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2022-09-13 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3416
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+17.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
82.7%
in alpha space · 88.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.95%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000358060.000313742-12.38%0.00027827-22.28%0.1161✓0.102.4M2022-10-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.96e-76.10e-7-12.30%4.93e-7-29.22%0.1797✓0.862.2M2022-10-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11040.097274-11.89%0.0666-39.67%0.3562✓0.56182k2022-10-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8715.2229-11.04%5.141-12.43%0.0232✓0.976.2M2022-10-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23496.4864-10.35%4.5312-37.37%0.3471✓0.2912.2M2022-10-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.09210.8651-10.15%13.225+9.37%0.2114✗0.3715.8M2022-10-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.66060.597471-9.56%0.5935-10.16%0.0534✓1.49210k2022-10-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.31.1771-9.45%1.06-18.46%0.0638✓1.0258k2022-10-13
FLOWFlownative1.8641.6911-9.27%1.511-18.94%0.0566✓1.39967k2022-10-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2123.8313-9.04%3.817-9.38%0.0333✓0.92245k2022-10-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.04790.043642-8.89%0.0379-20.88%0.0967✓1.10177k2022-10-13
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.60294.215-8.43%3.7246-19.08%0.0705✓1.32118k2022-10-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13650.125367-8.16%0.1133-17.00%0.0802✓0.5283k2022-10-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.586.0508-8.04%3.9876-39.40%0.4104✓0.169.1M2022-10-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1345.6407-8.04%3.961-35.43%0.3310✓0.563.1M2022-10-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14440.132815-8.02%0.1342-7.06%0.0496✓0.97336k2022-10-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012360.001139-7.88%0.0008937-27.71%0.2099✓0.812.2M2022-10-13
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.4184.0698-7.88%3.04-31.19%0.2515✓1.001.4M2022-10-13
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0172110.01588-7.73%0.013771-19.99%0.1022✓1.001,0292022-10-13
MOVRMoonriverBase11.933911.0212-7.65%10.1346-15.08%0.0444✓0.9821k2022-10-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062160.005741-7.64%0.00599-3.64%0.0559✓0.3330k2022-10-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.19340.178688-7.61%0.1844-4.65%0.0686✓0.923.2M2022-10-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6220.575827-7.42%0.53-14.79%0.0390✓1.093.2M2022-10-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.059510.055131-7.36%0.05517-7.29%0.0491✓1.201.2M2022-10-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9210.853596-7.32%0.836-9.23%0.0023✓0.462.7M2022-10-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.520.482004-7.31%0.439-15.58%0.0488✓1.1166k2022-10-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.6182.4281-7.25%2.208-15.66%0.0627✓0.80523k2022-10-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.610.565831-7.24%0.536-12.13%0.0122✓1.04114k2022-10-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.162840.151101-7.21%0.13775-15.41%0.0508✓1.04271k2022-10-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.031.884-7.19%1.6-21.18%0.1146✓1.21227k2022-10-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33080.307294-7.11%0.2586-21.83%0.1282✓1.1072k2022-10-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012520.011637-7.06%0.01008-19.49%0.1187✓0.62233k2022-10-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012090.000011243-7.00%0.00001039-14.06%0.0400✓0.971.0M2022-10-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.1577-7.00%1.85-20.26%0.1293✓0.61247k2022-10-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033670.031351-6.89%0.02754-18.21%0.0874✓1.0532k2022-10-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0246920.023005-6.83%0.024977+1.15%0.0839✗0.04471k2022-10-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015310.001426-6.83%0.001276-16.66%0.0843✓0.676,5532022-10-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.681.5653-6.82%1.553-7.56%0.0301✓0.94627k2022-10-13
METISMetisEthereum27.925.9997-6.81%24.71-11.43%0.0110✓1.54159k2022-10-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5950.554497-6.81%0.563-5.38%0.0553✓1.00178k2022-10-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24291.1587-6.78%1.0884-12.43%0.0187✓1.09922k2022-10-13
