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2022-07-28 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1722
184 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.13%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.9%
in alpha space · 47.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-15.99%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.4481.2968-10.44%1.025-29.21%0.1081✓1.971.1M2022-08-27
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97640.907767-7.03%0.79-19.09%0.1463✗1.64209k2022-08-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8460.799987-5.44%0.509-39.83%0.1907✓1.503,1392022-08-27
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100260.000095311-4.94%0.0001339+33.55%0.6798✗1.95662k2022-08-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.8339.3188-3.70%33-19.18%0.0729✗1.421.3M2022-08-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011460.011054-3.54%0.00757-33.94%0.1574✓1.27352k2022-08-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1353.9903-3.50%2.891-30.08%0.0177✓1.753.8M2022-08-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.671380.648603-3.39%0.54155-19.34%0.0856✗1.5379k2022-08-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.54481.4935-3.32%1.0479-32.17%0.0911✓1.515.6M2022-08-27
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5296-3.19%1.41-10.76%0.0358✓0.26283k2022-08-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4072.3318-3.13%1.63-32.28%0.1085✓1.43160k2022-08-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4316.8974-3.06%17.54+0.63%0.1898✗0.882.4M2022-08-27
GMTGMTEthereum1.0120.982957-2.87%0.6853-32.28%0.0522✓1.77551k2022-08-27
FIDABonfidaSolana0.50.485745-2.85%0.412-17.60%0.0349✗1.1413k2022-08-27
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3571.3208-2.67%0.9661-28.81%0.0965✓1.241.2M2022-08-27
QNTQuantEthereum103.78101.1643-2.52%94.38-9.06%0.1075✗1.014.1M2022-08-27
UNIUniswapEthereum9.2759.0678-2.23%6.056-34.71%0.1578✓1.416.7M2022-08-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2323.708-2.15%20.04-17.29%0.1112✗1.6027.5M2022-08-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408860.400421-2.06%0.33622-17.77%0.0383✗1.22118k2022-08-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0111.7653-2.04%10-16.74%0.0499✗1.22241k2022-08-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8450.827835-2.03%0.659-22.01%0.0746✗1.745.2M2022-08-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1164.0337-2.00%5.784+40.52%0.4565✗0.552.0M2022-08-27
RADRadworksEthereum2.792.7388-1.84%2.14-23.30%0.0585✓1.08175k2022-08-27
ZENHorizenBase18.4618.1265-1.81%15.2-17.66%0.0647✗1.38100k2022-08-27
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.183560.180322-1.76%0.15762-14.13%0.2698✗2.321,1272022-08-27
API3Api3Ethereum1.8281.7959-1.75%1.69-7.55%0.1635✗1.29626k2022-08-27
FORTFortaEthereum0.29510.290021-1.72%0.268-9.18%0.1188✗1.13323k2022-08-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05240.0515-1.72%0.0436-16.79%0.0429✗1.20263k2022-08-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8531.822-1.67%1.404-24.23%0.0098✓1.44217k2022-08-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94160.925992-1.66%1.3728+45.79%0.5996✗1.181.2M2022-08-27
GITCOINGITCOIN2.84362.7977-1.62%2.0859-26.65%0.0173✓1.5810k2022-08-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,140.608,992.95-1.62%8,782.65-3.92%0.2170✗1.384.0M2022-08-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.5618.2691-1.57%38.17+105.66%0.9794✗1.39534k2022-08-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.32022.287-1.43%5.259+126.66%0.9898✗0.90979k2022-08-27
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.075340.074271-1.42%0.06819-9.49%0.0428✗0.741,3772022-08-27
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.429194-1.38%–pending––0.912142022-08-27
APEApeCoinEthereum6.9246.8291-1.37%4.757-31.30%0.0692✓1.6811.5M2022-08-27
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8582.8206-1.31%1.96-31.42%0.0579✓1.7692k2022-08-27
METISMetisEthereum36.335.8349-1.28%30.05-17.22%0.1614✗1.94181k2022-08-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084060.083031-1.22%0.0675-19.70%0.0259✗1.3428k2022-08-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9780.966114-1.22%0.963-1.53%0.1559✗0.913.9M2022-08-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0209380.020687-1.20%0.023238+10.98%0.2047✗0.51165k2022-08-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6120.604713-1.19%0.51-16.67%0.0757✗1.4184k2022-08-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16450.162553-1.18%0.1404-14.65%0.0732✗1.26411k2022-08-27
