MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · gru_s6

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 138

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 46 predictions shown

direction hit

69.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3447

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0266

actual -0.2757

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.003037	0.002661	-12.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-21	oos	0.002985	0.00257	-13.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.001698	-5.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.001818	-6.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.001701	-4.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.001954	-6.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.002173	-7.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.002222	-8.30%	0.003037	+25.32%	0.2885	✗	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.002104	-6.60%	0.002985	+32.51%	0.3228	✗	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.001946	-4.76%	0.0018	-11.92%	0.0760	✓	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.002049	-4.92%	0.001942	-9.86%	0.0547	✓	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.001792	-2.03%	0.001786	-2.38%	0.0266	✗	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.001802	-1.49%	0.002094	+14.49%	0.1777	✗	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001826	-1.24%	0.002361	+27.75%	0.2760	✗	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.002053	-2.49%	0.002423	+15.11%	0.1579	✗	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.002307	-4.37%	0.002253	-6.59%	0.0066	✓	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.002276	-4.36%	0.002043	-14.16%	0.0601	✓	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002687	-6.61%	0.002155	-25.11%	0.1434	✓	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.002243	-3.58%	0.001829	-21.36%	0.1426	✓	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.001692	-1.50%	0.001829	+6.46%	0.1087	✗	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.001646	-2.27%	0.001849	+9.74%	0.1490	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.00163	-3.45%	0.002105	+24.70%	0.3108	✗	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.002424	+1.43%	0.002412	+0.92%	0.0008	✓	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.003137	+1.36%	0.00238	-23.09%	0.3140	✗	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003637	+0.05%	0.002877	-20.86%	0.2803	✗	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003659	-0.29%	0.002327	-36.61%	0.4768	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.004418	-3.21%	0.001718	-62.36%	0.9483	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.004734	-4.20%	0.001685	-65.91%	1.0382	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.004387	-2.40%	0.001688	-62.45%	0.9606	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.004475	-2.45%	0.00239	-47.90%	0.6174	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.004663	-3.70%	0.003095	-36.09%	0.3798	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.005074	-5.13%	0.003635	-32.02%	0.2965	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.00442	-1.01%	0.00367	-17.81%	0.2258	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.004223	-1.07%	0.004564	+6.91%	0.0392	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.005523	-1.42%	0.004941	-11.81%	0.1504	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.005507	-0.04%	0.004495	-18.41%	0.3031	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004284	-1.37%	0.004587	+5.59%	0.0344	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.005914	-0.13%	0.004842	-18.24%	0.3314	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.008357	-2.23%	0.005348	-37.43%	0.5486	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.006165	-1.94%	0.004465	-28.97%	0.3778	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.008189	-2.56%	0.004269	-49.20%	0.7015	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.006091	-4.24%	0.005603	-11.92%	0.1300	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.008138	-3.72%	0.005509	-34.83%	0.3877	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.010177	-2.94%	0.004344	-58.57%	0.8237	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.017614	-1.35%	0.005922	-66.83%	1.0528	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.017802	-1.13%	0.008547	-52.53%	0.7221	✓	1.00