33.82% | 0.1797 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-02-27 | in | 0.0005911 | 0.000522971 | -11.53% | 0.0004657 | -21.21% | 0.0477 | ✓ | 2.84 |
| 2025-02-26 | in | 0.000648 | 0.000567192 | -12.47% | 0.0005013 | -22.64% | 0.1326 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-02-25 | in | 0.0005906 | 0.000527585 | -10.67% | 0.0005423 | -8.18% | 0.0770 | ✓ | 3.18 |
| 2025-02-24 | in | 0.0006898 | 0.000601704 | -12.77% | 0.0005207 | -24.51% | 0.0182 | ✓ | 3.17 |
| 2025-02-23 | in | 0.0007556 | 0.00065429 | -13.41% | 0.0005439 | -28.02% | 0.1329 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-22 | in | 0.00079 | 0.000682957 | -13.55% | 0.0005511 | -30.24% | 0.1103 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-21 | in | 0.000801 | 0.000694977 | -13.24% | 0.0005092 | -36.43% | 0.0536 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-20 | in | 0.00082 | 0.000715048 | -12.80% | 0.0005002 | -39.00% | 0.1764 | ✗ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-19 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000625316 | -8.04% | 0.0004994 | -26.56% | 0.2310 | ✗ | 3.27 |
| 2025-02-18 | in | 0.0006437 | 0.000607818 | -5.57% | 0.00055 | -14.56% | 0.3143 | ✗ | 3.26 |
| 2025-02-17 | in | 0.00069 | 0.000650979 | -5.66% | 0.000542 | -21.45% | 0.1343 | ✗ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-16 | in | 0.00074 | 0.000698307 | -5.63% | 0.0004988 | -32.59% | 0.1526 | ✗ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-15 | in | 0.00071 | 0.000685954 | -3.39% | 0.00051 | -28.17% | 0.1988 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-14 | in | 0.00081 | 0.000782282 | -3.42% | 0.0005015 | -38.09% | 0.1055 | ✗ | 3.31 |
| 2025-02-13 | in | 0.00089 | 0.000861345 | -3.22% | 0.0005216 | -41.39% | 0.0494 | ✓ | 3.33 |
| 2025-02-12 | in | 0.00109 | 0.001027 | -5.81% | 0.0005378 | -50.66% | 0.1441 | ✓ | 3.28 |
| 2025-02-11 | in | 0.00141 | 0.001266 | -10.22% | 0.0004904 | -65.22% | 0.3714 | ✓ | 3.46 |
| 2025-02-10 | in | 0.00137 | 0.001239 | -9.53% | 0.0005142 | -62.47% | 0.3432 | ✓ | 3.52 |
| 2025-02-09 | in | 0.00155 | 0.001368 | -11.75% | 0.0005339 | -65.55% | 0.4025 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-08 | in | 0.00157 | 0.001385 | -11.76% | 0.0004858 | -69.06% | 0.3171 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-07 | in | 0.00147 | 0.001324 | -9.93% | 0.00057 | -61.22% | 0.2057 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-06 | in | 0.0016 | 0.001413 | -11.67% | 0.0005902 | -63.11% | 0.4698 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-05 | in | 0.00144 | 0.001315 | -8.65% | 0.0006199 | -56.95% | 0.3686 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-04 | in | 0.00134 | 0.001247 | -6.96% | 0.0006305 | -52.95% | 0.3791 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2025-02-03 | in | 0.00176 | 0.001526 | -13.31% | 0.0006211 | -64.71% | 0.5037 | ✓ | 3.49 |
| 2025-02-02 | in | 0.00141 | 0.001315 | -6.72% | 0.0006649 | -52.84% | 0.3038 | ✓ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-01 | in | 0.00172 | 0.001552 | -9.78% | 0.0006283 | -63.47% | 0.3935 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-01-31 | in | 0.00205 | 0.001834 | -10.53% | 0.0008278 | -59.62% | 0.5270 | ✓ | 3.24 |
| 2025-01-30 | in | 0.0024 | 0.002107 | -12.23% | 0.00068 | -71.67% | 0.5004 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-29 | in | 0.0025 | 0.002199 | -12.02% | 0.00071 | -71.60% | 0.4639 | ✓ | 3.21 |
| 2025-01-28 | in | 0.00234 | 0.002112 | -9.74% | 0.0005911 | -74.74% | 0.6987 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-27 | in | 0.00272 | 0.002412 | -11.32% | 0.000648 | -76.18% | 0.7010 | ✓ | 3.17 |
| 2025-01-26 | in | 0.0031 | 0.002634 | -15.05% | 0.0005906 | -80.95% | 1.0327 | ✓ | 3.15 |
| 2025-01-25 | in | 0.00411 | 0.003102 | -24.52% | 0.0006898 | -83.22% | 1.0965 | ✓ | 3.02 |
| 2025-01-24 | in | 0.00459 | 0.00326 | -28.98% | 0.0007556 | -83.54% | 1.2049 | ✓ | 3.01 |
| 2025-01-23 | in | 0.00502 | 0.003355 | -33.16% | 0.00079 | -84.26% | 1.2240 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-22 | in | 0.00639 | 0.00382 | -40.23% | 0.000801 | -87.46% | 1.3332 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-21 | in | 0.00663 | 0.003606 | -45.61% | 0.00082 | -87.63% | 1.2451 | ✓ | 3.09 |
| 2025-01-20 | in | 0.00488 | 0.003158 | -35.29% | 0.00068 | -86.07% | 1.3795 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-01-19 | in | 0.00512 | 0.003365 | -34.28% | 0.0006437 | -87.43% | 1.4928 | ✓ | 2.83 |
| 2025-01-18 | in | 0.0073 | 0.00469 | -35.75% | 0.00069 | -90.55% | 1.6978 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2025-01-17 | in | 0.00945 | 0.006174 | -34.67% | 0.00074 | -92.17% | 1.9182 | ✓ | 2.55 |
