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2022-08-01 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1332
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.63%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.1%
in alpha space · 64.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.86%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.3664-9.63%1.129-25.33%0.1051✗1.981.7M2022-08-31
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.049-7.97%0.9023-20.84%0.0952✗1.65205k2022-08-31
HIVEHivenative0.77450.728622-5.92%0.5573-28.04%0.0942✓1.171.4M2022-08-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4426.9544-5.22%19.03-33.09%0.1403✓1.39641k2022-08-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000099368-5.17%0.00022156+111.43%1.0917✗1.94592k2022-08-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.788068-5.17%0.475-42.84%0.2844✓1.493,6872022-08-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.4872-4.67%1.52-2.56%0.0541✗0.22268k2022-08-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.2492-4.36%1.1463-12.24%0.1386✗1.515.6M2022-08-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.913885-4.31%0.6723-29.60%0.0426✓1.77513k2022-08-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3211,117.34-4.25%9,021.07-22.31%0.0005✓1.404.2M2022-08-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.1459-4.24%6.6294+101.80%0.8786✗0.891.2M2022-08-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.218.3872-4.23%17.27-10.05%0.0660✗0.862.2M2022-08-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.4543-4.18%2.959-17.92%0.1032✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.68292-4.03%0.55118-22.54%0.0113✓1.5188k2022-08-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.2704-3.98%0.9427-28.75%0.1131✓1.241.2M2022-08-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.3245-3.79%1.522-37.00%0.2128✓1.41177k2022-08-31
QNTQuantEthereum103.4699.6144-3.72%96.47-6.76%0.1192✗1.014.2M2022-08-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.035481-3.59%0.02026-44.95%0.3330✓1.5212.6M2022-08-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0233.8016-3.48%32.41-7.45%0.1684✗1.416.9M2022-08-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.039865-3.47%0.0349-15.50%0.0501✗1.2371k2022-08-31
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3658.0787-3.42%6.142-26.58%0.0650✓1.408.5M2022-08-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.7612-3.42%2.1594-24.47%0.0125✓1.5612k2022-08-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.501313-3.41%0.418-19.46%0.0109✓1.1513k2022-08-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.3093-3.38%5.61-14.09%0.0252✓0.621.2M2022-08-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5922.7978-3.36%19.13-18.91%0.0627✗1.6027.5M2022-08-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.768-3.07%6.047+22.93%0.3199✗0.552.0M2022-08-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.523-2.88%5.746-34.53%0.2356✓1.062.4M2022-08-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.051675-2.87%0.044-17.29%0.0258✓1.25269k2022-08-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03151.0024-2.82%1.1394+10.46%0.3023✗1.171.1M2022-08-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2510.9336-2.81%10.1-10.22%0.1019✗1.21243k2022-08-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.2074-2.68%1.7939-20.91%0.0232✓1.2329k2022-08-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.8396-2.67%1.43-24.34%0.0394✓1.42234k2022-08-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1813.8036-2.65%12.5-11.85%0.1109✗1.411.9M2022-08-31
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1676-2.63%0.89656-25.23%0.1002✓1.1010k2022-08-31
ZENHorizenBase18.1617.6838-2.62%15.53-14.48%0.0746✗1.37116k2022-08-31
FLOWFlownative2.0251.9728-2.58%2.072+2.32%0.2389✗1.27415k2022-08-31
API3Api3Ethereum2.0221.9701-2.57%1.65-18.40%0.0134✓1.28637k2022-08-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.336914-2.48%0.31172-9.77%0.1185✗1.3112k2022-08-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.5019-2.46%1.915-25.34%0.0056✓1.7595k2022-08-31
METISMetisEthereum33.6232.8123-2.40%31.03-7.70%0.2342✗1.94229k2022-08-31
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.486-2.38%4.761-28.34%0.0509✓1.7311.3M2022-08-31
