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2022-09-02 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2945
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.76%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
75.4%
in alpha space · 84.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.48%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum88.3987.2892-1.25%72.64-17.82%0.1140✓1.525.6M2022-10-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05680.055813-1.74%0.0494-13.03%0.0798✓0.9290k2022-10-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0570.055891-1.95%0.0626+9.82%0.1531✗0.8799k2022-10-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.3418.9538-2.00%14.91-22.91%0.2073✓0.711.7M2022-10-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34890.341288-2.18%0.3151-9.69%0.0228✓1.24176k2022-10-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,019.3019,561.36-2.29%19,019.30-5.00%0.0151✓0.9413k2022-10-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17680.172712-2.31%0.1462-17.31%0.1035✓1.382,2552022-10-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.981.9341-2.32%2.59+30.81%0.3151✗0.5089k2022-10-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.159050.15517-2.44%0.16934+6.47%0.1806✗2.034042022-10-02
SOLSolanaSolana31.2430.4555-2.51%32.05+2.59%0.1040✗1.1664.4M2022-10-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4790.466521-2.61%0.364-24.01%0.1932✓1.203,4962022-10-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057670.005611-2.70%0.007246+25.66%0.2868✗0.682,1662022-10-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0616620.059955-2.77%0.059203-3.99%0.0358✗1.061.4M2022-10-02
GTGateEthereum4.26554.1455-2.81%4.2724+0.16%0.0657✗0.78766k2022-10-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013240.012853-2.92%0.00951-28.17%0.2718✓0.64220k2022-10-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20880.202222-3.15%0.1895-9.24%0.0182✓1.0258k2022-10-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.1410.136506-3.19%0.1231-12.70%0.0565✓1.02113k2022-10-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10.096724-3.28%0.0874-12.60%0.0687✓0.712,5272022-10-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1045960.101128-3.32%0.118426+13.22%0.1954✗0.826.8M2022-10-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,575.691,523.44-3.32%1,277.02-18.95%0.1133✓1.38660.9M2022-10-02
TRXTRONTron0.0626280.060536-3.34%0.060916-2.73%0.0340✗0.60129k2022-10-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.23130.223528-3.36%0.1316-43.10%0.4885✓0.9071k2022-10-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,953.7419,249.62-3.53%19,059.17-4.48%0.0359✓1.00490.8M2022-10-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.24090.232112-3.65%0.2595+7.72%0.1548✗0.9481k2022-10-02
QNTQuantEthereum92.7889.3921-3.65%129.63+39.72%0.4108✗0.853.5M2022-10-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.09310.089647-3.71%0.1084+16.43%0.2338✗0.96375k2022-10-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96790.931631-3.75%0.8869-8.37%0.0268✓0.493.3M2022-10-02
XMRMoneroMonero153.67147.9046-3.75%137.15-10.75%0.0287✓1.021.3M2022-10-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.078961-3.82%0.0786-4.26%0.0381✓0.9311k2022-10-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.954.7589-3.86%4.48-9.49%0.0360✓0.531.1M2022-10-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.11311.0694-3.93%1.0324-7.25%0.0202✓1.21996k2022-10-02
NANOnanopayBase0.8764120.841992-3.93%0.825694-5.79%0.0183✓0.8363k2022-10-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.4660.44744-3.98%0.424-9.01%0.0015✓1.14384k2022-10-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071820.068935-4.02%0.06132-14.62%0.0636✓1.1725k2022-10-02
DODODODOEthereum0.12320.118245-4.02%0.1437+16.64%0.2423✗1.031.6M2022-10-02
XTZTezosTezos1.49071.4304-4.04%1.374-7.83%0.0113✓1.12265k2022-10-02
ADACardanoCardano0.45440.435916-4.07%0.4196-7.66%0.0046✓0.9335.8M2022-10-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1811.1327-4.09%1.017-13.89%0.0624✓0.991.4M2022-10-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.74151.5344-4.11%47.774-11.10%0.0415✓0.75302k2022-10-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029890.002865-4.15%0.002093-29.98%0.2721✓0.911.2M2022-10-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.03930.995901-4.18%0.938564-9.69%0.0201✓0.8540k2022-10-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.936.6401-4.18%7.11+2.60%0.1163✗1.0417.9M2022-10-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6680.640022-4.19%0.599-10.33%0.0068✓1.304.1M2022-10-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.0258.4626-4.19%51.82-15.08%0.0757✓0.9812.7M2022-10-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044760.04286-4.25%0.03933-12.13%0.0527✓0.7215k2022-10-02
