KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s6

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 480

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

159

of 160 predictions shown

direction hit

57.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0676

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0079

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.029566	-1.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.030005	-1.62%	0.030038	-1.51%	0.0011	✓	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.028877	-1.66%	0.030499	+3.86%	0.0548	✗	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.02914	-1.55%	0.029365	-0.79%	0.0075	✓	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.034272	-1.80%	0.029598	-15.19%	0.1460	✓	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.035285	-2.77%	0.034899	-3.84%	0.0111	✓	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.032707	-3.00%	0.036292	+7.63%	0.1034	✗	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.031107	-2.54%	0.03372	+5.64%	0.0812	✗	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.028303	-1.98%	0.031919	+10.54%	0.1200	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.026823	-2.12%	0.028875	+5.36%	0.0739	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.024637	-1.60%	0.027404	+9.46%	0.1085	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.024504	-2.03%	0.025037	+0.10%	0.0205	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.024619	-2.30%	0.025012	-0.74%	0.0154	✓	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.024221	-2.42%	0.025199	+1.52%	0.0385	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.020414	-1.42%	0.024821	+19.87%	0.1999	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.02235	-1.59%	0.020707	-8.83%	0.0721	✓	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.025882	-3.56%	0.022712	-15.37%	0.1302	✓	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.019948	-1.85%	0.026838	+32.06%	0.2991	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.01903	-1.43%	0.020323	+5.27%	0.0605	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.021556	-2.06%	0.019305	-12.28%	0.1110	✓	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.0211	-1.80%	0.022008	+2.43%	0.0432	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.023526	-2.57%	0.021486	-11.02%	0.0948	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.02565	-3.63%	0.024146	-9.28%	0.0602	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.030851	-7.07%	0.026617	-19.82%	0.1481	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014479	-1.39%	0.033197	+126.09%	0.8376	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014753	-1.71%	0.014683	-2.18%	0.0051	✓	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013376	-0.78%	0.01501	+11.34%	0.1128	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.013134	-0.73%	0.013481	+1.90%	0.0283	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013538	-0.75%	0.01323	-3.01%	0.0231	✓	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013474	-0.58%	0.01364	+0.65%	0.0256	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013668	-0.53%	0.013553	-1.36%	0.0055	✓	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013406	-0.77%	0.01374	+1.70%	0.0247	✓	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013713	-0.78%	0.01351	-2.25%	0.0142	✓	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013411	-0.73%	0.013822	+2.30%	0.0268	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013745	-1.07%	0.01351	-2.76%	0.0676	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013743	-1.49%	0.013894	-0.41%	0.0085	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.013011	-0.64%	0.013951	+6.53%	0.0630	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012944	-0.55%	0.013095	+0.62%	0.0442	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013168	-0.57%	0.013015	-1.73%	0.0290	✓	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013902	-0.63%	0.013244	-5.33%	0.0427	✓	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013892	-0.55%	0.01399	+0.15%	0.0064	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013831	-0.44%	0.013969	+0.54%	0.0017	✓	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.013941	-0.19%	0.013893	-0.54%	0.0182	✗	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014153	-0.18%	0.013968	-1.48%	0.0112	✓	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014895	-0.20%	0.014179	-5.00%	0.0419	✓	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015708	-0.19%	0.014925	-5.17%	0.0373	✓	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.01566	-0.22%	0.015738	+0.27%	0.0007	✓	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.01633	-0.24%	0.015695	-4.12%	0.0412	✓	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.016757	-0.21%	0.016369	-2.52%	0.0091	✓	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017308	-0.53%	0.016792	-3.50%	0.0817	✓	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017719	-0.41%	0.0174	-2.20%	0.0169	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018086	-0.32%	0.017791	-1.95%	0.0022	✓	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017679	-0.32%	0.018144	+2.31%	0.0140	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017504	-0.30%	0.017735	+1.02%	0.0216	✗	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.017852	-0.33%	0.017556	-1.98%	0.0227	✓	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017767	-0.13%	0.017912	+0.68%	0.0478	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017228	-0.15%	0.01779	+3.11%	0.0121	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018163	-0.12%	0.017253	-5.12%	0.0596	✓	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018699	-0.10%	0.018184	-2.86%	0.0202	✓	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020266	-0.39%	0.018718	-8.00%	0.1023	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018172	-0.15%	0.020346	+11.79%	0.1008	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017539	-0.07%	0.0182	+3.69%	0.0604	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017223	-0.39%	0.017552	+1.51%	0.0900	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016747	-0.63%	0.017291	+2.60%	0.0484	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.01583	-0.79%	0.016853	+5.62%	0.0507	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017505	-0.88%	0.015957	-9.64%	0.0976	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.01761	-0.90%	0.01766	-0.62%	0.0394	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017755	-0.84%	0.01777	-0.75%	0.0056	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017711	-0.81%	0.017905	+0.28%	0.0098	✗	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017373	-0.64%	0.017855	+2.12%	0.0397	✗	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.017151	-0.63%	0.017485	+1.30%	0.0189	✗	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.018298	-0.72%	0.01726	-6.35%	0.0555	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017912	-0.63%	0.01843	+2.25%	0.0381	✗	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.017157	-0.48%	0.018025	+4.55%	0.0741	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016912	-0.52%	0.01724	+1.41%	0.0208	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017716	-0.53%	0.017	-4.55%	0.0417	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.018121	-0.65%	0.01781	-2.36%	0.0339	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018379	-0.79%	0.01824	-1.54%	0.0013	