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2022-08-28 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1296
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.24%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.6%
in alpha space · 72.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.44%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum78.5777.6385-1.19%76.6-2.51%0.0235✗1.506.5M2022-09-27
CHRChromiaEthereum0.15920.156103-1.95%0.1477-7.22%0.0212✓1.382,2552022-09-27
SOLSolanaSolana30.4529.801-2.13%32.68+7.32%0.1214✗1.1867.0M2022-09-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.32610.318689-2.27%0.318-2.48%0.0290✗1.26176k2022-09-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20240.197182-2.58%0.1944-3.95%0.0109✓1.0261k2022-09-27
SUSHISushiEthereum1.00430.974419-2.98%1.0698+6.52%0.1240✗1.24973k2022-09-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05540.053747-2.98%0.0523-5.60%0.0044✓0.9399k2022-09-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.13960.135411-3.00%0.1281-8.24%0.0305✓1.01149k2022-09-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,646.4019,047.17-3.05%19,015.60-3.21%0.0216✓0.9411k2022-09-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.08540.082785-3.06%0.104+21.78%0.2517✗0.96409k2022-09-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06190.060001-3.07%0.0526-15.02%0.1092✓0.91107k2022-09-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061750.059833-3.10%0.060554-1.94%0.0379✗1.051.7M2022-09-27
ETHEthereumEthereum1,426.631,382.15-3.12%1,327.92-6.92%0.0067✓1.35597.1M2022-09-27
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.332.2549-3.22%2.85+22.32%0.2470✗0.5293k2022-09-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.26.9649-3.27%6.45-10.42%0.0493✓1.12534k2022-09-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055190.005339-3.27%0.004977-9.82%0.0536✓0.672,5882022-09-27
GTGateEthereum4.32284.1808-3.28%4.2532-1.61%0.0362✗0.77775k2022-09-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1027360.099272-3.37%0.110129+7.20%0.1243✗0.837.1M2022-09-27
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.159770.154322-3.41%0.16684+4.43%0.1291✗2.076362022-09-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09960.0962-3.41%0.0887-10.94%0.0632✓0.733,2112022-09-27
TRXTRONTron0.0613920.059283-3.44%0.059413-3.22%0.0170✓0.60142k2022-09-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.344.1896-3.46%4.55+4.84%0.0947✗0.491.3M2022-09-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum1.951.8815-3.51%1.77-9.23%0.0310✓1.22255k2022-09-27
XTZTezosTezos1.4261.3749-3.58%1.4449+1.33%0.0771✗1.11319k2022-09-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93340.899874-3.59%0.903-3.26%0.0165✓0.533.6M2022-09-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.2516.0263-3.59%8.054+28.84%0.3162✗1.0619.0M2022-09-27
XVGVergenative0.002890.002785-3.65%0.00325+12.46%0.1797✗1.02508k2022-09-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.3851.43-3.65%52.67-1.33%0.0481✗0.9812.8M2022-09-27
XVSVenusEthereum4.824.6438-3.66%4.71-2.28%0.0353✓0.861.6M2022-09-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1291.0877-3.66%1.049-7.09%0.0120✓0.981.9M2022-09-27
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07920.076297-3.67%0.0807+1.89%0.0797✗0.9614k2022-09-27
QNTQuantEthereum92.3188.9232-3.67%133.5+44.62%0.4270✗0.843.3M2022-09-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.9329.7915-3.68%28.13-9.05%0.0206✓1.4914.6M2022-09-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.13810.132972-3.71%0.1365-1.16%0.0519✗1.041,7802022-09-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6450.620791-3.75%0.558-13.49%0.0765✓1.224.8M2022-09-27
XMRMoneroMonero146.4140.8924-3.76%144.38-1.38%0.0487✗0.981.2M2022-09-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,554.0318,815.79-3.78%19,077.57-2.44%0.0385✗1.00474.0M2022-09-27
ADACardanoCardano0.42910.412867-3.78%0.4412+2.82%0.0907✗0.9939.2M2022-09-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014780.014209-3.86%0.0108-26.93%0.2574✓0.69165k2022-09-27
NANOnanopayBase0.8625010.82854-3.94%0.760511-11.82%0.0658✓0.8177k2022-09-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044180.042438-3.94%0.0402-9.01%0.0383✓0.6416k2022-09-27
DODODODOEthereum0.11820.113516-3.96%0.1241+4.99%0.1128✗0.961.8M2022-09-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.23620.226833-3.97%0.2646+12.02%0.1775✗0.9579k2022-09-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.006420.006164-3.98%0.00484-24.61%0.2263✓0.631.1M2022-09-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.79349.7303-3.98%49.802-3.84%0.0196✓0.74328k2022-09-27
