8=======>

2022-08-30 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1336
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.99%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
71.5%
in alpha space · 75.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010898.85e-7-18.66%5.49e-7-49.53%0.4679✓0.851.1M2022-09-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11150.092801-16.77%0.08-28.25%0.1405✓0.71220k2022-09-29
FLOWFlownative2.0121.7176-14.63%1.692-15.90%0.0001✓1.351.3M2022-09-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7114.9042-14.13%5.782+1.24%0.1742✗0.869.5M2022-09-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5190.448506-13.58%0.454-12.52%0.0239✓1.0677k2022-09-29
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6710.580823-13.44%0.595-11.33%0.0336✓0.86228k2022-09-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.05070.044113-12.99%0.0408-19.53%0.0672✓0.98237k2022-09-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.1637-11.84%1.17-11.36%0.0155✓0.91121k2022-09-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.00235.303-11.65%6.8634+14.35%0.2614✗0.326.5M2022-09-29
GMTGMTEthereum0.65660.581472-11.44%0.649-1.16%0.1252✗1.39226k2022-09-29
OPTIMOptimism1.0830.96084-11.28%0.905-16.44%0.0405✓1.753.2M2022-09-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.457437-11.18%0.461-10.49%0.0204✓1.1483k2022-09-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7953.3731-11.12%4.002+5.45%0.1818✗0.98252k2022-09-29
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43010.383424-10.85%0.3568-17.04%0.0592✓1.1596k2022-09-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30980.27635-10.80%0.2612-15.69%0.0446✓1.07111k2022-09-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.043198-10.75%0.0393-18.80%0.0836✓0.99796k2022-09-29
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.31863.8554-10.73%5.9139+36.94%0.4389✗1.00147k2022-09-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.48111.1568-10.61%17.491+40.14%0.4554✗0.528.9M2022-09-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51230.458394-10.52%0.4283-16.40%0.0595✓0.76579k2022-09-29
METISMetisEthereum31.0527.7981-10.47%24.91-19.77%0.0887✓1.90288k2022-09-29
API3Api3Ethereum1.6321.4611-10.47%1.668+2.21%0.1426✗0.93579k2022-09-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.19670.176288-10.38%0.2412+22.62%0.3227✗0.843.1M2022-09-29
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063270.056792-10.24%0.06205-1.93%0.1004✓1.072.1M2022-09-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.071.8585-10.22%1.79-13.53%0.0249✓1.14232k2022-09-29
RADRadworksEthereum2.061.8505-10.17%2.04-0.97%0.1059✓0.76329k2022-09-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35610.320029-10.13%0.302-15.19%0.0460✓1.09131k2022-09-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81681.6362-9.94%1.7283-4.87%0.0668✓1.0833k2022-09-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,874.587,992.95-9.93%8,135.04-8.33%0.0328✓1.376.2M2022-09-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1332.8224-9.91%3.094-1.24%0.0975✓0.51650k2022-09-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13890.125149-9.90%0.1424+2.52%0.1403✗1.01510k2022-09-29
KSMKusamaHydration47.4742.7733-9.89%43.13-9.14%0.0192✓0.99543k2022-09-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.3129.177-9.70%27.79-13.99%0.0321✓1.5012.9M2022-09-29
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.235552-9.68%0.1168-55.21%0.7014✓0.0191k2022-09-29
MANADecentralandEthereum0.770640.696223-9.66%0.70986-7.89%0.0292✓0.88509k2022-09-29
BORABORAKlay Token0.293320.265096-9.62%0.23831-18.75%0.0950✓1.0412k2022-09-29
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9940.900311-9.43%0.873-12.17%0.0266✓0.384.2M2022-09-29
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83240.754765-9.33%0.7585-8.88%0.0164✓1.041.8M2022-09-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7515.2155-9.31%5.41-5.93%0.0418✓0.474.4M2022-09-29
GITCOINGITCOIN2.07681.8849-9.24%1.7819-14.20%0.0439✓1.1113k2022-09-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013480.001223-9.24%0.001018-24.46%0.1748✓0.792.1M2022-09-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8612.5845-9.20%12.74-8.08%0.0244✓1.10909k2022-09-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.035.4758-9.19%6.08+0.83%0.1100✗0.482.1M2022-09-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6690.60844-9.05%0.565-15.55%0.0608✓1.204.3M2022-09-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0086.374-9.05%6.432-8.22%0.0206✓1.0411.6M2022-09-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029930.002724-8.99%0.002029-32.21%0.2844✓0.921.1M2022-09-29
