KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s6

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 483

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

154

of 161 predictions shown

direction hit

51.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1692

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0170

actual -0.0452

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.029719	0.028694	-3.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-21	oos	0.029335	0.028342	-3.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.029447	-3.45%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.028528	-2.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.028745	-2.88%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.03349	-4.04%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.034558	-4.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.032104	-4.79%	0.029719	-11.86%	0.0751	✓	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.03048	-4.51%	0.029335	-8.09%	0.0358	✓	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.027804	-3.71%	0.030499	+5.63%	0.0925	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.026461	-3.44%	0.029365	+7.16%	0.1042	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.024377	-2.63%	0.029598	+18.22%	0.1958	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.024305	-2.83%	0.034899	+39.53%	0.3638	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.024373	-3.28%	0.036292	+44.02%	0.3995	✗	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.023871	-3.83%	0.03372	+35.85%	0.3448	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.020229	-2.31%	0.031919	+54.14%	0.4608	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.022092	-2.73%	0.028875	+27.13%	0.2723	✗	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.025559	-4.77%	0.027404	+2.11%	0.0774	✗	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.019734	-2.90%	0.025037	+23.20%	0.2471	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.018662	-3.33%	0.025012	+29.56%	0.2984	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.021171	-3.80%	0.025199	+14.50%	0.1803	✗	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.02062	-4.03%	0.024821	+15.52%	0.1951	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.023157	-4.10%	0.020707	-14.24%	0.1109	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.025273	-5.05%	0.022712	-14.67%	0.1125	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.030103	-9.32%	0.026838	-19.16%	0.1206	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014237	-3.03%	0.020323	+38.41%	0.3403	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014474	-3.57%	0.019305	+28.62%	0.2855	✗	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013033	-3.32%	0.022008	+63.25%	0.5208	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.012834	-3.00%	0.021486	+62.40%	0.5118	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013166	-3.48%	0.024146	+77.02%	0.6129	✗	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013183	-2.72%	0.026617	+96.40%	0.7214	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013373	-2.67%	0.033197	+141.61%	0.9331	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013111	-2.96%	0.014683	+8.68%	0.0829	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013409	-2.99%	0.01501	+8.60%	0.0838	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013166	-2.55%	0.013481	-0.22%	0.0053	✓	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013718	-1.27%	0.01323	-4.78%	0.1238	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013786	-1.18%	0.01364	-2.23%	0.1014	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.013139	+0.34%	0.013553	+3.49%	0.0892	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.013043	+0.21%	0.01374	+5.57%	0.0468	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013336	+0.70%	0.01351	+2.01%	0.0408	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.014039	+0.35%	0.013822	-1.20%	0.0636	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.014107	+0.99%	0.01351	-3.28%	0.0864	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.014123	+1.66%	0.013894	+0.01%	0.0141	✓	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.014194	+1.62%	0.013951	-0.12%	0.0093	✓	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014408	+1.62%	0.013095	-7.64%	0.0614	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.015134	+1.40%	0.013015	-12.80%	0.1403	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015947	+1.33%	0.013244	-15.85%	0.1457	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015933	+1.51%	0.01399	-10.86%	0.1006	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016604	+1.43%	0.013969	-14.66%	0.1483	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.017061	+1.60%	0.013893	-17.26%	0.1621	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017551	+0.87%	0.013968	-19.72%	0.2413	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017964	+0.97%	0.014179	-20.31%	0.2507	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018342	+1.09%	0.014925	-17.74%	0.2126	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017938	+1.15%	0.015738	-11.26%	0.1662	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017764	+1.18%	0.015695	-10.60%	0.1472	✗	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.018079	+0.94%	0.016369	-8.61%	0.1268	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017997	+1.16%	0.016792	-5.61%	0.0851	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017433	+1.04%	0.0174	+0.85%	0.0262	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018337	+0.84%	0.017791	-2.16%	0.0114	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018834	+0.62%	0.018144	-3.07%	0.0302	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020382	+0.18%	0.017735	-12.83%	0.1379	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018323	+0.68%	0.017556	-3.54%	0.0640	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017702	+0.85%	0.017912	+2.05%	0.0207	✓	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017353	+0.36%	0.01779	+2.89%	0.1222	✗	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.01673	-0.73%	0.017253	+2.37%	0.1716	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015674	-1.77%	0.018184	+13.96%	0.1701	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017235	-2.41%	0.018718	+5.99%	0.2424	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017412	-2.01%	0.020346	+14.50%	0.1928	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017541	-2.03%	0.0182	+1.65%	0.2973	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017488	-2.05%	0.017552	-1.70%	0.3587	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017158	-1.87%	0.017291	-1.11%	0.2356	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016924	-1.94%	0.016853	-2.36%	0.1440	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.017949	-2.61%	0.015957	-13.42%	0.1454	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017572	-2.51%	0.01766	-2.02%	0.0092	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.016875	-2.12%	0.01777	+3.07%	0.1053	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016637	-2.14%	0.017905	+5.32%	0.1237	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017395	-2.33%	0.017855	+0.25%	0.0774	✗	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.017735	-2.77%	0.017485	-4.14%	0.0085	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.017898	-3.38%	0.01726	-6.83%	0.0046	