HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s6

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 189

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

66.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2591

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0588

actual -0.1307

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.007225	0.007014	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-21	oos	0.007181	0.007039	-1.98%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006927	-0.11%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006979	+0.98%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007503	+0.36%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008324	-1.47%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.00867	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008452	-1.91%	0.007225	-16.16%	0.2423	✓	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.008767	-2.96%	0.007181	-20.52%	0.3004	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008473	-4.24%	0.006935	-21.63%	0.1935	✓	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008511	-2.45%	0.006911	-20.79%	0.2123	✓	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.008536	-6.44%	0.007476	-18.06%	0.0610	✓	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.00984	-10.46%	0.008448	-23.13%	0.0859	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009186	-8.19%	0.008892	-11.13%	0.0130	✓	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.008314	-2.05%	0.008617	+1.52%	0.0171	✓	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.009899	-8.81%	0.009034	-16.78%	0.0204	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.010774	-11.38%	0.008849	-27.22%	0.0976	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.010591	-10.97%	0.008725	-26.65%	0.0286	✓	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.012097	-12.13%	0.009124	-33.73%	0.1687	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.012748	-13.84%	0.010989	-25.73%	0.0726	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.011402	-12.94%	0.010006	-23.60%	0.0488	✓	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.012652	-15.12%	0.008488	-43.06%	0.2683	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.010362	-12.29%	0.010855	-8.13%	0.0578	✓	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.011055	-13.74%	0.012157	-5.14%	0.0193	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.009608	-10.85%	0.011895	+10.37%	0.1215	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.010312	-11.62%	0.013768	+17.99%	0.2078	✗	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.012299	-14.03%	0.014797	+3.43%	0.1719	✗	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.011553	-14.76%	0.013097	-3.38%	0.1090	✓	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.008959	-9.98%	0.014907	+49.77%	0.4900	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008318	-7.61%	0.011815	+31.22%	0.3855	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.00871	-7.98%	0.012816	+35.41%	0.4952	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.011094	-10.70%	0.010778	-13.25%	0.1008	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.010257	-5.64%	0.011668	+7.35%	0.0165	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011089	-6.19%	0.014306	+21.02%	0.1151	✗	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.014583	-10.11%	0.013554	-16.46%	0.2139	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.011746	-2.05%	0.009953	-17.00%	0.4927	✓	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012601	-3.01%	0.009004	-30.70%	0.6709	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011358	-0.51%	0.009465	-17.09%	0.6087	✓	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009829	+1.48%	0.012424	+28.27%	0.1675	✗	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.008376	+4.65%	0.01087	+35.81%	0.0500	✓	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.010324	+2.76%	0.011822	+17.66%	0.0507	✗	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.012128	+0.57%	0.016224	+34.53%	0.1207	✓	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.010686	+2.58%	0.011992	+15.13%	0.1178	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.009863	+2.74%	0.012992	+35.34%	0.3033	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.012181	+1.29%	0.011416	-5.07%	0.0277	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.012897	+0.82%	0.009685	-24.28%	0.2747	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015575	-0.65%	0.008004	-48.95%	0.6207	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.021762	-4.86%	0.010047	-56.08%	0.7402	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.018	-2.02%	0.01206	-34.36%	0.3691	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.023423	-4.57%	0.010417	-57.56%	0.7504	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.018589	-2.87%	0.0096	-49.84%	0.6734	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.020242	-3.67%	0.012026	-42.77%	0.5342	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.024036	-4.85%	0.012792	-49.36%	0.6375	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.025083	-7.08%	0.015676	-41.93%	0.5039	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.020634	-6.92%	0.022874	+3.19%	0.0828	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.014039	-1.71%	0.018372	+28.63%	0.2457	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016373	-1.73%	0.024546	+47.33%	0.3927	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.021932	-4.02%	0.019138	-16.25%	0.1143	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.019016	-3.53%	0.021014	+6.61%	0.1144	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.018164	-3.98%	0.025262	+33.55%	0.3352	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.015505	-3.99%	0.026994	+67.15%	0.5553	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013232	-3.55%	0.022167	+61.58%	0.5008	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.012784	-4.09%	0.014283	+7.16%	0.1171	✗	1.00