KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s6

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 483

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

131

of 161 predictions shown

direction hit

71.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3905

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0593

actual -0.2150

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.029719	0.027104	-8.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-21	oos	0.029335	0.026553	-9.48%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.027583	-9.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.026728	-8.98%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.026901	-9.11%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.031104	-10.88%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.032131	-11.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.030069	-10.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.028587	-10.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.026273	-9.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.025084	-8.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.023252	-7.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.023251	-7.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.023393	-7.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.022938	-7.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.01922	-7.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.021224	-6.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.024964	-6.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.018845	-7.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.017535	-9.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.019973	-9.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.019346	-9.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.021959	-9.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.024185	-9.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.028764	-13.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.013549	-7.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.01374	-8.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.012337	-8.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.012205	-7.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.012471	-8.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.012577	-7.20%	0.029719	+119.29%	0.8745	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.012754	-7.18%	0.029335	+113.50%	0.8525	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.012312	-8.87%	0.030499	+125.75%	0.8906	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.012613	-8.75%	0.029365	+112.46%	0.8395	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.012379	-8.37%	0.029598	+119.08%	0.8614	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.01262	-9.17%	0.034899	+151.18%	0.9613	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.012786	-8.35%	0.036292	+160.14%	0.9831	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.01214	-7.30%	0.03372	+157.49%	0.9458	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012301	-5.49%	0.031919	+145.24%	0.9125	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.012507	-5.56%	0.028875	+118.02%	0.7598	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013278	-5.09%	0.027404	+95.89%	0.6707	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.01334	-4.50%	0.025037	+79.24%	0.5546	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013429	-3.34%	0.025012	+80.03%	0.5466	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.013732	-1.69%	0.025199	+80.41%	0.5563	✗	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014014	-1.16%	0.024821	+75.06%	0.5345	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.01477	-1.04%	0.020707	+38.74%	0.2912	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015601	-0.87%	0.022712	+44.31%	0.3198	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015619	-0.48%	0.026838	+71.00%	0.4771	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016332	-0.23%	0.020323	+24.16%	0.1546	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.016817	+0.15%	0.019305	+14.97%	0.1077	✓	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017264	-0.78%	0.022008	+26.48%	0.1511	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017777	-0.08%	0.021486	+20.77%	0.0937	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018237	+0.51%	0.024146	+33.08%	0.2217	✓	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017908	+0.97%	0.026617	+50.08%	0.3190	✓	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017776	+1.25%	0.033197	+89.09%	0.5500	✓	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.018111	+1.11%	0.014683	-18.02%	0.3060	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.018287	+2.79%	0.01501	-15.63%	0.2623	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017739	+2.81%	0.013481	-21.86%	0.3538	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018701	+2.84%	0.01323	-27.24%	0.4393	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.019331	+3.27%	0.01364	-27.13%	0.4372	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020748	+1.98%	0.013553	-33.39%	0.5736	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018613	+2.27%	0.01374	-24.51%	0.4670	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.018129	+3.29%	0.01351	-23.03%	0.3450	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017376	+0.49%	0.013822	-20.07%	0.3943	✗	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016458	-2.35%	0.01351	-19.83%	0.4353	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015146	-5.08%	0.013894	-12.93%	0.3587	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.016579	-6.12%	0.013951	-21.00%	0.4390	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.016788	-5.53%	0.013095	-26.31%	0.5510	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.016909	-5.56%	0.013015	-27.31%	0.6199	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.016864	-5.55%	0.013244	-25.82%	0.5713	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.016553	-5.33%	0.01399	-19.99%	0.5094	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016318	-5.46%	0.013969	-19.07%	0.4653	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.017221	-6.56%	0.013893	-24.62%	0.5029	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.016894	-6.27%	0.013968	-22.51%	0.5162	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.016293	-5.49%	0.014179	-17.76%	0.4631	✓	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016063	-5.51%	0.014925	-12.21%	0.4095	✓	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.016758	-5.90%	0.015738	-11.63%	0.4285	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.017022	-6.68%	0.015695	-13.95%	0.4535	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.017127	-7.54%	0.016369	-11.64%	0.4020	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.016664	-9.36%	0.016792	-8.67%	0.4329	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.015867	-8.12%	0.0174	+0.75%	0.2675	✓	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.014905	-6.90%	0.017791	+11.12%	0.1824	✓	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.013998	-5.51%	