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2022-08-04 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2613
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.45%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.5%
in alpha space · 73.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9181.6977-11.48%1.195-37.70%0.0918✓1.972.8M2022-09-03
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01920.943619-7.42%0.8416-17.43%0.1110✗1.71241k2022-09-03
METISMetisEthereum46.0143.1174-6.29%30.98-32.67%0.0910✓1.82266k2022-09-03
FLOWFlownative2.62.4424-6.06%1.951-24.96%0.0587✓1.26448k2022-09-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6220.4209-5.55%17.13-20.77%0.0647✓0.842.4M2022-09-03
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7860.74372-5.38%0.519-33.97%0.1683✓1.463,1392022-09-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.37213.1934-5.30%7.3234+117.18%0.9471✗0.891.4M2022-09-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.9926.5445-5.16%19.02-32.05%0.1548✓1.36946k2022-09-03
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099250.00009415-5.14%0.00026115+163.12%1.2886✗2.04516k2022-09-03
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.4997-5.08%1.49-5.70%0.0327✓0.30242k2022-09-03
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8198.3836-4.94%6.305-28.51%0.1018✓1.399.9M2022-09-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7773.5962-4.79%2.941-22.13%0.0280✓1.745.0M2022-09-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034970.033331-4.69%0.02059-41.12%0.2920✓1.4413.9M2022-09-03
GITCOINGITCOIN3.18543.0384-4.61%2.2636-28.94%0.0888✓1.5612k2022-09-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,646.8210,167.16-4.51%9,785.94-8.09%0.1492✗1.424.5M2022-09-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32861.2691-4.48%1.0729-19.25%0.0285✓1.495.6M2022-09-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.1564.9325-4.33%6.609+28.18%0.3618✗0.532.4M2022-09-03
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.535109-4.10%0.412-26.16%0.1109✓1.1414k2022-09-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.833.3762-4.09%32.23-7.39%0.1498✗1.4011.4M2022-09-03
APEApeCoinEthereum7.4377.1354-4.06%4.756-36.05%0.1778✓1.7313.1M2022-09-03
QNTQuantEthereum103.7499.632-3.96%93.83-9.55%0.0701✗0.994.2M2022-09-03
GMTGMTEthereum0.9090.87346-3.91%0.678-25.41%0.0213✓1.76496k2022-09-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.665910.639985-3.89%0.54122-18.72%0.0311✓1.5188k2022-09-03
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2971.2471-3.85%0.9295-28.33%0.1305✓1.241.1M2022-09-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2522.1663-3.80%1.543-31.48%0.1567✓1.39172k2022-09-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.3722.5296-3.60%18.9-19.13%0.0322✓1.5826.1M2022-09-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8615.3035-3.51%14.03-11.54%0.0980✗1.412.5M2022-09-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04210.040625-3.50%0.0354-15.91%0.0235✓1.2376k2022-09-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.987.7022-3.48%6.499-18.56%0.0093✓1.227.0M2022-09-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2141.1719-3.47%1.014-16.47%0.0592✓0.651.9M2022-09-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18531.145-3.40%0.9676-18.37%0.0539✓0.874.1M2022-09-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14163.0352-3.39%7.5278+139.62%1.0088✗0.761.1M2022-09-03
BORABORAKlay Token0.362810.351137-3.22%0.29127-19.72%0.0154✓1.3013k2022-09-03
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.57760.559026-3.22%0.3093-46.45%0.4110✓1.38234k2022-09-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0927.8321-3.21%6.507-19.59%0.0480✓1.042.5M2022-09-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.4115-3.19%5.78+3.40%0.1464✗0.611.4M2022-09-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.052014-3.14%0.0443-17.50%0.0078✓1.28284k2022-09-03
CBKCobakEthereum1.11291.078-3.14%0.86852-21.96%0.0707✓1.1111k2022-09-03
DIADIAEthereum0.457070.442735-3.14%0.3754-17.87%0.0646✓0.7668k2022-09-03
API3Api3Ethereum2.2232.1537-3.12%1.68-24.43%0.0814✓1.27626k2022-09-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.578107-3.08%0.5007-16.06%0.0064✓1.14690k2022-09-03
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.4067-2.96%2.26-8.87%0.0786✗1.08507k2022-09-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086150.083668-2.88%0.07135-17.18%0.0201✓1.3629k2022-09-03
KSMKusamaHydration61.1259.3772-2.85%48.81-20.14%0.0416✓1.17379k2022-09-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0710.7587-2.81%10.12-8.58%0.0967✗1.20263k2022-09-03
