8=======>

2022-07-31 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1893
184 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.13%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
63.6%
in alpha space · 22.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.99%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.5032.3974-4.22%1.556-37.83%0.2029✓1.41172k2022-08-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8750.839289-4.08%0.497-43.20%0.2822✓1.493,1392022-08-30
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.4907-3.20%1.61+4.55%0.1122✗0.22268k2022-08-30
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098070.000096095-2.01%0.00015837+61.49%0.8118✗1.92592k2022-08-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.0720.6519-1.98%17.33-17.75%0.0347✓0.872.2M2022-08-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum26.3725.8855-1.84%22.31-15.40%0.0775✗1.39585k2022-08-30
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3278.1913-1.63%6.174-25.86%0.0552✓1.408.2M2022-08-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.31791.3005-1.32%1.0635-19.30%0.0425✗1.505.6M2022-08-30
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.943969-1.16%0.6566-31.25%0.0758✓1.77513k2022-08-30
UMAUMAEthereum2.872.8418-0.98%2.775-3.31%0.1573✗1.11619k2022-08-30
STORJStorjEthereum0.685450.681001-0.65%0.5402-21.19%0.0139✗1.5188k2022-08-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.00108-0.64%0.001348+24.02%0.4302✗1.281.5M2022-08-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.400650.398193-0.61%0.33647-16.02%0.0281✗1.21113k2022-08-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0213810.021285-0.45%0.022785+6.57%0.1519✗0.52167k2022-08-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.5633.5604-0.07%2.977-16.45%0.1017✗1.735.0M2022-08-30
OPTIMOptimism1.5831.5826-0.03%1.083-31.59%0.0569✓1.981.3M2022-08-30
API3Api3Ethereum1.9481.9494+0.07%1.632-16.22%0.0285✓1.27637k2022-08-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.3314.3459+0.11%12.2-14.86%0.0690✓1.421.7M2022-08-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.9788.9886+0.12%6.257-30.31%0.1599✗1.256.5M2022-08-30
QNTQuantEthereum102.61102.7545+0.14%95.63-6.80%0.0930✓1.014.2M2022-08-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8732.8778+0.17%2.049-28.68%0.1086✗1.4247k2022-08-30
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5280.528905+0.17%0.425-19.51%0.0325✗1.1513k2022-08-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.17961.3454+0.27%51.582-15.69%0.0360✗0.85369k2022-08-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.7899.8261+0.38%5.711-41.66%0.3698✗1.062.3M2022-08-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.23.2129+0.40%2.07-35.31%0.1932✗1.52192k2022-08-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034230.034391+0.47%0.02038-40.46%0.2755✗1.5311.5M2022-08-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3662.3772+0.47%3.795+60.40%0.6169✓0.92105k2022-08-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12840.129031+0.49%0.097-24.45%0.1246✗0.995,2722022-08-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.19622.2078+0.53%1.8168-17.27%0.0056✓1.2326k2022-08-30
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.6046+0.56%2.06-20.46%0.0603✗1.07258k2022-08-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08360.08408+0.57%0.07109-14.96%0.0504✓1.3429k2022-08-30
MANADecentralandEthereum0.976480.983604+0.73%0.77064-21.08%0.0294✗1.32487k2022-08-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6140.618596+0.75%0.515-16.12%0.0441✓1.4086k2022-08-30
KSMKusamaHydration63.864.3408+0.85%47.47-25.60%0.1117✗1.18303k2022-08-30
ORCAOrcaSolana0.92660.935454+0.96%0.9192-0.80%0.2487✓1.64202k2022-08-30
ZENHorizenBase18.9519.1336+0.97%15.8-16.62%0.0310✓1.37116k2022-08-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9812.001+1.01%1.43-27.81%0.1047✗1.42234k2022-08-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05870.059333+1.08%0.0484-17.55%0.0080✓1.30787k2022-08-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.7524.0141+1.11%19.38-18.40%0.0445✓1.5927.5M2022-08-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.312690.316178+1.12%0.34582+10.60%0.2794✓1.17398k2022-08-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.870701+1.13%0.669-22.30%0.0165✓1.725.2M2022-08-30
