META2

META2 · · gru_s6

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 231

Track record at +30d

assessed

47

of 77 predictions shown

direction hit

74.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.7000

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1763

actual -0.2993

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	16.221	15.5717	-4.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-21	oos	17.9865	17.2831	-3.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	16.8853	-4.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	16.7813	-4.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	16.7771	-5.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	16.868	-5.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	16.589	-6.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	16.5315	-6.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	16.6239	-6.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	16.7303	-6.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	16.583	-7.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	16.7556	-7.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	16.6257	-8.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	16.326	-8.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	16.2509	-9.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	16.4741	-9.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	16.5172	-8.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	16.7043	-8.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	17.9665	-7.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	17.8606	-7.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	17.6759	-8.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	17.7463	-8.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	17.496	-9.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	16.7661	-10.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	16.4051	-11.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	15.2052	-11.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	14.6403	-11.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	14.8068	-12.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	14.9724	-12.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	14.4411	-13.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	14.4426	-13.54%	16.221	-2.89%	0.1548	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	13.9604	-14.24%	17.9865	+10.49%	0.3048	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	12.5871	-16.02%	17.747	+18.40%	0.3096	✗	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	11.1513	-17.02%	17.6365	+31.24%	0.4465	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	16.2935	-15.38%	17.677	-8.20%	0.0592	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	16.0762	-16.36%	17.826	-7.26%	0.0002	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	15.9564	-17.07%	17.685	-8.08%	0.0076	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	15.8031	-17.82%	17.746	-7.72%	0.0178	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	15.6483	-18.73%	17.73	-7.92%	0.0453	✓	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	15.4683	-19.65%	17.87	-7.17%	0.0003	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	15.2646	-20.73%	17.954	-6.76%	0.0560	✓	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	14.4429	-22.01%	18.108	-2.22%	0.0725	✓	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	14.1335	-23.24%	18.116	-1.62%	0.0970	✓	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	13.7231	-25.57%	17.887	-2.99%	0.1542	✓	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	13.9307	-24.75%	17.869	-3.48%	0.1627	✓	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	2.7443	-21.78%	18.1195	+416.45%	1.7129	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	2.7613	-21.63%	18.1155	+414.13%	1.6536	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	14.1579	-22.97%	18.184	-1.06%	0.0118	✓	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	3.1683	-21.16%	19.5035	+385.34%	1.4870	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	3.1723	-21.01%	19.3245	+381.19%	1.6231	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	3.1476	-21.76%	19.312	+380.04%	1.4143	✗	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	3.159	-21.42%	19.4135	+382.92%	1.3957	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	5.0169	-17.80%	19.34	+216.87%	1.0812	✗	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	37.8154	-7.28%	18.7595	-54.00%	1.0687	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	38.2332	-7.07%	18.4555	-55.14%	1.0582	✓	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	38.3016	-7.10%	17.0955	-58.53%	1.2243	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	37.8959	-6.89%	16.5905	-59.24%	0.8763	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	25.8584	-5.97%	16.8735	-38.64%	0.4890	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	37.048	-8.91%	17.1355	-57.87%	0.8430	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	35.5375	-8.59%	16.6685	-57.13%	0.8232	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	36.6818	-9.57%	16.7035	-58.82%	0.8901	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	45.8136	-12.61%	16.2785	-68.95%	1.1515	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	28.1145	-8.22%	14.9885	-51.07%	0.6645	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	27.5322	-10.52%	13.4385	-56.32%	0.8239	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	26.8761	-12.49%	19.2555	-37.30%	0.4879	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	26.0787	-14.63%	19.2205	-37.08%	0.4710	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	25.3718	-17.11%	19.2405	-37.14%	0.4429	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	25.35	-17.03%	19.2305	-37.06%	0.4610	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	25.1576	-17.72%	19.2555	-37.02%	0.4829	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	24.7471	-19.23%	19.2505	-37.17%	0.4496	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	4.177	-19.11%	19.2555	+272.88%	1.3309	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	26.5246	-13.59%	18.5185	-39.67%	0.5562	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	26.2417	-14.62%	18.4135	-40.09%	0.5405	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	26.2893	-14.94%	18.4385	-40.34%	0.5576	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	26.0051	-15.56%	18.5135	-39.89%	0.5302	✓	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	25.7158	-16.70%	3.5085	-88.63%	2.1895	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	26.1988	-15.20%	3.5235	-88.60%	2.2198	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.