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6494.4618-4.03%5.412+16.41%0.2262✗1.348.9M2022-09-27
UMAUMAEthereum2.6072.5015-4.05%2.357-9.59%0.0383✓0.86734k2022-09-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029870.002866-4.06%0.002037-31.80%0.3188✓0.911.1M2022-09-27
COMPCompoundEthereum43.8542.0687-4.06%62.04+41.48%0.4189✗1.2312k2022-09-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068970.066124-4.13%0.06055-12.21%0.0588✓1.1927k2022-09-27
SGBSongbirdnative0.0250.023967-4.13%0.0196-21.60%0.1862✓0.6152k2022-09-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4890.468794-4.13%0.355-27.40%0.2471✓1.252,6092022-09-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09920.095043-4.19%0.0991-0.10%0.0686✗1.093.6M2022-09-27
STEEMSteemnative0.21830.209146-4.19%0.2234+2.34%0.0882✗0.90528k2022-09-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1640.157102-4.21%0.14453-11.87%0.0571✓1.07399k2022-09-27
API3Api3Ethereum1.61.5324-4.22%1.591-0.56%0.0606✗0.94623k2022-09-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131720.126146-4.23%0.12298-6.64%0.0050✓1.23210k2022-09-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.03840.993321-4.35%0.976767-5.94%0.0041✓0.8550k2022-09-27
FTTFTXEthereum25.3524.2462-4.35%23.63-6.79%0.0020✓0.967.3M2022-09-27
KSMKusamaHydration45.443.3988-4.41%42.54-6.30%0.0041✓0.98560k2022-09-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11840.113145-4.44%0.1299+9.71%0.1633✗1.0230k2022-09-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.43490.41554-4.45%0.4494+3.33%0.1060✗1.12364k2022-09-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4880.466212-4.46%0.461-5.53%0.0170✓1.1486k2022-09-27
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77440.739696-4.48%0.744-3.93%0.0316✓1.041.9M2022-09-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.606-4.50%6.11+4.09%0.0970✗0.442.1M2022-09-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash112.59107.5199-4.50%114.29+1.51%0.0893✗1.144.7M2022-09-27
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015870.001515-4.54%0.001575-0.76%0.0625✗0.96538k2022-09-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130020.01241-4.55%0.011651-10.39%0.0474✓0.641.3M2022-09-27
FORTFortaEthereum0.26380.251759-4.56%0.1576-40.26%0.4455✓0.9394k2022-09-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.328060.312988-4.59%0.29745-9.33%0.0267✓0.9850k2022-09-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10130.096633-4.61%0.0992-2.07%0.0477✗0.87200k2022-09-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.034052-4.62%0.0413+15.69%0.2125✗0.7911k2022-09-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0203860.019445-4.62%0.019414-4.77%0.0186✓0.8213k2022-09-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.262291-4.62%0.248-9.82%0.0380✓0.73710k2022-09-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037320.03558-4.66%0.03407-8.71%0.0235✓0.812,7072022-09-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06040.057569-4.69%0.0569-5.79%0.0193✓1.26908k2022-09-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8616.5379-4.71%6.368-7.19%0.0006✓1.0413.1M2022-09-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.008078-4.74%0.00679-19.93%0.1548✓0.766.2M2022-09-27
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.392448-4.75%0.391-5.10%0.0213✓1.018,1172022-09-27
UNIUniswapEthereum5.7395.4662-4.75%6.366+10.93%0.1845✗1.3010.0M2022-09-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.3310.7903-4.76%15.33+35.30%0.3773✗1.061.9M2022-09-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12020.114403-4.82%0.1135-5.57%0.0056✓0.553.8M2022-09-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.9441.8497-4.85%1.693-12.91%0.0603✓1.1547k2022-09-27
KCSKuCoinnative8.8168.3879-4.86%9.026+2.38%0.0971✗0.961.5M2022-09-27
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062290.059257-4.87%0.06045-2.95%0.0473✓1.112.2M2022-09-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015030.001429-4.90%0.001442-4.06%0.0261✓0.709,7092022-09-27
QTUMQtumQtum2.98252.8347-4.95%2.8649-3.94%0.0355✓1.0126k2022-09-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,473.378,052.98-4.96%8,301.22-2.03%0.0640✗1.366.5M2022-09-27
DASHDashDash44.1441.9444-4.97%41.55-5.87%0.0144✓0.97466k2022-09-27
XEMNEMnative0.0429950.040844-5.00%0.040084-6.77%0.0021✓0.8529k2022-09-27
ELAElastosEthereum1.7331.6458-5.03%1.419-18.12%0.1251✓0.94137k2022-09-27
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8281.7358-5.05%1.576-13.79%0.0552✓1.6890k2022-09-27
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067120.063728-5.05%0.06124-8.76%0.0197✓0.829142022-09-27