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.017523	-4.69%	0.01843	+0.24%	0.0655	✗	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.016515	-4.37%	0.018025	+4.37%	0.0748	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015416	-3.71%	0.01724	+7.68%	0.0737	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014375	-2.97%	0.017	+14.75%	0.1081	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.014719	-3.20%	0.01781	+17.13%	0.1332	✗	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016307	-4.08%	0.01824	+7.29%	0.1243	✗	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.014883	-3.23%	0.018525	+20.45%	0.2003	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.013819	-3.43%	0.018385	+28.48%	0.2802	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013096	-3.14%	0.01727	+27.74%	0.2826	✗	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.01633	-5.61%	0.01601	-7.46%	0.0235	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.012774	-2.11%	0.014815	+13.52%	0.1800	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.013781	-2.37%	0.015205	+7.72%	0.1247	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013344	-1.99%	0.017	+24.86%	0.2491	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.012868	-1.47%	0.01538	+17.76%	0.2260	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012864	-1.05%	0.01431	+10.08%	0.1647	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.014902	-1.44%	0.01352	-10.58%	0.0609	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015726	-1.68%	0.0173	+8.16%	0.0795	✗	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015434	-1.13%	0.01305	-16.40%	0.1557	✓	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016025	-0.93%	0.014115	-12.74%	0.1316	✓	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018791	-1.20%	0.013615	-28.42%	0.3542	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019234	-1.31%	0.01306	-32.99%	0.4210	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.02058	-1.58%	0.013	-37.83%	0.4970	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.01983	-1.76%	0.01512	-25.09%	0.3467	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020367	-1.85%	0.015995	-22.92%	0.2660	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020224	-1.49%	0.01561	-23.96%	0.2854	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020634	-1.51%	0.016175	-22.79%	0.2374	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.019965	-1.38%	0.01902	-6.05%	0.0638	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019739	-1.28%	0.01949	-2.53%	0.0757	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020736	-1.38%	0.02091	-0.55%	0.0336	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021745	-1.56%	0.020185	-8.62%	0.0300	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021062	-1.39%	0.02075	-2.86%	0.0188	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.020066	-1.03%	0.02053	+1.26%	0.0060	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.021078	-0.76%	0.02095	-1.37%	0.0460	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022698	-0.73%	0.020245	-11.46%	0.1589	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.02275	-0.70%	0.019995	-12.72%	0.1910	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.02355	-1.18%	0.021025	-11.77%	0.2504	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026379	-1.37%	0.02209	-17.41%	0.2822	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.025753	-1.50%	0.02136	-18.30%	0.2983	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.02495	-1.29%	0.020275	-19.78%	0.2932	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.02607	-1.55%	0.02124	-19.79%	0.2738	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.024924	-1.41%	0.022865	-9.55%	0.1344	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.023911	-0.95%	0.02291	-5.10%	0.0136	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.025339	-0.90%	0.02383	-6.80%	0.0579	✗	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.02917	-1.70%	0.026745	-9.87%	0.0160	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.029767	-1.82%	0.026145	-13.77%	0.0259	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.029686	-2.16%	0.025275	-16.69%	0.0416	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.027117	-1.21%	0.02648	-3.53%	0.0670	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.026102	-0.79%	0.02528	-3.91%	0.0487	✗	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.02813	-1.50%	0.02414	-15.48%	0.0674	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.028821	-1.87%	0.02557	-12.94%	0.0466	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.029047	-1.93%	0.029675	+0.19%	0.0782	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030133	-1.97%	0.03032	-1.37%	0.0676	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.03135	-2.05%	0.03034	-5.20%	0.0274	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.030532	-1.54%	0.02745	-11.48%	0.1048	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.029934	-1.31%	0.02631	-13.25%	0.1120	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.030731	-0.95%	0.02856	-7.95%	0.1532	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031134	-1.10%	0.02937	-6.70%	0.1614	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.031844	-1.72%	0.02962	-8.58%	0.1579	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.033807	-2.46%	0.03074	-11.31%	0.1594	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.036838	-2.67%	0.032005	-15.44%	0.2687	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.028447	+1.63%	0.03101	+10.79%	0.0043	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.033725	-1.30%	0.03033	-11.24%	0.1023	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.036767	-2.27%	0.031025	-17.53%	0.1285	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.035861	-2.52%	0.03148	-14.43%	0.0528	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.039921	-4.52%	0.0324	-22.51%	0.0858	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.046153	-7.69%	0.03466	-30.68%	0.1360	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.059127	-12.44%	0.03785	-43.95%	0.2535	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.038546	+0.78%	0.02799	-26.82%	0.1359	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.037447	+1.84%	0.03417	-7.07%	0.0500	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.039718	+1.37%	0.03762	-3.98%	0.0945	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.044468	+0.24%	0.03679	-17.06%	0.0607	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.050924	-1.05%	0.04181	-18.76%	0.1173	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.054068	-1.17%	0.05	-8.61%	0.0330	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.053237	-0.27%	0.06753	+26.51%	0.2761	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.055889	-0.20%	0.03825	-31.70%	0.3513	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.053673	+0.22%	0.03677	-31.34%	0.3248	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.054059	+0.65%	0.03918	-27.05%	0.2803	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.062115	+0.03%	0.04436	-28.56%	0.3243	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.061382	+0.35%	0.051465	-15.86%	0.1802	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.073272	-1.26%	0.05471	-26.28%	0.2865	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.075254	-1.63%	0.05338	-30.22%	0.3246	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.090121	-4.18%	0.056	-40.46%	0.4290	✓	1.00