FTTFTXEthereum26.3125.1883-4.26%24.04-8.63%0.0022✓0.976.9M2022-10-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.597.2659-4.27%6.36-16.21%0.0838✓1.08384k2022-10-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038090.036453-4.30%0.03468-8.95%0.0129✓0.812,6082022-10-02
STEEMSteemnative0.22330.21361-4.34%0.2133-4.48%0.0398✓0.90475k2022-10-02
XVGVergenative0.003130.002994-4.35%0.00325+3.83%0.1279✗1.00486k2022-10-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013330.012742-4.41%0.011361-14.77%0.0856✓0.63932k2022-10-02
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.6451-4.42%4.95+1.85%0.1020✗0.841.4M2022-10-02
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7064.4957-4.47%5.007+6.40%0.1689✗1.337.3M2022-10-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.4111.169-4.49%114.3-1.80%0.0800✗1.144.6M2022-10-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12180.116302-4.51%0.1238+1.64%0.1101✗1.0423k2022-10-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.7432.619-4.52%2.255-17.79%0.1098✓0.87682k2022-10-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.19720.188182-4.57%0.1159-41.23%0.4844✓0.0198k2022-10-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02460.023475-4.57%0.02483+0.93%0.1147✗1.283,3752022-10-02
API3Api3Ethereum1.7011.6228-4.60%1.632-4.06%0.0478✗0.92574k2022-10-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1030.098263-4.60%0.0944-8.35%0.0087✓1.062.8M2022-10-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03670.035006-4.62%0.0365-0.54%0.0774✗0.788,1752022-10-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137220.130861-4.63%0.12496-8.93%0.0083✓1.19190k2022-10-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4230.403238-4.67%0.433+2.36%0.1179✗1.028,3142022-10-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.962.8206-4.71%2.973+0.44%0.0755✗0.50653k2022-10-02
KCSKuCoinnative9.1618.7284-4.72%9.028-1.45%0.0773✗0.951.3M2022-10-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06190.058968-4.74%0.0562-9.21%0.0105✓1.28851k2022-10-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.270.257166-4.75%0.248-8.15%0.0033✓0.72658k2022-10-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10070.095892-4.77%0.0976-3.08%0.0567✗0.85150k2022-10-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4530.8952-4.79%26.95-16.95%0.0675✓1.5111.8M2022-10-02
COMPCompoundEthereum45.8143.5997-4.82%59.41+29.69%0.3671✗1.269,1802022-10-02
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.47e-7-4.84%7.70e-7-13.48%0.0589✓0.7915k2022-10-02
KSMKusamaHydration47.8345.4872-4.90%40.59-15.14%0.0690✓0.98459k2022-10-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1680.159723-4.93%0.14283-14.98%0.0673✓0.97307k2022-10-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5080.482772-4.97%0.436-14.17%0.0500✓1.1380k2022-10-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.334130.3175-4.98%0.29154-12.75%0.0401✓0.9944k2022-10-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.006020.00572-4.98%0.00482-19.93%0.1421✓0.641.0M2022-10-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.539720.512727-5.00%0.44189-18.13%0.0884✓1.3133k2022-10-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22190.210743-5.03%0.1735-21.81%0.1343✓1.31139k2022-10-02
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016030.001522-5.03%0.00154-3.93%0.0553✗0.95406k2022-10-02
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.45e-7-5.03%7.60e-7-14.61%0.0698✓0.791.9M2022-10-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015280.001451-5.04%0.001389-9.10%0.0115✓0.708,3412022-10-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207850.019736-5.05%0.018831-9.40%0.0099✓0.8113k2022-10-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.36.9293-5.08%6.16-15.62%0.0704✓1.0310.2M2022-10-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008750.008305-5.08%0.00635-27.43%0.2350✓0.735.2M2022-10-02
XECeCashnative0.000046220.000043846-5.14%0.00003996-13.54%0.0532✓0.861.7M2022-10-02
FISStafiEthereum0.3620.343375-5.14%0.3363-7.10%0.0210✓0.912732022-10-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.0771-5.15%1.75-20.09%0.1186✓1.15229k2022-10-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4881.4112-5.16%1.401-5.85%0.0457✓1.1595k2022-10-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.761.6687-5.19%1.603-8.92%0.0016✓0.91121k2022-10-02
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31860.301892-5.24%0.2824-11.36%0.0134✓1.16132k2022-10-02
CBKCobakEthereum0.871220.825307-5.27%0.77693-10.82%0.0143✓1.0113k2022-10-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04380.041466-5.33%0.0412-5.94%0.0378✓0.96137k2022-10-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020240.019155-5.36%0.02185+7.95%0.1693✗0.8210.5M2022-10-02