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6450.612377-5.06%0.59-8.53%0.0159✓0.86242k2022-09-27
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02420.022976-5.06%0.02148-11.24%0.0358✓1.283,4352022-09-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28230.267862-5.11%0.3524+24.83%0.2965✗0.907.1M2022-09-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.524370.497345-5.15%0.46109-12.07%0.0437✓1.3041k2022-09-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.1754.9079-5.16%4.1377-20.04%0.1675✓0.13119k2022-09-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.7276-5.17%6.63+9.77%0.1571✗0.441.9M2022-09-27
BTTCBTTC8.50e-78.06e-7-5.18%7.70e-7-9.41%0.0264✓0.782.3M2022-09-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21340.202295-5.20%0.1721-19.35%0.1295✓1.30133k2022-09-27
CBKCobakEthereum0.846260.802037-5.23%0.78247-7.54%0.0004✓0.9814k2022-09-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2912770.276023-5.24%0.266297-8.58%0.0092✓1.08593k2022-09-27
GITCOINGITCOIN2.00341.8984-5.24%1.7779-11.26%0.0360✓1.2013k2022-09-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04190.039691-5.27%0.0413-1.43%0.0636✗0.97175k2022-09-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.097.6612-5.30%8.66+7.05%0.1343✗0.482.1M2022-09-27
C98Coin98Ethereum0.36730.347803-5.31%0.3504-4.60%0.0352✓1.1289k2022-09-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1612.4612-5.31%12.37-6.00%0.0205✓1.131.0M2022-09-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.99340.940585-5.32%0.9137-8.02%0.0082✓1.514.6M2022-09-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.361.2874-5.34%1.34-1.47%0.0690✗1.17128k2022-09-27
XYMSymbolnative0.0443960.042017-5.36%0.036288-18.26%0.1337✓0.5228k2022-09-27
ZECZcashZcash61.1757.8867-5.37%57.07-6.70%0.0137✓1.131.9M2022-09-27
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.320.30281-5.37%0.292-8.75%0.0077✓1.16146k2022-09-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6310.596999-5.39%0.608-3.65%0.0412✓0.93235k2022-09-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021620.02044-5.46%0.02234+3.33%0.1102✗0.8612.4M2022-09-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66561.5747-5.46%1.1492-31.00%0.2906✓0.991.2M2022-09-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5111.428-5.50%1.336-11.58%0.0371✓1.2088k2022-09-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.5317.5059-5.53%17.29-6.69%0.0201✓1.3222.5M2022-09-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13370.126269-5.56%0.1392+4.11%0.1226✗1.02553k2022-09-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2755.9253-5.57%6.109-2.65%0.0526✓0.895.2M2022-09-27
MOVRMoonriverBase12.06211.3897-5.57%10.547-12.56%0.0530✓0.9735k2022-09-27
RADRadworksEthereum2.081.964-5.58%1.99-4.33%0.0327✓0.79384k2022-09-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.518.9796-5.58%8.89-6.52%0.0197✓1.20386k2022-09-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.6715.738-5.59%14.91-10.56%0.0362✓0.72952k2022-09-27
METISMetisEthereum29.2627.6046-5.66%23.74-18.87%0.1044✓1.88304k2022-09-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9662.7979-5.67%2.263-23.70%0.1754✓1.493.8M2022-09-27
HIVEHivenative0.52820.498063-5.71%0.4891-7.40%0.0033✓0.871.3M2022-09-27
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.93320.87976-5.73%0.8448-9.47%0.0105✓1.22972k2022-09-27
BANDBandEthereum1.1921.1237-5.73%1.209+1.43%0.1027✗1.20491k2022-09-27
AVTAventusEthereum1.391.3101-5.75%1.43+2.88%0.0857✗-0.07105k2022-09-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.5599.9522-5.75%13.486+27.72%0.3317✗1.1310.4M2022-09-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022140.020867-5.75%0.01892-14.54%0.0780✓0.81419k2022-09-27
DIADIAEthereum0.363040.342127-5.76%0.3775+3.98%0.1222✗0.9745k2022-09-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.235.0404-5.81%15.57-58.15%0.7936✓0.711.6M2022-09-27
PROPropyEthereum0.730.687511-5.82%0.64-12.33%0.0634✓0.3384k2022-09-27
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.245768-5.84%0.1169-55.21%0.7429✓0.0191k2022-09-27
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.10e-7-5.84%7.90e-7-8.14%0.0047✓0.8116k2022-09-27
MANADecentralandEthereum0.748320.70453-5.85%0.69457-7.18%0.0078✓0.89509k2022-09-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.340.320101-5.85%0.294-13.53%0.0585✓1.07170k2022-09-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04550.042831-5.86%0.0385-15.38%0.0823✓0.98843k2022-09-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03450.032455-5.93%0.0336-2.61%0.0577✓0.9386k2022-09-27
FLOWFlownative1.6921.5912-5.96%1.656-2.13%0.0730✗1.341.2M2022-09-27
