FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s6

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 150

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 50 predictions shown

direction hit

58.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1244

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0275

actual -0.0249

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04925	0.048664	-1.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-21	oos	0.05009	0.049547	-1.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.048515	-0.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.047846	+0.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.048112	+0.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.051159	+0.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.052548	-0.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.052557	-0.55%	0.04925	-6.81%	0.0867	✓	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.053482	-0.65%	0.05009	-6.95%	0.0913	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.058621	-2.65%	0.04858	-19.32%	0.1864	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.058095	-2.21%	0.04751	-20.02%	0.2020	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.064019	-4.18%	0.04779	-28.47%	0.2795	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.062615	-4.23%	0.05113	-21.80%	0.1910	✓	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.061854	-4.08%	0.05269	-18.29%	0.1524	✓	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.059658	-3.44%	0.05285	-14.45%	0.1243	✓	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.06166	-4.28%	0.05383	-16.43%	0.1239	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.065931	-4.46%	0.060215	-12.74%	0.0763	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.070146	-4.81%	0.059405	-19.39%	0.1431	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.067015	-4.40%	0.06681	-4.69%	0.0145	✓	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.069098	-5.12%	0.06538	-10.22%	0.0428	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.061255	-4.54%	0.064485	+0.49%	0.0647	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.06444	-4.75%	0.06178	-8.68%	0.0213	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.065286	-5.40%	0.064415	-6.67%	0.0115	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.062444	-5.42%	0.06901	+4.52%	0.0870	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.058014	-4.95%	0.07369	+20.73%	0.2236	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.065581	-5.00%	0.0701	+1.55%	0.0552	✗	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.063305	-5.34%	0.072825	+8.90%	0.1382	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.055769	-5.02%	0.06417	+9.29%	0.1380	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.056767	-4.91%	0.067655	+13.32%	0.1729	✗	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.056898	-4.71%	0.069015	+15.58%	0.2029	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.057507	-4.67%	0.066025	+9.45%	0.1683	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.058333	-4.47%	0.061035	-0.04%	0.0822	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.058837	-5.12%	0.06903	+11.31%	0.1199	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.066591	-5.48%	0.066875	-5.07%	0.0342	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.063231	-5.28%	0.058715	-12.04%	0.1131	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.060875	-5.03%	0.0597	-6.86%	0.1196	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.053114	-2.92%	0.05971	+9.14%	0.0144	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.044451	+1.64%	0.060325	+37.93%	0.1740	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.04907	-0.03%	0.06106	+24.40%	0.1163	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.048548	+0.76%	0.062015	+28.72%	0.1896	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.050762	+0.43%	0.07045	+39.38%	0.2776	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.051494	+0.78%	0.066755	+30.65%	0.2132	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.05265	+0.61%	0.0641	+22.49%	0.1992	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.051898	+1.01%	0.05471	+6.48%	0.0805	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.053898	+0.76%	0.043735	-18.24%	0.1718	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.055721	+0.71%	0.049085	-11.29%	0.1151	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.056587	+0.92%	0.04818	-14.07%	0.1158	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.055908	+1.40%	0.050545	-8.33%	0.0681	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.056394	+1.81%	0.051095	-7.75%	0.0672	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.060244	+2.07%	0.05233	-11.34%	0.0809	✗	1.00