0.018144	+22.47%	0.1394	✓	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.014392	-5.35%	0.017735	+16.64%	0.1678	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016109	-5.24%	0.017556	+3.27%	0.2446	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.014879	-3.26%	0.017912	+16.46%	0.1476	✓	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.013802	-3.55%	0.01779	+24.32%	0.1297	✓	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013017	-3.72%	0.017253	+27.61%	0.0763	✓	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.016204	-6.33%	0.018184	+5.11%	0.1633	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.012639	-3.15%	0.018718	+43.44%	0.1213	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.013652	-3.28%	0.020346	+44.14%	0.1419	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013238	-2.77%	0.0182	+33.68%	0.0864	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.012825	-1.80%	0.017552	+34.40%	0.0735	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012831	-1.30%	0.017291	+33.01%	0.1659	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.014782	-2.24%	0.016853	+11.46%	0.0371	✗	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015553	-2.77%	0.015957	-0.24%	0.0257	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015291	-2.05%	0.01766	+13.13%	0.1518	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.015818	-2.21%	0.01777	+9.86%	0.1427	✗	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018566	-2.39%	0.017905	-5.86%	0.0172	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.01895	-2.77%	0.017855	-8.39%	0.0154	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020226	-3.27%	0.017485	-16.38%	0.1062	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.019389	-3.94%	0.01726	-14.49%	0.1461	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.019965	-3.78%	0.01843	-11.18%	0.0746	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.019949	-2.83%	0.018025	-12.20%	0.1050	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020377	-2.74%	0.01724	-17.71%	0.1857	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.019683	-2.78%	0.017	-16.03%	0.1906	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019374	-3.11%	0.01781	-10.93%	0.1515	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020411	-2.92%	0.01824	-13.25%	0.1364	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021409	-3.08%	0.018525	-16.14%	0.1598	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.020755	-2.83%	0.018385	-13.93%	0.1329	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.019631	-3.18%	0.01727	-14.82%	0.1375	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.020647	-2.79%	0.01601	-24.62%	0.2788	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022257	-2.66%	0.014815	-35.21%	0.4408	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022121	-3.44%	0.015205	-33.63%	0.4524	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.022611	-5.11%	0.017	-28.66%	0.4602	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.025565	-4.41%	0.01538	-42.49%	0.6101	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.024786	-5.20%	0.01431	-45.27%	0.6675	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.024036	-4.90%	0.01352	-46.51%	0.6772	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.025074	-5.31%	0.0173	-34.67%	0.5141	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.023865	-5.60%	0.01305	-48.38%	0.7249	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.022983	-4.79%	0.014115	-41.53%	0.5732	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.024449	-4.38%	0.013615	-46.75%	0.6515	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.027839	-6.19%	0.01306	-55.99%	0.8122	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.028399	-6.34%	0.013	-57.12%	0.8670	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.028176	-7.13%	0.01512	-50.16%	0.6488	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.025863	-5.78%	0.015995	-41.73%	0.5109	✓	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.024888	-5.41%	0.01561	-40.67%	0.5132	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.026562	-6.99%	0.016175	-43.36%	0.4827	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.026987	-8.11%	0.01902	-35.24%	0.3048	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.027079	-8.58%	0.01949	-34.20%	0.2910	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.027981	-8.98%	0.02091	-31.98%	0.2737	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.029086	-9.12%	0.020185	-36.93%	0.3087	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.028328	-8.65%	0.02075	-33.09%	0.3164	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.027619	-8.94%	0.02053	-32.31%	0.3018	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.02834	-8.65%	0.02095	-32.47%	0.3738	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.028552	-9.30%	0.020245	-35.69%	0.3836	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.028834	-11.01%	0.019995	-38.29%	0.3434	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.030484	-12.05%	0.021025	-39.34%	0.3720	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.034028	-10.10%	0.02209	-41.64%	0.5452	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.025908	-7.44%	0.02136	-23.69%	0.2764	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.030274	-11.40%	0.020275	-40.66%	0.3896	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.032947	-12.42%	0.02124	-43.54%	0.4150	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.031658	-13.95%	0.022865	-37.85%	0.2446	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.034241	-18.10%	0.02291	-45.20%	0.2285	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.038564	-22.87%	0.02383	-52.34%	0.2525	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.05091	-24.61%	0.026745	-60.40%	0.4398	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.033364	-12.77%	0.026145	-31.65%	0.0339	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.032623	-11.28%	0.025275	-31.26%	0.0510	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.034457	-12.06%	0.02648	-32.41%	0.0494	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.038267	-13.73%	0.02528	-43.01%	0.1755	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.044185	-14.15%	0.02414	-53.09%	0.3681	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.047232	-13.67%	0.02557	-53.26%	0.4076	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.046635	-12.64%	0.029675	-44.41%	0.2709	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.048938	-12.61%	0.03032	-45.86%	0.3022	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.047949	-10.47%	0.03034	-43.35%	0.2691	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.048706	-9.32%	0.02745	-48.89%	0.3741	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.056304	-9.33%	0.02631	-57.63%	0.5612	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.056176	-8.16%	0.02856	-53.31%	0.4992	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.068532	-7.65%	0.02937	-60.42%	0.6821	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.071423	-6.64%	0.02962	-61.28%	0.7160	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.086779	-7.73%	0.03074	-67.32%	0.8528	✓	1.00