GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s6

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

121

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

81.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1164

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0416

actual -0.0865

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.286287	-6.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.285879	-6.48%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.280371	-6.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.282291	-6.65%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.27855	-7.04%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.286097	-6.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.281873	-6.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.296779	-6.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.296476	-6.65%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.304026	-7.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.313338	-6.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.320615	-7.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.316645	-7.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.296501	-7.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.304689	-5.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.314091	-4.14%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.315939	-3.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.311994	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.314347	-3.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.314864	-3.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.307973	-3.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.311791	-3.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.309165	-3.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.307168	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.319905	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.333348	-2.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.340797	-2.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.34894	-1.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.34067	-0.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.357955	+1.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.366075	+2.01%	0.3071	-14.42%	0.1757	✗	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.365967	-2.33%	0.3057	-18.41%	0.1819	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.336675	-1.22%	0.30015	-11.94%	0.1155	✓	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.335702	-1.32%	0.3024	-11.11%	0.1058	✓	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.339955	-5.70%	0.29965	-16.88%	0.1397	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.290579	-3.91%	0.3056	+1.06%	0.0350	✓	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.292447	-3.67%	0.30045	-1.04%	0.0016	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.293495	-1.78%	0.31885	+6.71%	0.0679	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.288951	-2.20%	0.3176	+7.50%	0.0669	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.291128	-1.99%	0.32945	+10.91%	0.1053	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.301137	-0.99%	0.3359	+10.44%	0.0789	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.284264	-0.99%	0.346	+20.52%	0.1678	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.290097	+0.54%	0.3428	+18.80%	0.1474	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.304088	+0.05%	0.3213	+5.71%	0.0405	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.293861	+0.57%	0.324	+10.88%	0.0788	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.299821	+1.22%	0.32765	+10.62%	0.0654	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.301382	+0.34%	0.32845	+9.36%	0.0593	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.295675	+0.81%	0.31975	+9.02%	0.0359	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.300517	+3.18%	0.32535	+11.71%	0.0567	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.290915	+1.75%	0.32695	+14.36%	0.0735	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.284908	+2.74%	0.31835	+14.80%	0.0644	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.291507	+2.75%	0.3226	+13.71%	0.0680	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.28898	+2.57%	0.31945	+13.38%	0.0824	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.292513	+2.82%	0.3168	+11.35%	0.0643	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.291018	+2.96%	0.3292	+16.47%	0.1036	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.318026	+4.44%	0.34275	+12.56%	0.0649	✓	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.317391	+3.30%	0.349	+13.59%	0.0810	✓	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.321692	+4.34%	0.35475	+15.07%	0.0793	✓	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.328139	+4.97%	0.3426	+9.60%	0.0287	✓	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.337634	+4.21%	0.35245	+8.78%	0.0223	✓	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.345646	+3.36%	0.35885	+7.31%	0.0147	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.355781	+4.23%	0.3747	+9.77%	0.0446	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.310096	-0.32%	0.34085	+9.56%	0.0885	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.316079	-3.96%	0.3402	+3.37%	0.0949	✗	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.340519	-6.57%	0.3605	-1.08%	0.0429	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.343811	-6.51%	0.3024	-17.77%	0.1449	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.340733	-6.51%	0.3036	-16.70%	0.1324	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.34831	-6.44%	0.2988	-19.74%	0.1719	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.344877	-6.44%	0.29545	-19.85%	0.1765	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.367248	-6.58%	0.29705	-24.43%	0.2292	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.350521	-6.78%	0.30415	-19.11%	0.1580	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.347337	-6.86%	0.2871	-23.01%	0.2057	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.338685	-6.94%	0.28855	-20.72%	0.1775	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.320917	-6.99%	0.30395	-11.91%	0.0753	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.320496	-7.44%	0.2922	-15.61%	0.1143	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.316582	-7.32%	0.2962	-13.29%	0.0898	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.314002	-7.28%	0.30035	-11.31%	0.0670	✓	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.330432	-7.78%	0.2933	-18.14%	0.1399	