ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s6
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 162
Track record at +30d
assessed
24
of 54 predictions shown
direction hit
91.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4080
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0277
actual -0.4357
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004766 | -0.18% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004407 | +0.05% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004414 | -0.48% | – | pending | – | – | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004773 | -1.49% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004775 | -2.25% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004868 | -2.94% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004462 | -2.90% | – | pending | – | – | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004415 | -3.17% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004483 | -3.28% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004609 | -3.67% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004803 | -3.66% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.004902 | -4.08% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.004851 | -4.04% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.005019 | -4.59% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.00543 | -5.06% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005547 | -4.52% | – | pending | – | – | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005623 | -4.29% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005759 | -3.93% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.005844 | -4.90% | – | pending | – | – | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005671 | -4.85% | – | pending | – | – | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.005647 | -4.53% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.005932 | -4.62% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006008 | -4.79% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.006107 | -5.09% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006207 | -4.80% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.006157 | -4.02% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.006157 | -3.87% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006292 | -3.50% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.006026 | -3.28% | – | pending | – | – | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006631 | -2.91% | – | pending | – | – | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006687 | -2.53% | 0.004775 | -30.39% | 0.3730 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.00648 | -4.70% | 0.004405 | -35.22% | 0.3611 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.006765 | -3.63% | 0.004435 | -36.82% | 0.4138 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006712 | -3.08% | 0.004845 | -30.04% | 0.3398 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006467 | -5.31% | 0.004885 | -28.48% | 0.3444 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006419 | -4.91% | 0.005015 | -25.70% | 0.3147 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.007384 | -7.29% | 0.004595 | -42.31% | 0.5574 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005736 | -2.53% | 0.00456 | -22.51% | 0.2720 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.005893 | -3.79% | 0.004635 | -24.33% | 0.3189 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.006082 | -3.84% | 0.004785 | -24.35% | 0.2962 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006392 | -3.66% | 0.004985 | -24.87% | 0.3291 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006674 | -3.84% | 0.00511 | -26.37% | 0.3470 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.006844 | -2.93% | 0.005055 | -28.30% | 0.3560 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.007757 | -2.79% | 0.00526 | -34.09% | 0.4290 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.007913 | -1.21% | 0.00572 | -28.59% | 0.3761 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007908 | -0.47% | 0.00581 | -26.87% | 0.3710 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.00807 | -1.53% | 0.005875 | -28.31% | 0.3889 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.008239 | -0.61% | 0.005995 | -27.68% | 0.4003 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.008328 | +0.33% | 0.006145 | -25.96% | 0.3459 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.009029 | -2.60% | 0.00596 | -35.71% | 0.5044 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009568 | -2.02% | 0.005915 | -39.43% | 0.5728 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010432 | -1.17% | 0.00622 | -41.07% | 0.5787 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010636 | -0.97% | 0.00631 | -41.25% | 0.5962 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.011051 | +0.01% | 0.006435 | -41.76% | 0.6054 | ✗ | 1.00 |