8=======>

2022-08-16 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0848
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-7.99%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
59.9%
in alpha space · 70.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.41%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.25075.5582+5.86%4.8786-7.09%0.1044✗0.14225k2022-09-15
PROPropyEthereum0.810.84978+4.91%0.7-13.58%0.1175✗0.40105k2022-09-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.008280.008521+2.91%0.00541-34.66%0.3327✗0.641.6M2022-09-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.212974+2.89%0.1448-30.05%0.1829✗1.061,7402022-09-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56770.58278+2.66%0.4691-17.37%0.0046✓1.11388k2022-09-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3160.324349+2.64%0.259-18.04%0.0824✗0.751.0M2022-09-15
TRXTRONTron0.0697640.07153+2.53%0.061091-12.43%0.0411✗0.61182k2022-09-15
XVSVenusEthereum5.966.1043+2.42%4.47-25.00%0.1120✗1.041.5M2022-09-15
STXStacksnative0.47620.484749+1.80%0.3436-27.85%0.1335✗1.10808k2022-09-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4963+1.79%1.41-4.08%0.0622✗-0.01124k2022-09-15
NANOnanopayBase1.02261.0398+1.67%0.788148-22.93%0.1355✗0.7477k2022-09-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067670.00688+1.67%0.005941-12.21%0.0115✓0.713,2222022-09-15
DASHDashDash52.4653.3064+1.61%43.87-16.37%0.0093✓0.97595k2022-09-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash136.34138.4637+1.56%117.54-13.79%0.0465✓1.105.1M2022-09-15
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.942.9856+1.55%1.79-39.12%0.4115✗0.5296k2022-09-15
KCSKuCoinnative10.3910.5429+1.47%9.109-12.33%0.0407✓0.982.0M2022-09-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.25351.2714+1.42%0.977095-22.05%0.0974✗0.8756k2022-09-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,861.5024,198.83+1.41%19,833.10-16.88%0.0134✓0.977,5932022-09-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.14891.1648+1.38%0.9834-14.41%0.0495✗0.633.9M2022-09-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2440.247156+1.29%0.15592-36.10%0.2420✗1.14696k2022-09-15
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21130.213795+1.18%0.1557-26.31%0.0448✗1.421,3972022-09-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.4417+1.17%1.126-20.98%0.0557✗1.002.5M2022-09-15
SCSiacoinnative0.004760.004814+1.14%0.00375-21.22%0.0553✗1.02158k2022-09-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04450.044998+1.12%0.0367-17.53%0.0294✗0.9111k2022-09-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,857.9324,124.87+1.12%19,703.67-17.41%0.0111✗1.00482.6M2022-09-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.30010.303282+1.06%0.3312+10.36%0.2637✓0.9281k2022-09-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.429220.433679+1.04%0.31479-26.66%0.1324✗0.9896k2022-09-15
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.78e-7+0.83%8.30e-7-14.43%0.0146✗0.785.4M2022-09-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.07340.073985+0.80%0.0505-31.20%0.1601✗1.16331k2022-09-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08110.081737+0.79%0.0665-18.00%0.0487✗0.82134k2022-09-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1230.12386+0.70%0.0978-20.49%0.0914✗0.764,2082022-09-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9670.972669+0.59%0.92-4.86%0.0365✓0.484.4M2022-09-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.408580.410957+0.58%0.3001-26.55%0.1405✗0.91446k2022-09-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169550.170477+0.55%0.12968-23.52%0.0348✗1.25250k2022-09-15
XLMStellarStellar0.121780.122349+0.47%0.102273-16.02%0.0109✗0.887.8M2022-09-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3620390.36362+0.44%0.28088-22.42%0.0591✗1.04962k2022-09-15
GTGateEthereum4.89324.9091+0.33%4.1854-14.46%0.0213✗0.72912k2022-09-15
ADACardanoCardano0.55710.558528+0.26%0.466-16.35%0.0147✓1.0243.6M2022-09-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.70.701248+0.18%0.485-30.71%0.1377✗1.21135k2022-09-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046810.04689+0.17%0.03582-23.48%0.1175✗0.792,5822022-09-15
AAVEAaveEthereum109.79109.9563+0.15%78.51-28.49%0.0438✗1.536.4M2022-09-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35260.353013+0.12%0.295-16.34%0.0028✗0.928.3M2022-09-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.3361.3425+0.02%56.34-8.14%0.1096✓1.0213.5M2022-09-15
XVGVergenative0.004010.004011+0.02%0.00326-18.70%0.0100✗1.03554k2022-09-15
RARESuperRareEthereum0.26360.263573-0.01%0.1907-27.66%0.1323✓1.00111k2022-09-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.027890.027884-0.02%0.01964-29.58%0.1687✓0.9514.3M2022-09-15
