LONGXIA

? · · gru_s6

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +1d

assessed

46

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

54.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2355

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0178

actual -0.0313

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.021966	+0.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.021318	+0.58%	0.02189	+3.28%	0.0304	✓	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.020533	+0.87%	0.021195	+4.13%	0.0140	✓	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.021079	+0.95%	0.020355	-2.51%	0.0322	✗	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.027618	+0.58%	0.02088	-23.96%	0.2907	✗	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.029261	+0.60%	0.02746	-5.59%	0.0614	✗	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.030196	+0.67%	0.029085	-3.03%	0.0266	✗	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.029867	+0.82%	0.029995	+1.25%	0.0054	✓	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.047949	-1.38%	0.029625	-39.07%	0.4644	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.040264	-0.08%	0.04862	+20.66%	0.1759	✗	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.043823	-0.42%	0.040295	-8.44%	0.0684	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.046067	-0.44%	0.04401	-4.88%	0.0521	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.045864	-0.30%	0.04627	+0.59%	0.0057	✗	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.05142	-1.04%	0.046	-11.47%	0.1194	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.041222	+0.15%	0.05196	+26.24%	0.2519	✓	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.064119	-3.09%	0.04116	-37.79%	0.4367	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.045161	-0.61%	0.06616	+45.60%	0.3827	✗	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.044928	-0.80%	0.04544	+0.33%	0.0143	✗	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.049277	-1.34%	0.04529	-9.32%	0.0943	✓	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.03893	-0.66%	0.049945	+27.44%	0.2479	✗	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.10273	-6.76%	0.03919	-64.43%	0.9634	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.035655	-0.68%	0.110175	+206.89%	1.1429	✗	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.068397	-0.84%	0.0359	-47.95%	0.6456	✓	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.069456	-1.09%	0.068975	-1.78%	0.0047	✓	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.086346	-1.60%	0.070225	-19.97%	0.2222	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.101773	-1.95%	0.08775	-15.46%	0.1475	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.126155	-3.09%	0.1038	-20.26%	0.1989	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.101239	-2.13%	0.130175	+25.85%	0.2549	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.16218	-3.53%	0.10344	-38.47%	0.4498	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.136105	-2.41%	0.16812	+20.55%	0.2326	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.227397	-2.94%	0.139465	-40.47%	0.4843	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.230388	-3.32%	0.234285	-1.69%	0.0480	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.218464	-3.48%	0.238305	+5.29%	0.0878	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.214332	-3.56%	0.226335	+1.84%	0.0501	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.219673	-4.78%	0.22224	-3.66%	0.0460	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.20244	-5.00%	0.23069	+8.26%	0.1280	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.184743	-5.74%	0.21309	+8.72%	0.1354	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.1532	-4.89%	0.195995	+21.68%	0.2800	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.137414	-5.05%	0.16108	+11.30%	0.1412	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.142201	-8.01%	0.14472	-6.38%	0.0236	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.068461	-2.92%	0.154585	+119.21%	0.8138	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.038044	-0.12%	0.07052	+85.14%	0.6084	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.049089	-0.13%	0.03809	-22.51%	0.2311	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.058718	-0.21%	0.049155	-16.46%	0.1757	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.05447	-0.15%	0.05884	+7.86%	0.0853	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.073914	-0.25%	0.05455	-26.38%	0.2881	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.087176	-0.64%	0.0741	-15.55%	0.1688	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.