APEApeCoinEthereum6.7336.8096+1.14%4.809-28.58%0.0662✗1.7310.6M2022-08-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.010429+1.15%0.00864-16.20%0.0315✗0.964.7M2022-08-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.110964+1.24%0.0889-18.89%0.0110✓1.30472k2022-08-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6338.7452+1.30%7.008-18.82%0.0200✗1.249.4M2022-08-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,863.9011,016.58+1.41%8,874.58-18.31%0.0097✓1.394.1M2022-08-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.2270.230315+1.46%0.1487-34.49%0.2157✗1.371,6972022-08-30
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9861.0005+1.47%0.994+0.81%0.1071✓0.701.3M2022-08-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4640.470891+1.49%0.3341-28.00%0.1046✗1.47273k2022-08-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23390.237522+1.55%0.2211-5.47%0.1693✓1.4897k2022-08-30
MOVRMoonriverBase14.833515.0721+1.61%12.3167-16.97%0.0108✓1.1870k2022-08-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.54221.568+1.67%1.7301+12.18%0.3336✓1.45589k2022-08-30
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5972.642+1.73%1.89-27.22%0.0499✗1.7592k2022-08-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7620.775421+1.76%0.652-14.44%0.0134✓0.98360k2022-08-30
STXStacksnative0.43890.446709+1.78%0.3613-17.68%0.0102✓1.24643k2022-08-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.122971+1.88%0.1027-14.91%0.0075✓1.06352k2022-08-30
SUSHISushiEthereum1.441.4673+1.89%1.0506-27.04%0.1005✗1.441.1M2022-08-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14370.14651+1.96%0.1325-7.79%0.0597✓0.993.5M2022-08-30
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7730.788508+2.01%0.671-13.20%0.0388✓1.23212k2022-08-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35710.5721+2.08%11.928+15.17%0.3436✓1.3714.4M2022-08-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.99491.0157+2.09%1.1881+19.42%0.3463✓1.171.2M2022-08-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6793.7562+2.10%4.11+11.72%0.1866✓0.591.6M2022-08-30
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3081.3361+2.15%0.9513-27.27%0.1381✗1.241.2M2022-08-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31750.324624+2.24%0.2879-9.32%0.0725✓1.193.0M2022-08-30
DODODODOEthereum0.17320.17721+2.32%0.1276-26.33%0.1246✗1.263.4M2022-08-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.755.8848+2.34%5.19-9.74%0.0259✗0.611.1M2022-08-30
HIVEHivenative0.53010.542546+2.35%0.5489+3.55%0.1996✓1.161.4M2022-08-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62480.639484+2.35%0.5123-18.01%0.0343✗1.15624k2022-08-30
ADACardanoCardano0.51650.528676+2.36%0.453-12.29%0.0484✓1.2541.9M2022-08-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00960.009831+2.41%0.00806-16.04%0.0065✓1.26355k2022-08-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06690.068517+2.42%0.0579-13.45%0.0127✓0.96229k2022-08-30
XYMSymbolnative0.0570680.05845+2.42%0.042966-24.71%0.2104✗0.6022k2022-08-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159540.016341+2.43%0.013148-17.59%0.0737✗0.881.2M2022-08-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,400.0023,976.87+2.47%19,869.30-15.09%0.0285✗0.9814k2022-08-30
ETHEthereumEthereum1,679.311,721.05+2.49%1,524.81-9.20%0.0831✓1.26387.0M2022-08-30
QTUMQtumQtum4.06894.1744+2.59%3.1158-23.42%0.1148✗1.0934k2022-08-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24990.25638+2.59%0.2089-16.41%0.0054✓1.2399k2022-08-30
BORABORAKlay Token0.323170.331967+2.72%0.29332-9.24%0.0893✓1.3111k2022-08-30
COMPCompoundEthereum57.0458.6015+2.74%47-17.60%0.0053✓1.3932k2022-08-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.777.9835+2.75%7.98+2.70%0.2210✓1.36256k2022-08-30
XEMNEMnative0.0494080.050767+2.75%0.043415-12.13%0.0364✓1.1938k2022-08-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03860.039667+2.76%0.0353-8.55%0.0810✓1.2268k2022-08-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.7661.44+2.81%53.01-11.30%0.0400✓1.1613.5M2022-08-30
FORTFortaEthereum0.2940.302274+2.81%0.2461-16.29%0.0226✓1.13303k2022-08-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.92120.947529+2.86%0.9633+4.57%0.1617✓0.893.2M2022-08-30
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08221.1132+2.86%0.8324-23.08%0.0618✗1.411.4M2022-08-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.075.2196+2.95%6.03+18.93%0.2433✓0.61668k2022-08-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.667.888+2.98%6.558-14.39%0.0204✓1.2616.2M2022-08-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.17851.2143+3.03%1.0458-11.26%0.0231✓1.0643k2022-08-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.03973.1326+3.06%5.6189+84.85%0.7292✓0.891.2M2022-08-30
FTTFTXEthereum30.3931.3313+3.10%26.6-12.47%0.0089✓0.9510.2M2022-08-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.537.6322+3.10%32.31-11.48%0.0769✓1.415.4M2022-08-30
