HMM
Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s6
- token id
- #766
- symbol
- HMM
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-12
- predictions
- 189
Track record at +30d
assessed
33
of 63 predictions shown
direction hit
100.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3589
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1114
actual -0.4630
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.007225 | 0.00665 | -7.95% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.007181 | 0.006678 | -7.00% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.006935 | 0.006485 | -6.49% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006911 | 0.006439 | -6.84% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.007476 | 0.006911 | -7.57% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008448 | 0.007641 | -9.55% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.008892 | 0.007975 | -10.32% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.008617 | 0.007784 | -9.67% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009034 | 0.008047 | -10.93% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.008849 | 0.007902 | -10.70% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.008725 | 0.007843 | -10.11% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009124 | 0.007992 | -12.41% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.010989 | 0.008979 | -18.30% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010006 | 0.008497 | -15.08% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.008488 | 0.007721 | -9.04% | – | pending | – | – | 3.54 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.010855 | 0.009053 | -16.60% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012157 | 0.009605 | -20.99% | – | pending | – | – | 3.44 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.011895 | 0.009429 | -20.73% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.013768 | 0.010506 | -23.69% | – | pending | – | – | 3.41 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.014797 | 0.010828 | -26.82% | – | pending | – | – | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.013097 | 0.009821 | -25.01% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014907 | 0.010669 | -28.43% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.011815 | 0.009064 | -23.29% | – | pending | – | – | 3.38 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.012816 | 0.009509 | -25.81% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.010778 | 0.008524 | -20.91% | – | pending | – | – | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011668 | 0.008996 | -22.90% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.014306 | 0.01036 | -27.58% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.013554 | 0.009775 | -27.88% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.009953 | 0.008138 | -18.24% | – | pending | – | – | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.009004 | 0.0077 | -14.49% | – | pending | – | – | 3.53 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.008103 | -14.38% | 0.007225 | -23.67% | 0.0309 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012424 | 0.009906 | -20.26% | 0.007181 | -42.20% | 0.2159 | ✓ | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01087 | 0.008835 | -18.72% | 0.006935 | -36.20% | 0.3212 | ✓ | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011822 | 0.009386 | -20.61% | 0.006911 | -41.54% | 0.3330 | ✓ | 3.63 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.016224 | 0.012166 | -25.02% | 0.007476 | -53.92% | 0.5370 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.011992 | 0.009784 | -18.42% | 0.008448 | -29.55% | 0.3554 | ✓ | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.012992 | 0.010485 | -19.30% | 0.008892 | -31.55% | 0.3863 | ✓ | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011416 | 0.009537 | -16.46% | 0.008617 | -24.52% | 0.3707 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009685 | 0.008479 | -12.45% | 0.009034 | -6.73% | 0.1034 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.008004 | 0.007385 | -7.73% | 0.008849 | +10.56% | 0.1201 | ✓ | 3.82 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.010047 | 0.009024 | -10.19% | 0.008725 | -13.16% | 0.2430 | ✓ | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.01206 | 0.010579 | -12.28% | 0.009124 | -24.34% | 0.4433 | ✓ | 3.67 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.010417 | 0.009423 | -9.54% | 0.010989 | +5.50% | 0.0738 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0096 | 0.009058 | -5.64% | 0.010006 | +4.23% | 0.0466 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.012026 | 0.011192 | -6.94% | 0.008488 | -29.42% | 0.3171 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012792 | 0.012118 | -5.27% | 0.010855 | -15.14% | 0.1616 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.015676 | 0.015002 | -4.30% | 0.012157 | -22.45% | 0.2730 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.022874 | 0.02109 | -7.80% | 0.011895 | -47.99% | 0.6441 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.018372 | 0.017456 | -4.99% | 0.013768 | -25.06% | 0.3196 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.024546 | 0.022772 | -7.23% | 0.014797 | -39.72% | 0.4730 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.019138 | 0.017775 | -7.12% | 0.013097 | -31.57% | 0.3944 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.021014 | 0.019234 | -8.47% | 0.014907 | -29.06% | 0.3467 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.025262 | 0.022755 | -9.92% | 0.011815 | -53.23% | 0.7170 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.026994 | 0.023709 | -12.17% | 0.012816 | -52.52% | 0.6892 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.022167 | 0.019955 | -9.98% | 0.010778 | -51.38% | 0.6806 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014283 | 0.013687 | -4.17% | 0.011668 | -18.31% | 0.2413 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016661 | 0.016004 | -3.94% | 0.014306 | -14.13% | 0.1625 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.02285 | 0.020943 | -8.34% | 0.013554 | -40.68% | 0.4973 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.019711 | 0.018256 | -7.38% | 0.009953 | -49.51% | 0.6786 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.018916 | 0.017631 | -6.79% | 0.009004 | -52.40% | 0.7381 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.01615 | 0.015145 | -6.23% | 0.009465 | -41.39% | 0.5735 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.013719 | 0.012984 | -5.36% | 0.012424 | -9.44% | 0.1609 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.013329 | 0.012733 | -4.47% | 0.01087 | -18.45% | 0.1938 | ✓ | 1.00 |