8=======>

2022-07-17 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 184 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2193
184 of 184 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.94%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.9%
in alpha space · 28.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+14.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (184 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47870.489866+2.33%0.5677+18.59%0.0083✓1.13311k2022-08-16
GTGateEthereum4.09154.1831+2.24%4.8932+19.59%0.0583✓0.72930k2022-08-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6210.634079+2.11%0.7+12.72%0.1083✗1.51108k2022-08-16
KCSKuCoinnative9.079.252+2.01%10.39+14.55%0.0373✗1.112.2M2022-08-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash109.99112.0819+1.90%136.34+23.96%0.0422✓1.124.0M2022-08-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23160.235648+1.75%0.2645+14.21%0.0589✗1.27160k2022-08-16
SGBSongbirdnative0.02550.025911+1.61%0.0295+15.69%0.0615✓0.5058k2022-08-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0540.05476+1.41%0.0784+45.19%0.2510✓0.78209k2022-08-16
ZECZcashZcash59.4360.2527+1.38%75.95+27.80%0.0507✓1.311.5M2022-08-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056480.005721+1.30%0.006767+19.81%0.0415✓0.922,9622022-08-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,338.201,353.64+1.15%1,876.57+40.23%0.1602✓1.21326.5M2022-08-16
AAVEAaveEthereum88.2789.2867+1.15%109.79+24.38%0.0262✗1.6910.8M2022-08-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051940.052464+1.01%0.08996+73.20%0.3370✓1.47773k2022-08-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07960.080318+0.90%0.1069+34.30%0.1147✓1.246,7832022-08-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20710.208839+0.84%0.2556+23.42%0.0059✓1.51117k2022-08-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.324.3547+0.80%6.29+45.60%0.2780✓0.65579k2022-08-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006450.006498+0.75%0.00854+32.40%0.1348✓1.01390k2022-08-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.13860.139622+0.74%0.1861+34.27%0.1149✓1.2587k2022-08-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.60e-7+0.73%7.44e-7+108.16%0.5839✓1.03344k2022-08-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6020.605902+0.65%0.959+59.30%0.2936✓1.20858k2022-08-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0629840.063363+0.60%0.087041+38.20%0.1495✓1.222.0M2022-08-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132790.133587+0.60%0.16955+27.68%0.0151✓1.62176k2022-08-16
DASHDashDash45.9246.1807+0.57%52.46+14.24%0.0246✗1.11616k2022-08-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,791.7420,892.38+0.48%23,857.93+14.75%0.0048✗1.00398.7M2022-08-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1066250.107109+0.45%0.12178+14.21%0.0095✗1.007.2M2022-08-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.7455.9423+0.36%61.33+10.03%0.0699✗1.1814.8M2022-08-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.282905+0.32%0.316+12.06%0.0331✗1.04599k2022-08-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9196.9406+0.31%8.839+27.75%0.0713✓1.249.0M2022-08-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,043.2021,108.34+0.31%23,861.50+13.39%0.0138✗0.9935k2022-08-16
XMRMoneroMonero135.99136.3842+0.29%169.61+24.72%0.0640✓1.121.3M2022-08-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.23710.237784+0.29%0.3001+26.57%0.0806✓1.1160k2022-08-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09790.098172+0.28%0.1301+32.89%0.0960✓1.352.4M2022-08-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.955.9637+0.23%10.19+71.26%0.3474✓1.37263k2022-08-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.05070.050809+0.21%0.0696+37.28%0.1112✓1.48106k2022-08-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6670.668429+0.21%0.84+25.94%0.0550✓1.26127k2022-08-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027910.002795+0.15%0.004101+46.94%0.2410✓1.031.2M2022-08-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1870.187238+0.13%0.2113+12.99%0.0792✗1.452,5392022-08-16
ADACardanoCardano0.44770.448128+0.10%0.5571+24.44%0.0426✓1.2743.9M2022-08-16
PROPropyEthereum0.810.810614+0.08%0.81+0.00%0.1039✗0.75111k2022-08-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.522.5217+0.07%3.26+29.37%0.0421✓1.56205k2022-08-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.826.8224+0.03%8.89+30.35%0.1958✓0.50670k2022-08-16
NANOnanopayBase0.903560.903663+0.01%1.0226+13.18%0.0167✗1.0263k2022-08-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2945960.294595-0.00%0.362039+22.89%0.0319✗1.271.4M2022-08-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.10270.102641-0.06%0.1138+10.81%0.0841✓1.36526k2022-08-16