CBKCobakEthereum1.0441.0319-1.16%0.86406-17.24%0.0157✗1.119,1202022-08-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03870.038258-1.14%0.0348-10.08%0.1197✗1.2368k2022-08-27
DIADIAEthereum0.446410.441469-1.11%0.36774-17.62%0.0475✓0.7853k2022-08-27
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.094340.093354-1.05%0.08547-9.40%0.0425✓0.26859k2022-08-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029930.029623-1.02%0.03599+20.25%0.4131✗1.2514k2022-08-27
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.50e-7-1.00%8.80e-7-8.33%0.0973✗1.0024k2022-08-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010980.001087-0.95%0.00137+24.77%0.4570✗1.301.6M2022-08-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.30992.2887-0.92%1.7879-22.60%0.0298✓1.2524k2022-08-27
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2620.259611-0.91%0.2612-0.31%0.0080✓0.0131k2022-08-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7243.6916-0.87%2.682-27.98%0.1663✓0.88754k2022-08-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57640.571472-0.85%0.5753-0.19%0.2105✗1.17624k2022-08-27
HIVEHivenative0.55270.548088-0.83%0.5335-3.47%0.1760✗1.161.5M2022-08-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02730.027073-0.83%0.02303-15.64%0.1075✗1.5411.5M2022-08-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018830.018681-0.79%0.01518-19.38%0.0750✓0.76263k2022-08-27
FLOWFlownative1.8761.8617-0.76%1.823-2.83%0.2010✗1.27413k2022-08-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.114.9876-0.74%11.9-21.19%0.0162✗1.421.5M2022-08-27
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.48290.479323-0.74%0.3532-26.86%0.1311✓1.00224k2022-08-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11731.1098-0.67%–pending––1.0312k2022-08-27
COMPCompoundEthereum57.9757.5816-0.67%46.09-20.49%0.0199✗1.3932k2022-08-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.2657.2173-0.66%6.303-13.24%0.0850✗1.265.5M2022-08-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.275.2384-0.60%5.29+0.38%0.1184✗0.62786k2022-08-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.85810.7945-0.59%11.173+2.90%0.2738✗1.3714.4M2022-08-27
STEEMSteemnative0.25050.249154-0.54%0.2211-11.74%0.0827✗1.16643k2022-08-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.19860.197535-0.54%0.1524-23.26%0.0203✓1.371,5612022-08-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011787-0.53%0.00001216+2.62%0.2482✗1.25986k2022-08-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3573.3414-0.46%4.23+26.01%0.3407✗0.601.5M2022-08-27
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49940.497126-0.46%0.376-24.71%0.0838✓1.1242k2022-08-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12160.121056-0.45%0.1035-14.88%0.0170✗1.005,8712022-08-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08460.084309-0.34%0.0639-24.47%0.0684✓1.20155k2022-08-27
XVSVenusEthereum5.65.5847-0.27%4.87-13.04%0.1090✗1.41959k2022-08-27
MANADecentralandEthereum0.980390.977753-0.27%0.77842-20.60%0.0058✗1.34399k2022-08-27
KSMKusamaHydration65.4465.2685-0.26%45.84-29.95%0.1456✓1.19244k2022-08-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.317510.316755-0.24%0.28228-11.10%0.1138✗1.3111k2022-08-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.34.2898-0.24%4.59+6.74%0.1930✗0.72685k2022-08-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4983.4901-0.23%4.212+20.41%0.3109✗0.71497k2022-08-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30140.300745-0.22%0.3144+4.31%0.2440✗1.1575k2022-08-27
STXStacksnative0.43440.43348-0.21%0.3638-16.25%0.0440✗1.26606k2022-08-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7832.7774-0.20%2.028-27.13%0.0633✓1.4443k2022-08-27
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.273.2637-0.19%2.47-24.46%0.1915✓0.5082k2022-08-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.46540.464781-0.13%0.3492-24.97%0.0285✓1.48220k2022-08-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06550.065422-0.12%0.0569-13.13%0.0275✗0.96183k2022-08-27
XEMNEMnative0.0492890.049236-0.11%0.044708-9.29%0.1099✗1.1832k2022-08-27
QTUMQtumQtum4.48454.4839-0.01%3.1269-30.27%0.1685✓1.1028k2022-08-27
SCSiacoinnative0.004420.004419-0.01%0.00389-11.99%0.1031✗1.32106k2022-08-27
DODODODOEthereum0.16380.163781-0.01%0.1246-23.93%0.0501✓1.282.8M2022-08-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.228.2194-0.01%7.33-10.83%0.1230✗1.36256k2022-08-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.32295.3238+0.02%5.1648-2.97%0.0058✓0.21214k2022-08-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020990.021015+0.12%0.02261+7.72%0.2528✓1.03136k2022-08-27
