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2022-09-11 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3259
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+16.86%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.3%
in alpha space · 92.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.30e-76.30e-7-13.67%4.94e-7-32.35%0.1265✓0.862.3M2022-10-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4175.5617-13.33%5.133-20.01%0.0508✓0.966.2M2022-10-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000431380.000376746-12.66%0.00028097-34.87%0.2429✓0.372.1M2022-10-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.59411.035-12.38%14.164+12.47%0.3006✗0.3816.0M2022-10-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12540.110375-11.98%0.0677-46.01%0.4044✓0.62191k2022-10-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.26110.230116-11.87%0.1306-49.98%0.4573✓0.8024k2022-10-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.60946.7731-10.99%5.0794-33.25%0.2536✓0.2511.9M2022-10-11
FLOWFlownative2.1161.9003-10.19%1.581-25.28%0.0098✓1.43967k2022-10-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.3149-9.94%1.09-25.34%0.0422✓1.0779k2022-10-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5014.0675-9.63%3.85-14.46%0.0736✓0.95286k2022-10-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065210.059073-9.41%0.05586-14.34%0.1141✗1.251.3M2022-10-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.047212-9.21%0.0393-24.42%0.0246✓1.17190k2022-10-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.623462-9.12%0.555-19.10%0.0301✓1.08111k2022-10-11
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8474.4352-8.50%3.9604-18.29%0.0951✗1.53129k2022-10-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.73510.673796-8.34%0.6398-12.96%0.1568✗1.53226k2022-10-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.14686.5651-8.14%4.4242-38.10%0.3805✓0.109.1M2022-10-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5950.546715-8.12%0.454-23.70%0.0285✓1.1664k2022-10-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.20830.191809-7.92%0.1946-6.58%0.1504✗1.003.2M2022-10-11
METISMetisEthereum31.9829.4628-7.87%24.24-24.20%0.0363✓1.70168k2022-10-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15450.142657-7.67%0.1354-12.36%0.0860✗1.02336k2022-10-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.1526-7.61%1.67-28.33%0.0786✓1.29227k2022-10-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36190.334717-7.51%0.2662-26.44%0.0685✓1.1872k2022-10-11
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.018280.016908-7.50%0.014339-21.56%0.0289✓1.008742022-10-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,194.939,432.63-7.48%7,823.46-23.26%0.0086✓1.444.2M2022-10-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.4362-7.37%1.94-26.24%0.1433✓0.62262k2022-10-11
OPTIMOptimism1.4021.2992-7.33%0.738-47.36%0.3310✓1.732.7M2022-10-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0240.949119-7.31%0.853-16.70%0.0516✓0.412.7M2022-10-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1395.708-7.02%4.3-29.96%0.1935✓0.663.1M2022-10-11
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8964.5586-6.89%3.171-35.23%0.2271✓1.001.4M2022-10-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6481.5379-6.68%1.424-13.59%0.0917✗1.2443k2022-10-11
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0113140.010561-6.65%0.009663-14.59%0.0470✓1.006302022-10-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013670.001277-6.65%0.000927-32.21%0.2056✓0.842.2M2022-10-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.31451.2273-6.63%1.105-15.94%0.0407✓1.071.0M2022-10-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2022.0594-6.47%1.57-28.70%0.0972✓1.2832k2022-10-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.8381.7205-6.39%1.592-13.38%0.0616✓1.02627k2022-10-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67894.3814-6.36%3.1333-33.03%0.2531✓0.618.1M2022-10-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86630.812559-6.20%0.6867-20.73%0.0081✓1.18946k2022-10-11
FISStafiEthereum0.35010.32863-6.13%0.3202-8.54%0.1169✗1.057782022-10-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92411.8061-6.13%1.6014-16.77%0.0318✓1.1223k2022-10-11
BANDBandEthereum1.3691.2852-6.12%1.115-18.55%0.0306✓1.27343k2022-10-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0239730.022514-6.08%0.025016+4.35%0.1153✗0.07455k2022-10-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.576.1741-6.03%4.92-25.11%0.1533✓0.542.1M2022-10-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037810.035545-5.99%0.02814-25.58%0.0882✓1.0745k2022-10-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5430.510468-5.99%0.426-21.55%0.0146✓1.2274k2022-10-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.5636.2651-5.95%23.73-38.46%0.2087✓1.5910.6M2022-10-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009440.00888-5.93%0.00556-41.10%0.3372✓0.963.2M2022-10-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.9317.8091-5.92%14.03-25.88%0.1643✓0.55384k2022-10-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6490.610644-5.91%0.562-13.41%0.0568✓1.03178k2022-10-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11670.109809-5.90%0.0886-24.08%0.0465✓1.242.5M2022-10-11
