AVL
Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s6
- token id
- #696
- symbol
- AVL
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-27
- predictions
- 144
Track record at +7d
assessed
41
of 48 predictions shown
direction hit
53.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0624
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0223
actual -0.0043
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.021245 | 0.02065 | -2.80% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.021361 | 0.020752 | -2.85% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.019693 | 0.01921 | -2.45% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.020678 | 0.020062 | -2.98% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.019445 | 0.018916 | -2.72% | – | pending | – | – | 1.18 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.020546 | 0.019883 | -3.23% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.022173 | 0.021244 | -4.19% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.020543 | 0.019674 | -4.23% | 0.021245 | +3.41% | 0.0457 | ✗ | 1.23 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.018647 | 0.018096 | -2.96% | 0.021361 | +14.55% | 0.1303 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.019376 | 0.018834 | -2.80% | 0.019693 | +1.64% | 0.0469 | ✗ | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.018817 | 0.018288 | -2.81% | 0.020678 | +9.89% | 0.1215 | ✗ | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.020663 | 0.020064 | -2.90% | 0.019445 | -5.89% | 0.0093 | ✓ | 1.09 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.022471 | 0.021617 | -3.80% | 0.020546 | -8.56% | 0.0296 | ✓ | 1.14 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.019944 | 0.019381 | -2.82% | 0.022173 | +11.18% | 0.1487 | ✗ | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.019933 | 0.019349 | -2.93% | 0.020543 | +3.06% | 0.0540 | ✗ | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.022334 | 0.021616 | -3.22% | 0.018647 | -16.51% | 0.1268 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.02175 | 0.021219 | -2.44% | 0.019376 | -10.92% | 0.0587 | ✓ | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.022515 | 0.021913 | -2.67% | 0.018817 | -16.42% | 0.0993 | ✓ | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.022884 | 0.022279 | -2.65% | 0.020663 | -9.71% | 0.0385 | ✓ | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.022833 | 0.022177 | -2.88% | 0.022471 | -1.59% | 0.0378 | ✗ | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.022786 | 0.022111 | -2.96% | 0.019944 | -12.47% | 0.0767 | ✓ | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.022953 | 0.022353 | -2.61% | 0.019933 | -13.15% | 0.0719 | ✓ | 1.13 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.023642 | 0.022918 | -3.06% | 0.022334 | -5.53% | 0.0219 | ✓ | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.022532 | 0.021964 | -2.52% | 0.02175 | -3.47% | 0.0361 | ✓ | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.021848 | 0.02135 | -2.28% | 0.022515 | +3.05% | 0.0214 | ✓ | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.024924 | 0.024177 | -3.00% | 0.022884 | -8.18% | 0.0805 | ✓ | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.025513 | 0.024698 | -3.19% | 0.022833 | -10.50% | 0.0826 | ✓ | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024789 | 0.024047 | -2.99% | 0.022786 | -8.08% | 0.0588 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.024097 | 0.023489 | -2.52% | 0.022953 | -4.75% | 0.0286 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.023279 | 0.022769 | -2.19% | 0.023642 | +1.56% | 0.0474 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.024603 | 0.024084 | -2.11% | 0.022532 | -8.42% | 0.0365 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.023323 | 0.02294 | -1.64% | 0.021848 | -6.32% | 0.0119 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.021137 | 0.020682 | -2.15% | 0.024924 | +17.92% | 0.1467 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.021371 | 0.02097 | -1.87% | 0.025513 | +19.38% | 0.1577 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.0216 | 0.021239 | -1.67% | 0.024789 | +14.76% | 0.1156 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.020413 | 0.019934 | -2.34% | 0.024097 | +18.05% | 0.0896 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.020576 | 0.020121 | -2.21% | 0.023279 | +13.14% | 0.0431 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.021305 | 0.020775 | -2.49% | 0.024603 | +15.48% | 0.0377 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.020442 | 0.020164 | -1.36% | 0.023323 | +14.09% | 0.0432 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.020262 | 0.019974 | -1.43% | 0.021137 | +4.32% | 0.0014 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.021569 | 0.021119 | -2.09% | 0.021371 | -0.92% | 0.0383 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.020448 | 0.020173 | -1.34% | 0.0216 | +5.64% | 0.0220 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.018637 | 0.018438 | -1.07% | 0.020413 | +9.53% | 0.1042 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.02012 | 0.019973 | -0.73% | 0.020576 | +2.26% | 0.0575 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.020503 | 0.020408 | -0.46% | 0.021305 | +3.91% | 0.0802 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.020774 | 0.020766 | -0.04% | 0.020442 | -1.60% | 0.0040 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.020602 | 0.02071 | +0.52% | 0.020262 | -1.65% | 0.0232 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.020591 | 0.020714 | +0.59% | 0.021569 | +4.75% | 0.0732 | ✓ | 1.00 |