FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s6

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

60.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0476

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0111

actual -0.0051

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04772	0.047451	-0.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.048308	-0.56%	0.04772	-1.77%	0.0097	✓	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.047269	-0.51%	0.04858	+2.25%	0.0162	✗	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.047535	-0.53%	0.04751	-0.59%	0.0012	✓	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.050807	-0.63%	0.04779	-6.53%	0.0678	✓	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.052326	-0.69%	0.05113	-2.96%	0.0219	✓	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.052439	-0.78%	0.05269	-0.30%	0.0114	✗	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.053386	-0.82%	0.05285	-1.82%	0.0160	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.059581	-1.05%	0.05383	-10.60%	0.0870	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.058785	-1.04%	0.060215	+1.36%	0.0114	✗	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.065823	-1.48%	0.059405	-11.08%	0.0876	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.064499	-1.35%	0.06681	+2.19%	0.0294	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.063656	-1.29%	0.06538	+1.39%	0.0240	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.061027	-1.22%	0.064485	+4.38%	0.0489	✗	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.063554	-1.34%	0.06178	-4.09%	0.0173	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.068033	-1.42%	0.064415	-6.66%	0.0413	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.072524	-1.58%	0.06901	-6.35%	0.0485	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.069027	-1.53%	0.07369	+5.12%	0.0700	✗	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.071596	-1.69%	0.0701	-3.74%	0.0329	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.063232	-1.46%	0.072825	+13.49%	0.1397	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.066613	-1.54%	0.06417	-5.15%	0.0351	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.067826	-1.72%	0.067655	-1.97%	0.0112	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.06492	-1.67%	0.069015	+4.53%	0.0617	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.06008	-1.56%	0.066025	+8.18%	0.0931	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.067805	-1.77%	0.061035	-11.58%	0.0995	✓	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.06558	-1.94%	0.06903	+3.22%	0.0510	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.057739	-1.66%	0.066875	+13.90%	0.1451	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.05871	-1.66%	0.058715	-1.65%	0.0017	✓	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.058773	-1.57%	0.0597	-0.02%	0.0156	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.059424	-1.49%	0.05971	-1.02%	0.0261	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.060216	-1.38%	0.060325	-1.20%	0.0064	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.06107	-1.52%	0.06106	-1.54%	0.0650	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.069038	-2.00%	0.062015	-11.97%	0.1064	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.065443	-1.97%	0.07045	+5.54%	0.0693	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.062537	-2.44%	0.066755	+4.14%	0.0077	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.053893	-1.49%	0.0641	+17.16%	0.1708	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.043738	+0.01%	0.05471	+25.09%	0.2164	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.048804	-0.57%	0.043735	-10.90%	0.0760	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.047994	-0.39%	0.049085	+1.88%	0.0047	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.050325	-0.44%	0.04818	-4.68%	0.0375	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.050917	-0.35%	0.050545	-1.08%	0.0080	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.052131	-0.38%	0.051095	-2.36%	0.0288	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.051173	-0.40%	0.05233	+1.85%	0.0449	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.053263	-0.42%	0.05138	-3.94%	0.0339	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.055114	-0.39%	0.05349	-3.33%	0.0217	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.055875	-0.35%	0.05533	-1.32%	0.0058	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.054912	-0.41%	0.05607	+1.70%	0.0145	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.055203	-0.34%	0.055135	-0.46%	0.0032	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.058865	-0.27%	0.05539	-6.16%	0.0411	✓	1.00