MICRODUCK
microduck · Robinhood · gru_s6
- token id
- #784
- symbol
- MICRODUCK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-29
- predictions
- 135
Track record at +30d
assessed
15
of 45 predictions shown
direction hit
100.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
1.1649
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1351
actual -1.3000
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001936 | 0.001614 | -16.65% | – | pending | – | – | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0018 | 0.001521 | -15.47% | – | pending | – | – | 0.84 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001942 | 0.001622 | -16.49% | – | pending | – | – | 0.88 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001786 | 0.001519 | -14.97% | – | pending | – | – | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002094 | 0.00173 | -17.40% | – | pending | – | – | 0.95 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002361 | 0.001906 | -19.30% | – | pending | – | – | 0.94 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.002423 | 0.001935 | -20.12% | – | pending | – | – | 0.95 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002253 | 0.001833 | -18.64% | – | pending | – | – | 0.91 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.002043 | 0.001691 | -17.24% | – | pending | – | – | 1.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.002155 | 0.001773 | -17.70% | – | pending | – | – | 1.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.001829 | 0.001551 | -15.23% | – | pending | – | – | 1.50 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.001829 | 0.001556 | -14.95% | – | pending | – | – | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.001849 | 0.001573 | -14.93% | – | pending | – | – | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.002105 | 0.001759 | -16.45% | – | pending | – | – | 1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.002412 | 0.001961 | -18.68% | – | pending | – | – | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00238 | 0.001928 | -19.01% | – | pending | – | – | 1.66 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.002877 | 0.002262 | -21.39% | – | pending | – | – | 1.62 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.002327 | 0.001891 | -18.74% | – | pending | – | – | 1.84 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.001718 | 0.001444 | -15.94% | – | pending | – | – | 1.42 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.001685 | 0.001411 | -16.22% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.001688 | 0.001406 | -16.70% | – | pending | – | – | 1.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.002092 | -12.47% | – | pending | – | – | 1.73 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.003095 | 0.002705 | -12.60% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.003635 | 0.003129 | -13.94% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00367 | 0.003158 | -13.95% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.004564 | 0.003785 | -17.07% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.004941 | 0.004042 | -18.21% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.004495 | 0.003764 | -16.27% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.004587 | 0.003841 | -16.27% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.004842 | 0.004005 | -17.29% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.005348 | 0.004344 | -18.77% | 0.001936 | -63.80% | 0.7622 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.004465 | 0.00381 | -14.67% | 0.0018 | -59.70% | 0.7717 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.004269 | 0.003671 | -14.02% | 0.001942 | -54.51% | 0.6441 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.005603 | 0.00477 | -14.86% | 0.001786 | -68.12% | 0.9963 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.005509 | 0.004751 | -13.76% | 0.002094 | -61.99% | 0.8831 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.004344 | 0.003739 | -13.94% | 0.002361 | -45.64% | 0.5274 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.005922 | 0.00516 | -12.87% | 0.002423 | -59.08% | 0.8389 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.008547 | 0.007313 | -14.43% | 0.002253 | -73.64% | 1.2199 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006287 | 0.005454 | -13.25% | 0.002043 | -67.50% | 1.0608 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.008404 | 0.00729 | -13.26% | 0.002155 | -74.36% | 1.2753 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006361 | 0.005486 | -13.76% | 0.001829 | -71.24% | 1.1787 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.008453 | 0.007414 | -12.29% | 0.001829 | -78.36% | 1.4797 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.010485 | 0.009514 | -9.26% | 0.001849 | -82.37% | 1.6914 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.017855 | 0.016929 | -5.19% | 0.002105 | -88.21% | 2.1252 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.018005 | 0.017246 | -4.22% | 0.002412 | -86.60% | 2.0187 | ✓ | 1.00 |