8=======>

2022-07-27 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1966
183 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.94%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
73.8%
in alpha space · 30.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.85%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8150.785291-3.65%0.517-36.56%0.2271✓1.513,1392022-08-26
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098920.000096565-2.38%0.00012306+24.40%0.4827✗1.90692k2022-08-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2862.237-2.14%1.632-28.61%0.1336✓1.44144k2022-08-26
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.3939-1.84%1.36-4.23%0.0062✓0.24283k2022-08-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32511.31-1.14%1.0529-20.54%0.0306✓1.495.2M2022-08-26
UNIUniswapEthereum8.0357.9497-1.06%6.154-23.41%0.0802✓1.396.2M2022-08-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.8516.6784-1.02%17.22+2.20%0.1430✗0.882.4M2022-08-26
RADRadworksEthereum3.043.0115-0.94%2.25-25.99%0.1501✓1.12175k2022-08-26
MANADecentralandEthereum0.9560.947244-0.92%0.77813-18.61%0.0258✓1.35392k2022-08-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02690.026672-0.85%0.02186-18.74%0.0016✓1.5611.5M2022-08-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199960.019836-0.80%0.023198+16.01%0.2204✗0.51163k2022-08-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4412.4228-0.75%4.225+73.08%0.6727✗0.9293k2022-08-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010660.001059-0.65%0.001375+28.91%0.4253✗1.311.6M2022-08-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011090.011028-0.56%0.00765-31.02%0.2051✓1.27352k2022-08-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5950.591871-0.53%0.509-14.45%0.0287✗1.4283k2022-08-26
UMAUMAEthereum2.7412.7281-0.47%2.7-1.50%0.1295✗1.11597k2022-08-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.753.7324-0.47%2.723-27.39%0.0945✓1.753.8M2022-08-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.650330.647695-0.41%0.55641-14.44%0.0423✗1.5479k2022-08-26
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.963924-0.32%0.7053-27.06%0.0911✓1.75551k2022-08-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.97357.7898-0.32%52.147-10.05%0.0031✓0.84369k2022-08-26
API3Api3Ethereum1.7531.753-0.00%1.683-3.99%0.1223✗1.29626k2022-08-26
KSMKusamaHydration62.362.3004+0.00%44.52-28.54%0.1850✗1.20244k2022-08-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6950.695005+0.00%0.662-4.75%0.0750✓0.98360k2022-08-26
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8350.836307+0.16%0.928+11.14%0.1937✓0.711.2M2022-08-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.393570.394193+0.16%0.33605-14.61%0.0048✗1.23118k2022-08-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1517.1624+0.16%5.748-19.62%0.0587✗1.285.5M2022-08-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11970.120003+0.25%0.1012-15.46%0.0436✗1.015,4502022-08-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.4815.5615+0.53%12.27-20.74%0.0539✗1.461.4M2022-08-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.423.55+0.64%20.68-11.62%0.0733✓1.6127.5M2022-08-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7280.732917+0.68%0.67-7.97%0.1280✓1.735.2M2022-08-26
QNTQuantEthereum97.197.7635+0.68%98.23+1.16%0.1327✓1.014.0M2022-08-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6877.7395+0.68%6.922-9.95%0.0480✓1.279.0M2022-08-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.552.5681+0.71%2.16-15.29%0.0190✓1.52192k2022-08-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.10290.103927+1.00%0.0887-13.80%0.0091✓1.33491k2022-08-26
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97490.984882+1.02%0.8001-17.93%0.0001✓1.65209k2022-08-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.2621.4796+1.03%37.39+75.87%0.7380✓1.46482k2022-08-26
UOSUltraEthereum0.337650.341296+1.08%0.34+0.70%0.1478✓1.20407k2022-08-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.076490.077407+1.20%0.07015-8.29%0.0682✓1.3227k2022-08-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.31610.455+1.35%11.554+12.00%0.2737✓1.3813.7M2022-08-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5492.5847+1.40%2.035-20.16%0.0581✗1.4343k2022-08-26
XYMSymbolnative0.0541580.054917+1.40%0.045497-15.99%0.1104✗0.6220k2022-08-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12930.131195+1.47%0.1246-3.63%0.0760✓1.013.1M2022-08-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00910.009246+1.61%0.00848-6.81%0.0375✓0.984.4M2022-08-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.313.365+1.66%4.149+25.35%0.2863✓0.611.5M2022-08-26
