LONGXIA

? · · gru_s6

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +7d

assessed

40

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

65.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.6114

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0606

actual -0.1668

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.021869	-0.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.021369	+0.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.02076	+1.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.021372	+2.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.02771	+0.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.029398	+1.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.030404	+1.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.0302	+1.94%	0.02189	-26.11%	0.3414	✗	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.046151	-5.08%	0.021195	-56.41%	0.7763	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.039805	-1.22%	0.020355	-49.49%	0.6716	✓	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.042984	-2.33%	0.02088	-52.56%	0.7087	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.045207	-2.30%	0.02746	-40.65%	0.4856	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.045224	-1.69%	0.029085	-36.77%	0.4326	✓	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.050315	-3.17%	0.029995	-42.27%	0.5213	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.04108	-0.19%	0.029625	-28.02%	0.3048	✓	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.061382	-7.22%	0.04862	-26.51%	0.2260	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.044376	-2.34%	0.040295	-11.32%	0.0801	✓	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.043941	-2.98%	0.04401	-2.83%	0.0129	✓	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.048088	-3.72%	0.04627	-7.36%	0.0280	✓	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.037959	-3.14%	0.046	+17.38%	0.2030	✗	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.097107	-11.86%	0.05196	-52.84%	0.6225	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.03435	-4.32%	0.04116	+14.65%	0.1776	✗	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.065997	-4.32%	0.06616	-4.08%	0.0262	✓	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.066141	-5.82%	0.04544	-35.29%	0.3468	✓	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.081173	-7.50%	0.04529	-48.39%	0.5525	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.09471	-8.76%	0.049945	-51.88%	0.6349	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.116639	-10.40%	0.03919	-69.89%	1.0955	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.093173	-9.93%	0.110175	+6.51%	0.1621	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.149282	-11.21%	0.0359	-78.65%	1.4153	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.12466	-10.62%	0.068975	-50.54%	0.5617	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.212318	-9.38%	0.070225	-70.03%	1.0695	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.215312	-9.65%	0.08775	-63.18%	0.9375	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.204063	-9.84%	0.1038	-54.14%	0.7144	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.200337	-9.86%	0.130175	-41.43%	0.4701	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.205378	-10.97%	0.10344	-55.16%	0.7859	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.189358	-11.14%	0.16812	-21.10%	0.2216	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.172966	-11.75%	0.139465	-28.84%	0.3467	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.144158	-10.51%	0.234285	+45.45%	0.3833	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.12992	-10.23%	0.238305	+64.67%	0.5514	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.134737	-12.84%	0.226335	+46.41%	0.4686	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.067303	-4.56%	0.22224	+215.14%	1.1482	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.037759	-0.87%	0.23069	+505.64%	1.8123	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.048953	-0.41%	0.21309	+333.51%	1.4986	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.058642	-0.34%	0.195995	+233.10%	1.2438	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.054385	-0.30%	0.16108	+195.29%	1.0975	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.074094	-0.01%	0.14472	+95.30%	0.7145	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.087272	-0.53%	0.154585	+76.19%	0.6044	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.