FOLD
The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s6
- token id
- #290
- symbol
- FOLD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 147
Track record at +30d
assessed
19
of 49 predictions shown
direction hit
31.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1818
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0978
actual +0.0099
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.04772 | 0.043724 | -8.37% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04858 | 0.044482 | -8.44% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.04751 | 0.043477 | -8.49% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.04779 | 0.043507 | -8.96% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.05113 | 0.046153 | -9.73% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.05269 | 0.047233 | -10.36% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.05285 | 0.047008 | -11.05% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.05383 | 0.047604 | -11.57% | – | pending | – | – | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.060215 | 0.052688 | -12.50% | – | pending | – | – | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.059405 | 0.0518 | -12.80% | – | pending | – | – | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.06681 | 0.057713 | -13.62% | – | pending | – | – | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.06538 | 0.056242 | -13.98% | – | pending | – | – | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.064485 | 0.055409 | -14.08% | – | pending | – | – | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.06178 | 0.053 | -14.21% | – | pending | – | – | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.064415 | 0.055114 | -14.44% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.06901 | 0.059311 | -14.05% | – | pending | – | – | 0.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.07369 | 0.063357 | -14.02% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0701 | 0.060232 | -14.08% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.072825 | 0.062255 | -14.51% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.06417 | 0.05468 | -14.79% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.067655 | 0.057652 | -14.79% | – | pending | – | – | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069015 | 0.058411 | -15.37% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066025 | 0.055774 | -15.53% | – | pending | – | – | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.061035 | 0.051567 | -15.51% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.06903 | 0.058506 | -15.25% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.066875 | 0.056484 | -15.54% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.058715 | 0.049692 | -15.37% | – | pending | – | – | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0597 | 0.050712 | -15.06% | – | pending | – | – | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.05971 | 0.051044 | -14.51% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.060325 | 0.052182 | -13.50% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.06106 | 0.053391 | -12.56% | 0.04772 | -21.85% | 0.0662 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.062015 | 0.052798 | -14.86% | 0.04858 | -21.66% | 0.1049 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.07045 | 0.059702 | -15.26% | 0.04751 | -32.56% | 0.2358 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.066755 | 0.056936 | -14.71% | 0.04779 | -28.41% | 0.1890 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0641 | 0.053452 | -16.61% | 0.05113 | -20.23% | 0.1082 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.05471 | 0.047097 | -13.92% | 0.05269 | -3.69% | 0.0443 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.043735 | 0.039118 | -10.56% | 0.05285 | +20.84% | 0.2179 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.049085 | 0.043987 | -10.39% | 0.05383 | +9.67% | 0.1595 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.04818 | 0.043353 | -10.02% | 0.060215 | +24.98% | 0.2497 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.050545 | 0.04591 | -9.17% | 0.059405 | +17.53% | 0.2013 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.051095 | 0.046908 | -8.20% | 0.06681 | +30.76% | 0.2732 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.05233 | 0.048068 | -8.14% | 0.06538 | +24.94% | 0.2276 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.05138 | 0.047883 | -6.81% | 0.064485 | +25.51% | 0.2447 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.05349 | 0.050152 | -6.24% | 0.06178 | +15.50% | 0.1680 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.05533 | 0.05251 | -5.10% | 0.064415 | +16.42% | 0.1528 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.05607 | 0.054082 | -3.55% | 0.06901 | +23.08% | 0.1810 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.055135 | 0.052832 | -4.18% | 0.07369 | +33.65% | 0.2613 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.05539 | 0.053644 | -3.15% | 0.0701 | +26.56% | 0.1853 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.059025 | 0.058103 | -1.56% | 0.072825 | +23.38% | 0.1839 | ✗ | 1.00 |