DASHDashDash45.6943.229-5.39%39.86-12.76%0.0369✓0.96419k2022-10-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.481.3997-5.43%1.5+1.35%0.0633✗-0.13128k2022-10-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.7981.7004-5.43%1.1171-37.87%0.3759✓0.961.1M2022-10-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.14411-5.44%0.1352-11.29%0.0131✓1.111,6102022-10-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2925.9481-5.47%5.909-6.09%0.0316✓0.834.6M2022-10-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008140.007694-5.48%0.00677-16.83%0.0765✓1.12456k2022-10-02
ZECZcashZcash60.3657.0524-5.48%53.63-11.15%0.0088✓1.161.7M2022-10-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022480.021248-5.48%0.01833-18.46%0.1108✓0.80459k2022-10-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13520.127769-5.50%0.1152-14.79%0.0796✓0.523.4M2022-10-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.06710.063384-5.54%0.06071-9.52%0.0023✓0.897702022-10-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2926160.276359-5.56%0.259305-11.38%0.0140✓1.08542k2022-10-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.343520.324225-5.62%0.32581-5.16%0.0477✓0.93392k2022-10-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.10471.0424-5.64%1.1934+8.03%0.1757✗0.881.1M2022-10-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.589.0367-5.67%8.1-15.45%0.0870✓0.492.0M2022-10-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.4025.0954-5.68%4.0964-24.17%0.2137✓0.10115k2022-10-02
QTUMQtumQtum3.13772.9592-5.69%2.7758-11.53%0.0178✓1.0123k2022-10-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09391.0315-5.70%0.8598-21.40%0.1120✓1.534.5M2022-10-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0341.9178-5.71%1.663-18.24%0.0906✓1.1342k2022-10-02
XEMNEMnative0.0440710.041553-5.71%0.03945-10.49%0.0133✓0.8429k2022-10-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.930.876253-5.78%0.8133-12.55%0.0194✓1.20841k2022-10-02
HIVEHivenative0.55410.521894-5.81%0.4773-13.86%0.0512✓0.831.0M2022-10-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30240.284785-5.83%0.3543+17.16%0.2596✗0.905.9M2022-10-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.916.507-5.83%5.81-15.92%0.0906✓0.492.1M2022-10-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8717.768-5.84%16.53-12.40%0.0134✓1.2820.7M2022-10-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.0313.2095-5.85%12.14-13.47%0.0342✓1.09959k2022-10-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0432040.040672-5.86%0.037191-13.92%0.0658✓0.5227k2022-10-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5341.4433-5.91%1.201-21.71%0.1301✓1.1762k2022-10-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8991.7862-5.94%1.502-20.91%0.0964✓1.6883k2022-10-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012180.000011456-5.94%0.00001094-10.18%0.0028✓0.95828k2022-10-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0350.032914-5.96%0.0331-5.43%0.0474✓0.9177k2022-10-02
MANADecentralandEthereum0.776220.729807-5.98%0.68342-11.96%0.0257✓0.87519k2022-10-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064680.006081-5.98%0.006299-2.61%0.0543✓0.4253k2022-10-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana7.116.6832-6.00%6.3-11.39%0.0372✓0.481.9M2022-10-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0282.8462-6.00%2.215-26.85%0.1808✓1.523.7M2022-10-02
MOVRMoonriverBase12.834212.0616-6.02%10.4723-18.40%0.0972✓0.9632k2022-10-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6570.617219-6.05%0.576-12.33%0.0296✓0.86222k2022-10-02
DIADIAEthereum0.37710.354159-6.08%0.38071+0.96%0.1165✗0.9635k2022-10-02
RADRadworksEthereum2.252.1122-6.13%1.98-12.00%0.0295✓0.77287k2022-10-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.05580.052368-6.15%0.0489-12.37%0.0171✓1.12238k2022-10-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7130.669074-6.16%0.554-22.30%0.1444✓0.97207k2022-10-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2810.263683-6.16%0.2747-2.24%0.0844✗0.952.9M2022-10-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.189.5523-6.17%8.73-14.24%0.0339✓1.22298k2022-10-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.0816.0198-6.21%14.21-16.80%0.0886✓0.68580k2022-10-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064970.06093-6.22%0.05831-10.25%0.0050✓1.071.9M2022-10-02
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4066.0053-6.25%6.259-2.29%0.1010✗1.307.6M2022-10-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.6124.3235-6.25%3.691-19.97%0.1469✓0.252.3M2022-10-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7612.881-6.39%14.22+3.34%0.1474✗1.061.8M2022-10-02