TRXTRONTron0.0674370.067382-0.08%0.069764+3.45%0.0779✓0.82405k2022-08-16
QTUMQtumQtum2.95052.9472-0.11%4.0127+36.00%0.1579✗1.1026k2022-08-16
BANDBandEthereum1.3821.3803-0.12%1.675+21.20%0.0063✓1.45380k2022-08-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00910.009088-0.13%0.01154+26.81%0.0975✗1.034.9M2022-08-16
XVGVergenative0.003530.003525-0.13%0.00401+13.60%0.0597✓1.37635k2022-08-16
MOVRMoonriverBase13.242813.2234-0.15%15.0779+13.86%0.0354✓1.21242k2022-08-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.05111.0494-0.16%1.2535+19.26%0.0273✗1.0948k2022-08-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.784.7705-0.20%6.14+28.45%0.1594✗0.68574k2022-08-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3456.33-0.24%8.453+33.22%0.1155✗1.2617.9M2022-08-16
XTZTezosTezos1.57311.5693-0.24%1.8887+20.06%0.0099✗1.27519k2022-08-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0124040.012372-0.26%0.015966+28.72%0.1403✗0.831.2M2022-08-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.4558-0.29%1.75+19.86%0.0172✓1.46142k2022-08-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.379.3419-0.30%15+60.09%0.2725✗1.461.1M2022-08-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10960.109232-0.34%0.123+12.23%0.0172✓0.996,1432022-08-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2441.2398-0.34%1.425+14.55%0.0434✓1.332.6M2022-08-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37740.376012-0.37%0.4559+20.80%0.0110✗1.3282k2022-08-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5114.454-0.39%17.95+23.71%0.0294✗1.361.3M2022-08-16
SOLSolanaSolana38.6338.4709-0.41%43.09+11.55%0.0703✓1.3481.1M2022-08-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05050.050256-0.48%0.0642+27.13%0.0576✗1.36817k2022-08-16
XECeCashnative0.000040040.000039842-0.49%0.00004498+12.34%0.0454✓1.211.9M2022-08-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.10550.104955-0.52%0.2097+98.77%0.5398✗1.11560k2022-08-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.35481.3478-0.52%1.635+20.68%0.0035✓1.43684k2022-08-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1712.1587-0.57%2.752+26.76%0.0468✗1.4343k2022-08-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11680.116122-0.58%0.1546+32.36%0.1479✗1.013.3M2022-08-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1260.125261-0.59%0.1437+14.05%0.0479✓1.3534k2022-08-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04160.041336-0.64%0.0445+6.97%0.1123✓1.357,2812022-08-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.321850.319773-0.65%0.35342+9.81%0.0709✓1.24411k2022-08-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33650.334307-0.65%0.3526+4.78%0.1093✓1.188.2M2022-08-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068380.006793-0.66%0.006937+1.45%0.0589✓0.5869k2022-08-16
STXStacksnative0.38590.383278-0.68%0.4762+23.40%0.0441✗1.26381k2022-08-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50422.4871-0.68%3.1212+24.64%0.0879✗1.011.1M2022-08-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.6242.605-0.72%3.334+27.06%0.0919✗1.13729k2022-08-16
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.93e-7-0.73%9.70e-7+7.78%0.0350✓0.855.8M2022-08-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39460.391592-0.76%0.4464+13.13%0.0862✓1.58191k2022-08-16
FTTFTXEthereum27.6127.3985-0.77%30.67+11.08%0.0199✓0.9610.6M2022-08-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.473.442-0.81%4.95+42.65%0.2622✗0.74597k2022-08-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3552.3358-0.81%3.876+64.59%0.3798✗0.9288k2022-08-16
FLOWFlownative1.5641.5507-0.85%2.685+71.68%0.3817✗1.22287k2022-08-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2730.270677-0.85%0.3392+24.25%0.0615✗1.192.9M2022-08-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.008920.008844-0.85%0.00828-7.17%0.1940✓0.931.2M2022-08-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6895.6404-0.85%8.426+48.11%0.2459✗1.131.9M2022-08-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09430.09344-0.91%0.1024+8.59%0.0221✓0.83144k2022-08-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.66253.1681-0.92%61.168+13.99%0.0243✗0.84387k2022-08-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.201124-0.92%0.244+20.20%0.0227✓1.57881k2022-08-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.786310.779024-0.93%1.1875+51.02%0.3020✗0.874662022-08-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,069.876,013.04-0.94%11,010.19+81.39%0.4200✗1.344.2M2022-08-16
