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2022-08-26 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1336
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-6.26%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.0%
in alpha space · 78.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.08%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum82.7281.3742-1.63%73.64-10.98%0.0137✓1.556.7M2022-09-25
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16190.158677-1.99%0.1575-2.72%0.0939✗1.382,1742022-09-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33970.332481-2.13%0.3346-1.50%0.0974✗1.24191k2022-09-25
SOLSolanaSolana31.7430.9782-2.40%32.33+1.86%0.1276✗1.1670.1M2022-09-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06340.061633-2.79%0.0564-11.04%0.0220✓0.91116k2022-09-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20820.202177-2.89%0.1962-5.76%0.0447✗1.0266k2022-09-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,587.8019,971.55-2.99%18,700.00-9.17%0.0036✓0.9513k2022-09-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.327.0885-3.16%6.34-13.39%0.0300✓1.11638k2022-09-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.1430.138464-3.17%0.129-9.79%0.0037✓1.01190k2022-09-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.08870.085799-3.27%0.1073+20.97%0.2936✗0.95430k2022-09-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055380.005356-3.29%0.004975-10.17%0.0245✓0.672,6192022-09-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0635310.061342-3.45%0.061274-3.55%0.0752✗1.041.9M2022-09-25
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.055416-3.46%0.0543-5.40%0.0460✗0.90104k2022-09-25
GTGateEthereum4.37994.2277-3.47%4.2146-3.77%0.0533✗0.77827k2022-09-25
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.154180.148775-3.51%0.16721+8.45%0.2697✗2.086042022-09-25
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.492.4025-3.52%1.97-20.88%0.1610✓0.5193k2022-09-25
XLMStellarStellar0.1038590.100193-3.53%0.117358+13.00%0.2211✗0.867.8M2022-09-25
ETHEthereumEthereum1,508.021,454.45-3.55%1,294.63-14.15%0.0177✓1.34608.4M2022-09-25
XTZTezosTezos1.48281.4296-3.59%1.4603-1.52%0.1023✗1.10355k2022-09-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1511.1085-3.69%1.072-6.86%0.0390✗0.992.1M2022-09-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10120.097465-3.69%0.0892-11.86%0.0361✓0.723,6712022-09-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95920.923624-3.71%0.9007-6.10%0.0160✓0.563.6M2022-09-25
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06851.0287-3.73%1.0388-2.78%0.1014✗1.25981k2022-09-25
XVGVergenative0.003030.002917-3.73%0.00325+7.26%0.1839✗1.03537k2022-09-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.3024-3.75%4.61+3.13%0.1031✗0.461.3M2022-09-25
TRXTRONTron0.0615520.059217-3.79%0.0597-3.01%0.0515✗0.59151k2022-09-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5046.2568-3.80%7.869+20.99%0.3078✗1.0719.5M2022-09-25
XMRMoneroMonero142.81137.375-3.81%141.32-1.04%0.1020✗1.001.2M2022-09-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.7150.6903-3.83%52.55-0.30%0.1089✗0.9913.1M2022-09-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044580.042842-3.90%0.04104-7.94%0.0080✓0.7016k2022-09-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.14750.0773-3.97%48.082-7.80%0.0141✓0.75340k2022-09-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6812.5746-3.97%3.035+13.20%0.2132✗0.66653k2022-09-25
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08570.082294-3.97%0.0811-5.37%0.0541✗0.9414k2022-09-25
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5170.496318-4.00%0.376-27.27%0.1874✓1.232,6092022-09-25
ADACardanoCardano0.43170.414427-4.00%0.4463+3.38%0.1506✗1.0440.7M2022-09-25
NANOnanopayBase0.88010.844711-4.02%0.784151-10.90%0.0150✓0.8184k2022-09-25
GLMGolemEthereum0.24330.233222-4.14%0.2691+10.60%0.2134✗0.9683k2022-09-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.162.0704-4.15%1.74-19.44%0.0831✓1.24299k2022-09-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10240.098143-4.16%0.1012-1.17%0.1111✗1.103.9M2022-09-25
STEEMSteemnative0.22130.212097-4.16%0.2183-1.36%0.0957✗0.91528k2022-09-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.9132.4972-4.17%28.38-16.31%0.0298✓1.4416.0M2022-09-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,240.7219,393.42-4.19%18,808.61-7.08%0.0428✗1.00485.5M2022-09-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.670.641846-4.20%0.552-17.61%0.0570✓1.285.2M2022-09-25
XECeCashnative0.000036680.000035134-4.22%0.0000401+9.32%0.1980✗0.901.7M2022-09-25