BANDBandEthereum1.2331.1222-8.99%1.231-0.16%0.1056✗1.19460k2022-09-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29170.265502-8.98%0.355+21.70%0.3005✗0.916.5M2022-09-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035290.032122-8.98%0.03099-12.18%0.0246✓1.0240k2022-09-29
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024740.022544-8.88%0.02259-8.69%0.0162✓1.283,3752022-09-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.61895.1209-8.86%5.7748+2.77%0.1225✗0.215.4M2022-09-29
COMPCompoundEthereum4742.8554-8.82%62.31+32.57%0.3880✗1.2411k2022-09-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.84293.5043-8.81%4.0567+5.56%0.1530✗0.603.8M2022-09-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012180.000011108-8.80%0.00001112-8.70%0.0116✓0.95828k2022-09-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0491.8689-8.79%1.708-16.64%0.0775✓1.1444k2022-09-29
MOVRMoonriverBase12.316711.2374-8.76%10.6337-13.66%0.0445✓0.9732k2022-09-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5585.9857-8.73%7.901+20.48%0.2893✗1.0617.7M2022-09-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.595664-8.64%0.584-10.43%0.0091✓0.97207k2022-09-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3817.7099-8.62%17.35-10.47%0.0062✓1.3023.0M2022-09-29
LUNATerraTerra 20.000158370.000144737-8.61%0.00028475+79.80%0.6844✗0.70429k2022-09-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.211.1506-8.60%15.71+28.77%0.3545✗1.061.9M2022-09-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0227850.020839-8.54%0.024673+8.29%0.1700✗0.10266k2022-09-29
UMAUMAEthereum2.7752.5411-8.43%2.334-15.89%0.0753✓0.88706k2022-09-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13520.123807-8.43%0.12886-4.69%0.0533✓1.20200k2022-09-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.260165-8.39%0.257-9.51%0.0042✓0.72686k2022-09-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008060.007388-8.34%0.00692-14.14%0.0530✓1.12477k2022-09-29
DASHDashDash45.5141.78-8.20%42.28-7.10%0.0226✓0.97438k2022-09-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.1039-8.19%4.84+8.28%0.1708✗0.531.1M2022-09-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.06350.977406-8.10%0.9263-12.90%0.0370✓1.514.5M2022-09-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0065370.006008-8.09%0.00641-1.94%0.0694✓0.4258k2022-09-29
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.082370.075716-8.08%0.07404-10.11%0.0218✓0.05478k2022-09-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.345820.317988-8.05%0.3421-1.08%0.0834✓0.93347k2022-09-29
ZECZcashZcash59.8755.1197-7.93%56.65-5.38%0.0402✓1.161.7M2022-09-29
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32520.299444-7.92%0.291-10.52%0.0157✓1.17138k2022-09-29
XECeCashnative0.000045890.000042258-7.92%0.00004151-9.54%0.0082✓0.871.7M2022-09-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0214610.019774-7.86%0.019573-8.80%0.0012✓0.8114k2022-09-29
PROPropyEthereum0.740.681965-7.84%0.62-16.22%0.0920✓0.2979k2022-09-29
QTUMQtumQtum3.11582.8717-7.83%2.872-7.82%0.0113✓1.0125k2022-09-29
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19560.1803-7.82%0.1692-13.50%0.0525✓1.00121k2022-09-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2575.7701-7.78%6.14-1.87%0.0721✓0.905.0M2022-09-29
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0190.939725-7.78%0.926-9.13%0.0009✓1.251.4M2022-09-29
ORCAOrcaSolana0.91920.847836-7.76%0.851-7.42%0.0197✓1.45167k2022-09-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.92811.0074-7.72%12.774+7.09%0.1612✗1.1110.8M2022-09-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1030.095068-7.70%0.099-3.88%0.0524✓1.083.3M2022-09-29
ETHEthereumEthereum1,524.811,408.24-7.64%1,336.02-12.38%0.0375✓1.37628.3M2022-09-29
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1745.7021-7.64%6.376+3.27%0.1261✗1.309.5M2022-09-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06170.057001-7.62%0.0574-6.97%0.0210✓1.27908k2022-09-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.09488-7.61%0.0989-3.70%0.0510✓0.86192k2022-09-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.194.7952-7.61%5.1-1.73%0.0665✓0.442.0M2022-09-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.145.6732-7.60%6.62+7.82%0.1595✗0.471.7M2022-09-29