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50470.504353-0.07%0.3922-22.29%0.0341✓1.1460k2022-09-15
FTTFTXEthereum30.6730.6089-0.20%24.08-21.49%0.0631✓0.929.2M2022-09-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10690.106661-0.22%0.0912-14.69%0.0373✗1.0110k2022-09-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05390.053774-0.23%0.0441-18.18%0.0097✓0.99220k2022-09-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.16861.0183-0.24%51.746-15.40%0.0320✓0.69365k2022-09-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06880.068619-0.26%0.0557-19.04%0.0560✓0.80119k2022-09-15
STEEMSteemnative0.270.269143-0.32%0.2141-20.70%0.0634✓0.86550k2022-09-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025390.025298-0.36%0.02027-20.17%0.0578✓0.86271k2022-09-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017610.001754-0.40%0.001455-17.38%0.0449✓0.749,4152022-09-15
SOLSolanaSolana43.0942.8955-0.45%33.07-23.25%0.0348✓1.1881.1M2022-09-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.692520.688986-0.51%0.48387-30.13%0.1072✓1.2951k2022-09-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.146.1039-0.59%6.06-1.30%0.0705✗0.411.1M2022-09-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.353420.351163-0.64%0.40594+14.86%0.3125✗0.88402k2022-09-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0870410.086444-0.69%0.058603-32.67%0.1953✓1.011.8M2022-09-15
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.0000019.93e-7-0.73%8.30e-7-17.00%0.0329✓0.7621k2022-09-15
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.18830.18681-0.79%0.15985-15.11%0.2714✗2.236712022-09-15
MANADecentralandEthereum1.02991.0215-0.82%0.71924-30.16%0.1698✓0.95623k2022-09-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.12123.0953-0.83%3.7372+19.74%0.2883✗0.521.3M2022-09-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008540.008467-0.85%0.00782-8.43%0.1279✗1.08463k2022-09-15
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002020.002002-0.89%0.0022+8.91%0.2856✗1.00901k2022-09-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.18610.18444-0.89%0.1336-28.21%0.1297✓1.01140k2022-09-15
XECeCashnative0.000044980.00004457-0.91%0.00004321-3.94%0.1359✗0.872.0M2022-09-15
KSMKusamaHydration56.0755.5551-0.92%44.46-20.71%0.0283✓1.02645k2022-09-15
XMRMoneroMonero169.61168.0504-0.92%145.86-14.00%0.0424✗0.961.2M2022-09-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44640.442059-0.97%0.3559-20.27%0.0231✗1.25255k2022-09-15
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.258557-1.01%0.1245-52.34%0.7283✓0.0159k2022-09-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14370.142228-1.02%0.1738+20.95%0.4002✗1.0443k2022-09-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6512.6233-1.04%1.72-35.12%0.0912✓1.73144k2022-09-15
DIADIAEthereum0.471920.466962-1.05%0.36772-22.08%0.0929✓0.7670k2022-09-15
MOVRMoonriverBase15.077914.9188-1.05%11.3056-25.02%0.0943✓0.9658k2022-09-15
XYMSymbolnative0.0548020.054198-1.10%0.039421-28.07%0.2244✓0.4936k2022-09-15
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1976.1277-1.12%4.909-20.78%0.0328✗1.3312.6M2022-09-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.194.1406-1.18%3.752-10.45%0.0306✓0.361.6M2022-09-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.411.3931-1.20%1.1128-21.08%0.0160✗1.261.2M2022-09-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052050.051387-1.27%0.04198-19.35%0.0676✓0.7016k2022-09-15
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.082580.081455-1.36%0.06518-21.07%0.0759✓0.778802022-09-15
IMXImmutableEthereum1.02211.008-1.38%0.7977-21.95%0.0067✓1.192.3M2022-09-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.898.7654-1.40%8.14-8.44%0.0126✓0.321.8M2022-09-15
ZENHorizenBase20.1219.8339-1.42%14.5-27.93%0.0967✓1.13121k2022-09-15
QTUMQtumQtum4.01273.9531-1.49%2.9863-25.58%0.0944✓0.9750k2022-09-15
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3468.2201-1.51%5.884-29.50%0.0880✓1.2910.1M2022-09-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.8398.7006-1.57%6.934-21.55%0.0317✓1.0214.8M2022-09-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.6351.6091-1.59%2.0023+22.46%0.4615✗1.27598k2022-09-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15460.152097-1.62%0.1206-21.99%0.1143✓0.624.4M2022-09-15
BANDBandEthereum1.6751.6466-1.69%1.206-28.00%0.0636✓1.30520k2022-09-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13010.127886-1.70%0.1085-16.60%0.0430✗1.083.9M2022-09-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.27012.2313-1.71%1.7321-23.70%0.0518✓1.0538k2022-09-15
