AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s6

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 144

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 48 predictions shown

direction hit

61.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0414

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0041

actual -0.0006

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.021245	0.020974	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-21	oos	0.021361	0.021108	-1.18%	0.021245	-0.54%	0.0038	✓	1.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019581	-0.56%	0.021361	+8.47%	0.0723	✗	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.020495	-0.89%	0.019693	-4.77%	0.0555	✓	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019344	-0.52%	0.020678	+6.34%	0.0691	✗	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.02041	-0.67%	0.019445	-5.36%	0.0576	✓	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.021897	-1.25%	0.020546	-7.34%	0.0619	✓	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.020281	-1.28%	0.022173	+7.93%	0.0986	✗	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018619	-0.15%	0.020543	+10.17%	0.0902	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019334	-0.22%	0.018647	-3.76%	0.0139	✓	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018816	-0.00%	0.019376	+2.97%	0.0099	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020617	-0.22%	0.018817	-8.93%	0.0658	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.022308	-0.72%	0.020663	-8.05%	0.0871	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019908	-0.18%	0.022471	+12.67%	0.1162	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019902	-0.16%	0.019944	+0.05%	0.0094	✓	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.022237	-0.43%	0.019933	-10.75%	0.0900	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021697	-0.24%	0.022334	+2.68%	0.0588	✗	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.022423	-0.41%	0.02175	-3.40%	0.0277	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022784	-0.44%	0.022515	-1.61%	0.0021	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022728	-0.46%	0.022884	+0.22%	0.0163	✓	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.022677	-0.47%	0.022833	+0.21%	0.0037	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022879	-0.32%	0.022786	-0.73%	0.0005	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.023535	-0.45%	0.022953	-2.92%	0.0429	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.022476	-0.25%	0.023642	+4.93%	0.0517	✗	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021812	-0.17%	0.022532	+3.13%	0.0299	✗	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.02481	-0.46%	0.021848	-12.34%	0.1143	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.025369	-0.57%	0.024924	-2.31%	0.0183	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.024649	-0.56%	0.025513	+2.92%	0.0306	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.023986	-0.46%	0.024789	+2.87%	0.0364	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.023179	-0.43%	0.024097	+3.51%	0.0388	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.024479	-0.51%	0.023279	-5.38%	0.0289	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.023207	-0.50%	0.024603	+5.49%	0.0630	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.021026	-0.52%	0.023323	+10.34%	0.0388	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.021265	-0.50%	0.021137	-1.09%	0.0051	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.021497	-0.48%	0.021371	-1.06%	0.0103	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.020347	-0.33%	0.0216	+5.81%	0.0022	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.02051	-0.32%	0.020413	-0.79%	0.0074	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.0212	-0.49%	0.020576	-3.42%	0.0373	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.020392	-0.25%	0.021305	+4.22%	0.0775	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.020224	-0.19%	0.020442	+0.89%	0.0070	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.02142	-0.69%	0.020262	-6.06%	0.0496	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020363	-0.41%	0.021569	+5.48%	0.0568	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018639	+0.01%	0.020448	+9.71%	0.0839	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.020096	-0.12%	0.018637	-7.37%	0.0528	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020483	-0.10%	0.02012	-1.87%	0.0158	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020774	+0.00%	0.020503	-1.30%	0.0050	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.020647	+0.22%	0.020774	+0.83%	0.0218	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020649	+0.28%	0.020602	+0.05%	0.0086	✗	1.00