XTZTezosTezos1.49731.3835-7.60%1.441-3.76%0.0531✓1.12296k2022-09-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.14640.13529-7.59%0.1287-12.09%0.0385✓1.03138k2022-09-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5561.4381-7.58%1.27-18.38%0.1113✓1.1877k2022-09-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.05760.053252-7.55%0.0465-19.27%0.1231✓1.13258k2022-09-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13250.122527-7.53%0.118-10.94%0.0318✓0.533.6M2022-09-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2989690.276475-7.52%0.26995-9.71%0.0118✓1.09549k2022-09-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001375-7.44%0.001441-3.03%0.0542✓0.699,0932022-09-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.00620.005741-7.40%0.0048-22.58%0.1720✓0.631.0M2022-09-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9772.757-7.39%2.418-18.78%0.1141✓1.543.8M2022-09-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.113.8081-7.35%3.892-5.30%0.0243✓0.232.3M2022-09-29
FORTFortaEthereum0.24610.228058-7.33%0.1473-40.15%0.4271✓0.9176k2022-09-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046610.043197-7.32%0.04045-13.22%0.0578✓0.7116k2022-09-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.137821-7.32%0.1358-8.68%0.0026✓1.111,5282022-09-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.319820.296716-7.22%0.42396+32.56%0.3663✗0.85350k2022-09-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.08890.082482-7.22%0.1076+21.03%0.2764✗0.95393k2022-09-29
STEEMSteemnative0.2260.209708-7.21%0.2258-0.09%0.0840✗0.91501k2022-09-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06250.058021-7.17%0.061-2.40%0.0597✓0.87105k2022-09-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131480.012215-7.10%0.012066-8.23%0.0053✓0.631.0M2022-09-29
SUSHISushiEthereum1.05060.976252-7.08%1.1086+5.52%0.1407✗1.23973k2022-09-29
NANOnanopayBase0.9005080.836787-7.08%0.774811-13.96%0.0678✓0.8363k2022-09-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1690.15722-6.97%0.14769-12.61%0.0517✓0.98340k2022-09-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22110.206142-6.77%0.1721-22.16%0.1661✓1.31135k2022-09-29
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003748-6.76%0.00349-13.18%0.0603✓1.00152k2022-09-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.3334-6.76%1.552+8.53%0.1648✗1.17123k2022-09-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.24420.227733-6.74%0.2651+8.56%0.1628✗0.9881k2022-09-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.099.4163-6.68%9.04-10.41%0.0273✓1.22318k2022-09-29
XEMNEMnative0.0434150.040522-6.66%0.041615-4.15%0.0360✓0.8530k2022-09-29
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.5365-6.66%4.84-0.41%0.0742✗0.861.5M2022-09-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.69107.0617-6.65%117+2.01%0.1014✗1.144.6M2022-09-29
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08150.076149-6.57%0.0852+4.54%0.1227✗0.9513k2022-09-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.987.4565-6.56%6.45-19.17%0.1330✓1.09462k2022-09-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.032995-6.53%0.0337-4.53%0.0313✓0.9287k2022-09-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008640.008077-6.52%0.00664-23.15%0.1878✓0.735.6M2022-09-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024050.022489-6.49%0.01877-21.95%0.1718✓0.81459k2022-09-29
XYMSymbolnative0.0429660.040185-6.47%0.036221-15.70%0.0981✓0.5228k2022-09-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.317.7745-6.44%8.46+1.81%0.0898✗0.481.9M2022-09-29
APEApeCoinEthereum4.8094.5004-6.42%5.436+13.04%0.2037✗1.348.7M2022-09-29
SOLSolanaSolana31.4829.4653-6.40%33.93+7.78%0.1539✗1.1665.9M2022-09-29
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.119465-6.38%0.1254-1.72%0.0598✓1.031.7M2022-09-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.18811.1126-6.36%1.2118+1.99%0.0953✗0.891.3M2022-09-29
HIVEHivenative0.54890.514136-6.33%0.4901-10.71%0.0384✓0.861.3M2022-09-29
ZENHorizenBase15.814.8006-6.33%14-11.39%0.0433✓1.1193k2022-09-29
ELAElastosEthereum1.8231.7077-6.32%1.725-5.38%0.0201✓0.91121k2022-09-29
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.891.7707-6.31%1.574-16.72%0.0992✓1.6890k2022-09-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0993.8427-6.25%3.906-4.71%0.0214✓0.462.0M2022-09-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020380.019106-6.25%0.02298+12.76%0.1938✗0.8411.4M2022-09-29
STORJStorjEthereum0.54020.506593-6.22%0.45393-15.97%0.0952✓1.3237k2022-09-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28790.270102-6.18%0.292+1.42%0.0886✗0.963.1M2022-09-29
DIADIAEthereum0.376440.353224-6.17%0.38393+1.99%0.0940✗0.9640k2022-09-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.04580.98151-6.15%0.958808-8.32%0.0138✓0.8748k2022-09-29