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7282.6524-2.77%2.045-25.04%0.0720✓1.4349k2022-09-03
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56770.55224-2.72%0.4418-22.18%0.0765✓1.1146k2022-09-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8460.823188-2.70%0.669-20.92%0.0214✓1.744.6M2022-09-03
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9671.9141-2.69%1.482-24.66%0.0702✓1.41266k2022-09-03
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076930.074883-2.66%0.06648-13.58%0.0227✓0.739772022-09-03
WOOWOOEthereum0.21750.211749-2.64%0.1524-29.93%0.1570✓1.311,5612022-09-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.833.7288-2.64%4.492+17.28%0.2775✗0.691.5M2022-09-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6860.668073-2.61%0.52-24.20%0.0668✓1.4088k2022-09-03
ZENHorizenBase17.3216.8779-2.55%15.52-10.39%0.0981✗1.38116k2022-09-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8443.7462-2.54%4.797+24.79%0.3241✗0.581.9M2022-09-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03391.0078-2.52%1.1337+9.65%0.2688✗1.151.0M2022-09-03
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5962.5307-2.51%1.881-27.54%0.0662✓1.75109k2022-09-03
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085410.083327-2.44%0.07801-8.66%0.0303✓0.271.1M2022-09-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205250.020027-2.42%0.026685+30.01%0.3422✗0.42167k2022-09-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16420.160259-2.40%0.1379-16.02%0.0130✓1.24518k2022-09-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3290.321185-2.38%0.3208-2.49%0.1470✗1.1377k2022-09-03
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188870.184421-2.36%0.15784-16.43%0.1486✗2.311,1512022-09-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.18992.1398-2.29%1.7905-18.24%0.0204✓1.2032k2022-09-03
XEMNEMnative0.050210.049075-2.26%0.043496-13.37%0.0368✗1.2035k2022-09-03
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08090.079074-2.26%0.06279-22.39%0.0351✓1.49871k2022-09-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.14470.141491-2.22%0.2171+50.03%0.5706✗1.08907k2022-09-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.91752.8528-2.22%4.8007+64.55%0.6495✗0.981.2M2022-09-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0090.008801-2.22%0.00798-11.33%0.0704✗1.28387k2022-09-03
BANDBandEthereum1.7551.7167-2.18%1.319-24.84%0.0754✓1.43341k2022-09-03
HIVEHivenative0.58130.568787-2.15%0.5434-6.52%0.1101✗1.181.8M2022-09-03
MANADecentralandEthereum0.992450.971909-2.07%0.78775-20.63%0.0394✓1.30532k2022-09-03
DODODODOEthereum0.17290.169334-2.06%0.1258-27.24%0.1364✓1.223.5M2022-09-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011608-2.04%0.0000123+3.80%0.2219✗1.25951k2022-09-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.29.0126-2.04%7.65-16.85%0.0184✓1.39334k2022-09-03
MOVRMoonriverBase14.635914.3419-2.01%12.6808-13.36%0.0279✗1.1558k2022-09-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.7359-1.95%4.96+2.69%0.1384✗0.701.3M2022-09-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35910.1611-1.91%12.627+21.89%0.3955✗1.3513.7M2022-09-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7990.783964-1.88%0.688-13.89%0.0036✓1.02377k2022-09-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9823.908-1.86%2.976-25.26%0.1598✓0.86922k2022-09-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.020745-1.82%0.02203+4.26%0.1936✗1.02159k2022-09-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.5907-1.82%9.31+6.40%0.1445✗0.491.8M2022-09-03
FORTFortaEthereum0.3020.296527-1.81%0.2308-23.58%0.1040✓1.11300k2022-09-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43880.431178-1.74%0.3659-16.61%0.0304✗1.48278k2022-09-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.26959.2614-1.67%52.516-12.86%0.0112✓0.83321k2022-09-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.7517.4615-1.63%15.21-14.31%0.0338✗1.311.3M2022-09-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.404330.397841-1.60%0.33497-17.15%0.0154✓1.19107k2022-09-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0630.061995-1.60%0.0485-23.02%0.0768✓1.28802k2022-09-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5021.4783-1.58%1.7051+13.52%0.3266✗1.40594k2022-09-03
STEEMSteemnative0.25220.248241-1.57%0.2228-11.66%0.0447✗1.16768k2022-09-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.123.0714-1.56%2.25-27.88%0.1116✓1.52211k2022-09-03
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.36e-7-1.52%8.70e-7-8.42%0.0588✗1.0025k2022-09-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010890.001072-1.51%0.001326+21.79%0.3755✗1.241.3M2022-09-03
