8=======>

2022-09-12 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3305
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+17.85%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.5%
in alpha space · 91.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.49%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.5565.6669-13.56%5.147-21.49%0.0554✓0.976.2M2022-10-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.49e-76.49e-7-13.34%5.04e-7-32.65%0.1156✓0.872.3M2022-10-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.00030.000261217-12.93%0.00028659-4.47%0.1349✓0.272.3M2022-10-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.3410.8062-12.43%13.627+10.43%0.2907✗0.3816.0M2022-10-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.19160.168635-11.99%0.1135-40.76%0.3741✓0.1483k2022-10-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.66046.8044-11.17%4.8842-36.24%0.2923✓0.2511.9M2022-10-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11440.102056-10.79%0.067-41.43%0.3271✓0.60188k2022-10-12
FLOWFlownative2.1021.8945-9.87%1.558-25.88%0.0265✓1.42967k2022-10-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064740.0587-9.33%0.05596-13.56%0.1476✗1.251.2M2022-10-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5244.1056-9.25%3.802-15.96%0.0707✓0.94273k2022-10-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.609537-9.02%0.556-17.01%0.0749✓1.07111k2022-10-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.05130.046792-8.79%0.0392-23.59%0.0051✓1.16178k2022-10-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.2906-8.47%1.1-21.99%0.0062✓1.0668k2022-10-12
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8634.4539-8.41%3.8083-21.69%0.0771✓1.49122k2022-10-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.74190.679986-8.35%0.628-15.35%0.1616✗1.54210k2022-10-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.00496.4338-8.15%4.2544-39.27%0.3979✓0.109.1M2022-10-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.20140.185477-7.91%0.1899-5.71%0.1777✗0.983.2M2022-10-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5690.524108-7.89%0.457-19.68%0.0423✓1.1466k2022-10-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.21640.199541-7.79%0.128-40.85%0.3268✓0.7526k2022-10-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15470.142923-7.61%0.1346-12.99%0.0984✗1.01336k2022-10-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35140.325457-7.38%0.2656-24.42%0.0199✓1.1772k2022-10-12
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0184890.017159-7.19%0.014341-22.43%0.0228✓1.009912022-10-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.010.939253-7.00%0.873-13.56%0.0092✓0.412.7M2022-10-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.0367-7.00%1.67-23.74%0.0010✓1.27227k2022-10-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,751.479,076.04-6.93%7,877.53-19.22%0.0803✗1.424.1M2022-10-12
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.2912-6.86%1.91-22.36%0.0867✓0.61261k2022-10-12
METISMetisEthereum29.9327.8812-6.85%24.34-18.68%0.1248✗1.66159k2022-10-12
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0120040.011198-6.72%0.009569-20.28%0.0006✓1.006492022-10-12
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR5.0934.7526-6.68%3.153-38.09%0.2538✓1.001.4M2022-10-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.9485.551-6.68%4.066-31.64%0.2107✓0.643.1M2022-10-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12860.12027-6.48%0.0876-31.88%0.1208✓1.252.5M2022-10-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5631.463-6.40%1.454-6.97%0.1856✗1.2343k2022-10-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.0740.069393-6.23%0.06929-6.36%0.0196✓0.13378k2022-10-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.56284.2794-6.21%3.0801-32.50%0.2328✓0.618.1M2022-10-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.39761.3109-6.20%1.0849-22.37%0.0198✓1.08922k2022-10-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.40930.384138-6.15%0.2554-37.60%0.2809✓0.8189k2022-10-12
OPTIMOptimism1.2671.1895-6.11%0.747-41.04%0.2000✓1.692.7M2022-10-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1712.0385-6.11%1.571-27.64%0.0611✓1.2732k2022-10-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86380.811381-6.07%0.6656-22.95%0.0141✓1.17946k2022-10-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013230.001245-5.94%0.0009175-30.67%0.1755✓0.832.2M2022-10-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.2317.1484-5.93%14.98-17.83%0.0517✓0.53396k2022-10-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9621.8463-5.90%1.5946-18.73%0.0292✓1.1223k2022-10-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0240350.022623-5.88%0.024833+3.32%0.1072✗0.09465k2022-10-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.0069-5.85%4.67-26.80%0.1696✓0.522.1M2022-10-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5420.510636-5.79%0.428-21.03%0.0144✓1.2277k2022-10-12