APEApeCoinEthereum6.8266.9413+1.69%4.774-30.06%0.1579✗1.7111.5M2022-08-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.18470.187851+1.71%0.1562-15.43%0.0107✓1.381,5612022-08-26
ADACardanoCardano0.51130.520237+1.75%0.4317-15.57%0.0264✗1.2743.2M2022-08-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23750.241708+1.77%0.2082-12.34%0.0078✓1.24117k2022-08-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05210.053055+1.83%0.0472-9.40%0.0503✓1.33765k2022-08-26
FORTFortaEthereum0.29940.304985+1.87%0.2645-11.66%0.0036✓1.16331k2022-08-26
SUSHISushiEthereum1.381.4067+1.94%1.0685-22.57%0.0930✗1.44966k2022-08-26
IMXImmutableEthereum0.88990.907517+1.98%0.7751-12.90%0.0229✓1.431.4M2022-08-26
ETHEthereumEthereum1,636.401,669.11+2.00%1,508.02-7.85%0.0573✓1.26371.8M2022-08-26
STXStacksnative0.41350.421938+2.04%0.3612-12.65%0.0031✓1.26606k2022-08-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0145970.014902+2.09%0.01333-8.68%0.0006✓0.891.2M2022-08-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6391.6733+2.09%1.386-15.44%0.0087✓1.42212k2022-08-26
OPTIMOptimism1.0511.0732+2.12%1.019-3.04%0.1837✓1.871.1M2022-08-26
FTTFTXEthereum29.4330.085+2.23%25.97-11.76%0.0264✗0.9610.5M2022-08-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32870.336035+2.23%0.2831-13.87%0.0249✗1.167.7M2022-08-26
HIVEHivenative0.53420.546175+2.24%0.5343+0.02%0.1262✓1.171.5M2022-08-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57560.589193+2.36%0.4773-17.08%0.0608✗1.19624k2022-08-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.88880.909795+2.36%1.2489+40.52%0.4663✓1.191.2M2022-08-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.00572.054+2.41%1.7741-11.55%0.0076✓1.2222k2022-08-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.24532.301+2.48%5.0866+126.54%0.9056✓0.89971k2022-08-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.276.4259+2.49%7.32+16.75%0.2943✓1.30248k2022-08-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.0460.5168+2.50%52.71-10.72%0.0073✓1.1513.5M2022-08-26
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3161.3496+2.55%0.9578-27.22%0.1854✗1.251.2M2022-08-26
XEMNEMnative0.0481960.049435+2.57%0.043805-9.11%0.0298✓1.1926k2022-08-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2070.212322+2.57%0.17-17.87%0.0302✗1.52803k2022-08-26
DASHDashDash48.0649.3037+2.59%44.3-7.82%0.0331✓1.11570k2022-08-26
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4880.500677+2.60%0.431-11.68%0.0041✓1.1612k2022-08-26
SOLSolanaSolana40.2441.286+2.60%31.74-21.12%0.0905✗1.3781.8M2022-08-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.11420.117171+2.60%0.2077+81.87%0.7129✓1.11617k2022-08-26
ZENHorizenBase16.0816.5017+2.62%15.52-3.48%0.1108✓1.3697k2022-08-26
COMPCompoundEthereum54.9256.3718+2.64%45.92-16.39%0.0284✗1.4032k2022-08-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011540.000011846+2.65%0.00001243+7.71%0.2059✓1.25986k2022-08-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.10751.1372+2.68%1.0508-5.12%0.0574✓1.0843k2022-08-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.135.269+2.71%5.23+1.95%0.0717✓0.63713k2022-08-26
TRXTRONTron0.0687480.070636+2.75%0.061552-10.47%0.0379✗0.79376k2022-08-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29810.306305+2.75%0.2792-6.34%0.0583✓1.202.7M2022-08-26
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7272.8024+2.76%1.942-28.79%0.1444✗1.7692k2022-08-26
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.4560.468861+2.82%0.3983-12.65%0.0369✗1.00222k2022-08-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.44261.4833+2.82%1.7235+19.47%0.3307✓1.43561k2022-08-26
DODODODOEthereum0.15260.156954+2.85%0.1273-16.58%0.0481✗1.282.8M2022-08-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8647.0618+2.88%6.504-5.24%0.0779✓1.2716.2M2022-08-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97511.0034+2.90%0.9592-1.63%0.0717✓0.923.6M2022-08-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.34412.4124+2.91%4.7881+104.26%0.7841✓0.78884k2022-08-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.7917.285+2.95%13.3-20.79%0.0870✗1.391.3M2022-08-26
MOVRMoonriverBase13.215613.6104+2.99%12.1201-8.29%0.0342✓1.1970k2022-08-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6555.824+2.99%5.671+0.28%0.1122✓1.101.9M2022-08-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.64.7379+3.00%5.97+29.78%0.3090✓0.62579k2022-08-26
QTUMQtumQtum4.12694.251+3.01%3.1205-24.39%0.1713✗1.0926k2022-08-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,962.5923,671.17+3.09%20,240.72-11.85%0.0304✓1.00414.2M2022-08-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,170.147,394.22+3.13%8,981.54+25.26%0.3623✓1.334.0M2022-08-26