ZECZcashZcash75.9574.6517-1.71%58.33-23.20%0.0365✓1.102.1M2022-09-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33920.333383-1.71%0.2622-22.70%0.0554✓0.973.6M2022-09-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.4538.3041-1.76%7.563-10.53%0.1125✗1.0820.0M2022-09-15
CBKCobakEthereum1.15611.1354-1.79%0.80867-30.05%0.1610✓0.9312k2022-09-15
ELAElastosEthereum2.0612.0224-1.87%1.509-26.78%0.1036✓0.99181k2022-09-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0161.9778-1.90%1.313-34.87%0.1841✓1.18157k2022-09-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8180.802124-1.94%0.591-27.75%0.1282✓0.93357k2022-09-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2711.2458-1.98%0.8579-32.50%0.1367✓1.241.1M2022-09-15
QNTQuantEthereum116.11113.7937-1.99%103.96-10.46%0.0665✗0.823.6M2022-09-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.18751.1636-2.01%–pending––1.1313k2022-09-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017530.017175-2.02%0.01216-30.63%0.1933✓0.79153k2022-09-15
COMPCompoundEthereum61.0959.7906-2.13%56.91-6.84%0.1855✗1.2323k2022-09-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159660.015625-2.13%0.012048-24.54%0.1417✓0.622.1M2022-09-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.06960.068096-2.16%0.0471-32.33%0.1714✓1.03253k2022-09-15
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9590.938166-2.17%0.883-7.92%0.1723✗1.221.3M2022-09-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10240.10013-2.22%0.1102+7.62%0.2550✗0.83220k2022-09-15
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085780.083866-2.23%0.06724-21.61%0.1764✓0.231.1M2022-09-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7522.6883-2.32%1.962-28.71%0.0940✓1.1564k2022-09-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26450.25822-2.37%0.2063-22.00%0.0330✓1.0091k2022-09-15
XTZTezosTezos1.88871.8438-2.38%1.5204-19.50%0.0191✓1.11488k2022-09-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.58970.575566-2.40%0.4585-22.25%0.0708✓0.82784k2022-09-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25560.249438-2.41%0.1903-25.55%0.0148✓1.34131k2022-09-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0246040.023991-2.49%0.020113-18.25%0.0218✓0.8113k2022-09-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07840.076433-2.51%0.0585-25.38%0.0444✓1.171.4M2022-09-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.062582-2.52%0.0408-36.45%0.2298✓1.04877k2022-09-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.7057-2.53%1.27-27.43%0.1032✓1.00190k2022-09-15
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031360.030564-2.54%0.02264-27.81%0.0524✓1.293,2032022-09-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.623.5266-2.58%2.988-17.46%0.0340✓0.69976k2022-09-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9670.94161-2.63%0.8518-11.91%0.1975✗1.56244k2022-09-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.355270.345756-2.68%0.25784-27.42%0.0933✓1.0514k2022-09-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.47061.4307-2.71%1.2148-17.39%0.0199✓0.961.0M2022-09-15
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.47490.461981-2.72%0.3195-32.72%0.1102✓1.35211k2022-09-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum1514.5817-2.79%14.21-5.27%0.1954✗1.162.6M2022-09-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.11380.110532-2.87%0.0903-20.65%0.0115✓1.00456k2022-09-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.683.5721-2.93%2.583-29.81%0.0258✓1.565.3M2022-09-15
FORTFortaEthereum0.30190.292889-2.98%0.2059-31.80%0.1468✓1.07178k2022-09-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069370.006728-3.01%0.006336-8.66%0.0271✓0.4655k2022-09-15
METISMetisEthereum38.937.712-3.05%25.7-33.93%0.0046✓1.98408k2022-09-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9517.3986-3.07%12.71-29.19%0.0849✓1.201.7M2022-09-15
XEMNEMnative0.0519690.050349-3.12%0.040879-21.34%0.0376✓0.8943k2022-09-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9241.8635-3.14%1.388-27.86%0.0796✓1.12170k2022-09-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.39611.0359-3.16%14.912+30.85%0.5190✗1.1413.2M2022-09-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,876.571,817.17-3.17%1,472.68-21.52%0.0420✗1.32534.1M2022-09-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0383.9054-3.28%3.815-5.52%0.0231✓0.242.1M2022-09-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.45590.440899-3.29%0.3228-29.19%0.1004✓1.10190k2022-09-15
DODODODOEthereum0.16760.161892-3.41%0.1202-28.28%0.1145✓0.962.3M2022-09-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12650.122145-3.44%0.1042-17.63%0.0065✓0.86317k2022-09-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17980.173518-3.49%0.1496-16.80%0.0567✗1.07616k2022-09-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.954.7768-3.50%4.21-14.95%0.0434✓0.431.2M2022-09-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.39850.384428-3.53%0.2861-28.21%0.0858✓1.10101k2022-09-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.3611.9147-3.60%9.29-24.84%0.0349✓1.12313k2022-09-15
