ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s6
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 162
Track record at +1d
assessed
53
of 54 predictions shown
direction hit
71.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0441
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0024
actual -0.0158
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004769 | -0.13% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004409 | +0.09% | 0.004775 | +8.40% | 0.0779 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004438 | +0.08% | 0.004405 | -0.68% | 0.0010 | ✓ | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004838 | -0.13% | 0.004435 | -8.46% | 0.0884 | ✓ | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004879 | -0.13% | 0.004845 | -0.82% | 0.0019 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.005001 | -0.28% | 0.004885 | -2.59% | 0.0244 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004597 | +0.03% | 0.005015 | +9.14% | 0.0824 | ✓ | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004563 | +0.07% | 0.004595 | +0.77% | 0.0112 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004636 | +0.02% | 0.00456 | -1.62% | 0.0281 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004787 | +0.04% | 0.004635 | -3.13% | 0.0219 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004982 | -0.06% | 0.004785 | -4.01% | 0.0558 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.005107 | -0.07% | 0.004985 | -2.45% | 0.0180 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.005054 | -0.03% | 0.00511 | +1.09% | 0.0141 | ✗ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.005254 | -0.11% | 0.005055 | -3.90% | 0.0317 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.005702 | -0.31% | 0.00526 | -8.04% | 0.0948 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005793 | -0.30% | 0.00572 | -1.55% | 0.0326 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005858 | -0.29% | 0.00581 | -1.11% | 0.0100 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005977 | -0.29% | 0.005875 | -2.00% | 0.0238 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.006122 | -0.38% | 0.005995 | -2.44% | 0.0053 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005939 | -0.36% | 0.006145 | +3.10% | 0.0363 | ✗ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.005895 | -0.33% | 0.00596 | +0.76% | 0.0079 | ✗ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.006201 | -0.30% | 0.005915 | -4.90% | 0.0360 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006288 | -0.35% | 0.00622 | -1.43% | 0.0116 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.006408 | -0.42% | 0.00631 | -1.94% | 0.0138 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006491 | -0.44% | 0.006435 | -1.30% | 0.0175 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.006394 | -0.34% | 0.00652 | +1.64% | 0.0200 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.006385 | -0.31% | 0.006415 | +0.16% | 0.0075 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006499 | -0.32% | 0.006405 | -1.76% | 0.0171 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.006213 | -0.28% | 0.00652 | +4.65% | 0.0483 | ✗ | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006806 | -0.34% | 0.00623 | -8.78% | 0.1056 | ✓ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006836 | -0.34% | 0.00683 | -0.44% | 0.0046 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006771 | -0.42% | 0.00686 | +0.88% | 0.0874 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.006999 | -0.29% | 0.0068 | -3.13% | 0.0300 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.00691 | -0.22% | 0.00702 | +1.37% | 0.0114 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006816 | -0.20% | 0.006925 | +1.39% | 0.0418 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006738 | -0.18% | 0.00683 | +1.19% | 0.0109 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.007847 | -1.48% | 0.00675 | -15.25% | 0.1580 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005887 | +0.03% | 0.007965 | +35.34% | 0.3360 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.00612 | -0.08% | 0.005885 | -3.92% | 0.0570 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.006314 | -0.17% | 0.006125 | -3.16% | 0.0244 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006622 | -0.20% | 0.006325 | -4.67% | 0.0465 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006923 | -0.25% | 0.006635 | -4.39% | 0.0512 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.007032 | -0.26% | 0.00694 | -1.56% | 0.0094 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.007956 | -0.30% | 0.00705 | -11.65% | 0.1189 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.007997 | -0.16% | 0.00798 | -0.37% | 0.0061 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007931 | -0.17% | 0.00801 | +0.82% | 0.0255 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.008173 | -0.27% | 0.007945 | -3.05% | 0.0346 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.008274 | -0.19% | 0.008195 | -1.15% | 0.0116 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.008287 | -0.15% | 0.00829 | -0.12% | 0.0201 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.009235 | -0.38% | 0.0083 | -10.46% | 0.1567 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009733 | -0.33% | 0.00927 | -5.07% | 0.0475 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010524 | -0.30% | 0.009765 | -7.48% | 0.0599 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010711 | -0.27% | 0.010555 | -1.72% | 0.0262 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.011027 | -0.21% | 0.01074 | -2.81% | 0.0190 | ✓ | 1.00 |