FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s6

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 150

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 50 predictions shown

direction hit

59.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0473

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0079

actual -0.0047

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04925	0.048999	-0.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-21	oos	0.05009	0.049894	-0.39%	0.04925	-1.68%	0.0150	✓	0.87
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.048515	-0.13%	0.05009	+3.11%	0.0209	✗	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.047571	+0.13%	0.04858	+2.25%	0.0099	✓	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.047858	+0.14%	0.04751	-0.59%	0.0056	✗	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.051106	-0.05%	0.04779	-6.53%	0.0736	✓	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.052617	-0.14%	0.05113	-2.96%	0.0274	✓	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.052736	-0.22%	0.05269	-0.30%	0.0057	✗	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.053713	-0.22%	0.05285	-1.82%	0.0221	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.059732	-0.80%	0.05383	-10.60%	0.0896	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.059023	-0.64%	0.060215	+1.36%	0.0074	✗	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.065882	-1.39%	0.059405	-11.08%	0.0885	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.064505	-1.34%	0.06681	+2.19%	0.0293	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.063719	-1.19%	0.06538	+1.39%	0.0230	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.061218	-0.91%	0.064485	+4.38%	0.0458	✗	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.063691	-1.12%	0.06178	-4.09%	0.0195	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.068171	-1.22%	0.064415	-6.66%	0.0433	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.072653	-1.41%	0.06901	-6.35%	0.0503	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.069178	-1.32%	0.07369	+5.12%	0.0678	✗	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.071724	-1.51%	0.0701	-3.74%	0.0347	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.063427	-1.16%	0.072825	+13.49%	0.1366	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.06678	-1.29%	0.06417	-5.15%	0.0376	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.067959	-1.53%	0.067655	-1.97%	0.0132	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.064989	-1.57%	0.069015	+4.53%	0.0607	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.06023	-1.32%	0.066025	+8.18%	0.0906	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.068026	-1.45%	0.061035	-11.58%	0.1027	✓	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.06573	-1.71%	0.06903	+3.22%	0.0487	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.057848	-1.48%	0.066875	+13.90%	0.1432	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.05883	-1.46%	0.058715	-1.65%	0.0003	✓	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.058949	-1.27%	0.0597	-0.02%	0.0126	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.059513	-1.35%	0.05971	-1.02%	0.0246	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.060317	-1.22%	0.060325	-1.20%	0.0047	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.061223	-1.28%	0.06106	-1.54%	0.0675	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.069298	-1.64%	0.062015	-11.97%	0.1101	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.065661	-1.64%	0.07045	+5.54%	0.0660	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.062753	-2.10%	0.066755	+4.14%	0.0042	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.053916	-1.45%	0.0641	+17.16%	0.1703	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.043886	+0.35%	0.05471	+25.09%	0.2131	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.048991	-0.19%	0.043735	-10.90%	0.0798	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.048183	+0.01%	0.049085	+1.88%	0.0008	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.050471	-0.15%	0.04818	-4.68%	0.0404	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.051046	-0.10%	0.050545	-1.08%	0.0106	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.0522	-0.25%	0.051095	-2.36%	0.0301	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.05135	-0.06%	0.05233	+1.85%	0.0415	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.053411	-0.15%	0.05138	-3.94%	0.0367	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.055237	-0.17%	0.05349	-3.33%	0.0240	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.056017	-0.10%	0.05533	-1.32%	0.0033	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.055203	+0.12%	0.05607	+1.70%	0.0092	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.05555	+0.29%	0.055135	-0.46%	0.0095	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.059244	+0.37%	0.05539	-6.16%	0.0475	✗	1.00