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.322649	-7.70%	0.29125	-16.68%	0.1233	✓	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.316816	-7.66%	0.2859	-16.67%	0.1182	✓	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.30423	-7.23%	0.2773	-15.44%	0.1074	✓	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.301801	-6.13%	0.2837	-11.76%	0.0758	✓	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.311185	-5.33%	0.28175	-14.28%	0.1128	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.314229	-5.04%	0.2845	-14.02%	0.1113	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.314406	-4.54%	0.28265	-14.18%	0.1179	✓	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.334916	-4.31%	0.3045	-13.00%	0.1103	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.352541	-4.14%	0.30725	-16.45%	0.1537	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.361238	-3.89%	0.3083	-17.97%	0.1695	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.355406	-4.14%	0.3126	-15.68%	0.1383	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.346768	-4.13%	0.324	-10.42%	0.0759	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.339153	-3.84%	0.3344	-5.19%	0.0236	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.341839	-3.86%	0.34135	-3.99%	0.0106	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.348415	-4.11%	0.3111	-14.38%	0.1181	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.311728	-3.76%	0.3291	+1.61%	0.0577	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.304564	-3.85%	0.36445	+15.06%	0.1795	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.306754	-3.91%	0.36775	+15.19%	0.1810	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.311923	-3.96%	0.36445	+12.21%	0.1546	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.318284	-4.35%	0.3723	+11.89%	0.1560	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.317992	-4.48%	0.3686	+10.72%	0.1461	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.315497	-4.76%	0.3931	+18.67%	0.2185	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.312968	-4.31%	0.376	+14.97%	0.1854	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.323942	-4.27%	0.3729	+10.20%	0.1403	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.331983	-3.83%	0.36395	+5.43%	0.0922	✗	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.336191	-3.30%	0.34505	-0.75%	0.0275	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.337666	-3.08%	0.34625	-0.62%	0.0287	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.345238	-2.90%	0.3416	-3.92%	0.0055	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.362939	-3.16%	0.33865	-9.65%	0.0670	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.364989	-3.06%	0.3583	-4.83%	0.0171	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.370193	-3.03%	0.34955	-8.43%	0.0563	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.375969	-3.03%	0.3431	-11.50%	0.0906	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.372697	-2.94%	0.32795	-14.60%	0.1255	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.377095	-3.01%	0.3215	-17.31%	0.1564	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.382539	-3.08%	0.3287	-16.72%	0.1452	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.381923	-3.24%	0.3309	-16.16%	0.1281	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.380561	-3.37%	0.32935	-16.38%	0.1356	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.365612	-3.35%	0.35	-7.48%	0.0295	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.364021	-3.53%	0.36775	-2.54%	0.0223	✓	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.37642	-3.64%	0.37585	-3.79%	0.0146	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.377062	-3.64%	0.37075	-5.25%	0.0026	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.366306	-3.83%	0.3617	-5.04%	0.0044	✓	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.374957	-4.13%	0.3527	-9.82%	0.0537	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.381955	-4.50%	0.35555	-11.10%	0.0644	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.392431	-4.52%	0.36335	-11.59%	0.0670	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.396377	-4.92%	0.3239	-22.31%	0.1988	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.382063	-5.04%	0.31675	-21.28%	0.1827	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.352979	-5.22%	0.31925	-14.27%	0.0899	✓	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.391107	-5.76%	0.3248	-21.73%	0.1900	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.4008	-6.20%	0.33275	-22.13%	0.2007	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.407562	-6.46%	0.3329	-23.59%	0.2147	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.462117	-6.36%	0.33125	-32.88%	0.3373	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.419458	-6.30%	0.32705	-26.94%	0.2147	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.426927	-6.16%	0.3384	-25.62%	0.2356	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.441785	-6.48%	0.3452	-26.93%	0.2500	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.442648	-6.04%	0.34765	-26.20%	0.2843	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.424874	-6.15%	0.3484	-23.04%	0.2223	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.43231	-6.77%	0.35555	-23.32%	0.1823	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.435185	-6.95%	0.3748	-19.86%	0.1497	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.381615	-5.89%	0.3765	-7.15%	0.0640	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.409256	-6.05%	0.38175	-12.36%	0.1105	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.397965	-7.47%	0.3877	-9.86%	0.0148	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.443498	-7.53%	0.384	-19.93%	0.1200	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.462486	-9.14%	0.3888	-23.61%	0.0927	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.394633	-11.58%	0.3947	-11.56%	0.1736	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.396541	-12.09%	0.3947	-12.50%	0.2242	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.420999	-11.69%	0.39385	-17.39%	0.1372	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.398617	-12.11%	0.3783	-16.59%	0.1576	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.555678	-11.50%	0.37735	-39.90%	0.1828	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.627515	-11.95%	0.39065	-45.18%	0.2600	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.596201	-11.06%	0.3913	-41.63%	0.1821	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.574518	-9.68%	0.3809	-40.12%	0.1746	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.641973	-11.21%	0.3911	-45.91%	0.2896	✓	1.00