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.475708-2.35%0.3717-23.70%0.1297✓0.7863k2022-08-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.917697-2.25%0.9535+1.57%0.1719✗0.903.2M2022-08-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.077217-2.23%0.06618-16.21%0.0452✓0.731,1722022-08-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.082314-2.23%0.07274-13.60%0.0768✗1.3429k2022-08-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.3384-2.16%2.13-10.88%0.0663✗1.07301k2022-08-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.348.1607-2.15%6.25-25.06%0.0810✓1.246.8M2022-08-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.606346-2.14%0.5054-18.43%0.0097✓1.16642k2022-08-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.410483-2.12%0.33416-20.32%0.0249✓1.21118k2022-08-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.842899-2.10%0.673-21.84%0.0323✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.52895-2.06%0.3203-40.70%0.2909✓1.41234k2022-08-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.887-2.04%2.012-31.73%0.1484✓1.4349k2022-08-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.168501-2.03%0.1395-18.90%0.0025✓1.25491k2022-08-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0582-2.02%0.91-15.74%0.0463✓0.701.5M2022-08-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.633272-1.97%0.515-20.28%0.0026✓1.4088k2022-08-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.019614-1.92%0.030314+51.59%0.5122✗0.51165k2022-08-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.8593-1.90%4.337+10.24%0.2239✗0.721.4M2022-08-31
KSMKusamaHydration64.2363.0358-1.86%47.42-26.17%0.1079✓1.18354k2022-08-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.300344-1.82%0.2325-23.99%0.0883✓1.12300k2022-08-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.6743-1.78%8.84-10.25%0.0121✓0.521.7M2022-08-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.7808-1.77%4.449+15.59%0.2514✗0.591.7M2022-08-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.021185-1.74%0.02304+6.86%0.2379✗1.03159k2022-08-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.009218-1.73%0.00799-14.82%0.0453✗1.26359k2022-08-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.8944-1.72%7.8611+166.92%1.1146✗0.77978k2022-08-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.079125-1.71%0.06211-22.84%0.0183✓1.50773k2022-08-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.146946-1.64%0.2179+45.85%0.5590✗1.11698k2022-08-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.189345-1.64%0.15568-19.13%0.1495✗2.311,2222022-08-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.090848-1.64%0.08149-11.77%0.0723✓0.241.1M2022-08-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.318531-1.63%0.3041-6.08%0.1245✗1.1576k2022-08-31
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.05062-1.61%0.043941-14.59%0.0355✗1.1938k2022-08-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.39910.2343-1.58%11.825+13.71%0.3494✗1.3714.4M2022-08-31
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.261556-1.56%0.2291-13.77%0.0358✗1.13768k2022-08-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.207331-1.55%0.1531-27.30%0.1005✓1.361,6972022-08-31
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.409-1.55%4.86-25.35%0.0678✓1.401.1M2022-08-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.463752-1.54%0.3462-26.50%0.0731✓1.47273k2022-08-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.5512-1.49%1.7276+9.71%0.3220✗1.44589k2022-08-31
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01631.0018-1.42%0.77191-24.05%0.0634✓1.32525k2022-08-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.8219-1.42%2.922-24.63%0.1365✓0.88754k2022-08-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.031593-1.40%0.03519+9.83%0.2928✗1.2414k2022-08-31
COMPCompoundEthereum58.958.0817-1.39%47.14-19.97%0.0011✓1.3932k2022-08-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.075.0004-1.37%4.79-5.52%0.0629✗0.711.2M2022-08-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000011808-1.36%0.00001208+0.92%0.2068✗1.23986k2022-08-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.258299-1.34%0.247-5.65%0.0431✓0.0128k2022-08-31
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134314.9452-1.25%12.38-18.20%0.0128✓1.1868k2022-08-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004725-1.15%0.00404-15.48%0.0397✗1.32112k2022-08-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.16.0312-1.13%6.7+9.84%0.2040✗0.66623k2022-08-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.152363-1.13%0.1324-14.08%0.0071✓0.993.5M2022-08-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001084-1.12%0.001342+22.42%0.4052✗1.291.4M2022-08-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.0661-1.10%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-31
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.175693-1.07%0.1276-28.15%0.1324✓1.263.5M2022-08-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.776-1.06%1.818+1.28%0.1188✗0.64189k2022-08-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.119429-1.05%0.1033-14.42%0.0147✗1.07352k2022-08-31
