HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s6

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 189

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

50.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1361

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0150

actual -0.0142

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.007225	0.007163	-0.85%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-21	oos	0.007181	0.00715	-0.42%	0.007225	+0.61%	0.0026	✓	3.36
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006945	+0.15%	0.007181	+3.54%	0.0103	✗	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006945	+0.49%	0.006935	+0.35%	0.0462	✗	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007498	+0.29%	0.006911	-7.56%	0.0746	✗	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008422	-0.31%	0.007476	-11.50%	0.1448	✓	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008826	-0.75%	0.008448	-5.00%	0.0389	✓	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008569	-0.55%	0.008892	+3.20%	0.0629	✗	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.00895	-0.93%	0.008617	-4.62%	0.0610	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008735	-1.28%	0.009034	+2.10%	0.0985	✗	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008665	-0.69%	0.008849	+1.42%	0.0365	✓	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.008973	-1.65%	0.008725	-4.37%	0.0550	✗	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010654	-3.05%	0.009124	-16.98%	0.1880	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009774	-2.32%	0.010989	+9.83%	0.1014	✗	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.008467	-0.25%	0.010006	+17.88%	0.1302	✗	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.01065	-1.89%	0.008488	-21.81%	0.1612	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.011841	-2.60%	0.010855	-10.71%	0.0052	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.011621	-2.31%	0.012157	+2.20%	0.0536	✗	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.013393	-2.72%	0.011895	-13.60%	0.0886	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.014284	-3.46%	0.013768	-6.95%	0.1083	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.012709	-2.96%	0.014797	+12.98%	0.1423	✗	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.014278	-4.22%	0.013097	-12.15%	0.0723	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.01148	-2.84%	0.014907	+26.17%	0.2094	✗	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.012359	-3.57%	0.011815	-7.81%	0.0417	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.01053	-2.30%	0.012816	+18.92%	0.1891	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.011382	-2.45%	0.010778	-7.63%	0.0139	✓	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.013786	-3.64%	0.011668	-18.44%	0.1686	✓	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.012953	-4.44%	0.014306	+5.55%	0.0865	✗	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.009708	-2.46%	0.013554	+36.18%	0.3458	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008858	-1.63%	0.009953	+10.54%	0.1163	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.009301	-1.73%	0.009004	-4.87%	0.0446	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.012084	-2.73%	0.009465	-23.81%	0.2282	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.010777	-0.85%	0.012424	+14.30%	0.0942	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011701	-1.02%	0.01087	-8.05%	0.0704	✓	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.015659	-3.48%	0.011822	-27.14%	0.2971	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.011943	-0.40%	0.016224	+35.29%	0.1181	✗	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012821	-1.32%	0.011992	-7.70%	0.0756	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011325	-0.80%	0.012992	+13.81%	0.1133	✗	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009656	-0.30%	0.011416	+17.87%	0.2998	✗	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.008083	+1.00%	0.009685	+21.02%	0.1131	✓	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.010078	+0.31%	0.008004	-20.34%	0.2082	✗	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.011957	-0.85%	0.010047	-16.69%	0.1766	✓	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.01044	+0.22%	0.01206	+15.77%	0.1355	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.009652	+0.55%	0.010417	+8.51%	0.0987	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.012038	+0.10%	0.0096	-20.18%	0.2242	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.012798	+0.05%	0.012026	-5.99%	0.0541	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015607	-0.45%	0.012792	-18.40%	0.1832	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.022372	-2.19%	0.015676	-31.46%	0.3620	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.01823	-0.77%	0.022874	+24.50%	0.2250	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.024057	-1.99%	0.018372	-25.15%	0.2498	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.018974	-0.86%	0.024546	+28.26%	0.2076	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.020798	-1.03%	0.019138	-8.93%	0.0820	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.024871	-1.55%	0.021014	-16.82%	0.1536	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.026179	-3.02%	0.025262	-6.42%	0.0471	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.021332	-3.76%	0.026994	+21.78%	0.2427	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.014216	-0.47%	0.022167	+55.20%	0.4392	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016572	-0.54%	0.014283	-14.27%	0.1178	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.022516	-1.46%	0.016661	-27.09%	0.3168	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.019469	-1.23%	0.02285	+15.93%	0.1538	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.018606	-1.64%	0.019711	+4.20%	0.0635	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.015879	-1.68%	0.018916	+17.13%	0.1590	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013533	-1.36%	0.01615	+17.72%	0.1681	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.013082	-1.85%	0.013719	+2.93%	0.0639	✗	1.00