STEEMSteemnative0.25630.264354+3.14%0.226-11.82%0.0273✓1.13701k2022-08-30
AAVEAaveEthereum97.63100.6982+3.14%84.38-13.57%0.0931✓1.6610.2M2022-08-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011720.000012088+3.14%0.00001218+3.92%0.2076✓1.23951k2022-08-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.346972+3.23%0.2917-13.21%0.0098✓1.137.7M2022-08-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2140.220925+3.24%0.169-21.03%0.0223✓1.51803k2022-08-30
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5650.583325+3.24%0.3252-42.44%0.3564✗1.40234k2022-08-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006770.006991+3.26%0.006537-3.44%0.0205✓0.5439k2022-08-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.0618.6503+3.27%13.86-23.26%0.0777✗1.351.3M2022-08-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.80.826495+3.31%0.519-35.13%0.2231✗1.4980k2022-08-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018410.019023+3.33%0.01422-22.76%0.1673✗0.76248k2022-08-30
DASHDashDash51.1752.8782+3.34%45.51-11.06%0.0296✓1.11574k2022-08-30
SOLSolanaSolana42.3843.8021+3.36%31.48-25.72%0.1097✗1.3681.1M2022-08-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16740.173046+3.37%0.1389-17.03%0.0172✓1.25475k2022-08-30
GITCOINGITCOIN3.16883.2761+3.39%2.0768-34.46%0.2020✗1.5611k2022-08-30
BTTCBTTC9.80e-70.000001014+3.44%8.80e-7-10.20%0.0068✓0.836.1M2022-08-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.426660.44168+3.52%0.31982-25.04%0.0968✗1.39592k2022-08-30
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.084020.086995+3.54%0.06327-24.70%0.0749✗1.50768k2022-08-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.9603+3.56%4.47-6.68%0.0111✓0.711.1M2022-08-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1280.132581+3.58%0.103-19.53%0.0291✓1.382.6M2022-08-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044190.045784+3.61%0.03799-14.03%0.0306✓0.962,3002022-08-30
FLOWFlownative1.9241.9942+3.65%2.012+4.57%0.2154✓1.27415k2022-08-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.685.8881+3.66%6.14+8.10%0.1490✓0.66588k2022-08-30
BANDBandEthereum1.6811.7427+3.67%1.233-26.65%0.1107✗1.45327k2022-08-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8113.9517+3.69%3.133-17.79%0.0878✗0.89754k2022-08-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0480.049777+3.70%0.036-25.00%0.1074✗1.337,5232022-08-30
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.270873+3.70%0.2608-0.15%0.0360✓0.0128k2022-08-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13560.140634+3.71%0.1227-9.51%0.0718✓1.2855k2022-08-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.41e-73.54e-7+3.72%0.000001089+218.95%1.2782✓0.95178k2022-08-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.77522.8785+3.72%6.0023+116.28%0.8607✓0.77978k2022-08-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.19.4436+3.78%8.31-8.68%0.0426✗0.531.4M2022-08-30
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.194230.201614+3.80%0.15379-20.82%0.1052✓2.311,2222022-08-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3884020.403279+3.83%0.298969-23.03%0.0880✗1.301.0M2022-08-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.724.9026+3.87%5.751+21.84%0.2492✓0.552.0M2022-08-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030290.031504+4.01%0.03529+16.51%0.3146✓1.2414k2022-08-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41870.43562+4.04%0.3561-14.95%0.0142✓1.33112k2022-08-30
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004746+4.08%0.00402-11.84%0.0473✓1.31112k2022-08-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,307.4424,260.11+4.09%19,813.17-14.99%0.0401✗1.00414.2M2022-08-30
XLMStellarStellar0.1176240.122433+4.09%0.102411-12.93%0.0172✓0.996.8M2022-08-30
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.080910.084276+4.16%0.06652-17.79%0.1177✗0.731,0512022-08-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.12190.126988+4.17%0.1967+61.36%0.6162✓1.10685k2022-08-30
XMRMoneroMonero155.01161.4993+4.19%148.87-3.96%0.0980✓1.101.3M2022-08-30
XECeCashnative0.000043840.000045683+4.20%0.00004589+4.68%0.1925✓1.161.9M2022-08-30
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024970.002603+4.25%0.001548-38.01%0.3573✗1.001.9M2022-08-30
FISStafiEthereum0.38580.402223+4.26%–pending––0.941922022-08-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08840.092239+4.34%0.0625-29.30%0.1982✗1.18146k2022-08-30
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.096250.100443+4.36%0.08237-14.42%0.1599✗0.241.1M2022-08-30