QTUMQtumQtum3.95923.8993-1.51%3.1511-20.41%0.0703✓1.0945k2022-09-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155950.015369-1.45%0.013081-16.12%0.0438✓0.892.1M2022-09-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.825.7375-1.42%6.87+18.04%0.2691✗0.68746k2022-09-03
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021890.002158-1.41%0.001655-24.39%0.1339✓1.001.4M2022-09-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.419540.413648-1.40%0.36179-13.77%0.0474✗1.38583k2022-09-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05051.036-1.38%–pending––1.0513k2022-09-03
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06670.065798-1.35%0.0578-13.34%0.0060✓0.94183k2022-09-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13920.137339-1.34%0.1363-2.08%0.1171✗0.953.6M2022-09-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.71.6773-1.33%1.29-24.12%0.0891✓1.32122k2022-09-03
STXStacksnative0.47370.467511-1.31%0.361-23.79%0.0956✓1.24808k2022-09-03
SCSiacoinnative0.004540.004482-1.29%0.00397-12.56%0.0507✗1.31112k2022-09-03
ELAElastosEthereum1.8141.7911-1.26%1.771-2.37%0.0718✗0.63206k2022-09-03
SUSHISushiEthereum1.471.452-1.22%1.1328-22.94%0.0629✓1.411.2M2022-09-03
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.3528-1.20%4.84-24.73%0.0892✓1.391.2M2022-09-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4152.3865-1.18%4.026+66.71%0.6402✗0.89110k2022-09-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33060.326703-1.18%0.2804-15.18%0.0004✓1.173.5M2022-09-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032310.031938-1.15%0.03443+6.56%0.2371✗1.2314k2022-09-03
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12731.1145-1.13%0.8243-26.88%0.1215✓1.371.4M2022-09-03
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.49e-7-1.10%8.80e-7-8.33%0.0341✗0.846.4M2022-09-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160.15825-1.09%0.13707-14.33%0.0580✗1.53212k2022-09-03
UMAUMAEthereum2.9822.9519-1.01%2.744-7.98%0.0741✗1.12591k2022-09-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11680.115622-1.01%0.1012-13.36%0.0082✓1.08370k2022-09-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.06160.060991-0.99%0.0556-9.74%0.0955✗1.43350k2022-09-03
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7820.774401-0.97%0.671-14.19%0.0151✗1.20225k2022-09-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0224480.022233-0.96%0.020633-8.09%0.0521✗0.9611k2022-09-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04820.047738-0.96%0.0358-25.73%0.1166✓1.307,5232022-09-03
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.258678-0.93%0.1834-29.76%0.3424✓0.0129k2022-09-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6164.5741-0.91%13.804+199.05%1.1786✗0.561.4M2022-09-03
COMPCompoundEthereum5655.4951-0.90%47.89-14.48%0.0355✗1.3935k2022-09-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12690.125805-0.86%0.102-19.62%0.0787✓1.004,7012022-09-03
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.161,594.33-0.86%1,557.70-3.14%0.1446✗1.28407.7M2022-09-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3647.305-0.80%6.861-6.83%0.1018✗1.2516.9M2022-09-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41620.412895-0.79%0.354-14.94%0.0190✗1.31127k2022-09-03
ADACardanoCardano0.49970.495886-0.76%0.4804-3.86%0.1265✗1.2040.5M2022-09-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043860.04354-0.73%0.03762-14.23%0.0226✓0.942,0262022-09-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12020.119327-0.73%0.1018-15.31%0.0214✗1.372.9M2022-09-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.084784-0.72%0.0572-33.02%0.2424✓1.15126k2022-09-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3991.3891-0.71%1.159-17.16%0.0133✓1.282.6M2022-09-03
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.093.0684-0.70%1.93-37.54%0.3987✓0.49109k2022-09-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22630.224773-0.67%0.212-6.32%0.1344✗1.4787k2022-09-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017580.017465-0.66%0.01336-24.00%0.1599✓0.82193k2022-09-03
XMRMoneroMonero159.25158.3338-0.58%154.44-3.02%0.1208✗1.111.2M2022-09-03
XTZTezosTezos1.82491.8147-0.56%1.5227-16.56%0.0086✓1.27530k2022-09-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0928.047-0.56%7.29-9.91%0.0617✗1.2211.0M2022-09-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04910.048832-0.55%0.04477-8.82%0.0297✗0.8915k2022-09-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.545.5107-0.53%6.85+23.65%0.2953✗0.59873k2022-09-03