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109980.010262-6.69%0.009275-15.67%0.0609✓1.006682022-10-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,017.078,415.12-6.68%7,725.27-14.33%0.0312✓1.354.1M2022-10-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.7166-6.59%4.46-27.12%0.2274✓0.522.1M2022-10-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008510.007951-6.57%0.00533-37.37%0.3636✓0.903.3M2022-10-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0221.8898-6.54%1.535-24.09%0.1599✓1.1930k2022-10-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4930.460902-6.51%0.426-13.59%0.0311✓1.1877k2022-10-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.069130.064671-6.45%0.071+2.71%0.1014✗0.20354k2022-10-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13213.8675-6.40%2.9712-28.09%0.2372✓0.667.3M2022-10-13
FISStafiEthereum0.350.327631-6.39%0.319-8.86%0.0118✓0.961,1592022-10-13
BANDBandEthereum1.2441.1649-6.36%1.068-14.15%0.0378✓1.22323k2022-10-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2980.279336-6.26%0.2072-30.47%0.2598✓0.9774k2022-10-13
PROPropyEthereum0.710.665696-6.24%0.52-26.76%0.2371✓0.2442k2022-10-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028270.002654-6.11%0.002098-25.79%0.1987✓0.901.2M2022-10-13
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,471.371,381.86-6.08%1,248.14-15.17%0.0615✓1.003.4M2022-10-13
DASHDashDash43.7741.1367-6.02%40.41-7.68%0.0236✓1.03312k2022-10-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10820.101719-5.99%0.0879-18.76%0.0943✓1.282.5M2022-10-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.725.3784-5.97%3.81-33.39%0.3238✓0.522.0M2022-10-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.411.3269-5.89%1.531+8.58%0.1911✗1.1943k2022-10-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04410.041534-5.82%0.0344-22.00%0.1418✓1.16546k2022-10-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40140.378137-5.80%0.3269-18.56%0.0995✓1.1467k2022-10-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78661.6831-5.79%1.5752-11.84%0.0222✓1.1025k2022-10-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1423.9056-5.71%3.061-26.10%0.2289✓0.372.0M2022-10-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18980.178985-5.70%0.141-25.71%0.1974✓1.02101k2022-10-13
SCSiacoinnative0.003810.003595-5.64%0.00324-14.96%0.0663✓0.9495k2022-10-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.15610.147367-5.59%0.153-1.99%0.0850✗1.189132022-10-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.815.8708-5.53%14.34-14.64%0.0787✓0.57396k2022-10-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.4028-5.52%4.61-1.07%0.0796✗0.83839k2022-10-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29660.280239-5.52%0.3194+7.69%0.1692✗0.956.0M2022-10-13
COMPCompoundEthereum55.8352.8117-5.41%54.83-1.79%0.0831✗1.138,6412022-10-13
NANOnanopayBase0.8462690.800523-5.41%0.761919-9.97%0.0156✓0.8446k2022-10-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19630.185706-5.40%0.1351-31.18%0.2873✓0.7730k2022-10-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.076.6885-5.40%6.113-13.54%0.0454✓1.1110.0M2022-10-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05940.056226-5.34%0.0671+12.96%0.2192✗1.0578k2022-10-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.731470.692461-5.33%0.63573-13.09%0.0421✓1.08624k2022-10-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.80660.763693-5.32%0.6504-19.37%0.1158✓1.11946k2022-10-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2893870.273993-5.32%0.246962-14.66%0.0646✓0.97487k2022-10-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007960.007544-5.23%0.00571-28.27%0.2342✓1.10463k2022-10-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.89713.1731-5.21%11.342-18.39%0.0994✓1.2520.3M2022-10-13
ZENHorizenBase14.8414.0719-5.18%12.53-15.57%0.0671✓1.2275k2022-10-13
KSMKusamaHydration46.3843.985-5.16%40.69-12.27%0.0369✓1.02363k2022-10-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48650.461468-5.15%0.3679-24.38%0.1939✓0.81422k2022-10-13
XECeCashnative0.000043950.000041691-5.14%0.00003711-15.56%0.0829✓0.833.0M2022-10-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020070.019044-5.11%0.01727-13.95%0.0741✓0.59173k2022-10-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023170.021988-5.10%0.02101-9.32%0.0046✓1.022,9582022-10-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05250.998905-5.09%0.8006-23.93%0.1620✓1.474.5M2022-10-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.1406-5.09%5.61-13.29%0.0709✓0.482.1M2022-10-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08480.0805-5.07%0.082-3.30%0.0573✗0.9711k2022-10-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.005630.005346-5.04%0.0048-14.74%0.0812✓0.66911k2022-10-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.54.2778-4.94%3.53-21.56%0.1693✓0.571.4M2022-10-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.46.087-4.89%5.03-21.41%0.1518✓0.974.3M2022-10-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.03291.9338-4.88%1.5924-21.67%0.1515✓1.0613k2022-10-13
