META2

META2 · · gru_s6

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 231

Track record at +1d

assessed

76

of 77 predictions shown

direction hit

51.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2297

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0774

actual -0.0128

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	16.221	16.0924	-0.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-21	oos	17.9865	17.7737	-1.18%	16.221	-9.82%	0.0941	✓	1.16
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.5363	-1.19%	17.9865	+1.35%	0.0104	✓	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.4338	-1.15%	17.747	+0.63%	0.0027	✓	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.4527	-1.27%	17.6365	-0.23%	0.0128	✗	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.5889	-1.33%	17.677	-0.84%	0.0037	✓	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.4347	-1.42%	17.826	+0.80%	0.0239	✗	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.4642	-1.59%	17.685	-0.34%	0.0215	✗	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.4484	-1.59%	17.746	+0.09%	0.0090	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.5514	-1.78%	17.73	-0.78%	0.0327	✗	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.5948	-2.00%	17.87	-0.47%	0.0042	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	17.7907	-1.75%	17.954	-0.85%	0.0386	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	17.7539	-2.00%	18.108	-0.04%	0.0082	✓	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.5275	-2.01%	18.116	+1.28%	0.0275	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.5129	-1.99%	17.887	+0.10%	0.0083	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	17.7371	-2.11%	17.869	-1.38%	0.0322	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.7475	-2.03%	18.1195	+0.02%	0.0581	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	17.8302	-1.95%	18.1155	-0.38%	0.0193	✓	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	19.0705	-2.22%	18.184	-6.77%	0.0352	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	18.9202	-2.09%	19.5035	+0.93%	0.0018	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	18.859	-2.35%	19.3245	+0.06%	0.0205	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	18.9242	-2.52%	19.312	-0.52%	0.0260	✗	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	18.7635	-2.98%	19.4135	+0.38%	0.0128	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	18.1406	-3.30%	19.34	+3.09%	0.0654	✗	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	17.6847	-4.18%	18.7595	+1.65%	0.0559	✗	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	16.3897	-4.13%	18.4555	+7.96%	0.1367	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	15.8341	-4.56%	17.0955	+3.04%	0.0758	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.0188	-5.07%	16.5905	-1.68%	0.0292	✓	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	16.1894	-5.52%	16.8735	-1.53%	0.0467	✓	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	15.6739	-5.97%	17.1355	+2.80%	0.0890	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	15.6393	-6.37%	16.6685	-0.21%	0.0992	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	15.1141	-7.15%	16.7035	+2.61%	0.1078	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	13.7987	-7.94%	16.2785	+8.61%	0.0638	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	12.3751	-7.91%	14.9885	+11.53%	0.1931	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	17.882	-7.13%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.2928	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	17.8114	-7.33%	19.2555	+0.18%	0.0155	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	17.7196	-7.90%	19.2205	-0.10%	0.0770	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	17.6215	-8.37%	19.2405	+0.05%	0.0760	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	17.408	-9.59%	19.2305	-0.13%	0.1627	✗	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	17.3051	-10.11%	19.2555	+0.03%	0.0743	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	17.1162	-11.11%	19.2505	-0.03%	0.1289	✗	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	16.2493	-12.25%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.1684	✗	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	15.8825	-13.75%	18.5185	+0.57%	0.1370	✓	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	15.3164	-16.93%	18.4135	-0.14%	0.2314	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	15.5915	-15.78%	18.4385	-0.41%	0.1722	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	2.9192	-16.80%	18.5135	+427.68%	1.8749	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	2.8981	-17.75%	3.5085	-0.43%	0.2479	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	15.6352	-14.93%	3.5235	-80.83%	1.5133	✓	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	3.4535	-14.06%	18.3785	+357.35%	1.6639	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	3.4252	-14.71%	4.0185	+0.06%	0.2464	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	3.3968	-15.57%	4.016	-0.17%	0.0567	✓	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	3.3668	-16.25%	4.023	+0.07%	0.1835	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	5.1739	-15.23%	4.02	-34.14%	0.1874	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	38.9799	-4.42%	6.1035	-85.03%	1.9112	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	39.2243	-4.66%	40.783	-0.87%	0.0762	✗	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	39.2961	-4.69%	41.1425	-0.21%	0.0200	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	38.7393	-4.82%	41.2285	+1.30%	0.0931	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	26.2051	-4.71%	40.7005	+48.00%	0.4246	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	37.9554	-6.68%	27.5005	-32.38%	0.3285	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	36.049	-7.28%	40.6705	+4.61%	0.1264	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	36.9424	-8.92%	38.8775	-4.15%	0.0351	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	45.91	-12.43%	40.5615	-22.63%	0.1326	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	28.7589	-6.12%	52.426	+71.14%	0.6168	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	28.558	-7.18%	30.6335	-0.44%	0.0001	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	28.244	-8.04%	30.768	+0.18%	0.0334	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	28.1537	-7.84%	30.7125	+0.54%	0.0180	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	27.4418	-10.35%	30.549	-0.20%	0.1041	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	27.5595	-9.79%	30.6105	+0.19%	0.0792	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	26.9975	-11.70%	30.5515	-0.08%	0.1266	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	26.059	-14.95%	30.5745	-0.21%	0.1591	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	4.6141	-10.65%	30.638	+493.30%	1.9003	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	28.1807	-8.19%	5.164	-83.18%	1.6971	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	27.6218	-10.13%	30.695	-0.14%	0.1074	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	27.6132	-10.66%	30.7365	-0.55%	0.1131	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	27.1496	-11.84%	30.9075	+0.36%	0.1442	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	27.0264	-12.45%	30.797	-0.24%	0.1315	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	27.9308	-9.60%	30.87	-0.08%	0.0998	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.