FISStafiEthereum0.36270.341835-5.75%0.3109-14.28%0.0705✗1.061,1592022-10-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6480.610815-5.74%0.57-12.04%0.0909✗1.02178k2022-10-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009050.008534-5.70%0.0055-39.23%0.2916✓0.943.3M2022-10-12
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,615.211,525.65-5.54%1,254.87-22.31%0.0388✓1.003.3M2022-10-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29760.281183-5.52%0.2122-28.70%0.1124✓1.0874k2022-10-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.0388-5.46%4.06-23.83%0.1151✓0.642.0M2022-10-12
BANDBandEthereum1.3521.2785-5.43%1.105-18.27%0.0540✓1.28323k2022-10-12
COMPCompoundEthereum54.7351.7829-5.38%55.48+1.37%0.2681✗1.278,6412022-10-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.440280.416735-5.35%0.30131-31.56%0.1706✓0.98379k2022-10-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6647.2574-5.31%6.173-19.45%0.0210✓1.1710.0M2022-10-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.8031.7083-5.25%1.584-12.15%0.0836✗1.02627k2022-10-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016510.001565-5.18%0.001361-17.57%0.0337✓0.685,8832022-10-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51290.486331-5.18%0.3722-27.43%0.1334✓0.86396k2022-10-12
KSMKusamaHydration52.2149.5087-5.17%40.13-23.14%0.0490✓1.03363k2022-10-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03730.03538-5.15%0.02798-24.99%0.0687✓1.0635k2022-10-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1214.342-5.15%17.14+13.36%0.3349✗1.001.8M2022-10-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44360.42085-5.13%0.3394-23.49%0.0308✓1.1875k2022-10-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062340.005923-4.98%0.00603-3.27%0.0758✗0.3730k2022-10-12
XEMNEMnative0.0467110.0444-4.95%0.039427-15.59%0.0210✓0.8928k2022-10-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.5314.7656-4.92%11.739-24.41%0.0288✓1.2819.6M2022-10-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.7562.6241-4.79%2.24-18.72%0.0282✓0.83523k2022-10-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177310.168975-4.70%0.14279-19.47%0.0008✓1.08271k2022-10-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.716.3983-4.65%5.67-15.50%0.0436✓0.492.1M2022-10-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031060.002963-4.60%0.002075-33.19%0.2133✓0.911.2M2022-10-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.427.0858-4.50%5.66-23.72%0.0531✓1.10224k2022-10-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.554.3481-4.44%3.72-18.24%0.0608✓0.611.4M2022-10-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2213.5925-4.41%11.54-18.85%0.0220✓1.19925k2022-10-12
MOVRMoonriverBase12.66512.1245-4.27%10.3905-17.96%0.0053✓1.0221k2022-10-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.10270.098366-4.22%0.1026-0.10%0.2009✗1.01336k2022-10-12
QTUMQtumQtum3.29333.1545-4.21%2.7159-17.53%0.0129✓1.0419k2022-10-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4536.8366-4.20%23.79-38.13%0.1906✓1.5810.6M2022-10-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.29430.281956-4.19%0.21464-27.07%0.1313✓0.9015k2022-10-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.89480.857282-4.19%0.8317-7.05%0.2150✗1.5789k2022-10-12
DASHDashDash47.1745.1934-4.19%41.74-11.51%0.0880✗1.07312k2022-10-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14882.0591-4.17%1.672-22.19%0.0317✓1.1313k2022-10-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047470.04549-4.17%0.03857-18.75%0.0634✓0.6514k2022-10-12
HIVEHivenative0.58020.556157-4.14%0.5112-11.89%0.0123✓0.62836k2022-10-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04920.047172-4.12%0.0357-27.44%0.0945✓1.18546k2022-10-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012880.000012356-4.07%0.00001016-21.12%0.0372✓1.011.0M2022-10-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11410.109478-4.05%0.0931-18.40%0.0244✓0.88188k2022-10-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021020.020174-4.03%0.01798-14.46%0.0203✓0.61191k2022-10-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.794220.762389-4.01%0.64761-18.46%0.0136✓1.13624k2022-10-12
ZENHorizenBase16.4815.8205-4.00%12.49-24.21%0.0403✓1.2579k2022-10-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.16420.157725-3.94%0.1486-9.50%0.1458✗1.319132022-10-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1431.098-3.93%0.8202-28.24%0.0499✓1.544.4M2022-10-12
STXStacksnative0.38790.372905-3.87%0.3107-19.90%0.0150✓1.07314k2022-10-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.145975-3.84%0.1213-20.09%0.0289✓1.00119k2022-10-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32370.311375-3.81%0.3135-3.15%0.1606✗0.986.0M2022-10-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6720.646669-3.77%0.549-18.30%0.0144✓1.143.3M2022-10-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29170.280713-3.77%0.2577-11.66%0.0734✗1.022.7M2022-10-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9266.6672-3.74%5.07-26.80%0.1175✓1.004.3M2022-10-12
