GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s6

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

150

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

55.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0339

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0034

actual -0.0049

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.305441	-0.54%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.304235	-0.48%	0.3071	+0.46%	0.0091	✗	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.298943	-0.40%	0.3057	+1.85%	0.0237	✗	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.301236	-0.38%	0.30015	-0.74%	0.0037	✓	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.298584	-0.36%	0.3024	+0.92%	0.0130	✗	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.304674	-0.30%	0.29965	-1.95%	0.0167	✓	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.299577	-0.29%	0.3056	+1.71%	0.0196	✗	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.317475	-0.43%	0.30045	-5.77%	0.0549	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.316289	-0.41%	0.31885	+0.39%	0.0075	✗	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.327713	-0.53%	0.3176	-3.60%	0.0311	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.334172	-0.51%	0.32945	-1.92%	0.0146	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.343956	-0.59%	0.3359	-2.92%	0.0238	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.340752	-0.60%	0.346	+0.93%	0.0152	✗	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.319782	-0.47%	0.3428	+6.69%	0.0695	✗	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.322645	-0.42%	0.3213	-0.83%	0.0042	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.326468	-0.36%	0.324	-1.11%	0.0081	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.327314	-0.35%	0.32765	-0.24%	0.0011	✓	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.319051	-0.22%	0.32845	+2.72%	0.0292	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.324463	-0.27%	0.31975	-1.72%	0.0152	✓	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.325878	-0.33%	0.32535	-0.49%	0.0017	✓	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.317488	-0.27%	0.32695	+2.70%	0.0295	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.32177	-0.26%	0.31835	-1.32%	0.0112	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.318697	-0.24%	0.3226	+0.99%	0.0122	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.315975	-0.26%	0.31945	+0.84%	0.0109	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.328253	-0.29%	0.3168	-3.77%	0.0354	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.341663	-0.32%	0.3292	-3.95%	0.0372	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.347921	-0.31%	0.34275	-1.79%	0.0150	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.35365	-0.31%	0.349	-1.62%	0.0132	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.341564	-0.30%	0.35475	+3.55%	0.0379	✗	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.350451	-0.57%	0.3426	-2.79%	0.0230	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.356809	-0.57%	0.35245	-1.78%	0.0123	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.370262	-1.18%	0.35885	-4.23%	0.0370	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.338879	-0.58%	0.3747	+9.93%	0.1006	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.337154	-0.90%	0.34085	+0.19%	0.0105	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.353918	-1.83%	0.3402	-5.63%	0.0518	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.30159	-0.27%	0.3605	+19.21%	0.1778	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.302863	-0.24%	0.3024	-0.40%	0.0038	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.29837	-0.14%	0.3036	+1.61%	0.0292	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.295017	-0.15%	0.2988	+1.13%	0.0065	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.296619	-0.15%	0.29545	-0.54%	0.0020	✓	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.303818	-0.11%	0.29705	-2.33%	0.0228	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.286963	-0.05%	0.30415	+5.94%	0.0550	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.288577	+0.01%	0.2871	-0.50%	0.0032	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.303747	-0.07%	0.28855	-5.07%	0.0506	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.292112	-0.03%	0.30395	+4.02%	0.0427	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.296102	-0.03%	0.2922	-1.35%	0.0074	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.299972	-0.13%	0.2962	-1.38%	0.0150	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.293053	-0.08%	0.30035	+2.40%	0.0236	✗	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.291415	+0.06%	0.2933	+0.70%	0.0171	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.286054	+0.05%	0.29125	+1.87%	0.0063	✗	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.277596	+0.11%	0.2859	+3.10%	0.0301	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.283947	+0.09%	0.2773	-2.26%	0.0156	✗	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.281998	+0.09%	0.2837	+0.69%	0.0033	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.284737	+0.08%	0.28175	-0.97%	0.0088	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.282898	+0.09%	0.2845	+0.65%	0.0044	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.304777	+0.09%	0.28265	-7.18%	0.0692	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.307357	+0.03%	0.3045	-0.90%	0.0129	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.308651	+0.11%	0.30725	-0.34%	0.0062	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.313024	+0.14%	0.3083	-1.38%	0.0139	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.32435	+0.11%	0.3126	-3.52%	0.0401	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.33462	+0.07%	0.324	-3.11%	0.0340	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.341628	+0.08%	0.3344	-2.04%	0.0181	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.310872	-0.07%	0.34135	+9.72%	0.0896	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.328109	-0.30%	0.3111	-5.47%	0.0460	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.36257	-0.52%	0.3291	-9.70%	0.1027	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.365921	-0.50%	0.36445	-0.90%	0.0043	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.362797	-0.45%	0.36775	+0.91%	0.0112	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.370456	-0.50%	0.36445	-2.11%	0.0161	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.3669	-0.46%	0.3723	+1.00%	0.0145	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.390882	-0.56%	0.3686	-6.23%	0.0581	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.373823	-0.58%	0.3931	+4.55%	0.0503	✗	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.370346	-0.68%	0.376	+0.83%	0.0153	✗	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.361467	-0.68%	0.3729	+2.46%	0.0316	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.34316	-0.55%	0.36395	