GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s6

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

144

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

62.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0816

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0149

actual -0.0284

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.300154	-2.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.299052	-2.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.293593	-2.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.295495	-2.28%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.292774	-2.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.299477	-2.00%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.294916	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.311811	-2.21%	0.3071	-3.69%	0.0148	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.311159	-2.03%	0.3057	-3.75%	0.0178	✓	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.321372	-2.45%	0.30015	-8.89%	0.0683	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.328805	-2.11%	0.3024	-9.97%	0.0841	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.337712	-2.40%	0.29965	-13.40%	0.1193	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.334584	-2.40%	0.3056	-10.85%	0.0904	✓	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.314799	-2.02%	0.30045	-6.49%	0.0467	✓	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.319518	-1.38%	0.31885	-1.59%	0.0021	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.325078	-0.79%	0.3176	-3.07%	0.0238	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.326374	-0.63%	0.32945	+0.30%	0.0100	✗	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.319342	-0.13%	0.3359	+5.05%	0.0513	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.323981	-0.42%	0.346	+6.35%	0.0664	✗	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.325209	-0.53%	0.3428	+4.85%	0.0533	✗	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.317219	-0.36%	0.3213	+0.93%	0.0141	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.321325	-0.40%	0.324	+0.43%	0.0084	✗	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.318308	-0.36%	0.32765	+2.57%	0.0283	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.315422	-0.43%	0.32845	+3.68%	0.0397	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.327692	-0.46%	0.31975	-2.87%	0.0248	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.340701	-0.60%	0.32535	-5.08%	0.0462	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.34666	-0.67%	0.32695	-6.32%	0.0586	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.35245	-0.65%	0.31835	-10.26%	0.1018	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.340585	-0.59%	0.3226	-5.84%	0.0541	✓	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.350688	-0.50%	0.31945	-9.36%	0.0938	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.357403	-0.40%	0.3168	-11.72%	0.1206	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.366447	-2.20%	0.3292	-12.14%	0.1107	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.336691	-1.22%	0.34275	+0.56%	0.0143	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.334605	-1.64%	0.349	+2.59%	0.0383	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.347093	-3.72%	0.35475	-1.60%	0.0006	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.29869	-1.23%	0.3426	+13.29%	0.1139	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.300313	-1.08%	0.35245	+16.09%	0.1198	✗	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.297433	-0.46%	0.35885	+20.10%	0.1517	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.293879	-0.53%	0.3747	+26.82%	0.2236	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.295616	-0.48%	0.34085	+14.74%	0.1261	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.303771	-0.12%	0.3402	+11.85%	0.0958	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.287303	+0.07%	0.3605	+25.57%	0.2278	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.290088	+0.53%	0.3024	+4.80%	0.0518	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.304958	+0.33%	0.3036	-0.12%	0.0089	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.293797	+0.55%	0.2988	+2.26%	0.0211	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.298344	+0.72%	0.29545	-0.25%	0.0070	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.30164	+0.43%	0.29705	-1.10%	0.0031	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.295272	+0.67%	0.30415	+3.70%	0.0458	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.295069	+1.31%	0.2871	-1.42%	0.0051	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.288472	+0.90%	0.28855	+0.93%	0.0058	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.280547	+1.17%	0.30395	+9.61%	0.0733	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.287017	+1.17%	0.2922	+3.00%	0.0143	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.284811	+1.09%	0.2962	+5.13%	0.0311	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.287526	+1.06%	0.30035	+5.57%	0.0388	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.285646	+1.06%	0.2933	+3.77%	0.0208	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.308869	+1.43%	0.29125	-4.35%	0.0612	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.310518	+1.06%	0.2859	-6.95%	0.0777	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.312062	+1.22%	0.2773	-10.06%	0.1144	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.316648	+1.29%	0.2837	-9.25%	0.1087	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.327199	+0.99%	0.28175	-13.04%	0.1494	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.336822	+0.72%	0.2845	-14.92%	0.1718	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.34431	+0.87%	0.28265	-17.20%	0.1961	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.309771	-0.43%	0.3045	-2.12%	0.0225	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.323626	-1.66%	0.30725	-6.64%	0.0338	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.354826	-2.64%	0.3083	-15.41%	0.1571	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.357871	-2.69%	0.3126	-15.00%	0.1555	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.354793	-2.65%	0.324	-11.10%	0.1104	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.362165	-2.72%	0.3344	-10.18%	0.0971	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.358861	-2.64%	0.34135	-7.39%	0.0740	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.382256	-2.76%	0.3111	-20.86%	0.2181	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.365186	-2.88%	0.3291	-12.47%	0.1113	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.36175	-2.99%	0.36445	-2.27%	0.0060	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.353109	-2.98%	0.36775	+1.04%	0.0399	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.335302	-2.83%	0.36445	+5.62%	0.0868	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.335528	