GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s6

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

151

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

56.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0339

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0048

actual -0.0047

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3105	0.308838	-0.54%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.3103	0.309031	-0.41%	0.3105	+0.06%	0.0050	✗	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.304633	-0.35%	0.3103	+1.50%	0.0197	✗	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.299616	-0.18%	0.3057	+1.85%	0.0214	✗	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.302159	-0.08%	0.30015	-0.74%	0.0068	✓	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.299782	+0.04%	0.3024	+0.92%	0.0090	✓	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.305908	+0.10%	0.29965	-1.95%	0.0207	✗	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.300986	+0.18%	0.3056	+1.71%	0.0149	✓	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.318576	-0.09%	0.30045	-5.77%	0.0584	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.317499	-0.03%	0.31885	+0.39%	0.0037	✗	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.328549	-0.27%	0.3176	-3.60%	0.0336	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.334891	-0.30%	0.32945	-1.92%	0.0168	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.344368	-0.47%	0.3359	-2.92%	0.0250	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.340895	-0.56%	0.346	+0.93%	0.0148	✗	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.319716	-0.49%	0.3428	+6.69%	0.0697	✗	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.322526	-0.46%	0.3213	-0.83%	0.0039	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.326354	-0.40%	0.324	-1.11%	0.0077	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.327053	-0.43%	0.32765	-0.24%	0.0019	✓	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.318948	-0.25%	0.32845	+2.72%	0.0296	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.324019	-0.41%	0.31975	-1.72%	0.0139	✓	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.325313	-0.50%	0.32535	-0.49%	0.0000	✓	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.317006	-0.42%	0.32695	+2.70%	0.0310	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.321269	-0.41%	0.31835	-1.32%	0.0097	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.318314	-0.36%	0.3226	+0.99%	0.0134	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.315658	-0.36%	0.31945	+0.84%	0.0119	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.32773	-0.45%	0.3168	-3.77%	0.0338	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.340919	-0.53%	0.3292	-3.95%	0.0350	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.34694	-0.59%	0.34275	-1.79%	0.0122	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.352444	-0.65%	0.349	-1.62%	0.0098	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.340287	-0.68%	0.35475	+3.55%	0.0416	✗	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.349115	-0.95%	0.3426	-2.79%	0.0192	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.355534	-0.92%	0.35245	-1.78%	0.0087	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.36778	-1.85%	0.35885	-4.23%	0.0303	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.33751	-0.98%	0.3747	+9.93%	0.1046	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.33609	-1.21%	0.34085	+0.19%	0.0136	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.351373	-2.53%	0.3402	-5.63%	0.0445	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.301431	-0.32%	0.3605	+19.21%	0.1783	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.302418	-0.39%	0.3024	-0.40%	0.0023	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.298196	-0.20%	0.3036	+1.61%	0.0298	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.294762	-0.23%	0.2988	+1.13%	0.0074	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.296379	-0.23%	0.29545	-0.54%	0.0012	✓	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.303263	-0.29%	0.29705	-2.33%	0.0210	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.286863	-0.08%	0.30415	+5.94%	0.0554	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.288738	+0.07%	0.2871	-0.50%	0.0026	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.303496	-0.15%	0.28855	-5.07%	0.0497	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.292377	+0.06%	0.30395	+4.02%	0.0418	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.29671	+0.17%	0.2922	-1.35%	0.0095	✗	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.300501	+0.05%	0.2962	-1.38%	0.0168	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.294035	+0.25%	0.30035	+2.40%	0.0202	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.292937	+0.58%	0.2933	+0.70%	0.0119	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.287005	+0.39%	0.29125	+1.87%	0.0096	✗	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.278881	+0.57%	0.2859	+3.10%	0.0255	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.285499	+0.63%	0.2773	-2.26%	0.0211	✗	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.283617	+0.66%	0.2837	+0.69%	0.0025	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.28659	+0.73%	0.28175	-0.97%	0.0153	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.284839	+0.77%	0.2845	+0.65%	0.0024	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.306501	+0.66%	0.28265	-7.18%	0.0749	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.30902	+0.58%	0.3045	-0.90%	0.0182	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.310322	+0.66%	0.30725	-0.34%	0.0116	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.314558	+0.63%	0.3083	-1.38%	0.0188	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.325809	+0.56%	0.3126	-3.52%	0.0446	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.336003	+0.48%	0.324	-3.11%	0.0381	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.342842	+0.44%	0.3344	-2.04%	0.0216	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.312465	+0.44%	0.34135	+9.72%	0.0845	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.328952	-0.05%	0.3111	-5.47%	0.0486	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.361896	-0.70%	0.3291	-9.70%	0.1009	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.365236	-0.68%	0.36445	-0.90%	0.0025	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.36226	-0.60%	0.36775	+0.91%	0.0127	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.369857	-0.66%	0.36445	-2.11%	0.0145	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.366363	-0.61%	0.3723	+1.00%	0.0160	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.389822	-0.83%	0.3686	-6.23%	0.0554	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.373061	-0.78%	0.3931	+4.55%	0.0523	✗	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.369582	-0.89%	0.376	+0.83%	0.0174	✗	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.360337	-0.99%	0.3729	+2.46%	0.0348	