META2

META2 · · gru_s6

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 231

Track record at +7d

assessed

70

of 77 predictions shown

direction hit

48.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.7750

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.4767

actual -0.0593

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	16.221	15.6552	-3.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-21	oos	17.9865	17.0925	-4.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	16.8765	-4.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	16.82	-4.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	16.7546	-5.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	16.8603	-5.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	16.6295	-5.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	16.5316	-6.84%	16.221	-8.59%	0.0483	✓	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	16.5732	-6.52%	17.9865	+1.45%	0.0474	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	16.5013	-7.66%	17.747	-0.69%	0.0752	✓	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	16.5465	-7.84%	17.6365	-1.77%	0.0624	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	16.5624	-8.54%	17.677	-2.38%	0.0906	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	16.3548	-9.72%	17.826	-1.60%	0.1094	✗	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	16.1091	-9.94%	17.685	-1.13%	0.1093	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	16.0738	-10.05%	17.746	-0.69%	0.0924	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	16.1008	-11.14%	17.73	-2.15%	0.1232	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	16.049	-11.41%	17.87	-1.36%	0.1477	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	16.2774	-10.48%	17.954	-1.26%	0.1653	✗	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	17.1393	-12.12%	18.108	-7.16%	0.1018	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	17.1059	-11.48%	18.116	-6.25%	0.0876	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	16.8363	-12.82%	17.887	-7.38%	0.0931	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	16.7096	-13.93%	17.869	-7.96%	0.1204	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	16.1868	-16.30%	18.1195	-6.31%	0.1175	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	15.3207	-18.33%	18.1155	-3.43%	0.1360	✓	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	14.5743	-21.03%	18.184	-1.47%	0.1830	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	13.0163	-23.86%	19.5035	+14.09%	0.3684	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	12.2237	-26.32%	19.3245	+16.48%	0.4521	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	12.0439	-28.62%	19.312	+14.45%	0.4647	✗	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	11.9704	-30.14%	19.4135	+13.29%	0.4751	✗	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	11.2907	-32.26%	19.34	+16.03%	0.5535	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	11.0454	-33.87%	18.7595	+12.31%	0.5799	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	10.2273	-37.17%	18.4555	+13.37%	0.6533	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	8.7378	-41.70%	17.0955	+14.06%	0.6087	✗	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	7.4837	-44.31%	16.5905	+23.45%	0.7342	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	12.1605	-36.85%	16.8735	-12.37%	0.2648	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	11.9692	-37.73%	17.1355	-10.85%	0.1965	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	11.6	-39.71%	16.6685	-13.37%	0.1956	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	11.2806	-41.34%	16.7035	-13.14%	0.1807	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	10.4756	-45.60%	16.2785	-15.46%	0.2491	✓	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	10.1396	-47.33%	14.9885	-22.14%	0.2896	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	9.553	-50.39%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.2467	✓	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	8.4013	-54.63%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.7408	✓	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	7.5959	-58.75%	19.2205	+4.38%	0.9330	✗	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	6.4233	-65.16%	19.2405	+4.35%	1.1550	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	6.7993	-63.27%	19.2305	+3.87%	1.1189	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	0.951329	-72.89%	19.2555	+448.82%	3.0472	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	0.871032	-75.28%	19.2505	+446.35%	3.2590	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	7.1641	-61.02%	19.2555	+4.77%	1.1086	✗	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	1.3171	-67.22%	18.5185	+360.83%	2.7696	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	1.2474	-68.94%	18.4135	+358.50%	2.9549	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	1.1568	-71.25%	18.4385	+358.33%	2.7124	✗	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	1.0807	-73.12%	18.5135	+360.53%	2.7793	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	1.7458	-71.40%	3.5085	-42.52%	0.6687	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	33.0585	-18.94%	3.5235	-91.36%	2.4068	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	32.8212	-20.23%	18.3785	-55.33%	0.6831	✓	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	32.0784	-22.19%	4.0185	-90.25%	2.1965	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	31.6984	-22.12%	4.016	-90.13%	2.0782	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	19.9851	-27.33%	4.023	-85.37%	1.5810	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	30.1899	-25.77%	4.02	-90.12%	2.0018	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	28.118	-27.68%	6.1035	-84.30%	1.5222	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	27.7815	-31.51%	40.783	+0.55%	0.3847	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	32.972	-37.11%	41.1425	-21.52%	0.2062	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	22.7433	-25.76%	41.2285	+34.59%	0.6011	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	21.3848	-30.50%	40.7005	+32.28%	0.5487	✗	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	20.2373	-34.11%	27.5005	-10.46%	0.1753	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	19.8323	-35.08%	40.6705	+33.13%	0.5242	✗	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	18.7493	-38.75%	38.8775	+27.01%	0.5264	✗	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	19.8672	-34.97%	40.5615	+32.76%	0.5011	✗	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	18.2038	-40.46%	52.426	+71.47%	0.8567	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	15.9454	-47.96%	30.6335	-0.01%	0.4348	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	2.1928	-57.54%	30.768	+495.82%	2.5006	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	20.9114	-31.87%	30.7125	+0.06%	0.2956	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	19.6841	-35.96%	30.549	-0.61%	0.4216	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	19.2236	-37.80%	30.6105	-0.96%	0.4564	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	17.9543	-41.70%	30.5515	-0.80%	0.5631	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	17.539	-43.18%	30.5745	-0.96%	0.5853	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	18.5719	-39.89%	30.638	-0.84%	0.5306	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.