ZECZcashZcash58.9256.0513-4.87%50.94-13.54%0.0512✓1.101.1M2022-10-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.976.6344-4.82%6.09-12.63%0.0432✓1.05224k2022-10-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.420010.399857-4.80%0.35148-16.32%0.0913✓0.93392k2022-10-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.507980.484098-4.70%0.41049-19.19%0.1126✓1.3041k2022-10-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09680.092268-4.68%0.0743-23.24%0.1878✓0.722,9132022-10-13
HIVEHivenative0.55040.524719-4.67%0.4902-10.94%0.0438✓0.60871k2022-10-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40080.382101-4.67%0.3093-22.83%0.1713✓0.99202k2022-10-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1812.5673-4.65%11.09-15.86%0.0798✓1.12925k2022-10-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03610.034423-4.65%0.0319-11.63%0.0356✓1.0190k2022-10-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201910.019259-4.61%0.01784-11.64%0.0512✓0.6312k2022-10-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.309660.29541-4.60%0.327+5.60%0.1273✗0.64326k2022-10-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.34440.328673-4.57%0.2499-27.44%0.2381✓0.8989k2022-10-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.251061-4.54%0.23-12.55%0.0580✓0.74534k2022-10-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.8792-4.48%19.43+33.72%0.3738✗0.931.8M2022-10-13
DODODODOEthereum0.12530.119751-4.43%0.1164-7.10%0.0163✓1.111.4M2022-10-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.321390.307262-4.40%0.29812-7.24%0.0113✓1.0333k2022-10-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20850.199342-4.39%0.1796-13.86%0.0676✓0.9159k2022-10-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.739.3065-4.35%8.67-10.89%0.0173✓1.33288k2022-10-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.266920.255407-4.31%0.20766-22.20%0.1714✓0.8815k2022-10-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121520.011632-4.28%0.010334-14.96%0.0848✓0.83882k2022-10-13
OPTIMOptimism1.1821.1315-4.28%0.732-38.07%0.3710✓1.602.8M2022-10-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.3763-4.27%6.57-24.91%0.2204✓0.562.4M2022-10-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9130.874048-4.27%0.847-7.23%0.0139✓1.131.5M2022-10-13
QTUMQtumQtum3.02332.8946-4.26%2.6695-11.70%0.0403✓1.0120k2022-10-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12430.119018-4.25%0.1168-6.03%0.0236✓1.052.6M2022-10-13
XTZTezosTezos1.53481.4699-4.23%1.3832-9.88%0.0195✓1.02246k2022-10-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.13920.133319-4.22%0.1172-15.80%0.0895✓0.98128k2022-10-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.95861.8761-4.21%0.9616-50.90%0.6392✓0.721.5M2022-10-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0256.7312-4.18%7.028+0.04%0.0877✗1.1118.0M2022-10-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.088547-4.17%0.0998+8.01%0.1604✗1.01336k2022-10-13
XEMNEMnative0.0421630.040408-4.16%0.038379-8.97%0.0153✓0.9028k2022-10-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8718.0905-4.13%15.65-17.06%0.0907✓1.3518.0M2022-10-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26790.25685-4.12%0.2551-4.78%0.0329✓0.992.7M2022-10-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.00270.961833-4.08%0.905877-9.66%0.0289✓0.7741k2022-10-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0552.9312-4.05%2.773-9.23%0.0398✓0.39759k2022-10-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0596350.05725-4.00%0.059662+0.04%0.0799✗0.961.2M2022-10-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.21030.20197-3.96%0.1528-27.34%0.2492✓0.7467k2022-10-13
XVGVergenative0.003370.003237-3.94%0.00306-9.20%0.0186✓0.94483k2022-10-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,574.711,513.17-3.91%1,286.96-18.27%0.1092✓1.31616.7M2022-10-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46250.444426-3.91%0.4211-8.95%0.0089✓1.12366k2022-10-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0823.923-3.89%3.097-24.13%0.2159✓0.512.3M2022-10-13
STEEMSteemnative0.21610.207717-3.88%0.225+4.12%0.1149✗0.87527k2022-10-13
ELAElastosEthereum1.5531.493-3.86%1.479-4.76%0.0185✓0.6929k2022-10-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.1990.191322-3.86%0.1711-14.02%0.0709✓1.01132k2022-10-13
DIADIAEthereum0.381160.366708-3.79%0.39142+2.69%0.1036✗0.9531k2022-10-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.064680.062297-3.68%0.05314-17.84%0.1233✓0.897802022-10-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.103641-3.68%0.0911-15.33%0.0950✓0.84188k2022-10-13