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.342022	-0.88%	0.36395	+5.48%	0.0637	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.342825	-0.99%	0.34505	-0.35%	0.0066	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.338445	-0.92%	0.34625	+1.36%	0.0228	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.335719	-0.87%	0.3416	+0.87%	0.0164	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.354328	-1.11%	0.33865	-5.48%	0.0447	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.345655	-1.11%	0.3583	+2.50%	0.0352	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.339138	-1.15%	0.34955	+1.88%	0.0295	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.324993	-0.90%	0.3431	+4.62%	0.0543	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.319485	-0.63%	0.32795	+2.01%	0.0254	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.326789	-0.58%	0.3215	-2.19%	0.0163	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.329302	-0.48%	0.3287	-0.66%	0.0000	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.328126	-0.37%	0.3309	+0.47%	0.0077	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.348463	-0.44%	0.32935	-5.90%	0.0565	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.365786	-0.53%	0.35	-4.83%	0.0443	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.374033	-0.48%	0.36775	-2.16%	0.0154	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.367919	-0.76%	0.37585	+1.38%	0.0205	✗	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.359467	-0.62%	0.37075	+2.50%	0.0308	✗	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.350915	-0.51%	0.3617	+2.55%	0.0311	✗	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.353712	-0.52%	0.3527	-0.80%	0.0020	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.36003	-0.91%	0.35555	-2.15%	0.0122	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.322501	-0.43%	0.36335	+12.18%	0.1204	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.315408	-0.42%	0.3239	+2.26%	0.0271	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.317975	-0.40%	0.31675	-0.78%	0.0040	✓	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.323537	-0.39%	0.31925	-1.71%	0.0124	✓	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.331327	-0.43%	0.3248	-2.39%	0.0198	✓	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.331559	-0.40%	0.33275	-0.05%	0.0027	✓	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.329927	-0.40%	0.3329	+0.50%	0.0087	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.325709	-0.41%	0.33125	+1.28%	0.0213	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.337065	-0.39%	0.32705	-3.35%	0.0332	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.344093	-0.32%	0.3384	-1.97%	0.0167	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.346965	-0.20%	0.3452	-0.70%	0.0058	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.347734	-0.19%	0.34765	-0.22%	0.0018	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.354738	-0.23%	0.3484	-2.01%	0.0162	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.37353	-0.34%	0.35555	-5.14%	0.0520	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.375327	-0.31%	0.3748	-0.45%	0.0031	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.380508	-0.33%	0.3765	-1.38%	0.0096	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.386328	-0.35%	0.38175	-1.53%	0.0108	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.38277	-0.32%	0.3877	+0.96%	0.0142	✗	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.387382	-0.36%	0.384	-1.23%	0.0063	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.392948	-0.44%	0.3888	-1.49%	0.0071	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.392486	-0.56%	0.3947	+0.00%	0.0093	✗	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.391719	-0.54%	0.3947	+0.22%	0.0035	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.376352	-0.51%	0.39385	+4.11%	0.0477	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.375399	-0.52%	0.3783	+0.25%	0.0062	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.388385	-0.58%	0.37735	-3.40%	0.0290	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.388932	-0.61%	0.39065	-0.17%	0.0054	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.378952	-0.51%	0.3913	+2.73%	0.0285	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.389241	-0.48%	0.3809	-2.61%	0.0270	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.398073	-0.47%	0.3911	-2.21%	0.0222	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.408869	-0.52%	0.39995	-2.69%	0.0198	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.4146	-0.55%	0.411	-1.42%	0.0119	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.400276	-0.52%	0.4169	+3.62%	0.0437	✗	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.371054	-0.36%	0.40235	+8.04%	0.0843	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.413088	-0.46%	0.3724	-10.27%	0.1157	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.425283	-0.47%	0.415	-2.88%	0.0337	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.43374	-0.45%	0.4273	-1.93%	0.0202	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.490079	-0.69%	0.4357	-11.71%	0.1142	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.445357	-0.51%	0.4935	+10.24%	0.0830	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.45252	-0.53%	0.44765	-1.60%	0.0248	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.4693	-0.66%	0.45495	-3.69%	0.0307	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.467348	-0.80%	0.4724	+0.28%	0.0231	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.449793	-0.64%	0.4711	+4.06%	0.0502	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.45992	-0.82%	0.4527	-2.37%	0.0063	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.462228	-1.17%	0.4637	-0.86%	0.0070	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.404756	-0.18%	0.4677	+15.34%	0.1050	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.433992	-0.37%	0.4055	-6.91%	0.0649	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.427866	-0.52%	0.4356	+1.28%	0.0624	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.474553	-1.05%	0.4301	-10.32%	0.0947	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.497394	-2.28%	0.4796	-5.78%	0.0036	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.441956	-0.97%	0.509	+14.05%	0.2088	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.447088	-0.89%	0.4463	-1.06%	0.0294	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.472141	-0.97%	0.4511	-5.38%	0.0429	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.450973	-0.57%	0.47675	+5.12%	0.0501	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.619336	-1.36%	0.45355	-27.76%	0.3096	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.698195	-2.03%	0.62785	-11.90%	0.0953	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.654318	-2.39%	0.71265	+6.31%	0.1055	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.623567	-1.97%	0.67035	+5.38%	0.0909	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.695702	-3.78%	0.6361	-12.03%	0.0931	✓	1.00