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7744.5721-4.23%5.722+19.86%0.3247✗1.379.8M2022-09-25
COMPCompoundEthereum45.9243.9469-4.30%61.45+33.82%0.4261✗1.2414k2022-09-25
QNTQuantEthereum98.2394.0009-4.31%116.27+18.37%0.2753✗0.853.5M2022-09-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070150.067105-4.34%0.06038-13.93%0.0181✓1.1929k2022-09-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131480.125771-4.34%0.12204-7.18%0.0598✗1.22210k2022-09-25
KSMKusamaHydration44.5242.5803-4.36%40.47-9.10%0.0221✓0.99610k2022-09-25
DODODODOEthereum0.12730.121745-4.36%0.1222-4.01%0.0747✗0.971.9M2022-09-25
XVSVenusEthereum5.134.9039-4.41%4.7-8.38%0.0205✓0.861.6M2022-09-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003120.002982-4.41%0.002104-32.56%0.2834✓0.891.1M2022-09-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037830.036148-4.44%0.03412-9.81%0.0023✓0.822,8422022-09-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170.162443-4.45%0.14748-13.25%0.0171✓1.08464k2022-09-25
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12070.115331-4.45%0.1275+5.63%0.1755✗1.0233k2022-09-25
LSKLiskEthereum1.05081.004-4.45%0.955083-9.11%0.0129✓0.8653k2022-09-25
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.149137-4.52%0.1352-13.44%0.0184✓1.091,8902022-09-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.008095-4.54%0.00683-19.46%0.1131✓0.776.4M2022-09-25
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77510.739632-4.58%0.7301-5.81%0.0670✗1.092.1M2022-09-25
UMAUMAEthereum2.72.5764-4.58%2.367-12.33%0.0218✓0.86749k2022-09-25
FTTFTXEthereum25.9724.7683-4.63%23.5-9.51%0.0177✓0.967.5M2022-09-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10290.098113-4.65%0.0987-4.08%0.0699✗0.87238k2022-09-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207260.019759-4.67%0.019355-6.61%0.0402✓0.8313k2022-09-25
FORTFortaEthereum0.26450.252136-4.67%0.1614-38.98%0.3772✓0.94106k2022-09-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.16110.6355-4.76%113.48-2.31%0.1087✗1.134.9M2022-09-25
API3Api3Ethereum1.6831.6028-4.77%1.593-5.35%0.0633✗0.95782k2022-09-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.260895-4.78%0.25-8.76%0.0110✓0.73826k2022-09-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336050.319948-4.79%0.30082-10.48%0.0103✓0.9870k2022-09-25
ELAElastosEthereum1.7731.6879-4.80%1.389-21.66%0.1256✓0.94145k2022-09-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013330.01269-4.80%0.011757-11.80%0.0294✓0.641.4M2022-09-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015860.015096-4.82%0.0107-32.53%0.2951✓0.67171k2022-09-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5090.484327-4.85%0.458-10.02%0.0281✓1.1488k2022-09-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9226.5848-4.87%6.206-10.34%0.0162✓1.0314.0M2022-09-25
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063210.060124-4.88%0.06083-3.77%0.0939✗1.122.4M2022-09-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03780.035934-4.94%0.0409+8.20%0.1913✗0.8411k2022-09-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.7485.462-4.97%5.911+2.84%0.1475✗0.935.2M2022-09-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2890820.27465-4.99%0.268444-7.14%0.0574✗1.09696k2022-09-25
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015660.001488-4.99%0.001554-0.77%0.1158✗0.98558k2022-09-25
DASHDashDash44.342.0738-5.03%41.11-7.20%0.0488✓0.98504k2022-09-25
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.40927-5.04%0.397-7.89%0.0421✓0.998,3142022-09-25
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6470.614235-5.06%0.573-11.44%0.0039✓0.89253k2022-09-25
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.26e-7-5.09%7.70e-7-11.49%0.0113✓0.802.4M2022-09-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.006570.006236-5.09%0.00478-27.25%0.2183✓0.651.2M2022-09-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28310.268695-5.09%0.3884+37.20%0.4364✗0.937.6M2022-09-25
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02460.02334-5.12%0.02108-14.31%0.0078✓1.283,4352022-09-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06260.059367-5.16%0.055-12.14%0.0133✓1.221.0M2022-09-25
ZECZcashZcash61.157.9397-5.17%56.19-8.04%0.0524✓1.132.0M2022-09-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.975.6599-5.19%6.13+2.68%0.1112✗0.432.5M2022-09-25
C98Coin98Ethereum0.38790.367572-5.24%0.3536-8.84%0.0437✓1.1289k2022-09-25
QTUMQtumQtum3.12052.9566-5.25%2.7901-10.59%0.0162✓1.0128k2022-09-25
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3861.313-5.27%1.35-2.60%0.1143✗1.18130k2022-09-25