| 2025-01-16 | in | 0.01091 | 0.00717 | -34.28% | 0.00071 | -93.49% | 2.2419 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-01-15 | in | 0.01372 | 0.008964 | -34.67% | 0.00081 | -94.10% | 2.3169 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-14 | in | 0.01037 | 0.007227 | -30.31% | 0.00089 | -91.42% | 2.0967 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2025-01-13 | in | 0.01316 | 0.009714 | -26.19% | 0.00109 | -91.72% | 2.2873 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-12 | in | 0.01678 | 0.012361 | -26.33% | 0.00141 | -91.60% | 2.2091 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-11 | in | 0.01601 | 0.011588 | -27.62% | 0.00137 | -91.44% | 2.2212 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-10 | in | 0.01991 | 0.014297 | -28.19% | 0.00155 | -92.21% | 2.2749 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-09 | in | 0.02065 | 0.015012 | -27.30% | 0.00157 | -92.40% | 2.3820 | ✓ | 2.99 |
| 2025-01-08 | in | 0.01796 | 0.012305 | -31.48% | 0.00147 | -91.82% | 2.1753 | ✓ | 3.23 |
| 2025-01-07 | in | 0.02282 | 0.015306 | -32.93% | 0.0016 | -92.99% | 2.2464 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-06 | in | 0.02644 | 0.01838 | -30.48% | 0.00144 | -94.55% | 2.3732 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-05 | in | 0.02288 | 0.015209 | -33.53% | 0.00134 | -94.14% | 2.4122 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-04 | in | 0.02024 | 0.013276 | -34.41% | 0.00176 | -91.30% | 2.1193 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-03 | in | 0.02086 | 0.013375 | -35.88% | 0.00141 | -93.24% | 2.2355 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-02 | in | 0.0165 | 0.010497 | -36.38% | 0.00172 | -89.58% | 1.9179 | ✓ | 2.90 |
| 2025-01-01 | in | 0.01285 | 0.00881 | -31.44% | 0.00205 | -84.05% | 1.6718 | ✓ | 2.62 |
| 2024-12-31 | in | 0.01281 | 0.008818 | -31.16% | 0.0024 | -81.26% | 1.6053 | ✓ | 2.64 |
| 2024-12-30 | in | 0.01329 | 0.009193 | -30.83% | 0.0025 | -81.19% | 1.6059 | ✓ | 2.68 |
| 2024-12-29 | in | 0.0112 | 0.007699 | -31.26% | 0.00234 | -79.11% | 1.4117 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2024-12-28 | in | 0.01553 | 0.009972 | -35.79% | 0.00272 | -82.49% | 1.3695 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-27 | in | 0.01222 | 0.008233 | -32.63% | 0.0031 | -74.63% | 1.0621 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-26 | in | 0.0079 | 0.006091 | -22.90% | 0.00411 | -47.97% | 0.4839 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-25 | in | 0.00906 | 0.006917 | -23.65% | 0.00459 | -49.34% | 0.4640 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-24 | in | 0.00997 | 0.007485 | -24.93% | 0.00502 | -49.65% | 0.4521 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-23 | in | 0.01 | 0.007497 | -25.03% | 0.00639 | -36.10% | 0.2496 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-22 | in | 0.0084 | 0.006581 | -21.66% | 0.00663 | -21.07% | 0.1027 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-21 | in | 0.00752 | 0.006011 | -20.07% | 0.00488 | -35.11% | 0.2577 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-20 | in | 0.00682 | 0.005563 | -18.43% | 0.00512 | -24.93% | 0.1176 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-19 | in | 0.00766 | 0.006249 | -18.42% | 0.0073 | -4.70% | 0.0854 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-18 | in | 0.01118 | 0.008742 | -21.80% | 0.00945 | -15.47% | 0.0391 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-17 | in | 0.01372 | 0.010287 | -25.02% | 0.01091 | -20.48% | 0.1186 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-16 | in | 0.01609 | 0.011868 | -26.24% | 0.01372 | -14.73% | 0.1991 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-15 | in | 0.01238 | 0.009384 | -24.20% | 0.01037 | -16.24% | 0.1787 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-14 | in | 0.01074 | 0.008492 | -20.93% | 0.01316 | +22.53% | 0.5085 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-13 | in | 0.00983 | 0.007929 | -19.34% | 0.01678 | +70.70% | 0.8203 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-12 | in | 0.01099 | 0.008643 | -21.35% | 0.01601 | +45.68% | 0.6726 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-11 | in | 0.01188 | 0.009055 | -23.78% | 0.01991 | +67.59% | 0.8543 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-10 | in | 0.00939 | 0.007809 | -16.84% | 0.02065 | +119.91% | 1.0160 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-09 | in | 0.00936 | 0.00777 | -16.99% | 0.01796 | +91.88% | 0.8617 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-08 | in | 0.01153 | 0.009118 | -20.92% | 0.02282 | +97.92% | 0.9601 | ✗ | 1.00 |