FISStafiEthereum0.39580.408275+3.15%–pending––0.863902022-08-26
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7190.741668+3.15%0.647-10.01%0.0211✓1.25149k2022-08-26
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.2699+3.17%0.2611-0.19%0.0319✗0.0131k2022-08-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06540.067555+3.29%0.0574-12.23%0.0391✗0.98183k2022-08-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1126680.116428+3.34%0.103859-7.82%0.0122✓1.006.8M2022-08-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44910.464122+3.34%0.3397-24.36%0.1249✗1.48220k2022-08-26
AAVEAaveEthereum94.797.9625+3.45%82.72-12.65%0.0420✓1.678.3M2022-08-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11380.11775+3.47%0.1029-9.58%0.0013✓1.08362k2022-08-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.184.3256+3.48%4.47+6.94%0.1239✓0.72612k2022-08-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067640.007001+3.50%0.006665-1.46%0.0186✓0.5442k2022-08-26
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.095510.098876+3.52%0.08526-10.73%0.0220✓1.00785k2022-08-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11120.115126+3.53%0.1024-7.91%0.0576✓1.392.5M2022-08-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028670.029684+3.54%0.03689+28.67%0.3760✓1.2614k2022-08-26
GITCOINGITCOIN2.54152.6323+3.57%2.1662-14.77%0.0034✓1.579,9702022-08-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.403090.417564+3.59%0.33161-17.73%0.0510✗1.42592k2022-08-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15770.163434+3.64%0.1396-11.48%0.0021✓1.27395k2022-08-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.30820.319554+3.68%0.28099-8.83%0.0385✓1.3210k2022-08-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.008540.008858+3.72%0.00657-23.07%0.1840✗0.911.6M2022-08-26
BANDBandEthereum1.5231.5801+3.75%1.223-19.70%0.0749✗1.44316k2022-08-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,891.5023,762.81+3.81%20,587.80-10.06%0.0201✓0.9819k2022-08-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018050.018746+3.86%0.01586-12.13%0.0718✗0.76284k2022-08-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1260.130907+3.89%0.1207-4.21%0.0834✓1.3054k2022-08-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.055.2473+3.91%6.04+19.60%0.2225✓0.65514k2022-08-26
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.57e-7+3.97%8.70e-7-5.43%0.0109✓0.845.9M2022-08-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03570.037132+4.01%0.0358+0.28%0.1182✓1.2368k2022-08-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.06330.065933+4.16%0.0599-5.37%0.0838✓1.43337k2022-08-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08230.085768+4.21%0.0634-22.96%0.1489✗1.22157k2022-08-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39580.412595+4.24%0.3556-10.16%0.0213✓1.3586k2022-08-26
XMRMoneroMonero161.72168.5894+4.25%142.81-11.69%0.0261✓1.111.3M2022-08-26
SCSiacoinnative0.004260.004442+4.27%0.00391-8.22%0.0404✓1.33106k2022-08-26
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.20e-79.59e-7+4.28%8.60e-7-6.52%0.0168✓1.0025k2022-08-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3078530.32109+4.30%0.289082-6.10%0.0577✓1.291.0M2022-08-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9134.0863+4.43%5.692+45.46%0.4004✓0.552.0M2022-08-26
XVSVenusEthereum5.315.5459+4.44%5.13-3.39%0.1002✓1.41939k2022-08-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9094.0834+4.46%11.744+200.43%1.1328✓0.611.1M2022-08-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22570.235839+4.49%0.2245-0.53%0.1383✓1.4999k2022-08-26
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.17550.183443+4.53%0.15418-12.15%0.1218✓2.341,1272022-08-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.733.8996+4.55%2.681-28.12%0.2626✗0.89711k2022-08-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.998.3582+4.61%8.31+4.01%0.0588✓0.51808k2022-08-26
XECeCashnative0.00004190.000043837+4.62%0.00003668-12.46%0.0297✓1.181.7M2022-08-26
STEEMSteemnative0.24490.256237+4.63%0.2213-9.64%0.0006✓1.17701k2022-08-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4223.5805+4.63%4.124+20.51%0.2294✓0.70488k2022-08-26
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18960.198431+4.66%0.1619-14.61%0.0330✓1.351,0652022-08-26