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.018195	-1.03%	0.018525	+0.76%	0.0021	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.017108	-0.94%	0.018385	+6.46%	0.0553	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015917	-0.58%	0.01727	+7.87%	0.0826	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014747	-0.46%	0.01601	+8.07%	0.0615	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015138	-0.44%	0.014815	-2.56%	0.0198	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016858	-0.83%	0.015205	-10.56%	0.0514	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015334	-0.30%	0.017	+10.53%	0.0814	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014278	-0.22%	0.01538	+7.48%	0.0730	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013504	-0.12%	0.01431	+5.84%	0.0540	✗	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.017112	-1.08%	0.01352	-21.85%	0.1970	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.013041	-0.07%	0.0173	+32.57%	0.2613	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.014093	-0.15%	0.01305	-7.55%	0.0813	✓	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013594	-0.15%	0.014115	+3.67%	0.0581	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.01304	-0.15%	0.013615	+4.25%	0.0655	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012974	-0.20%	0.01306	+0.46%	0.0158	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.015081	-0.26%	0.013	-14.02%	0.1791	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015955	-0.25%	0.01512	-5.47%	0.0665	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015579	-0.20%	0.015995	+2.47%	0.0291	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016143	-0.20%	0.01561	-3.49%	0.0557	✓	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.01899	-0.16%	0.016175	-14.96%	0.1636	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019442	-0.24%	0.01902	-2.41%	0.0019	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020853	-0.27%	0.01949	-6.79%	0.0608	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.020151	-0.17%	0.02091	+3.59%	0.0328	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020705	-0.22%	0.020185	-2.72%	0.0135	✗	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020499	-0.15%	0.02075	+1.07%	0.0130	✗	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020919	-0.15%	0.02053	-2.00%	0.0095	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.020227	-0.09%	0.02095	+3.48%	0.0107	✗	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019983	-0.06%	0.020245	+1.25%	0.0111	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.021002	-0.11%	0.019995	-4.90%	0.0211	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.022049	-0.18%	0.021025	-4.82%	0.0303	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021327	-0.15%	0.02209	+3.42%	0.0247	✗	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.020256	-0.09%	0.02136	+5.35%	0.0409	✗	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.021223	-0.08%	0.020275	-4.54%	0.0599	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022837	-0.12%	0.02124	-7.11%	0.0999	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022891	-0.08%	0.022865	-0.20%	0.0428	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.02379	-0.17%	0.02291	-3.86%	0.0799	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026662	-0.31%	0.02383	-10.90%	0.0655	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.026077	-0.26%	0.026745	+2.29%	0.0061	✗	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.025225	-0.20%	0.026145	+3.44%	0.0487	✗	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.026409	-0.27%	0.025275	-4.55%	0.0420	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.025237	-0.17%	0.02648	+4.75%	0.0399	✗	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.02411	-0.13%	0.02528	+4.72%	0.0841	✗	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.025508	-0.24%	0.02414	-5.59%	0.0080	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.029531	-0.49%	0.02557	-13.83%	0.1093	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.030159	-0.53%	0.029675	-2.13%	0.0352	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.030156	-0.61%	0.03032	-0.07%	0.0322	✗	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.027344	-0.39%	0.03034	+10.53%	0.0851	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.026229	-0.31%	0.02745	+4.33%	0.0308	✗	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.028416	-0.50%	0.02631	-7.88%	0.0389	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.029194	-0.60%	0.02856	-2.76%	0.0065	✗	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.029427	-0.65%	0.02937	-0.84%	0.0140	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030536	-0.66%	0.02962	-3.64%	0.0443	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.031786	-0.69%	0.03074	-3.95%	0.0660	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.030839	-0.55%	0.032005	+3.21%	0.0149	✗	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.030192	-0.46%	0.03101	+2.24%	0.0274	✗	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.030934	-0.29%	0.03033	-2.24%	0.0766	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031396	-0.27%	0.031025	-1.45%	0.0054	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.032287	-0.35%	0.03148	-2.84%	0.0127	✗	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.034471	-0.54%	0.0324	-6.52%	0.0554	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.037493	-0.94%	0.03466	-8.43%	0.1671	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.02815	+0.57%	0.03785	+35.23%	0.3022	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034158	-0.04%	0.02799	-18.09%	0.1547	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.03755	-0.19%	0.03417	-9.17%	0.0907	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.036734	-0.15%	0.03762	+2.26%	0.0639	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.041424	-0.92%	0.03679	-12.01%	0.0511	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.048903	-2.19%	0.04181	-16.38%	0.1255	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.06336	-6.18%	0.05	-25.96%	0.2342	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.038222	-0.07%	0.06753	+76.55%	0.5637	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.036822	+0.14%	0.03825	+4.03%	0.0400	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.039187	+0.02%	0.03677	-6.15%	0.0528	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.044204	-0.35%	0.03918	-11.68%	0.1005	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.051006	-0.89%	0.04436	-13.81%	0.1210	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.054205	-0.92%	0.051465	-5.93%	0.0554	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.053001	-0.71%	0.05471	+2.49%	0.0275	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.055649	-0.63%	0.05338	-4.68%	0.0575	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.053022	-1.00%	0.056	+4.57%	0.0822	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.053142	-1.06%	0.053555	-0.29%	0.0068	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.061499	-0.96%	0.05371	-13.50%	0.1446	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.060542	-1.02%	0.062095	+1.52%	0.0276	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.073402	-1.09%	0.061165	-17.58%	0.1764	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.075709	-1.03%	0.07421	-2.99%	0.0110	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.092949	-1.17%	0.0765	-18.66%	0.1826	✓	1.00