PROPropyEthereum0.720.673639-6.44%0.61-15.28%0.0862✓0.2874k2022-10-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13810.129129-6.50%0.136-1.52%0.0991✗1.03489k2022-10-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30310.283408-6.50%0.2576-15.01%0.0462✓1.07101k2022-10-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4360.407661-6.50%0.3542-18.76%0.0878✓1.15100k2022-10-02
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19860.185656-6.52%0.1558-21.55%0.1149✓1.32112k2022-10-02
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8290.774668-6.55%0.7441-10.24%0.0074✓1.041.6M2022-10-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04860.045396-6.59%0.0378-22.22%0.1381✓0.98781k2022-10-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.61411.7696-6.69%11.99-4.95%0.0695✗1.1112.3M2022-10-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.20742.0595-6.70%1.7646-20.06%0.1033✓1.1213k2022-10-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.04990.046551-6.71%0.0395-20.84%0.1197✓0.97226k2022-10-02
STXStacksnative0.36350.338964-6.75%0.3169-12.82%0.0143✓1.16360k2022-10-02
BANDBandEthereum1.311.2209-6.80%1.184-9.62%0.0237✓1.18460k2022-10-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5380.501062-6.87%0.448-16.73%0.0641✓1.0474k2022-10-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35350.329162-6.88%0.286-19.09%0.0916✓1.07116k2022-10-02
ZENHorizenBase15.5314.4585-6.90%13.5-13.07%0.0177✓1.11107k2022-10-02
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0841.0083-6.99%0.864-20.30%0.0970✓1.251.5M2022-10-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0257790.023969-7.02%0.026153+1.45%0.0930✗0.13287k2022-10-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034370.031953-7.03%0.0301-12.42%0.0137✓1.0040k2022-10-02
METISMetisEthereum31.729.4398-7.13%23.24-26.69%0.1499✓1.89271k2022-10-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.995.5622-7.14%4.9-18.20%0.1062✓0.452.3M2022-10-02
FLOWFlownative1.9651.8234-7.21%1.625-17.30%0.0534✓1.351.4M2022-10-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.293760.272356-7.29%0.22927-21.95%0.1244✓1.0412k2022-10-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,076.209,337.28-7.33%7,876.06-21.84%0.1070✓1.385.9M2022-10-02
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08010.07418-7.39%0.07347-8.28%0.0074✓0.05403k2022-10-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.353460.327265-7.41%0.3686+4.28%0.1554✗0.79332k2022-10-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.823.5256-7.71%3.729-2.38%0.1005✗0.97259k2022-10-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.67220.620243-7.73%0.6069-9.71%0.0420✓1.39214k2022-10-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.424.078-7.74%3.642-17.60%0.0915✓0.472.1M2022-10-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013550.00125-7.76%0.0009955-26.53%0.1913✓0.792.4M2022-10-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.2079-7.79%1.12-14.50%0.0342✓0.90109k2022-10-02
SCSiacoinnative0.003960.00365-7.83%0.00341-13.89%0.0229✓0.98136k2022-10-02
ORCAOrcaSolana0.8890.818664-7.91%0.8344-6.14%0.0860✗1.46128k2022-10-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3655.8555-8.00%5.106-19.78%0.1147✓0.484.4M2022-10-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.7881.6378-8.40%1.6468-7.90%0.0548✓1.0728k2022-10-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.64e-77.91e-7-8.46%5.91e-7-31.56%0.2531✓0.821.5M2022-10-02
OPTIMOptimism1.2341.1287-8.53%0.842-31.77%0.2152✓1.703.1M2022-10-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8315.3173-8.81%5.379-7.75%0.0506✓0.857.8M2022-10-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49790.453791-8.86%0.3966-20.35%0.1003✓0.75501k2022-10-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0080.913724-9.35%0.858-14.88%0.0459✓0.373.4M2022-10-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.21870.197767-9.57%0.2156-1.42%0.1246✗0.833.1M2022-10-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain14.87513.3661-10.14%14.671-1.37%0.1171✗0.5215.2M2022-10-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.54776.727-10.87%5.2296-30.71%0.2417✓0.225.8M2022-10-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.15744.5654-11.48%3.5357-31.44%0.2285✓0.594.7M2022-10-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11960.105573-11.73%0.066-44.82%0.4377✓0.70203k2022-10-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000241480.000212932-11.82%0.00033517+38.80%0.4885✗0.76546k2022-10-02
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.04274.4273-12.20%5.2668+4.44%0.2195✗1.00145k2022-10-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.95846.9415-12.78%5.8567-26.41%0.1539✓0.357.5M2022-10-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.