DIADIAEthereum0.368280.348731-5.31%0.37615+2.14%0.1465✗0.9753k2022-09-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12460.117983-5.31%0.1109-11.00%0.0197✓0.584.1M2022-09-25
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9421.8388-5.31%1.589-18.18%0.0201✓1.72106k2022-09-25
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1545.825-5.35%5.659-8.04%0.0672✗1.3110.3M2022-09-25
XEMNEMnative0.0438050.041461-5.35%0.039806-9.13%0.0221✓0.8632k2022-09-25
HIVEHivenative0.53430.505457-5.40%0.4965-7.07%0.0470✓0.881.6M2022-09-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44910.424838-5.40%0.4357-2.98%0.1076✗1.12400k2022-09-25
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.526228-5.42%0.45533-18.17%0.0504✓1.2945k2022-09-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.7123-5.43%6.91+14.40%0.2213✗0.422.1M2022-09-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,981.548,492.76-5.44%8,084.45-9.99%0.0504✓1.367.3M2022-09-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7232.5745-5.45%2.321-14.76%0.0127✓1.594.0M2022-09-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6620.625897-5.45%0.601-9.21%0.0285✓0.94304k2022-09-25
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0351.924-5.46%1.695-16.71%0.0418✓1.1655k2022-09-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001404-5.50%0.001431-3.70%0.0717✗0.729,9742022-09-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04330.040914-5.51%0.0412-4.85%0.0791✗0.98180k2022-09-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.312.5645-5.53%12.39-6.84%0.0764✗1.231.2M2022-09-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.14944.8642-5.54%4.0999-20.38%0.1608✓0.14158k2022-09-25
KCSKuCoinnative9.2328.7201-5.55%8.909-3.50%0.0913✗0.951.8M2022-09-25
XYMSymbolnative0.0454970.042966-5.56%0.037449-17.69%0.0994✓0.5233k2022-09-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.2711.5844-5.59%13.81+12.55%0.2585✗1.131.9M2022-09-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22450.211907-5.61%0.1759-21.65%0.0886✓1.33133k2022-09-25
BANDBandEthereum1.2231.1541-5.64%1.22-0.25%0.1463✗1.24534k2022-09-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021860.020627-5.64%0.02274+4.03%0.1597✗0.8513.4M2022-09-25
PROPropyEthereum0.730.688825-5.64%0.65-10.96%0.0322✓0.35105k2022-09-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13960.131723-5.64%0.138-1.15%0.1186✗0.98638k2022-09-25
AVTAventusEthereum1.361.2833-5.64%1.43+5.15%0.1055✗-0.04124k2022-09-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72351.626-5.66%1.163-32.52%0.2589✓1.041.2M2022-09-25
GITCOINGITCOIN2.16622.041-5.78%1.7195-20.62%0.0815✓1.2313k2022-09-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.317.8283-5.80%8.41+1.20%0.1048✗0.452.3M2022-09-25
OPTIMOptimism1.0190.959695-5.82%0.904-11.29%0.0681✗1.743.5M2022-09-25
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95780.901617-5.87%0.8636-9.84%0.0462✓1.221.0M2022-09-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007650.007201-5.87%0.0069-9.80%0.0399✓1.13503k2022-09-25
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066250.062358-5.88%0.06309-4.77%0.0718✗0.829142022-09-25
STXStacksnative0.36120.339952-5.88%0.3268-9.52%0.0462✓1.17450k2022-09-25
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.245676-5.91%0.1178-54.88%0.7344✓0.0191k2022-09-25
RADRadworksEthereum2.252.1168-5.92%2.03-9.78%0.0161✓0.79451k2022-09-25
MOVRMoonriverBase12.120111.4023-5.92%10.7033-11.69%0.0075✓0.9639k2022-09-25
UOSUltraEthereum0.340.319656-5.98%0.38138+12.17%0.2459✗0.95321k2022-09-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6321.5335-6.04%1.21-25.86%0.1483✓1.2196k2022-09-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04720.044349-6.04%0.0373-20.97%0.1013✓0.98843k2022-09-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2118-6.07%1.13-12.40%0.0007✓0.96182k2022-09-25
CBKCobakEthereum0.867510.81457-6.10%0.79361-8.52%0.0458✓0.9813k2022-09-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35560.333891-6.10%0.295-17.04%0.0424✓1.11175k2022-09-25
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.07e-7-6.11%7.80e-7-9.30%0.0254✓0.8217k2022-09-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05290.988055-6.16%0.8882-15.64%0.0031✓1.494.9M2022-09-25
METISMetisEthereum31.129.1785-6.18%23.75-23.63%0.0677✓1.88348k2022-09-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.3935.078-6.18%15.23-59.27%0.7708✓0.871.8M2022-09-25
FLOWFlownative1.8511.735-6.27%1.644-11.18%0.0437✓1.331.2M2022-09-25