XVSVenusEthereum5.155.101-0.95%5.96+15.73%0.0446✓1.461.2M2022-08-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8723.8349-0.96%5.889+52.09%0.3401✗0.651.5M2022-08-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07060.069917-0.97%0.0688-2.55%0.1538✓1.00253k2022-08-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6440.637505-1.01%0.818+27.02%0.1183✗0.95425k2022-08-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045020.044561-1.02%0.05205+15.62%0.0285✗0.926,5622022-08-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative19.2219.0112-1.09%39.88+107.49%0.5769✗1.191.2M2022-08-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.23075.172-1.12%5.2507+0.38%0.0107✓0.19358k2022-08-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.23752.2114-1.16%3.514+57.05%0.3512✗0.81947k2022-08-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08570.084696-1.17%0.0811-5.37%0.2171✓1.26167k2022-08-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2683.2294-1.18%3.62+10.77%0.0435✓1.15544k2022-08-16
KSMKusamaHydration54.4353.7854-1.18%56.07+3.01%0.1224✓1.19235k2022-08-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9158.8062-1.22%11.396+27.83%0.0716✗1.3512.5M2022-08-16
ELAElastosEthereum1.5291.5103-1.22%2.061+34.79%0.1733✗1.00180k2022-08-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.288740.285184-1.23%0.35527+23.04%0.0327✗1.363,2792022-08-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00099010.000977879-1.23%0.001587+60.24%0.3054✗1.301.8M2022-08-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018570.01834-1.24%0.01753-5.60%0.1508✓0.77381k2022-08-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.058.9376-1.24%12.36+36.57%0.1618✗1.18272k2022-08-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027360.027016-1.26%0.05113+86.88%0.4624✗1.2821k2022-08-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.837550.826937-1.27%1.0299+22.96%0.0347✗1.34399k2022-08-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11050.109074-1.29%0.1265+14.48%0.0033✓1.10380k2022-08-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.913.8589-1.31%5.44+39.13%0.2560✗0.64694k2022-08-16
COMPCompoundEthereum54.8654.1267-1.34%61.09+11.36%0.0719✓1.4032k2022-08-16
SCSiacoinnative0.003940.003887-1.34%0.00476+20.81%0.0167✗1.35127k2022-08-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02730.026928-1.36%0.03136+14.87%0.0477✓1.451,4722022-08-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25370.250156-1.40%0.3985+57.08%0.3085✗1.1440k2022-08-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2233.1779-1.40%4.19+30.00%0.1688✗0.78488k2022-08-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020090.019798-1.45%0.02539+26.38%0.1008✗1.08112k2022-08-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1642.1304-1.55%2.651+22.50%0.0146✓1.7084k2022-08-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7770.764553-1.60%0.967+24.45%0.1277✗0.781.1M2022-08-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.41.3774-1.61%1.41+0.71%0.1882✓1.54809k2022-08-16
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9694.8885-1.62%6.197+24.71%0.0045✓1.7611.7M2022-08-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0179150.017617-1.66%0.025638+43.11%0.3024✗0.53176k2022-08-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91240.897104-1.68%1.0221+12.02%0.0699✓1.461.4M2022-08-16
STEEMSteemnative0.21230.208727-1.68%0.27+27.18%0.0907✗1.21705k2022-08-16
FISStafiEthereum0.40.393068-1.73%0.4514+12.85%0.0008✓1.003902022-08-16
DODODODOEthereum0.15320.150523-1.75%0.1676+9.40%0.0748✓1.322.8M2022-08-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0873.0315-1.80%4.038+30.81%0.1980✗0.641.9M2022-08-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022990.022575-1.81%0.02789+21.31%0.0149✓1.6514.6M2022-08-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.0710.069704-1.82%0.0734+3.38%0.1475✓1.45312k2022-08-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.0432.0039-1.91%3.7239+82.28%0.4945✗0.91857k2022-08-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0514280.050427-1.95%0.054802+6.56%0.0033✓0.6314k2022-08-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50720.49719-1.97%0.5897+16.27%0.0026✓1.22456k2022-08-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5371.5058-2.03%1.924+25.18%0.0409✗1.48182k2022-08-16
HIVEHivenative0.44040.431411-2.04%0.6115+38.85%0.1739✗1.271.2M2022-08-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38730.379383-2.04%0.4749+22.62%0.0870✗1.00241k2022-08-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4970.486616-2.09%0.672+35.21%0.1308✗1.4084k2022-08-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.17840.174347-2.27%0.207+16.03%0.0199✓1.392,2022022-08-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.062690.061265-2.27%0.09121+45.49%0.2068✗1.3924k2022-08-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001070.000010453-2.31%0.00001581+47.76%0.2422✗1.251.1M2022-08-16