OPTIMOptimism1.0540.990684-6.01%0.92-12.71%0.0313✓1.733.3M2022-09-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011770.000011054-6.09%0.00001112-5.52%0.0294✓0.95886k2022-09-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.231.1551-6.09%1.16-5.69%0.0276✓0.95154k2022-09-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30440.285606-6.17%0.2725-10.48%0.0203✓1.08112k2022-09-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0963.843-6.18%3.918-4.35%0.0232✓0.162.3M2022-09-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.05820.054581-6.22%0.0467-19.76%0.1274✓1.16252k2022-09-27
GMTGMTEthereum0.64630.605873-6.26%0.6935+7.30%0.1700✗1.41242k2022-09-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.313630.293898-6.29%0.43112+37.46%0.4053✗0.90378k2022-09-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.2011.125-6.33%1.1857-1.27%0.0748✗0.901.5M2022-09-27
STXStacksnative0.35290.33056-6.33%0.3301-6.46%0.0274✓1.17410k2022-09-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067080.006279-6.39%0.00614-8.47%0.0119✓0.4358k2022-09-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.363890.340612-6.40%0.35615-2.13%0.0678✗0.94321k2022-09-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.04930.046123-6.44%0.0403-18.26%0.1104✓1.00249k2022-09-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27310.255487-6.45%0.3066+12.27%0.2061✗0.963.2M2022-09-27
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9160.856815-6.46%0.919+0.33%0.1007✗1.241.4M2022-09-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.164.8164-6.66%5.2+0.78%0.0875✗0.442.5M2022-09-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008250.007699-6.68%0.00694-15.88%0.0761✓1.12477k2022-09-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5250.48927-6.81%0.461-12.19%0.0333✓1.0678k2022-09-27
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78420.730558-6.84%0.8472+8.03%0.1846✗1.48161k2022-09-27
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19030.17719-6.89%0.1568-17.60%0.0976✓1.00146k2022-09-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0229630.021355-7.00%0.024971+8.74%0.1590✗0.11262k2022-09-27
ZENHorizenBase14.813.7625-7.01%14.09-4.80%0.0504✓1.09119k2022-09-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9983.7043-7.35%3.933-1.63%0.0694✓0.392.0M2022-09-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.8095.3743-7.48%5.627-3.13%0.0564✓0.425.3M2022-09-27
SCSiacoinnative0.003930.003634-7.53%0.00349-11.20%0.0159✓0.99158k2022-09-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035520.032823-7.59%0.03021-14.95%0.0581✓1.0131k2022-09-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.292940.270583-7.63%0.23778-18.83%0.1035✓1.0412k2022-09-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.78e-77.19e-7-7.63%5.76e-7-25.97%0.2004✓0.85542k2022-09-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6395.2047-7.70%5.733+1.67%0.1179✗0.8610.1M2022-09-27
CTKShentuOsmosis0.840.774892-7.75%0.866+3.10%0.1211✗0.404.2M2022-09-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013460.00124-7.85%0.001031-23.39%0.1650✓0.802.1M2022-09-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.71521.5789-7.95%1.7097-0.32%0.1064✗1.0931k2022-09-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1063.7736-8.10%3.782-7.89%0.0269✓1.00245k2022-09-27
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086380.079259-8.24%0.072-16.65%0.0946✓0.06598k2022-09-27
LUNATerraTerra 20.00012510.000114679-8.33%0.00027842+122.56%0.9061✗0.77352k2022-09-27
XECeCashnative0.000046760.000042845-8.37%0.00004062-13.13%0.0322✓0.861.7M2022-09-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.65553.3491-8.38%3.9539+8.16%0.1806✗0.593.7M2022-09-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.38211.2896-8.82%19.147+54.64%0.5406✗0.506.1M2022-09-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.21020.191365-8.96%0.2491+18.51%0.2840✗0.822.9M2022-09-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.55375.047-9.12%6.0413+8.78%0.1847✗0.205.2M2022-09-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8763.5047-9.58%3.006-22.45%0.1387✓0.60650k2022-09-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49960.451009-9.73%0.4143-17.07%0.0645✓0.83625k2022-09-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09810.087619-10.68%0.0835-14.88%0.0293✓0.76247k2022-09-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.43524.8353-11.04%7.27+33.76%0.4138✗0.244.6M2022-09-27
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.38863.859-12.07%5.3063+20.91%0.3431✗1.00147k2022-09-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.