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2551.9999-5.88%55.84+1.07%0.2463✗1.298,9662022-10-11
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,656.911,560.36-5.83%1,240.98-25.10%0.0931✓1.003.4M2022-10-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177890.167765-5.69%0.14363-19.26%0.0105✓1.07268k2022-10-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016360.001545-5.58%0.001366-16.50%0.0304✓0.686,5532022-10-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.7822.6281-5.53%2.134-23.29%0.1015✓0.79586k2022-10-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44450.420021-5.51%0.355-20.13%0.0092✓1.1781k2022-10-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063090.005965-5.46%0.006021-4.56%0.0617✗0.3830k2022-10-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.1680.158841-5.45%0.1567-6.73%0.1665✗1.321,0012022-10-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29290.276996-5.43%0.2043-30.25%0.1577✓1.0883k2022-10-11
MOVRMoonriverBase12.886612.19-5.41%10.4764-18.70%0.0125✓1.0222k2022-10-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.1378-5.38%4.18-23.02%0.1165✓0.662.0M2022-10-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7027.2907-5.34%6.18-19.76%0.0066✓1.1710.0M2022-10-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.456780.432495-5.32%0.30021-34.28%0.2284✓1.01379k2022-10-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.074140.070198-5.32%0.07114-4.05%0.0317✓0.14378k2022-10-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51570.488667-5.24%0.3748-27.32%0.1491✓0.85418k2022-10-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.637.2369-5.15%5.83-23.59%0.0662✓1.10230k2022-10-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.69914.8959-5.12%12.174-22.45%0.0256✓1.3018.7M2022-10-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.714.8997-5.10%16.63+5.92%0.2477✗1.011.8M2022-10-11
DASHDashDash48.3545.9341-5.00%41.25-14.68%0.0389✓1.08321k2022-10-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029040.00276-4.95%0.002081-28.34%0.1604✓0.901.2M2022-10-11
KSMKusamaHydration51.949.3333-4.95%40.86-21.27%0.0504✓1.02395k2022-10-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012990.000012348-4.94%0.00001023-21.25%0.0499✓1.021.0M2022-10-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.642618-4.94%0.553-18.20%0.0054✓1.153.5M2022-10-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05010.047639-4.91%0.0362-27.74%0.1163✓1.17536k2022-10-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.020315-4.62%0.0178-16.43%0.0507✓0.60206k2022-10-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.006610.006306-4.60%0.00472-28.59%0.2027✓0.64911k2022-10-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.33080.315769-4.54%0.255-22.91%0.1101✓0.7684k2022-10-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.736.425-4.53%5.78-14.12%0.0376✓0.502.1M2022-10-11
XEMNEMnative0.0467850.044689-4.48%0.039437-15.71%0.0036✓0.8928k2022-10-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1736.8521-4.47%5.226-27.14%0.1337✓1.014.3M2022-10-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5613.9103-4.46%11.52-20.88%0.0267✓1.19925k2022-10-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30572.2038-4.42%1.6843-26.95%0.1144✓1.1413k2022-10-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21060.201347-4.39%0.1451-31.10%0.1709✓1.15108k2022-10-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.30663.1617-4.38%2.6817-18.90%0.0227✓1.0419k2022-10-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012930.012366-4.36%0.0104-19.57%0.0835✓0.66233k2022-10-11
ZENHorizenBase16.4715.7592-4.32%12.5-24.10%0.0615✓1.2584k2022-10-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.14.88-4.31%4.82-5.49%0.1051✗0.86859k2022-10-11
XTZTezosTezos1.68551.6129-4.31%1.3396-20.52%0.0412✓1.06241k2022-10-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.145273-4.30%0.122-19.63%0.0382✓1.00110k2022-10-11
HIVEHivenative0.57920.554303-4.30%0.5306-8.39%0.0408✓0.62826k2022-10-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.644.4439-4.23%3.71-20.04%0.0965✓0.621.4M2022-10-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32640.312666-4.21%0.3177-2.67%0.1501✗0.995.9M2022-10-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.803760.77015-4.18%0.64753-19.44%0.0188✓1.14584k2022-10-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.00809-4.15%0.00619-26.66%0.1074✓1.18406k2022-10-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004190.004018-4.10%0.00336-19.81%0.0504✓0.95103k2022-10-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11560.110913-4.05%0.0922-20.24%0.0657✓0.88169k2022-10-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1831.1353-4.03%0.8192-30.75%0.1145✓1.564.4M2022-10-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06450.061929-3.99%0.0631-2.17%0.1589✗1.0379k2022-10-11
