BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · gru_s6
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +30d
assessed
20
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
20.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
1.0853
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0431
actual +1.0422
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 1.7919 | -14.85% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.7287 | -15.39% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.6636 | -15.40% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.0383 | -15.60% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.0409 | -16.30% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.6236 | -15.78% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.5384 | -15.31% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 1.9958 | -16.16% | – | pending | – | – | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.7516 | -16.13% | – | pending | – | – | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.4838 | -15.19% | – | pending | – | – | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.3823 | -14.97% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.352 | -14.66% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.341 | -14.87% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.1951 | -14.20% | – | pending | – | – | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.1084 | -14.58% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.0319 | -14.97% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.0465 | -15.17% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.0519 | -15.57% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 0.877533 | -15.43% | – | pending | – | – | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.1731 | -15.09% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.2047 | -15.06% | – | pending | – | – | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.1305 | -14.93% | – | pending | – | – | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.178 | -15.18% | – | pending | – | – | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 0.956122 | -14.57% | – | pending | – | – | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.0419 | -14.65% | – | pending | – | – | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.86747 | -13.39% | – | pending | – | – | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.1115 | -15.50% | – | pending | – | – | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.837083 | -12.29% | – | pending | – | – | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 0.898738 | -13.40% | – | pending | – | – | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.800906 | -10.79% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.734028 | -8.33% | 2.1044 | +162.82% | 1.0993 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.673054 | -9.91% | 2.0432 | +173.50% | 1.0888 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.557515 | -5.55% | 1.9664 | +233.12% | 1.2531 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.589566 | -6.45% | 2.4152 | +283.24% | 1.3962 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.646324 | -10.22% | 2.4383 | +238.69% | 1.2639 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.671961 | -10.43% | 1.9279 | +156.98% | 0.9860 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.63692 | -9.66% | 1.8166 | +157.66% | 0.9651 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.55663 | -4.46% | 2.3803 | +308.57% | 1.4106 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.665427 | -9.40% | 2.0884 | +184.34% | 1.0648 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.528318 | -3.99% | 1.7495 | +217.93% | 1.1411 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.492055 | -3.29% | 1.6258 | +219.53% | 1.1147 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.483294 | -3.35% | 1.5842 | +216.81% | 1.1072 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.442982 | -1.80% | 1.5753 | +249.20% | 1.2156 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.431578 | -1.41% | 1.3928 | +218.17% | 1.1311 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.449959 | -0.24% | 1.2975 | +187.67% | 1.0075 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.451182 | +0.85% | 1.2135 | +171.23% | 0.9267 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.456512 | +0.95% | 1.2336 | +172.81% | 0.9226 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.462808 | +1.37% | 1.2458 | +172.87% | 0.9079 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.470844 | +3.62% | 1.0377 | +128.37% | 0.7483 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.486398 | -0.65% | 1.3815 | +182.17% | 0.9549 | ✗ | 1.00 |