+5.48%	0.0604	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.344184	-0.60%	0.34505	-0.35%	0.0026	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.33967	-0.56%	0.34625	+1.36%	0.0192	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.336869	-0.53%	0.3416	+0.87%	0.0129	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.356027	-0.63%	0.33865	-5.48%	0.0495	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.347317	-0.64%	0.3583	+2.50%	0.0304	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.340917	-0.64%	0.34955	+1.88%	0.0243	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.326311	-0.50%	0.3431	+4.62%	0.0502	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.320347	-0.36%	0.32795	+2.01%	0.0227	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.327686	-0.31%	0.3215	-2.19%	0.0190	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.32983	-0.32%	0.3287	-0.66%	0.0016	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.328519	-0.25%	0.3309	+0.47%	0.0065	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.349056	-0.27%	0.32935	-5.90%	0.0582	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.366652	-0.30%	0.35	-4.83%	0.0467	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.374445	-0.37%	0.36775	-2.16%	0.0165	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.368886	-0.50%	0.37585	+1.38%	0.0179	✗	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.360507	-0.33%	0.37075	+2.50%	0.0279	✗	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.351603	-0.31%	0.3617	+2.55%	0.0291	✗	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.354211	-0.38%	0.3527	-0.80%	0.0034	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.360737	-0.72%	0.35555	-2.15%	0.0142	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.32311	-0.24%	0.36335	+12.18%	0.1185	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.316037	-0.23%	0.3239	+2.26%	0.0252	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.318514	-0.23%	0.31675	-0.78%	0.0057	✓	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.3241	-0.22%	0.31925	-1.71%	0.0142	✓	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.33184	-0.27%	0.3248	-2.39%	0.0213	✓	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.331714	-0.36%	0.33275	-0.05%	0.0023	✓	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.330249	-0.30%	0.3329	+0.50%	0.0078	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.326419	-0.19%	0.33125	+1.28%	0.0191	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.337601	-0.24%	0.32705	-3.35%	0.0348	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.34454	-0.19%	0.3384	-1.97%	0.0180	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.347158	-0.14%	0.3452	-0.70%	0.0064	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.348	-0.11%	0.34765	-0.22%	0.0010	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.355112	-0.12%	0.3484	-2.01%	0.0173	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.374144	-0.18%	0.35555	-5.14%	0.0536	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.37587	-0.17%	0.3748	-0.45%	0.0045	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.381124	-0.16%	0.3765	-1.38%	0.0112	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.387063	-0.16%	0.38175	-1.53%	0.0127	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.383467	-0.14%	0.3877	+0.96%	0.0124	✗	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.38827	-0.14%	0.384	-1.23%	0.0086	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.394156	-0.14%	0.3888	-1.49%	0.0102	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.394206	-0.13%	0.3947	+0.00%	0.0050	✗	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.393204	-0.16%	0.3947	+0.22%	0.0003	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.377913	-0.10%	0.39385	+4.11%	0.0436	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.376944	-0.11%	0.3783	+0.25%	0.0021	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.39012	-0.14%	0.37735	-3.40%	0.0335	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.390847	-0.12%	0.39065	-0.17%	0.0005	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.380497	-0.11%	0.3913	+2.73%	0.0245	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.390463	-0.16%	0.3809	-2.61%	0.0302	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.399056	-0.22%	0.3911	-2.21%	0.0247	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.410023	-0.24%	0.39995	-2.69%	0.0227	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.415643	-0.30%	0.411	-1.42%	0.0144	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.401344	-0.25%	0.4169	+3.62%	0.0410	✗	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.371898	-0.13%	0.40235	+8.04%	0.0820	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.413639	-0.33%	0.3724	-10.27%	0.1170	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.425592	-0.40%	0.415	-2.88%	0.0344	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.433854	-0.42%	0.4273	-1.93%	0.0204	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.490636	-0.58%	0.4357	-11.71%	0.1153	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.446008	-0.37%	0.4935	+10.24%	0.0816	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.453438	-0.33%	0.44765	-1.60%	0.0268	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.470534	-0.39%	0.45495	-3.69%	0.0333	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.469818	-0.27%	0.4724	+0.28%	0.0284	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.452472	-0.05%	0.4711	+4.06%	0.0442	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.462959	-0.16%	0.4527	-2.37%	0.0003	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.466844	-0.18%	0.4637	-0.86%	0.0030	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.408556	+0.75%	0.4677	+15.34%	0.0957	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.438505	+0.67%	0.4055	-6.91%	0.0753	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.432134	+0.47%	0.4356	+1.28%	0.0524	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.480729	+0.24%	0.4301	-10.32%	0.1076	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.506805	-0.43%	0.4796	-5.78%	0.0151	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.44382	-0.56%	0.509	+14.05%	0.2045	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.447708	-0.75%	0.4463	-1.06%	0.0281	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.472721	-0.85%	0.4511	-5.38%	0.0442	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.450057	-0.77%	0.47675	+5.12%	0.0521	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.619621	-1.31%	0.45355	-27.76%	0.3100	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.70138	-1.58%	0.62785	-11.90%	0.0999	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.658333	-1.79%	0.71265	+6.31%	0.0994	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.625998	-1.59%	0.67035	+5.38%	0.0870	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.701471	-2.98%	0.6361	-12.03%	0.1014	✓	1.00