XECeCashnative0.000045620.000043807-3.98%0.000038-16.70%0.0221✓0.882.5M2022-10-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3137870.301335-3.97%0.252068-19.67%0.0445✓0.99471k2022-10-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2310.7862-3.95%8.81-21.55%0.0173✓1.36298k2022-10-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.1833-3.92%3.34-23.29%0.1746✓0.372.2M2022-10-11
ZECZcashZcash64.2761.7637-3.90%51.54-19.81%0.0207✓1.181.2M2022-10-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29230.280931-3.89%0.2614-10.57%0.0659✗1.022.6M2022-10-11
PROPropyEthereum0.720.692047-3.88%0.56-22.22%0.1802✓0.2346k2022-10-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02550.024519-3.85%0.02204-13.57%0.0469✗1.132,9142022-10-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.037.7242-3.81%7.132-11.18%0.0737✗1.1317.5M2022-10-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09970.09591-3.80%0.105+5.32%0.2274✗1.01336k2022-10-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10270.098818-3.78%0.0794-22.69%0.1144✓0.772,6892022-10-11
XVGVergenative0.003810.003668-3.74%0.00325-14.70%0.0166✓1.01481k2022-10-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09410.090621-3.70%0.0796-15.41%0.0048✓0.9914k2022-10-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.351690.338765-3.68%0.2823-19.73%0.0358✓1.0834k2022-10-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.988.6543-3.63%7.02-21.83%0.1277✓0.602.4M2022-10-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23030.222018-3.60%0.1864-19.06%0.0533✓0.8957k2022-10-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.6551.5956-3.59%1.496-9.61%0.0370✗0.7536k2022-10-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.00771.9363-3.55%1.0218-49.11%0.5236✓0.851.4M2022-10-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.88850.857042-3.54%0.8294-6.65%0.1803✗1.5794k2022-10-11
NANOnanopayBase0.9277880.895109-3.52%0.762754-17.79%0.0417✓0.8749k2022-10-11
STXStacksnative0.39030.376844-3.45%0.3122-20.01%0.0417✓1.08324k2022-10-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.08631.0493-3.40%0.922593-15.07%0.0241✓0.7734k2022-10-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33280.321564-3.38%0.2783-16.38%0.0022✓1.0575k2022-10-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,766.951,707.74-3.35%1,279.94-27.56%0.1020✓1.37575.8M2022-10-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.1270.122745-3.35%0.1155-9.06%0.0601✓0.0183k2022-10-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.27572-3.26%0.233-18.25%0.0621✓0.78563k2022-10-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2783.1715-3.25%2.858-12.81%0.0531✓0.38720k2022-10-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9740.942574-3.23%0.833-14.48%0.0396✗1.201.5M2022-10-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0637030.061653-3.22%0.060216-5.47%0.1137✗1.011.3M2022-10-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331390.320739-3.21%0.33684+1.64%0.1444✗0.70326k2022-10-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.13339-3.20%0.1203-12.70%0.0488✗1.122.9M2022-10-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.5120.495631-3.20%0.4268-16.64%0.0106✓1.18384k2022-10-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218870.021202-3.13%0.018475-15.59%0.0533✓0.6212k2022-10-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.291460.282447-3.09%0.21515-26.18%0.1503✓0.9015k2022-10-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.35126.3315-3.08%111.17-14.71%0.0332✗1.194.4M2022-10-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5171.4707-3.05%1.432-5.60%0.1259✗1.1271k2022-10-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42550.412552-3.04%0.313-26.44%0.1257✓1.11202k2022-10-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21410.207613-3.03%0.1798-16.02%0.0041✓1.09138k2022-10-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046640.045227-3.03%0.03846-17.54%0.0745✓0.6414k2022-10-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.23120.224336-2.97%0.1522-34.17%0.2837✓0.7766k2022-10-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03930.038137-2.96%0.0324-17.56%0.0243✓1.0288k2022-10-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03960.038429-2.96%0.03308-16.46%0.0561✓0.692,1832022-10-11
DIADIAEthereum0.405260.393519-2.90%0.38304-5.48%0.1108✗1.0132k2022-10-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073070.07098-2.86%0.05605-23.29%0.1039✓0.977022022-10-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.1860.4173-2.83%52.01-16.36%0.0080✓1.0413.5M2022-10-11