UMAUMAEthereum2.8642.8675+0.12%2.671-6.74%0.1214✓1.10597k2022-08-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.1363.2214+0.14%52.374-17.04%0.0398✗0.85386k2022-08-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.12070.120913+0.18%0.22+82.27%0.7923✓1.11617k2022-08-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047440.04753+0.19%0.04518-4.76%0.1074✓0.9115k2022-08-27
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.52e-7+0.21%8.70e-7-8.42%0.0558✓0.845.9M2022-08-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.51.5031+0.21%1.7824+18.83%0.4199✓1.43561k2022-08-27
SOLSolanaSolana42.9343.028+0.23%31.54-26.53%0.0717✗1.3781.8M2022-08-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.42952.4351+0.23%5.0801+109.10%0.8716✓0.78884k2022-08-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3741.3776+0.26%1.146-16.59%0.0403✓1.292.4M2022-08-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.775104+0.27%0.652-15.65%0.0011✓1.00360k2022-08-27
MOVRMoonriverBase14.286314.3271+0.29%12.5391-12.23%0.0746✓1.1970k2022-08-27
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.886529+0.29%0.84-4.98%0.0704✓0.711.2M2022-08-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1170.117365+0.31%0.1015-13.25%0.0417✓1.07357k2022-08-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31360.314597+0.32%0.2796-10.84%0.0900✓1.192.7M2022-08-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.365.3789+0.35%6.18+15.30%0.2552✓0.67514k2022-08-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.029.0553+0.39%8.4-6.87%0.0180✓0.53918k2022-08-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13590.136433+0.39%0.1236-9.05%0.0770✓1.013.2M2022-08-27
FTTFTXEthereum30.2430.3611+0.40%25.8-14.68%0.0034✓0.9510.8M2022-08-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6342.6463+0.47%4.134+56.95%0.6073✓0.93105k2022-08-27
XTZTezosTezos1.71661.7247+0.47%1.4676-14.51%0.0579✓1.26492k2022-08-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50212.514+0.48%3.7353+49.29%0.5675✓0.98863k2022-08-27
ELAElastosEthereum1.7091.7173+0.49%1.758+2.87%0.1363✓0.65223k2022-08-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043190.043404+0.49%0.03828-11.37%0.0432✓0.971,9372022-08-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0154290.015506+0.50%0.013178-14.59%0.0069✗0.891.2M2022-08-27
SUSHISushiEthereum1.571.5791+0.58%1.0612-32.41%0.1441✗1.451.0M2022-08-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.425470.427942+0.58%0.32976-22.50%0.0145✗1.41592k2022-08-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13060.131389+0.60%0.1186-9.19%0.1234✓1.3049k2022-08-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.06290.063309+0.65%0.0604-3.97%0.1979✓1.41337k2022-08-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.325690.32783+0.66%0.34004+4.41%0.2414✓1.18407k2022-08-27
XECeCashnative0.000044280.00004458+0.68%0.00003688-16.71%0.0152✓1.181.7M2022-08-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.935.972+0.71%5.829-1.70%0.1680✓1.102.0M2022-08-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.591.6016+0.73%1.29-18.87%0.0249✓1.38114k2022-08-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9914.0203+0.73%13.227+231.42%1.2950✓0.601.1M2022-08-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.217719+0.80%0.171-20.83%0.0216✓1.51786k2022-08-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1817.3237+0.84%13.8-19.67%0.0114✓1.371.3M2022-08-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.4363.9858+0.88%53.03-16.40%0.0144✓1.1613.5M2022-08-27
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.072110.072742+0.88%0.06428-10.86%0.1409✓1.52768k2022-08-27
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21920.22117+0.90%0.1693-22.76%0.0247✗1.391,1792022-08-27
XVGVergenative0.003690.003723+0.90%0.00292-20.87%0.0144✗1.31505k2022-08-27
BANDBandEthereum1.7561.7718+0.90%1.221-30.47%0.1186✗1.46316k2022-08-27
XMRMoneroMonero162.51163.9848+0.91%145.16-10.68%0.0693✓1.101.3M2022-08-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218760.022075+0.91%0.020673-5.50%0.1059✓0.988,3682022-08-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.227.2983+1.08%6.531-9.54%0.1098✓1.2716.2M2022-08-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160010.161788+1.11%0.1322-17.38%0.0675✓1.55205k2022-08-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.13561.1487+1.16%1.0488-7.64%0.0962✓1.0743k2022-08-27
IMXImmutableEthereum0.95280.963938+1.17%0.7896-17.13%0.0495✓1.431.4M2022-08-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,875.3024,175.87+1.26%19,933.00-16.51%0.0224✗0.9819k2022-08-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3040.30783+1.26%0.28-7.89%0.0867✓1.04681k2022-08-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4310.436474+1.27%0.3569-17.19%0.0344✓1.35104k2022-08-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.008950.009066+1.30%0.0066-26.26%0.1576✗0.921.6M2022-08-27