DIADIAEthereum0.432810.453265+4.73%0.36828-14.91%0.1102✗0.7752k2022-08-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31340.32833+4.76%0.3323+6.03%0.1601✓1.1773k2022-08-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.9434.5094+4.76%33.91+2.94%0.1574✓1.391.3M2022-08-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.43062.5496+4.90%3.69+51.81%0.4943✓0.99806k2022-08-26
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.029990.03146+4.90%0.0246-17.97%0.0791✗1.321,3002022-08-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030990.003251+4.91%0.00312+0.68%0.0850✓1.001.0M2022-08-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04330.045453+4.97%0.0378-12.70%0.0138✓1.357,1312022-08-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.51.5746+4.98%1.29-14.00%0.0234✓1.39114k2022-08-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041010.043111+5.12%0.03783-7.75%0.0087✓0.971,9372022-08-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3551.4252+5.18%1.151-15.06%0.0497✓1.302.4M2022-08-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.19815.4677+5.19%5.1494-0.94%0.0345✓0.20214k2022-08-26
CBKCobakEthereum1.0191.072+5.21%0.86751-14.86%0.0707✗1.129,1202022-08-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.55e-73.74e-7+5.23%7.57e-7+113.21%0.8255✓0.95212k2022-08-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0671380.070662+5.25%0.063531-5.37%0.0391✓1.151.7M2022-08-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046220.048661+5.28%0.04458-3.55%0.0277✓0.9115k2022-08-26
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053020.055829+5.30%0.06321+19.22%0.3074✓1.45766k2022-08-26
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073320.077314+5.45%0.06625-9.64%0.0615✗0.741,4882022-08-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05020.052957+5.49%0.0433-13.75%0.0481✓1.21256k2022-08-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7120.752284+5.66%0.546-23.31%0.1292✗1.5280k2022-08-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08560.090486+5.71%0.1006+17.52%0.2135✓0.85153k2022-08-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.05140.054334+5.71%0.0498-3.11%0.0979✓1.47109k2022-08-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash127.39134.7312+5.76%116.16-8.82%0.0032✓1.153.9M2022-08-26
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47060.498085+5.84%0.3879-17.57%0.1095✗1.1142k2022-08-26
PROPropyEthereum0.780.825904+5.89%0.73-6.41%0.0455✓0.6279k2022-08-26
XTZTezosTezos1.64341.7414+5.96%1.4828-9.77%0.0016✓1.26492k2022-08-26
NANOnanopayBase0.9637441.0215+5.99%0.8801-8.68%0.0252✓0.9851k2022-08-26
ELAElastosEthereum1.5931.6887+6.01%1.773+11.30%0.1249✓0.60229k2022-08-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.24850.263538+6.05%0.2433-2.09%0.0582✓1.0962k2022-08-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.14450.153272+6.07%0.143-1.04%0.0883✓1.2587k2022-08-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2940.312474+6.28%0.274-6.80%0.0007✓1.05620k2022-08-26
XVGVergenative0.003560.003784+6.29%0.00303-14.89%0.0558✓1.32505k2022-08-26
GTGateEthereum4.19394.4608+6.36%4.3799+4.44%0.0720✓0.72930k2022-08-26
METISMetisEthereum33.6435.7822+6.37%31.1-7.55%0.0141✓1.00172k2022-08-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0212740.022634+6.39%0.020726-2.58%0.0366✓0.997,5982022-08-26
FLOWFlownative1.7761.891+6.48%1.851+4.22%0.1389✓1.27413k2022-08-26
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.13.3019+6.51%2.49-19.68%0.2217✗0.4877k2022-08-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06890.073864+7.21%0.0626-9.14%0.0307✓1.07284k2022-08-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020290.021838+7.63%0.02334+15.03%0.1965✓1.03136k2022-08-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.89.5213+8.20%10.53+19.66%0.2451✓1.14241k2022-08-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.153390.166238+8.38%0.13148-14.28%0.0380✓1.56191k2022-08-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059330.006433+8.44%0.005538-6.65%0.0383✓0.883,8542022-08-26
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7080.76983+8.73%0.925+30.65%0.3364✓1.21776k2022-08-26
KCSKuCoinnative10.22411.1282+8.84%9.232-9.70%0.0479✓1.102.1M2022-08-26
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08090.088173+8.99%0.0857+5.93%0.1242✓1.215,6912022-08-26
ZECZcashZcash61.7567.7413+9.70%61.1-1.05%0.0601✓1.291.4M2022-08-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.51540.567138+10.04%0.4491-12.86%0.0908✓1.13350k2022-08-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03091.1425+10.82%–pending––1.0211k2022-08-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.00168+13.06%0.001486+0.00%0.0080✓1.0420k2022-08-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.