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.1028-1.04%3.149-24.05%0.1014✓1.0939k2022-08-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.7677-1.04%4.0516+44.87%0.5268✗0.981.0M2022-08-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.4108-0.99%3.743+53.72%0.5770✗0.92105k2022-08-31
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.7011-0.99%1.275-25.79%0.0720✓1.45327k2022-08-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.51e-7-0.97%8.70e-7-9.37%0.0605✗1.0025k2022-08-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.4106-0.87%1.205-15.32%0.0321✗1.272.5M2022-08-31
STXStacksnative0.46130.457484-0.83%0.365-20.88%0.0400✓1.25778k2022-08-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.059717-0.80%0.0577-4.15%0.1749✗1.40339k2022-08-31
FTTFTXEthereum30.7530.5069-0.79%26.73-13.07%0.0099✗0.9510.2M2022-08-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8817.7397-0.78%14.14-20.92%0.0257✓1.351.3M2022-08-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.42062-0.77%0.3513-17.13%0.0181✗1.33127k2022-08-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.066928-0.70%0.0574-14.84%0.0106✓0.96229k2022-08-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.4103-0.68%1.0347-27.13%0.0951✓1.441.1M2022-08-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.333719-0.68%0.2809-16.40%0.0042✓1.183.1M2022-08-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7023,022.40-0.65%19,990.40-13.73%0.0051✓0.9814k2022-08-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.49341-0.64%0.439-11.60%0.0502✗1.1247k2022-08-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.6195-0.64%1.31-19.63%0.0076✓1.37114k2022-08-31
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.8083-0.64%1.5108-16.98%0.0086✗1.26492k2022-08-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.787982-0.63%0.663-16.39%0.0113✗1.23218k2022-08-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.023478-0.60%0.02152-8.89%0.0586✗0.989,6292022-08-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.3099-0.60%2.03-39.04%0.4156✓0.4994k2022-08-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.124749-0.60%0.1003-20.08%0.0704✓0.994,9522022-08-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.085299-0.58%0.0595-30.65%0.1846✓1.18137k2022-08-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.014934-0.55%0.013176-12.26%0.0063✗0.881.6M2022-08-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.229455-0.54%0.2184-5.33%0.1719✗1.4897k2022-08-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002416-0.54%0.001503-38.12%0.3254✓1.001.8M2022-08-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9442-0.53%2.728-7.84%0.0905✗1.12619k2022-08-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.115593-0.52%0.0899-22.63%0.0575✓1.30472k2022-08-31
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.65e-7-0.52%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0318✗0.836.4M2022-08-31
SOLSolanaSolana41.6741.4588-0.51%31.5-24.41%0.0719✓1.3681.1M2022-08-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,622.59-0.50%1,554.00-4.71%0.1442✗1.26387.0M2022-08-31
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.0736-0.49%0.8327-22.82%0.0433✓1.411.4M2022-08-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.017818-0.46%0.01358-24.13%0.1549✓0.78229k2022-08-31
XMRMoneroMonero160.69159.9578-0.46%149.22-7.14%0.0963✗1.111.3M2022-08-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.307841-0.41%0.35+13.22%0.3027✗1.17398k2022-08-31
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000045012-0.28%0.00004452-1.37%0.1621✗1.161.9M2022-08-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.06103-0.28%0.0484-20.92%0.0373✓1.30799k2022-08-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.165008-0.24%0.13698-17.19%0.0440✗1.54212k2022-08-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.3537-0.24%13.005+198.01%1.1812✗0.581.2M2022-08-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8623,220.03-0.23%20,048.26-13.86%0.0023✗1.00414.2M2022-08-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67660.5548-0.20%51.915-14.44%0.0278✓0.85345k2022-08-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.051621-0.13%0.04593-11.14%0.0178✗0.9015k2022-08-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.9918-0.10%7.66-4.25%0.1615✗1.37263k2022-08-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.046141-0.08%0.03845-16.74%0.0390✓0.962,3002022-08-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.8579-0.07%2.15-24.83%0.0580✓1.52192k2022-08-31