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.84e-7-2.81%7.60e-7-16.48%0.0504✓0.741.7M2022-10-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03720.036158-2.80%0.0355-4.57%0.1004✗0.877,8252022-10-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.30291.2666-2.78%1.2564-3.57%0.1481✗1.151.1M2022-10-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0423220.041163-2.74%0.036015-14.90%0.0619✓0.5323k2022-10-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6920.1267-2.72%15.96-22.86%0.0457✓1.3718.0M2022-10-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4054.2855-2.71%3.254-26.13%0.2020✓0.542.3M2022-10-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5130.499396-2.65%0.383-25.34%0.1209✓1.067,7812022-10-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2511.2188-2.58%1.022-18.31%0.0491✓0.931.1M2022-10-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.555060.540772-2.57%0.42218-23.94%0.0654✓1.3439k2022-10-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1143870.11148-2.54%0.116096+1.49%0.1609✗0.896.4M2022-10-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.991.941-2.46%1.515-23.87%0.0142✓1.7260k2022-10-11
APEApeCoinEthereum5.6825.546-2.39%4.693-17.41%0.0245✗1.416.4M2022-10-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143820.140557-2.27%0.12111-15.79%0.0159✓1.21151k2022-10-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4916.3446-2.25%5.992-7.69%0.1329✗1.406.9M2022-10-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131930.012896-2.25%0.010365-21.44%0.1036✓0.85920k2022-10-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,831.7221,347.62-2.22%19,058.11-12.70%0.0224✓1.00473.4M2022-10-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.45453.2497-2.21%47.915-12.01%0.0122✓0.87275k2022-10-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.90e-7-2.20%7.70e-7-15.38%0.0429✓0.7515k2022-10-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.3893-2.16%1.52+7.04%0.0706✗-0.14124k2022-10-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97480.954256-2.11%0.7788-20.11%0.0306✓1.27899k2022-10-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023320.022832-2.09%0.0222-4.80%0.1163✗1.069.7M2022-10-11
ADACardanoCardano0.51010.499605-2.06%0.3906-23.43%0.1091✓1.0138.3M2022-10-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1830.179273-2.04%0.148-19.13%0.0329✓1.171,7442022-10-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5150.504741-1.99%0.336-34.76%0.2398✓1.234,2692022-10-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06620.064892-1.98%0.0548-17.22%0.0022✓1.23555k2022-10-11
STEEMSteemnative0.2350.230364-1.97%0.2305-1.91%0.1187✗0.87503k2022-10-11
KCSKuCoinnative9.7559.5631-1.97%8.744-10.36%0.0279✗0.861.2M2022-10-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.22156.0987-1.96%144.57-9.20%0.0567✗0.981.3M2022-10-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02751.0086-1.84%0.9454-7.99%0.0130✓0.572.6M2022-10-11
DODODODOEthereum0.13330.130874-1.82%0.118-11.48%0.0577✗1.191.4M2022-10-11
FTTFTXEthereum27.8927.4042-1.74%23.25-16.64%0.0259✓1.026.8M2022-10-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06110.060039-1.74%0.0499-18.33%0.0686✓0.8682k2022-10-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075460.074163-1.72%0.06085-19.36%0.0601✓1.0124k2022-10-11
GTGateEthereum4.33014.2584-1.66%4.365+0.81%0.1243✗0.73690k2022-10-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9632.9157-1.60%2.062-30.41%0.1336✓1.572.9M2022-10-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04970.048907-1.60%0.0383-22.94%0.1289✓0.85138k2022-10-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174140.171453-1.54%0.15473-11.15%0.0038✓0.783512022-10-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,663.6021,332.23-1.53%19,028.40-12.16%0.0103✓0.9213k2022-10-11
SOLSolanaSolana35.0134.4758-1.53%30.8-12.03%0.0513✗1.2154.5M2022-10-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.91.8749-1.32%2.27+19.47%0.2561✗0.4861k2022-10-11
CBKCobakEthereum0.85180.840927-1.28%0.75273-11.63%0.0034✓0.7913k2022-10-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.3837-1.18%14.48-12.67%0.0168✓0.791.5M2022-10-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0065370.006471-1.01%0.005604-14.27%0.0527✓0.672,0442022-10-11
QNTQuantEthereum108.82107.9949-0.76%153.96+41.48%0.4841✗0.953.5M2022-10-11
TRXTRONTron0.064190.063811-0.59%0.06166-3.94%0.0323✗0.49123k2022-10-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015580.001549-0.57%0.001486-4.62%0.0627✗0.77353k2022-10-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.050709-0.18%0.0515+1.38%0.1436✗0.94234k2022-10-11
AAVEAaveEthereum91.6391.9812+0.38%71.42-22.06%0.0446✗1.535.6M2022-10-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.06275.1138+1.01%4.1004-19.01%0.2124✗0.06117k2022-10-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.