ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s6
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 162
Track record at +7d
assessed
47
of 54 predictions shown
direction hit
78.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1231
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0074
actual -0.1189
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004756 | -0.40% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004409 | +0.08% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004431 | -0.10% | – | pending | – | – | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004809 | -0.74% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004843 | -0.85% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004955 | -1.21% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004574 | -0.46% | – | pending | – | – | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004543 | -0.38% | 0.004775 | +4.71% | 0.0584 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004609 | -0.55% | 0.004405 | -4.96% | 0.0466 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004758 | -0.56% | 0.004435 | -7.31% | 0.0696 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004945 | -0.80% | 0.004845 | -2.81% | 0.0338 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.005065 | -0.87% | 0.004885 | -4.40% | 0.0486 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.005018 | -0.72% | 0.005015 | -0.79% | 0.0092 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.00521 | -0.94% | 0.004595 | -12.64% | 0.1222 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.005637 | -1.44% | 0.00456 | -20.28% | 0.2273 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005739 | -1.22% | 0.004635 | -20.22% | 0.2352 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005807 | -1.16% | 0.004785 | -18.55% | 0.2290 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005929 | -1.10% | 0.004985 | -16.85% | 0.1982 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.006057 | -1.44% | 0.00511 | -16.84% | 0.1865 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005882 | -1.32% | 0.005055 | -15.18% | 0.1692 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.005845 | -1.18% | 0.00526 | -11.07% | 0.1336 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.006143 | -1.24% | 0.00572 | -8.04% | 0.0738 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006228 | -1.31% | 0.00581 | -7.92% | 0.0529 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.006342 | -1.44% | 0.005875 | -8.70% | 0.0567 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006431 | -1.37% | 0.005995 | -8.05% | 0.0527 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.006347 | -1.06% | 0.006145 | -4.21% | 0.0295 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.006342 | -0.99% | 0.00596 | -6.95% | 0.0586 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.00646 | -0.92% | 0.005915 | -9.28% | 0.0842 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.006184 | -0.73% | 0.00622 | -0.16% | 0.0011 | ✓ | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006774 | -0.81% | 0.00631 | -7.61% | 0.0951 | ✓ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006809 | -0.74% | 0.006435 | -6.20% | 0.0856 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006709 | -1.34% | 0.00652 | -4.12% | 0.0172 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.006948 | -1.03% | 0.006415 | -8.62% | 0.0357 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006869 | -0.80% | 0.006405 | -7.51% | 0.1090 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006751 | -1.15% | 0.00652 | -4.54% | 0.1349 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006685 | -0.97% | 0.00623 | -7.70% | 0.1731 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.007698 | -3.35% | 0.00683 | -14.25% | 0.2511 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005902 | +0.28% | 0.00686 | +16.57% | 0.0482 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.006118 | -0.12% | 0.0068 | +11.02% | 0.0505 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.006304 | -0.34% | 0.00702 | +10.99% | 0.0575 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006608 | -0.40% | 0.006925 | +4.37% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006902 | -0.55% | 0.00683 | -1.59% | 0.0080 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.007025 | -0.36% | 0.00675 | -4.26% | 0.0122 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.007944 | -0.45% | 0.007965 | -0.19% | 0.0398 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.008015 | +0.06% | 0.005885 | -26.53% | 0.2972 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007966 | +0.27% | 0.006125 | -22.91% | 0.2178 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.00819 | -0.06% | 0.006325 | -22.82% | 0.2257 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.008308 | +0.22% | 0.006635 | -19.96% | 0.1935 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.008344 | +0.53% | 0.00694 | -16.39% | 0.1243 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.009221 | -0.53% | 0.00705 | -23.95% | 0.2810 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009733 | -0.33% | 0.00798 | -18.28% | 0.2120 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010551 | -0.04% | 0.00801 | -24.11% | 0.2822 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010739 | -0.01% | 0.007945 | -26.02% | 0.3352 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.011082 | +0.29% | 0.008195 | -25.84% | 0.3220 | ✗ | 1.00 |