XVGVergenative0.003750.003748-0.06%0.00335-10.67%0.0830✗1.31559k2022-08-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.070475-0.04%0.0622-11.77%0.0356✗1.08567k2022-08-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006648-0.03%0.006495-2.33%0.0571✗0.5438k2022-08-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.8098-0.00%6.4+10.15%0.1878✗0.61732k2022-08-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.1899-0.00%5.8014+11.78%0.1425✗0.21210k2022-08-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.412875+0.02%0.31794-22.98%0.0532✗1.39583k2022-08-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.5759+0.02%6.628-12.49%0.0549✓1.2616.9M2022-08-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4759.4864+0.03%53.84-9.47%0.0727✓1.1613.6M2022-08-31
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.513162+0.07%0.4458-13.07%0.0458✓1.2541.9M2022-08-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.095182+0.09%0.0821-13.67%0.0319✓1.216,7862022-08-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.342712+0.09%0.2885-15.74%0.0022✗1.147.7M2022-08-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.143972+0.12%0.1236-14.05%0.0390✓1.2859k2022-08-31
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.727887+0.12%1.078+48.28%0.5738✓1.21806k2022-08-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.77383+0.24%0.663-14.12%0.0074✗0.99377k2022-08-31
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.021+0.25%0.894603-12.16%0.0109✓0.9660k2022-08-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.123911+0.25%0.1026-16.99%0.0173✓1.382.8M2022-08-31
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5896.9451+0.38%84.85-12.15%0.1147✓1.6610.2M2022-08-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87138.4442+0.42%115.16-16.47%0.0064✗1.194.3M2022-08-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.065104+0.47%0.0503-22.38%0.0434✗1.44154k2022-08-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.208026+0.50%0.1824-11.88%0.0768✓1.401,1792022-08-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.2208+0.50%7.033-14.02%0.0290✓1.2410.0M2022-08-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.222109+0.50%0.168-23.98%0.0532✗1.51821k2022-08-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.030178+0.56%0.02455-18.19%0.0116✗1.311,2932022-08-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.048623+0.67%0.0357-26.09%0.1084✗1.347,6872022-08-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2544+0.68%1.0708-14.06%0.0003✓1.0643k2022-08-31
DASHDashDash49.7550.0966+0.70%44.55-10.45%0.0477✓1.11574k2022-08-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.365296+0.70%0.29809-17.83%0.0097✗1.301.0M2022-08-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.010282+0.70%0.00858-15.96%0.0369✗0.974.7M2022-08-31
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.070472+0.72%0.063428-9.35%0.0106✓0.78373k2022-08-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.736286+0.72%0.528-27.77%0.1101✗1.4980k2022-08-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.32e-7+0.81%9.25e-7+181.07%1.1685✓0.96178k2022-08-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.003282+0.81%0.002994-8.05%0.0600✓1.021.0M2022-08-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.119353+0.89%0.104365-11.78%0.0142✓0.996.8M2022-08-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.057798+0.99%0.043128-24.65%0.2034✗0.6022k2022-08-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.338348+1.00%0.282-15.82%0.0283✗1.03959k2022-08-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.06479+1.08%0.1161+81.12%0.7043✓0.81155k2022-08-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.280061+1.10%0.2447-11.66%0.0256✓1.0867k2022-08-31
KCSKuCoinnative9.96310.0736+1.11%9.001-9.66%0.0491✓1.082.1M2022-08-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008522+1.21%0.00619-26.48%0.1834✗0.911.6M2022-08-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.069567+1.23%0.061277-10.83%0.0444✓1.151.7M2022-08-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.167261+1.56%0.1445-12.26%0.0391✓1.2494k2022-08-31
PROPropyEthereum0.780.79265+1.62%0.73-6.41%0.0079✓0.6179k2022-08-31
ZECZcashZcash62.8763.9577+1.73%59.88-4.76%0.1208✓1.251.5M2022-08-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.567099+1.74%0.4594-17.58%0.0405✗1.14341k2022-08-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006433+1.77%0.005668-10.32%0.0077✓0.909,1592022-08-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001731+1.99%0.00156-8.07%0.0486✓1.0211k2022-08-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.268725+2.14%0.2112-19.73%0.0575✗1.23101k2022-08-31
GTGateEthereum4.41644.5428+2.86%4.3008-2.62%0.0541✓0.73916k2022-08-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.