RADRadworksEthereum1.711.6702-2.33%2.36+38.01%0.1908✗1.13127k2022-08-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.48170.470483-2.33%0.5047+4.77%0.0810✓1.1052k2022-08-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80240.783628-2.34%1.1489+43.18%0.2412✗1.033.5M2022-08-16
METISMetisEthereum23.7723.2107-2.35%38.9+63.65%0.3788✗1.00127k2022-08-16
XEMNEMnative0.0405550.039589-2.38%0.051969+28.14%0.1128✗1.1616k2022-08-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0181.9696-2.40%2.016-0.10%0.1836✓1.50116k2022-08-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16630.162276-2.42%0.1798+8.12%0.0805✓1.33349k2022-08-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.25525-2.43%0.2612-0.15%0.1145✓1.0045k2022-08-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.543.4529-2.46%2.94-16.95%0.2231✓0.4578k2022-08-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.07720.075253-2.52%0.08258+6.97%0.0191✓0.811,9712022-08-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0212770.020737-2.54%0.024604+15.64%0.0329✗1.001,5692022-08-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.7781.7328-2.54%2.409+35.49%0.1499✗1.31668k2022-08-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07861.0511-2.55%1.2853+19.16%0.0009✓1.464.2M2022-08-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.2257.0404-2.55%7.773+7.58%0.0834✓1.335.5M2022-08-16
UNIUniswapEthereum6.9436.7613-2.62%8.346+20.21%0.0176✓1.405.7M2022-08-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.184760.179894-2.63%0.1883+1.92%0.3310✓2.747222022-08-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.80141.7536-2.65%2.2701+26.02%0.0879✗1.2427k2022-08-16
ZENHorizenBase16.5516.1095-2.66%20.12+21.57%0.0269✓1.4289k2022-08-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.28650.278666-2.73%0.3019+5.38%0.1135✓1.41435k2022-08-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.382620.371767-2.84%0.42922+12.18%0.0269✓1.24128k2022-08-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.3916.8959-2.84%40.61+133.53%0.6496✗1.65421k2022-08-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.00e-78.74e-7-2.84%0.000001+11.11%0.0033✓1.0025k2022-08-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.444410.43143-2.92%0.40858-8.06%0.2627✓1.51862k2022-08-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6220.0173-2.92%27.11+31.47%0.0893✗1.5625.2M2022-08-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.090820.0881-2.99%0.08578-5.55%0.1643✓1.00432k2022-08-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7760.75268-3.01%0.87+12.11%0.1087✓1.847.0M2022-08-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1821.1459-3.05%1.271+7.53%0.0587✓1.181.4M2022-08-16
DIADIAEthereum0.437090.423258-3.16%0.47192+7.97%0.0032✓0.7753k2022-08-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93770.907747-3.19%1.4706+56.83%0.3117✗1.241.0M2022-08-16
QNTQuantEthereum98.8695.5602-3.34%116.11+17.45%0.0536✗1.032.7M2022-08-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04960.047915-3.40%0.0539+8.67%0.0533✓1.24276k2022-08-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.54742.4605-3.41%3.3012+29.59%0.0706✗1.625,9882022-08-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.4813.9599-3.59%20.32+40.33%0.2391✗0.991.7M2022-08-16
OPTIMOptimism0.5820.559944-3.79%1.454+149.83%0.7217✗1.691.1M2022-08-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03630.034817-4.08%0.0426+17.36%0.0284✓1.2695k2022-08-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.663320.636031-4.11%0.69252+4.40%0.1405✓1.64104k2022-08-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5973.4485-4.13%6.018+67.31%0.4806✗0.552.2M2022-08-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.641.5693-4.31%1.47-10.37%0.1025✓0.27485k2022-08-16
CBKCobakEthereum0.98940.946706-4.32%1.1561+16.85%0.0424✓1.144,6812022-08-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6532.5358-4.42%3.68+38.71%0.1309✗1.763.7M2022-08-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5110.483681-5.35%0.545+6.65%0.0484✓1.2211k2022-08-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.8960.842802-5.94%1.072+19.64%0.0062✓1.79528k2022-08-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.640.598799-6.44%0.71+10.94%0.0369✓1.513,6872022-08-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.87550.804143-8.15%0.967+10.45%0.0371✓1.61209k2022-08-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.00010150.000092777-8.59%0.0000971-4.33%0.2160✓1.90692k2022-08-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.