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09750.096984-0.53%0.0824-15.49%0.0046✓1.207,1482022-09-03
XVGVergenative0.003770.00375-0.52%0.00311-17.51%0.0168✓1.30551k2022-09-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.109036-0.51%0.0949-13.41%0.0260✗1.25505k2022-09-03
FTTFTXEthereum29.1428.9905-0.51%26.2-10.09%0.0236✗0.9510.0M2022-09-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3402110.338504-0.50%0.292785-13.94%0.0219✗1.271.0M2022-09-03
NANOnanopayBase1.01511.0107-0.44%0.885648-12.76%0.0082✓0.9460k2022-09-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07330.073002-0.41%0.0608-17.05%0.0373✓1.111.1M2022-09-03
TRXTRONTron0.0689810.068704-0.40%0.06311-8.51%0.0064✗0.69345k2022-09-03
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.134223-0.35%0.1211-10.10%0.0642✗1.2761k2022-09-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.6559.4638-0.31%60.19+0.91%0.1640✗1.1513.6M2022-09-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7270.724732-0.31%0.527-27.51%0.1250✓1.47121k2022-09-03
UOSUltraEthereum0.313380.312492-0.28%0.35+11.69%0.2612✗1.12396k2022-09-03
SOLSolanaSolana38.8238.7158-0.27%31.12-19.84%0.0387✓1.3781.1M2022-09-03
DASHDashDash49.449.2764-0.25%46.77-5.32%0.0920✗1.10574k2022-09-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.34134.0477-0.22%117.83-12.29%0.0287✗1.204.6M2022-09-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2180.21762-0.17%0.17-22.02%0.0480✓1.51782k2022-09-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.332531-0.14%0.269-19.22%0.0755✓1.041.1M2022-09-03
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7380.736967-0.14%1.037+40.51%0.5011✗1.21968k2022-09-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.006691-0.13%0.006407-4.37%0.0242✗0.5140k2022-09-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.335709-0.12%0.303-9.85%0.0463✗1.138.2M2022-09-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,623.9422,602.10-0.10%19,835.47-12.33%0.0010✗1.00427.9M2022-09-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07310.073104+0.01%0.119+62.79%0.5832✓0.73159k2022-09-03
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030380.030395+0.05%0.02472-18.63%0.0354✗1.301,4012022-09-03
KCSKuCoinnative10.03510.0407+0.06%9.192-8.40%0.0569✓1.102.0M2022-09-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009790.009796+0.06%0.00869-11.24%0.0039✗0.885.1M2022-09-03
AAVEAaveEthereum96.3496.4096+0.07%87.18-9.51%0.1171✓1.6610.2M2022-09-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54540.546119+0.13%0.4583-15.97%0.0258✗1.14333k2022-09-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,495.2022,539.86+0.20%19,875.80-11.64%0.0031✓0.9813k2022-09-03
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19950.199951+0.23%0.1738-12.88%0.0436✓1.401,2762022-09-03
GALAGALAEthereum0.05930.059448+0.25%0.05-15.68%0.0103✓1.39172k2022-09-03
XECeCashnative0.000042940.000043063+0.29%0.00004471+4.12%0.1896✓1.161.9M2022-09-03
ZECZcashZcash64.3864.5652+0.29%62.7-2.61%0.1350✓1.251.6M2022-09-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1139210.114276+0.31%0.105238-7.62%0.0480✓0.996.9M2022-09-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.15021.1543+0.36%1.0572-8.08%0.0504✓1.0543k2022-09-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030690.003083+0.45%0.002948-3.94%0.0856✓0.991.0M2022-09-03
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.261915+0.50%0.2386-8.44%0.0532✓1.1165k2022-09-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.008220.008272+0.63%0.00602-26.76%0.1990✗0.901.6M2022-09-03
XYMSymbolnative0.0542640.054621+0.66%0.042307-22.03%0.1792✗0.5825k2022-09-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.58e-7+0.68%8.93e-7+150.93%1.0429✓0.99164k2022-09-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061460.006196+0.82%0.005893-4.11%0.0614✓0.857,1222022-09-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum55.0474+0.95%5.1775+3.55%0.0485✓0.17219k2022-09-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0673530.068049+1.03%0.062675-6.94%0.0718✓1.171.7M2022-09-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001677+1.18%0.001499-9.54%0.0239✓1.039,0682022-09-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.15610.158001+1.22%0.1418-9.16%0.0536✓1.23107k2022-09-03
PROPropyEthereum0.740.752447+1.68%0.73-1.35%0.0484✓0.6079k2022-09-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24850.252857+1.75%0.2102-15.41%0.0241✗1.22101k2022-09-03
GTGateEthereum4.554.6621+2.46%4.2494-6.61%0.0055✓0.75920k2022-09-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.