-3.10%	0.3723	+7.52%	0.1073	✗	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.331121	-3.07%	0.3686	+7.90%	0.1105	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.328257	-3.07%	0.3931	+16.08%	0.1816	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.346043	-3.42%	0.376	+4.94%	0.0849	✗	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.337605	-3.42%	0.3729	+6.68%	0.1001	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.331563	-3.36%	0.36395	+6.08%	0.0926	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.318058	-3.02%	0.34505	+5.21%	0.0799	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.313654	-2.44%	0.34625	+7.70%	0.0968	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.321551	-2.17%	0.3416	+3.92%	0.0584	✗	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.323703	-2.18%	0.33865	+2.34%	0.0456	✗	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.3232	-1.87%	0.3583	+8.79%	0.1025	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.343691	-1.80%	0.34955	-0.13%	0.0167	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.361288	-1.76%	0.3431	-6.70%	0.0514	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.369057	-1.81%	0.32795	-12.74%	0.1164	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.363361	-1.99%	0.3215	-13.28%	0.1212	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.355548	-1.70%	0.3287	-9.12%	0.0777	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.346963	-1.63%	0.3309	-6.18%	0.0471	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.349412	-1.73%	0.32935	-7.37%	0.0573	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.355401	-2.19%	0.35	-3.67%	0.0132	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.319555	-1.34%	0.36775	+13.54%	0.1391	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.312676	-1.29%	0.37585	+18.66%	0.1847	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.31498	-1.34%	0.37075	+16.13%	0.1625	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.320306	-1.38%	0.3617	+11.36%	0.1217	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.327513	-1.57%	0.3527	+6.00%	0.0753	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.327144	-1.73%	0.35555	+6.80%	0.0845	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.325851	-1.63%	0.36335	+9.69%	0.1103	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.322831	-1.29%	0.3239	-0.96%	0.0081	✓	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.333619	-1.41%	0.31675	-6.40%	0.0500	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.340699	-1.30%	0.31925	-7.52%	0.0630	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.343591	-1.17%	0.3248	-6.57%	0.0567	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.344902	-1.00%	0.33275	-4.49%	0.0346	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.352208	-0.94%	0.3329	-6.37%	0.0516	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.370858	-1.05%	0.33125	-11.62%	0.1089	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.372534	-1.05%	0.32705	-13.13%	0.1345	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.377728	-1.05%	0.3384	-11.36%	0.1096	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.383578	-1.06%	0.3452	-10.96%	0.1039	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.380067	-1.02%	0.34765	-9.47%	0.0852	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.384817	-1.02%	0.3484	-10.39%	0.0954	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.390662	-1.02%	0.35555	-9.92%	0.0890	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.390984	-0.94%	0.3748	-5.04%	0.0303	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.389629	-1.07%	0.3765	-4.41%	0.0251	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.374978	-0.88%	0.38175	+0.91%	0.0312	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.373863	-0.92%	0.3877	+2.74%	0.0465	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.386554	-1.05%	0.384	-1.70%	0.0012	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.387335	-1.01%	0.3888	-0.64%	0.0094	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.376647	-1.12%	0.3947	+3.62%	0.0440	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.385393	-1.46%	0.3947	+0.92%	0.0103	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.392988	-1.74%	0.39385	-1.53%	0.0112	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.403849	-1.74%	0.3783	-7.96%	0.0775	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.408638	-1.98%	0.37735	-9.49%	0.0938	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.394666	-1.91%	0.39065	-2.91%	0.0246	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.36596	-1.73%	0.3913	+5.08%	0.0488	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.405466	-2.30%	0.3809	-8.22%	0.0894	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.416216	-2.59%	0.3911	-8.47%	0.0860	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.423622	-2.77%	0.39995	-8.21%	0.0760	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.479019	-2.93%	0.411	-16.72%	0.1684	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.436085	-2.58%	0.4169	-6.87%	0.0418	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.443688	-2.48%	0.40235	-11.56%	0.0968	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.460134	-2.60%	0.3724	-21.17%	0.2007	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.461817	-1.97%	0.415	-11.91%	0.1545	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.446342	-1.40%	0.4273	-5.61%	0.1054	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.455125	-1.85%	0.4357	-6.04%	0.0933	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.459575	-1.74%	0.4935	+5.52%	0.0340	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.411616	+1.51%	0.44765	+10.39%	0.0268	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.440783	+1.19%	0.45495	+4.44%	0.0086	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.430057	-0.01%	0.4724	+9.83%	0.0977	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.476425	-0.66%	0.4711	-1.77%	0.0301	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.495521	-2.65%	0.4527	-11.06%	0.0129	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.427171	-4.29%	0.4637	+3.90%	0.2050	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.428031	-5.11%	0.4677	+3.68%	0.2390	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.452067	-5.18%	0.4055	-14.94%	0.0838	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.429642	-5.27%	0.4356	-3.96%	0.1978	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.593459	-5.48%	0.4301	-31.50%	0.1803	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.671604	-5.76%	0.4796	-32.70%	0.1879	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.632539	-5.64%	0.509	-24.07%	0.0884	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.604604	-4.95%	0.4463	-29.84%	0.2236	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.675242	-6.61%	0.4511	-37.61%	0.3582	✓	1.00