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18110.170051-6.10%0.1493-17.56%0.1149✓1.382,2912022-09-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014220.013359-6.06%0.01028-27.71%0.2546✓0.67174k2022-09-29
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.071.9458-6.00%2.26+9.18%0.1553✗0.5197k2022-09-29
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4250.399687-5.96%0.403-5.18%0.0195✓1.028,1172022-09-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061420.057806-5.88%0.060801-1.01%0.0622✗1.061.6M2022-09-29
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95130.895463-5.87%0.8528-10.35%0.0354✓1.21963k2022-09-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73011.6287-5.86%1.1489-33.59%0.3383✓0.971.2M2022-09-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12270.115538-5.84%0.1269+3.42%0.1055✗1.0625k2022-09-29
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.29e-7-5.82%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0391✓0.792.0M2022-09-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0149.9369-5.80%53.98+1.83%0.0887✗0.9812.7M2022-09-29
XVGVergenative0.002920.002751-5.77%0.00332+13.70%0.1989✗1.00486k2022-09-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336470.317071-5.77%0.3073-8.67%0.0203✓1.0046k2022-09-29
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.468693-5.70%0.351-29.38%0.2757✓1.222,7102022-09-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071090.067047-5.69%0.0618-13.07%0.0686✓1.1726k2022-09-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0360.033959-5.67%0.0389+8.06%0.1446✗0.809,5472022-09-29
ADACardanoCardano0.4530.427336-5.67%0.4381-3.29%0.0354✓0.9537.8M2022-09-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20890.197256-5.57%0.1955-6.41%0.0025✓1.0459k2022-09-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037990.035876-5.56%0.0395+3.97%0.1052✗0.812,8422022-09-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3316.3695-5.54%14.94-13.79%0.0837✓0.69880k2022-09-29
STXStacksnative0.36130.34138-5.51%0.3287-9.02%0.0249✓1.17393k2022-09-29
FTTFTXEthereum26.625.1359-5.50%24.3-8.65%0.0231✓0.977.3M2022-09-29
CBKCobakEthereum0.883310.835299-5.44%0.79841-9.61%0.0339✓1.0214k2022-09-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33410.316067-5.40%0.325-2.72%0.0416✓1.24176k2022-09-29
XLMStellarStellar0.1024110.096944-5.34%0.1155+12.78%0.1841✗0.817.0M2022-09-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.0970.091891-5.27%0.0913-5.88%0.0015✓0.722,7842022-09-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.58248.8756-5.25%49.569-3.90%0.0224✓0.75322k2022-09-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1881.1259-5.23%1.062-10.61%0.0475✓0.991.7M2022-09-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44710.424296-5.10%0.4413-1.30%0.0519✓1.14364k2022-09-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,813.1718,806.72-5.08%19,595.57-1.10%0.0521✗1.00490.8M2022-09-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.3121.2286-4.85%15.99-28.33%0.2754✓0.721.5M2022-09-29
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.42e-7-4.35%8.00e-7-9.09%0.0420✓0.8016k2022-09-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05790.05539-4.34%0.0525-9.33%0.0433✓0.9398k2022-09-29
QNTQuantEthereum95.6391.5341-4.28%134.14+40.27%0.3917✗0.863.5M2022-09-29
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066520.063732-4.19%0.06107-8.19%0.0337✓0.829142022-09-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04290.041108-4.18%0.0423-1.40%0.0392✓0.97156k2022-09-29
GTGateEthereum4.25494.0805-4.10%4.3212+1.56%0.0658✗0.77775k2022-09-29
AVTAventusEthereum1.611.5468-3.92%1.43-11.18%0.0797✓-0.11116k2022-09-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96330.926287-3.84%0.9035-6.21%0.0194✓0.503.6M2022-09-29
XMRMoneroMonero148.87143.3395-3.71%148.2-0.45%0.0446✗1.021.3M2022-09-29
TRXTRONTron0.0647050.062344-3.65%0.06102-5.70%0.0147✓0.61129k2022-09-29
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001493-3.57%0.001531-1.10%0.0361✓0.98433k2022-09-29
KCSKuCoinnative8.9738.663-3.45%9.274+3.35%0.0787✗0.961.5M2022-09-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.39185.2363-2.88%4.2072-21.97%0.2178✓0.10115k2022-09-29
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.153790.150314-2.26%0.16928+10.07%0.1413✗2.046042022-09-29
AAVEAaveEthereum84.3882.6361-2.07%76.93-8.83%0.0547✓1.526.3M2022-09-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057870.005684-1.78%0.005204-10.07%0.0806✓0.692,3002022-09-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,869.3019,528.13-1.72%19,440.70-2.16%0.0059✓0.9413k2022-09-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.