XECeCashnative0.000045970.000044258-3.72%0.00003798-17.38%0.0151✓0.883.0M2022-10-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.958.6228-3.66%6.78-24.25%0.1481✓0.592.4M2022-10-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0220180.021215-3.65%0.018543-15.78%0.0376✓0.6212k2022-10-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2453.1277-3.61%2.859-11.90%0.0316✓0.37676k2022-10-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2854.1303-3.61%3.305-22.87%0.1655✓0.372.2M2022-10-12
XTZTezosTezos1.65651.5974-3.57%1.3516-18.41%0.0012✓1.06241k2022-10-12
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20530.197977-3.57%0.1515-26.21%0.0920✓1.12108k2022-10-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008330.008036-3.53%0.00592-28.93%0.1215✓1.18428k2022-10-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06670.064374-3.49%0.0689+3.30%0.2321✗1.0579k2022-10-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.006210.005996-3.45%0.0049-21.10%0.1026✓0.63911k2022-10-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91231.8474-3.40%1.0233-46.49%0.4583✓0.851.4M2022-10-12
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004058-3.37%0.00336-20.00%0.0414✓0.94103k2022-10-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09150.088445-3.34%0.0807-11.80%0.0624✗0.9814k2022-10-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012940.012509-3.33%0.01098-15.15%0.0278✓0.65233k2022-10-12
PROPropyEthereum0.730.705673-3.33%0.54-26.03%0.2299✓0.2444k2022-10-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33460.323645-3.27%0.28-16.32%0.0182✓1.0482k2022-10-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0210.6612-3.26%8.85-19.69%0.0244✓1.34288k2022-10-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23460.227035-3.22%0.1864-20.55%0.0567✓0.9057k2022-10-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.320430.310113-3.22%0.252468-21.21%0.0514✓0.99471k2022-10-12
ZECZcashZcash62.9260.898-3.21%51.73-17.78%0.0193✓1.171.1M2022-10-12
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6596.4481-3.17%6.054-9.09%0.1569✗1.406.9M2022-10-12
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.8224-3.16%4.7-5.62%0.1098✗0.87839k2022-10-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10130.098118-3.14%0.0774-23.59%0.1180✓0.762,7302022-10-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7587.515-3.13%7.147-7.88%0.1273✗1.1318.0M2022-10-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,716.711,663.21-3.12%1,294.33-24.60%0.0383✓1.36569.9M2022-10-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354360.343321-3.12%0.28328-20.06%0.0234✓1.0833k2022-10-12
ELAElastosEthereum1.6221.5724-3.06%1.463-9.80%0.0428✗0.7329k2022-10-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5341.4874-3.04%1.389-9.45%0.1078✗1.1371k2022-10-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.26951.2317-2.98%1.1675-8.03%0.1252✗1.141.1M2022-10-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0426730.04143-2.91%0.035794-16.12%0.0626✓0.5323k2022-10-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche21.3720.7487-2.91%15.95-25.36%0.0475✓1.3818.0M2022-10-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9351.8795-2.87%1.505-22.22%0.0459✗1.7160k2022-10-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash128.87125.1948-2.85%111.75-13.28%0.0705✗1.184.4M2022-10-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024880.024178-2.82%0.02169-12.82%0.0607✗1.082,9582022-10-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2791.243-2.81%1.022-20.09%0.0496✓0.931.1M2022-10-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.267366-2.78%0.234-14.91%0.0126✓0.77563k2022-10-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.038896-2.76%0.03373-15.68%0.0333✓0.702,2982022-10-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639580.062194-2.76%0.05987-6.39%0.1201✗1.011.2M2022-10-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.0911.0614-2.71%0.929799-14.78%0.0118✓0.7736k2022-10-12
NEXONEXOEthereum0.970.94431-2.65%0.833-14.12%0.0606✗1.191.5M2022-10-12
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.76e-7-2.62%7.70e-7-14.44%0.0139✓0.741.7M2022-10-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49480.481966-2.59%0.4253-14.05%0.0560✗1.16384k2022-10-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03990.038873-2.57%0.0353-11.53%0.0426✗0.899,1922022-10-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13470.131235-2.57%0.1193-11.43%0.0743✗1.082.7M2022-10-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.4159.8323-2.57%52.23-14.95%0.0275✗1.0414.0M2022-10-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.316230.308545-2.43%0.33712+6.61%0.1969✗0.69326k2022-10-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20630.201446-2.35%0.1782-13.62%0.0477✗1.09135k2022-10-12