TRXTRONTron0.0689340.072054+4.53%0.064705-6.13%0.0176✓0.77373k2022-08-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.06290.065782+4.58%0.0576-8.43%0.0943✓1.40339k2022-08-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash139.37145.7779+4.60%114.69-17.71%0.0464✗1.194.2M2022-08-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.72362.849+4.60%3.8429+41.10%0.4579✓0.981.0M2022-08-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031290.00328+4.82%0.002993-4.35%0.0727✓1.01999k2022-08-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05420.056816+4.83%0.0429-20.85%0.0771✗1.25269k2022-08-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.00910.009549+4.93%0.0062-31.87%0.2830✗0.921.6M2022-08-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.1984.4064+4.96%12.481+197.31%1.1361✓0.581.2M2022-08-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30590.321173+4.99%0.3098+1.27%0.1481✓1.1375k2022-08-30
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.217342+5.00%0.1811-12.51%0.0444✓1.401,1792022-08-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021210.02227+5.00%0.02405+13.39%0.2449✓1.03159k2022-08-30
XVSVenusEthereum6.386.7016+5.04%4.86-23.82%0.0942✗1.401.0M2022-08-30
NANOnanopayBase1.01361.0648+5.05%0.900508-11.16%0.0117✓0.9658k2022-08-30
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-70.000001019+5.08%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0155✓1.0024k2022-08-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.713.8995+5.11%4.099+10.49%0.1671✓0.721.3M2022-08-30
DIADIAEthereum0.4620.485912+5.18%0.37644-18.52%0.1281✗0.7863k2022-08-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049060.051627+5.23%0.04661-4.99%0.0437✓0.9015k2022-08-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.0570.060044+5.34%0.0507-11.05%0.0634✓1.43152k2022-08-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3420.360282+5.35%0.284-16.96%0.0702✗1.03794k2022-08-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.068140.071795+5.36%0.06142-9.86%0.0302✓1.151.7M2022-08-30
XTZTezosTezos1.74081.8368+5.51%1.4973-13.99%0.0002✓1.26492k2022-08-30
GTGateEthereum4.45154.6975+5.53%4.2549-4.42%0.0191✓0.73920k2022-08-30
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50440.532465+5.56%0.4301-14.73%0.0315✓1.1245k2022-08-30
METISMetisEthereum34.6136.553+5.61%31.05-10.29%0.1517✓1.94229k2022-08-30
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030560.03228+5.63%0.02474-19.04%0.0538✓1.311,3342022-08-30
CBKCobakEthereum1.12031.1844+5.72%0.88331-21.16%0.1153✗1.1010k2022-08-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.691.7873+5.76%1.32-21.89%0.0805✗1.37114k2022-08-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01035.3053+5.89%5.3918+7.61%0.0503✓0.21210k2022-08-30
ELAElastosEthereum1.7931.8993+5.93%1.823+1.67%0.0629✓0.64206k2022-08-30
XVGVergenative0.003710.003937+6.11%0.00292-21.29%0.0867✗1.31570k2022-08-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06780.071953+6.13%0.0617-9.00%0.0207✓1.07432k2022-08-30
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09670.102742+6.25%0.0815-15.72%0.0358✓1.216,7862022-08-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0226140.024039+6.30%0.021461-5.10%0.0451✓0.989,2332022-08-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.26330.280463+6.52%0.2442-7.25%0.0363✓1.0865k2022-08-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.5212.2835+6.63%10.09-12.41%0.0004✓1.21241k2022-08-30
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.393.615+6.64%2.07-38.94%0.4778✗0.4981k2022-08-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.381.4725+6.70%1.188-13.91%0.0075✓1.282.4M2022-08-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062840.006726+7.04%0.005787-7.90%0.0046✓0.909,1592022-08-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.166050.178139+7.28%0.1352-18.58%0.0250✓1.54207k2022-08-30
PROPropyEthereum0.760.816774+7.47%0.74-2.63%0.0006✓0.6079k2022-08-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.15080.162887+8.01%0.1464-2.92%0.0947✓1.2490k2022-08-30
NEXONEXOEthereum0.710.767544+8.10%1.019+43.52%0.4813✓1.22776k2022-08-30
KCSKuCoinnative10.0510.9586+9.04%8.973-10.72%0.0240✓1.082.4M2022-08-30
ZECZcashZcash64.3970.3284+9.22%59.87-7.02%0.0426✓1.251.5M2022-08-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07921.1803+9.37%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56270.618212+9.87%0.4471-20.54%0.1392✗1.14350k2022-08-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017510.001925+9.96%0.001486-15.13%0.0933✓1.0216k2022-08-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07160.079348+10.82%0.1115+55.73%0.4738✓0.82148k2022-08-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.