AVL
Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s6
- token id
- #696
- symbol
- AVL
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-27
- predictions
- 141
Track record at +30d
assessed
17
of 47 predictions shown
direction hit
82.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0545
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0481
actual -0.0629
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.019479 | 0.018162 | -6.76% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.019693 | 0.018434 | -6.39% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.020678 | 0.0192 | -7.15% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.019445 | 0.018086 | -6.99% | – | pending | – | – | 1.18 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.020546 | 0.01888 | -8.11% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.022173 | 0.020109 | -9.31% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.020543 | 0.018705 | -8.95% | – | pending | – | – | 1.23 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.018647 | 0.017126 | -8.16% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.019376 | 0.017932 | -7.45% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.018817 | 0.017351 | -7.79% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.020663 | 0.019138 | -7.38% | – | pending | – | – | 1.09 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.022471 | 0.020509 | -8.73% | – | pending | – | – | 1.14 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.019944 | 0.018388 | -7.80% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.019933 | 0.018303 | -8.18% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.022334 | 0.020485 | -8.28% | – | pending | – | – | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.02175 | 0.020322 | -6.57% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.022515 | 0.020929 | -7.05% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.022884 | 0.021294 | -6.95% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.022833 | 0.021133 | -7.45% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.022786 | 0.021033 | -7.69% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.022953 | 0.021384 | -6.83% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.023642 | 0.021816 | -7.73% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.022532 | 0.02103 | -6.67% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.021848 | 0.020469 | -6.31% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.024924 | 0.023059 | -7.48% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.025513 | 0.023528 | -7.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024789 | 0.02294 | -7.46% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.024097 | 0.022539 | -6.47% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.023279 | 0.021899 | -5.93% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.024603 | 0.023298 | -5.31% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.023323 | 0.022279 | -4.48% | 0.019479 | -16.48% | 0.0882 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.021137 | 0.01979 | -6.37% | 0.019693 | -6.83% | 0.0266 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.021371 | 0.020167 | -5.63% | 0.020678 | -3.24% | 0.0176 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.0216 | 0.020512 | -5.04% | 0.019445 | -9.98% | 0.0673 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.020413 | 0.018893 | -7.45% | 0.020546 | +0.65% | 0.0201 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.020576 | 0.019099 | -7.18% | 0.022173 | +7.76% | 0.0813 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.021305 | 0.01968 | -7.63% | 0.020543 | -3.57% | 0.0401 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.020442 | 0.019418 | -5.01% | 0.018647 | -8.78% | 0.0830 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.020262 | 0.01919 | -5.29% | 0.019376 | -4.38% | 0.0692 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.021569 | 0.020399 | -5.43% | 0.018817 | -12.76% | 0.1371 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.020448 | 0.019363 | -5.30% | 0.020663 | +1.05% | 0.0155 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.018637 | 0.017609 | -5.51% | 0.022471 | +20.57% | 0.1638 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.02012 | 0.019293 | -4.11% | 0.019944 | -0.88% | 0.0198 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.020503 | 0.019837 | -3.25% | 0.019933 | -2.78% | 0.0357 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.020774 | 0.020378 | -1.91% | 0.022334 | +7.51% | 0.0401 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.020602 | 0.020566 | -0.18% | 0.02175 | +5.57% | 0.0067 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.020591 | 0.020656 | +0.31% | 0.022515 | +9.34% | 0.0147 | ✓ | 1.00 |