NANOnanopayBase0.9142160.893197-2.30%0.760819-16.78%0.0258✓0.8649k2022-10-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2384.1414-2.28%3.141-25.88%0.1948✓0.522.3M2022-10-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.60953.3871-2.24%48.073-11.97%0.0337✗0.88264k2022-10-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03970.038815-2.23%0.0326-17.88%0.0152✓1.0289k2022-10-12
DIADIAEthereum0.399770.390932-2.21%0.3906-2.29%0.1578✗1.0131k2022-10-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1138590.111346-2.21%0.116277+2.12%0.1824✗0.896.5M2022-10-12
SOLSolanaSolana37.4636.6394-2.19%31.16-16.82%0.0295✗1.2254.5M2022-10-12
XVGVergenative0.003570.003496-2.06%0.00312-12.61%0.0411✗0.99483k2022-10-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.22570.22127-1.96%0.1479-34.47%0.2840✓0.7667k2022-10-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,402.7121,966.06-1.95%19,155.92-14.49%0.0197✗1.00480.9M2022-10-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.142110.139411-1.90%0.12114-14.76%0.0490✗1.21151k2022-10-12
KCSKuCoinnative9.7159.5326-1.88%9.053-6.81%0.0835✗0.861.2M2022-10-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4080.400344-1.88%0.3171-22.28%0.0628✓1.09202k2022-10-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.269-1.88%14.49-12.61%0.0065✓0.781.5M2022-10-12
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.93e-7-1.85%7.80e-7-14.29%0.0190✓0.7415k2022-10-12
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18390.180584-1.80%0.147-20.07%0.0257✓1.151,7442022-10-12
XMRMoneroMonero163.77160.9013-1.75%144.74-11.62%0.0455✗0.971.4M2022-10-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.064283-1.71%0.0544-16.82%0.0236✗1.22563k2022-10-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.5630.553394-1.71%0.42113-25.20%0.0638✓1.3439k2022-10-12
ADACardanoCardano0.50140.492895-1.70%0.3813-23.95%0.0993✓1.0138.3M2022-10-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95910.943178-1.66%0.7783-18.85%0.0060✓1.27899k2022-10-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131540.012938-1.64%0.010459-20.49%0.0818✓0.84882k2022-10-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.407-1.61%1.52+6.29%0.0558✗-0.14124k2022-10-12
CBKCobakEthereum0.854280.840577-1.60%0.75156-12.02%0.0116✓0.7913k2022-10-12
FTTFTXEthereum28.4628.0132-1.57%23.36-17.92%0.0226✓1.026.8M2022-10-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9432.8968-1.57%2.065-29.83%0.0956✓1.552.9M2022-10-12
DODODODOEthereum0.13190.12983-1.57%0.1178-10.69%0.0872✗1.181.4M2022-10-12
APEApeCoinEthereum5.4925.4079-1.53%4.714-14.17%0.0816✗1.406.4M2022-10-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4810.473722-1.51%0.377-21.62%0.0651✓1.047,9852022-10-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4830.47613-1.42%0.328-32.09%0.1831✓1.214,2692022-10-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,320.8022,022.65-1.34%19,167.20-14.13%0.0049✓0.9213k2022-10-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00450.992134-1.23%0.9569-4.74%0.0531✗0.572.6M2022-10-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069150.068313-1.21%0.05545-19.81%0.0627✓0.938202022-10-12
STEEMSteemnative0.23550.232709-1.19%0.2291-2.72%0.1209✗0.87527k2022-10-12
GTGateEthereum4.38394.3321-1.18%4.405+0.48%0.1325✗0.74688k2022-10-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02280.022551-1.09%0.02101-7.85%0.0961✗1.0710.3M2022-10-12
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016260.001609-1.06%0.001688+3.81%0.1712✗0.79374k2022-10-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.060.059366-1.06%0.0499-16.83%0.0410✓0.8590k2022-10-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071990.071234-1.05%0.06138-14.74%0.0078✓1.0025k2022-10-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.048805-1.00%0.0378-23.33%0.1224✓0.85145k2022-10-12
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.172560.170833-1.00%0.1565-9.31%0.0316✗0.765152022-10-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.8269-0.71%2.23+21.20%0.2729✗0.4758k2022-10-12
QNTQuantEthereum106.65106.085-0.53%153.65+44.07%0.5167✗0.933.5M2022-10-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063560.006343-0.20%0.005602-11.86%0.0242✓0.641,9622022-10-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.05160.051512-0.17%0.052+0.78%0.1596✗0.96234k2022-10-12
TRXTRONTron0.0638830.064078+0.31%0.061673-3.46%0.0347✓0.47123k2022-10-12
AAVEAaveEthereum90.9991.6867+0.77%71.52-21.40%0.0090✗1.536.0M2022-10-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.04525.1231+1.54%4.1434-17.87%0.2022✗0.06119k2022-10-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.