LONGXIA

? · · gru_s6

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +30d

assessed

17

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

94.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

1.1848

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1352

actual -1.2964

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.01906	-12.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.018592	-12.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.01808	-11.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.01865	-10.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.024391	-11.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.025926	-10.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.026822	-10.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.02664	-10.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.041451	-14.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.035453	-12.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.038292	-12.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.040184	-13.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.039995	-13.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.044546	-14.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.03603	-12.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.054308	-17.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.038868	-14.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.038461	-15.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.041996	-15.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.033073	-15.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.086553	-21.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.02972	-17.21%	–	pending	–	–	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.057823	-16.17%	–	pending	–	–	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.058083	-17.29%	–	pending	–	–	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.071746	-18.24%	–	pending	–	–	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.083844	-19.23%	–	pending	–	–	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.103886	-20.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.082592	-20.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.134154	-20.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.111353	-20.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.194621	-16.93%	0.02189	-90.66%	2.1390	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.197144	-17.27%	0.021195	-91.11%	2.2518	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.1868	-17.47%	0.020355	-91.01%	2.2241	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.183354	-17.50%	0.02088	-90.60%	2.1865	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.187685	-18.64%	0.02746	-88.10%	1.9859	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.173021	-18.80%	0.029085	-86.35%	1.8512	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.158201	-19.28%	0.029995	-84.70%	1.7458	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.13243	-17.79%	0.029625	-81.61%	1.5399	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.119585	-17.37%	0.04862	-66.40%	0.9789	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.124924	-19.19%	0.040295	-73.93%	1.1878	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.064217	-8.94%	0.04401	-37.59%	0.4583	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.034954	-8.23%	0.04627	+21.48%	0.2005	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.046922	-4.54%	0.046	-6.42%	0.0728	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.056977	-3.17%	0.05196	-11.69%	0.1327	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.053111	-2.64%	0.04116	-24.55%	0.3065	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.073207	-1.20%	0.06616	-10.72%	0.1639	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.086567	-1.34%	0.04544	-48.21%	0.7160	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.