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030570.030972+1.31%0.02469-19.23%0.0012✓1.311,3002022-08-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11480.116309+1.31%0.1033-10.02%0.1226✓1.382.5M2022-08-27
TRXTRONTron0.0697620.070727+1.38%0.062935-9.79%0.0205✓0.79376k2022-08-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069010.007001+1.45%0.00674-2.33%0.0556✓0.5440k2022-08-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash155.69157.9999+1.48%115.26-25.97%0.1074✗1.193.9M2022-08-27
ETHEthereumEthereum1,725.191,750.82+1.49%1,491.22-13.56%0.0589✓1.26383.0M2022-08-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33630.341297+1.49%0.2889-14.09%0.0332✓1.157.7M2022-08-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1166880.118459+1.52%0.105594-9.51%0.0591✓1.006.8M2022-08-27
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7530.764472+1.52%0.663-11.95%0.0747✓1.25178k2022-08-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031070.003155+1.54%0.003041-2.12%0.1374✓1.001.0M2022-08-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,851.7024,221.08+1.55%20,036.69-15.99%0.0154✗1.00429.5M2022-08-27
DASHDashDash52.4853.3117+1.58%45.13-14.01%0.0288✓1.12594k2022-08-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.25470.258788+1.61%0.2424-4.83%0.1238✓1.0963k2022-08-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.1060.10772+1.62%0.0908-14.34%0.0583✓1.32491k2022-08-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3309680.336546+1.69%0.296889-10.30%0.0992✓1.291.0M2022-08-27
ADACardanoCardano0.51290.521617+1.70%0.45-12.26%0.0710✓1.2543.2M2022-08-27
AAVEAaveEthereum100.41102.1165+1.70%82.11-18.23%0.0729✓1.679.0M2022-08-27
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08490.086365+1.73%0.0845-0.47%0.1896✓1.216,3652022-08-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.872.9216+1.80%2.11-26.48%0.0575✗1.54192k2022-08-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.64e-73.70e-7+1.83%7.59e-7+108.75%0.8845✓0.96195k2022-08-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.8568.0001+1.83%7.044-10.34%0.0919✓1.269.4M2022-08-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.14980.152663+1.91%0.1419-5.27%0.1443✓1.2587k2022-08-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.774.8648+1.99%6.22+30.40%0.3538✓0.62587k2022-08-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.24060.245496+2.03%0.2201-8.52%0.1505✓1.4999k2022-08-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07010.071534+2.05%0.0608-13.27%0.0232✓1.07299k2022-08-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691040.070543+2.08%0.063422-8.22%0.0944✓1.151.7M2022-08-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009230.009429+2.16%0.0087-5.74%0.0883✓0.974.7M2022-08-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08360.085409+2.16%0.1016+21.53%0.3174✓0.83155k2022-08-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.05320.054391+2.24%0.0509-4.32%0.1876✓1.46109k2022-08-27
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7230.739696+2.31%0.936+29.46%0.4455✓1.21806k2022-08-27
PROPropyEthereum0.80.818965+2.37%0.75-6.25%0.0190✓0.6179k2022-08-27
NANOnanopayBase0.9965431.0203+2.38%0.882839-11.41%0.0257✓0.9857k2022-08-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05470.056016+2.41%0.0474-13.35%0.0614✓1.31765k2022-08-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04430.045399+2.48%0.0366-17.38%0.0182✓1.347,1312022-08-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24420.250499+2.58%0.2067-15.36%0.0234✓1.24110k2022-08-27
KCSKuCoinnative10.34310.6277+2.75%9.134-11.69%0.0390✓1.092.4M2022-08-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7490.770346+2.85%0.55-26.57%0.0745✗1.5180k2022-08-27
XYMSymbolnative0.0550410.056653+2.93%0.0454-17.52%0.1146✗0.6120k2022-08-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54660.564812+3.33%0.4567-16.45%0.0142✓1.14350k2022-08-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015240.001577+3.49%0.001454-4.59%0.0955✓1.0120k2022-08-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061790.006401+3.60%0.005618-9.08%0.0240✓0.894,8812022-08-27
ZECZcashZcash63.6465.9366+3.61%61.36-3.58%0.1502✓1.271.5M2022-08-27
SGBSongbirdnative0.02520.02614+3.73%0.0242-3.97%0.0115✓0.5145k2022-08-27
GTGateEthereum4.29644.4738+4.13%4.376+1.85%0.1039✓0.72968k2022-08-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.