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778130.729183-6.29%0.69888-10.18%0.0249✓0.92523k2022-09-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.539.8654-6.31%9.24-12.25%0.0215✓1.19466k2022-09-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066650.00624-6.38%0.006393-4.08%0.0562✓0.4457k2022-09-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27920.261192-6.45%0.2739-1.90%0.1176✗0.963.4M2022-09-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.55410.8075-6.46%13.976+20.96%0.3394✗1.1210.4M2022-09-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023340.021825-6.49%0.01924-17.57%0.0691✓0.78444k2022-09-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6819.3372-6.49%17.32-16.25%0.0155✓1.2923.6M2022-09-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1493.8764-6.57%4.058-2.19%0.0559✓0.142.4M2022-09-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012430.000011613-6.58%0.00001103-11.26%0.0177✓0.94948k2022-09-25
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9250.864133-6.58%0.919-0.65%0.1510✗1.221.4M2022-09-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03580.03344-6.59%0.0331-7.54%0.0583✓0.9386k2022-09-25
GALAGALAEthereum0.04980.046516-6.59%0.0406-18.47%0.0626✓1.00251k2022-09-25
GMTGMTEthereum0.70530.658499-6.64%0.618-12.38%0.0420✓1.44258k2022-09-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331610.309537-6.66%0.4743+43.03%0.4995✗0.99418k2022-09-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.05990.055885-6.70%0.0464-22.54%0.1023✓1.14258k2022-09-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2216.0436-6.83%15.04-12.66%0.0124✓0.711.2M2022-09-25
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33230.309598-6.83%0.2916-12.25%0.0250✓1.16112k2022-09-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.234.8633-7.01%5.36+2.49%0.1269✗0.402.8M2022-09-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5460.507354-7.08%0.465-14.84%0.0068✓1.0996k2022-09-25
ZENHorizenBase15.5214.371-7.40%13.77-11.28%0.0392✓1.12130k2022-09-25
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19730.182634-7.43%0.16-18.91%0.0589✓1.00152k2022-09-25
BORABORAKlay Token0.280990.26006-7.45%0.24186-13.93%0.0044✓1.0512k2022-09-25
SCSiacoinnative0.003910.003618-7.47%0.00353-9.72%0.0484✓1.00158k2022-09-25
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80010.739978-7.51%0.8499+6.22%0.2435✗1.43193k2022-09-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0231980.021444-7.56%0.025743+10.97%0.1915✗0.12250k2022-09-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6715.242-7.57%5.717+0.81%0.1502✗0.8710.1M2022-09-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24891.1534-7.65%1.1659-6.65%0.0796✗0.941.5M2022-09-25
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.57e-76.98e-7-7.77%4.79e-7-36.69%0.3163✓0.82192k2022-09-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6925.2473-7.81%5.84+2.60%0.1347✗0.385.3M2022-09-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1243.7942-8.00%3.981-3.47%0.0754✓0.371.9M2022-09-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036890.033897-8.11%0.02945-20.17%0.0671✓1.0031k2022-09-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013750.001262-8.18%0.001035-24.67%0.1393✓0.802.0M2022-09-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.77411.6268-8.30%1.7094-3.64%0.1289✗1.0838k2022-09-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2253.8711-8.38%3.81-9.82%0.0562✓0.98269k2022-09-25
LUNATerraTerra 20.000123060.000112668-8.44%0.00019608+59.34%0.6175✗0.86340k2022-09-25
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.39830.363825-8.66%0.2949-25.96%0.1285✓1.11152k2022-09-25
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.693.3687-8.71%3.974+7.70%0.2082✗0.593.5M2022-09-25
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085260.077754-8.80%0.07522-11.78%0.0283✓0.07637k2022-09-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.47730.434349-9.00%0.4159-12.86%0.0170✓0.82625k2022-09-25
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.844-9.05%0.862-7.11%0.0512✓0.414.2M2022-09-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.74410.6721-9.13%18.429+56.92%0.5815✗0.484.8M2022-09-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.20770.188704-9.15%0.2555+23.01%0.3630✗0.822.8M2022-09-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.08664.6052-9.46%6.5495+28.76%0.3675✗0.215.1M2022-09-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.78814.2679-10.87%7.7616+62.10%0.6165✗0.254.2M2022-09-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10060.089175-11.36%0.0879-12.62%0.0407✓0.75247k2022-09-25
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30273.7388-13.11%5.704+32.57%0.4958✗1.00169k2022-09-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.