GITCOINGITCOIN3.30123.1808-3.65%1.9299-41.54%0.2619✓1.2413k2022-09-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6720.646357-3.82%0.489-27.23%0.0558✓1.17115k2022-09-15
FISStafiEthereum0.45140.434108-3.83%0.3538-21.62%0.0380✓0.871922022-09-15
API3Api3Ethereum2.4092.3143-3.93%1.578-34.50%0.2037✓0.94680k2022-09-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.089960.086326-4.04%0.05919-34.20%0.1594✓1.142.4M2022-09-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.3219.4988-4.04%16.28-19.88%0.0510✓0.682.2M2022-09-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04260.04086-4.08%0.0355-16.67%0.0448✗0.9776k2022-09-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.263.124-4.17%1.94-40.49%0.2427✓1.22269k2022-09-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.445.2127-4.18%5.19-4.60%0.0657✗0.372.0M2022-09-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.870.832411-4.32%0.593-31.84%0.0676✓1.424.6M2022-09-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.840.803372-4.36%0.603-28.21%0.1094✓0.93280k2022-09-15
UMAUMAEthereum3.3343.187-4.41%2.546-23.64%0.0646✓0.84696k2022-09-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011540.011026-4.45%0.00833-27.82%0.1371✓0.755.8M2022-09-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.28531.2279-4.47%1.0528-18.09%0.1168✗1.416.4M2022-09-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.4268.0475-4.49%5.726-32.04%0.1825✓0.839.5M2022-09-15
HIVEHivenative0.61150.583717-4.54%0.5477-10.43%0.1158✗0.942.1M2022-09-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5450.519554-4.67%0.453-16.88%0.0505✗0.9811k2022-09-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.7737.4026-4.77%6.13-21.14%0.0015✓0.985.4M2022-09-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009710.000092354-4.89%0.00025952+167.27%1.2152✗0.95336k2022-09-15
RADRadworksEthereum2.362.2411-5.04%2.24-5.08%0.1749✗0.92520k2022-09-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.199.6674-5.13%6.64-34.84%0.1675✓1.09592k2022-09-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.051130.048448-5.24%0.03257-36.30%0.2121✓0.9721k2022-09-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8763.6715-5.28%4.046+4.39%0.2592✗0.85124k2022-09-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.091210.086317-5.36%0.06499-28.75%0.0647✓1.1529k2022-09-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,010.1910,406.93-5.48%8,520.47-22.61%0.0530✓1.326.5M2022-09-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000015810.0000149-5.76%0.00001167-26.19%0.0642✓0.94827k2022-09-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.6138.2484-5.82%15.76-61.19%0.6788✓1.091.8M2022-09-15
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.09874.8017-5.83%4.4233-13.25%0.1092✗1.00111k2022-09-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.295.9132-5.99%5.59-11.13%0.0155✓0.371.4M2022-09-15
OPTIMOptimism1.4541.3648-6.13%1.131-22.21%0.1786✗1.923.7M2022-09-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.8895.5193-6.28%11.656+97.93%0.7999✗0.271.2M2022-09-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.1125.3756-6.40%18.2-32.87%0.0759✓1.3430.5M2022-09-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.72393.4781-6.60%5.7604+54.69%0.5972✗0.481.9M2022-09-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.710.662054-6.75%0.421-40.70%0.2254✓1.192,7912022-09-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0041010.003824-6.76%0.002756-32.80%0.1773✓0.781.0M2022-09-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.8836.9552-7.33%35.67-10.56%0.2273✗1.3716.5M2022-09-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5143.2331-7.99%6.1741+75.70%0.7096✗0.331.7M2022-09-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015870.001457-8.13%0.00116-26.91%0.0744✓0.811.6M2022-09-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0185.5186-8.30%5.586-7.18%0.0315✓0.103.4M2022-09-15
FLOWFlownative2.6852.4563-8.52%1.753-34.71%0.0931✓1.28873k2022-09-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.20970.191692-8.59%0.1909-8.97%0.1596✗0.861.2M2022-09-15
GMTGMTEthereum1.0720.979239-8.65%0.6666-37.82%0.1132✓1.42469k2022-09-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256380.023155-9.69%0.025135-1.96%0.1178✗0.19232k2022-09-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.44e-76.47e-7-12.98%5.79e-7-22.16%0.0122✓0.65164k2022-09-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.