BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · gru_s6
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +7d
assessed
43
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
32.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2852
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0465
actual +0.2329
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 1.9668 | -6.54% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.8989 | -7.06% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.8301 | -6.93% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.2346 | -7.47% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.233 | -8.42% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.7812 | -7.61% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.6906 | -6.94% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.1778 | -8.51% | 2.1044 | -11.59% | 0.0150 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.9035 | -8.85% | 2.0432 | -2.16% | 0.0682 | ✓ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.6179 | -7.52% | 1.9664 | +12.39% | 0.1968 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.5064 | -7.34% | 2.4152 | +48.56% | 0.4426 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.4774 | -6.74% | 2.4383 | +53.91% | 0.4738 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.4662 | -6.92% | 1.9279 | +22.38% | 0.2552 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3124 | -5.77% | 1.8166 | +30.43% | 0.3331 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2174 | -6.17% | 2.3803 | +83.45% | 0.6394 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.133 | -6.63% | 2.0884 | +72.09% | 0.5682 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.1469 | -7.03% | 1.7495 | +41.82% | 0.3500 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.1506 | -7.64% | 1.6258 | +30.50% | 0.2943 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 0.966768 | -6.84% | 1.5842 | +52.66% | 0.4551 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.2831 | -7.12% | 1.5753 | +14.02% | 0.1640 | ✗ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.3147 | -7.30% | 1.3928 | -1.80% | 0.0097 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.2339 | -7.15% | 1.2975 | -2.36% | 0.0441 | ✓ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.282 | -7.69% | 1.2135 | -12.62% | 0.0134 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.0402 | -7.06% | 1.2336 | +10.23% | 0.2207 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.1318 | -7.28% | 1.2458 | +2.06% | 0.1434 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.938441 | -6.30% | 1.0377 | +3.61% | 0.1081 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.1966 | -9.03% | 1.3815 | +5.03% | 0.1531 | ✗ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.896795 | -6.04% | 1.4183 | +48.61% | 0.4684 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 0.961182 | -7.38% | 1.329 | +28.05% | 0.3060 | ✗ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.848366 | -5.51% | 1.3887 | +54.68% | 0.5230 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.763 | -4.71% | 1.1192 | +39.78% | 0.4200 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.708194 | -5.20% | 1.2207 | +63.40% | 0.5046 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.580742 | -1.62% | 1.0015 | +69.67% | 0.5066 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.617315 | -2.04% | 1.3154 | +108.72% | 0.7175 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.691305 | -3.97% | 0.9544 | +32.57% | 0.2224 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.717158 | -4.40% | 1.0378 | +38.34% | 0.2669 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.676448 | -4.06% | 0.8978 | +27.34% | 0.1517 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.574525 | -1.39% | 0.8007 | +37.44% | 0.2297 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.694984 | -5.37% | 0.74705 | +1.72% | 0.0170 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.545087 | -0.95% | 0.5903 | +7.27% | 0.0296 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.507447 | -0.27% | 0.6302 | +23.86% | 0.1703 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.497844 | -0.44% | 0.7199 | +43.97% | 0.3713 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.454273 | +0.70% | 0.7502 | +66.30% | 0.5293 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.441059 | +0.76% | 0.70505 | +61.06% | 0.5063 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.454678 | +0.80% | 0.5826 | +29.17% | 0.2596 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.452357 | +1.11% | 0.73445 | +64.16% | 0.5297 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.456322 | +0.91% | 0.5503 | +21.69% | 0.2200 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.460036 | +0.76% | 0.5088 | +11.44% | 0.1322 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.45874 | +0.96% | 0.50005 | +10.05% | 0.1462 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.486279 | -0.68% | 0.4511 | -7.86% | 0.0876 | ✓ | 1.00 |