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0345.8157-3.62%6.15+1.92%0.1101✗1.356.9M2022-10-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31050.299331-3.60%0.277-10.79%0.0375✓0.9982k2022-10-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036480.03519-3.54%0.03232-11.40%0.0565✓0.712,2982022-10-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.157.0112-3.53%51.09-13.55%0.0707✓0.9714.4M2022-10-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1650.159237-3.49%0.1439-12.79%0.0559✓1.131,7442022-10-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,174.7819,473.80-3.47%19,378.65-3.95%0.0354✓1.00480.9M2022-10-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.6113.5437-3.45%108.8-7.48%0.0036✓1.154.4M2022-10-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84630.81711-3.45%0.8267-2.32%0.0711✗1.4894k2022-10-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4490.43355-3.44%0.319-28.95%0.2601✓1.164,5592022-10-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.04960.047901-3.43%0.0541+9.07%0.1565✗0.86234k2022-10-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1046540.101118-3.38%0.1121+7.11%0.1381✗0.876.5M2022-10-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3625-3.37%1.66+17.73%0.1932✗-0.11113k2022-10-13
SOLSolanaSolana33.0131.9009-3.36%30.49-7.63%0.0030✓1.2054.5M2022-10-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.7494-3.35%2.79+54.14%0.4854✗0.4656k2022-10-13
ADACardanoCardano0.46370.448263-3.33%0.3769-18.72%0.1345✓0.9738.3M2022-10-13
XYMSymbolnative0.039870.038556-3.30%0.035845-10.10%0.0511✓0.5423k2022-10-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020430.01977-3.23%0.0198-3.08%0.0429✗1.039.7M2022-10-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.56649.9055-3.22%50.036-2.97%0.0368✗0.85246k2022-10-13
BTTCBTTC8.60e-78.32e-7-3.21%7.70e-7-10.47%0.0494✓0.711.7M2022-10-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05720.055375-3.19%0.0499-12.76%0.0717✓0.8090k2022-10-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.039023-3.17%0.0342-15.14%0.1003✓0.799,5132022-10-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.824730.799013-3.12%0.73564-10.80%0.0531✓0.7313k2022-10-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.17031.1347-3.04%1.2571+7.42%0.1464✗1.091.1M2022-10-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.042730.041437-3.03%0.03722-12.89%0.0798✓0.6814k2022-10-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.87960.853673-2.95%0.7636-13.19%0.0627✓1.21899k2022-10-13
STXStacksnative0.34970.339522-2.91%0.3005-14.07%0.0796✓1.06313k2022-10-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0590.057326-2.84%0.053-10.17%0.0302✓1.20568k2022-10-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4340.421717-2.83%0.38-12.44%0.0623✓1.047,9852022-10-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134760.13095-2.83%0.12034-10.70%0.0386✓1.14151k2022-10-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06790.066008-2.79%0.06122-9.84%0.0368✓0.9625k2022-10-13
GTGateEthereum4.14324.028-2.78%4.3617+5.27%0.1088✗0.72696k2022-10-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1521.121-2.69%0.978-15.10%0.0989✓0.931.1M2022-10-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.47e-7-2.68%7.70e-7-11.49%0.0670✓0.6915k2022-10-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02230.995408-2.63%0.9674-5.37%0.0089✓0.492.8M2022-10-13
KCSKuCoinnative9.2549.0112-2.62%9.399+1.57%0.0754✗0.831.2M2022-10-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7851.7382-2.62%1.495-16.25%0.0857✓1.6265k2022-10-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4551.4171-2.61%1.407-3.30%0.0360✗1.0771k2022-10-13
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1365.0034-2.58%4.551-11.39%0.0421✓1.316.4M2022-10-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.651-2.50%2.183-19.71%0.1348✓1.482.9M2022-10-13
XMRMoneroMonero145.44141.8174-2.49%142.89-1.75%0.0474✗0.991.4M2022-10-13
FTTFTXEthereum25.8925.2947-2.30%23.44-9.46%0.0360✓1.006.8M2022-10-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015190.001486-2.18%0.001497-1.45%0.0374✗0.74353k2022-10-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.2934.5699-2.04%23.01-34.80%0.3465✓1.5010.6M2022-10-13
TRXTRONTron0.0606820.059512-1.93%0.060975+0.48%0.0423✗0.45123k2022-10-13
QNTQuantEthereum97.8796.0486-1.86%160.75+64.25%0.5522✗0.933.5M2022-10-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.167380.164411-1.77%0.14863-11.20%0.0727✓0.703542022-10-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058990.005798-1.71%0.005472-7.24%0.0322✓0.641,9622022-10-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,237.1019,947.30-1.43%19,353.70-4.37%0.0068✓0.9215k2022-10-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04520.044661-1.19%0.0333-26.33%0.2593✓0.85142k2022-10-13
AAVEAaveEthereum82.9782.2519-0.87%70.96-14.48%0.0888✓1.466.2M2022-10-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.215.1664-0.22%14.3-5.92%0.0273✓0.781.4M2022-10-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96994.9652-0.10%4.2295-14.90%0.1569✓0.09119k2022-10-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.